Showing posts with label Carson Wentz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Carson Wentz. Show all posts

Sunday, September 4, 2022

Washington Commanders Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Washington Commanders.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz515.2319.93632.222.679.7948182.41.2241.83
Taylor Heinicke37.824.3260.81.550.986.229.80.1918.79
Sam Howell29.117.8209.51.110.795180.113.64

Carson Wentz: About to play for his third team in as many seasons, Wentz is coming off a solid, if not spectacular, season. His TD% (5.2) and INT% (1.4) were both the second-best of his career. While he averaged a career-low 209.6 passing yards per game, he also threw a career-low 30.35 pass attempts per game in Indianapolis' run-first offense. His passing volume should increase in Washington, but can he maintain his efficient 27-to-seven TD-INT ratio?

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Antonio Gibson194.2844.85.9232.6246.21.3168.72
J.D. McKissic50.3221.31.1352.5414.42.6112.2
Brian Robinson Jr.91.43932.479.169.70.468.04
Jonathan Williams43182.81.082.216.40.128.1

Antonio Gibson: Gibson had 258 carries for 1,037 yards and seven touchdowns and added 42 receptions for 294 yards and three touchdowns in 2021, but he also lost four fumbles last season as well. It appeared that Brian Robinson Jr. was going to supplant Gibson for early-down work before before being shot multiple times in an attempted robbery. The unfortunate incident means that Gibson will once again handle the bulk of early-down work, by default, for at least as long as Robinson is sidelined.

J.D. McKissic: While he missed six games last season, McKissic has 123 receptions, 163 targets and 986 receiving yards in 27 games as a Commander. Even if he's third in line for carries, he has stand-alone value, especially in PPR formats.

Brian Robinson Jr.: The Commanders used a third-round pick on Robinson, who ran for 1,343 yards and 16 touchdowns for Alabama last season. While he had appeared to leapfrog Antonio Gibson on the depth chart, Robinson will start the season on the reserve/NFI list and miss at least the first four games of the season although his timeline remains unclear.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Terry McLaurin801089.26.11.19.90.06186.87
Jahan Dotson53.46814.11.811.70.07120.99
Curtis Samuel38.9465.6316102.40.899.05
Dyami Brown17.7235.91.600042.04
Cam Sims10127.20.900023.12
Dax Milne2.530.80.20005.53

Terry McLaurin: In spite of Washington's mediocre quarterback play, McLaurin has averaged a 17-game pace of 82/1,142/6 through his first three NFL seasons. The former third-round pick has outplayed his draft pedigree, which has led to a contract extension, but he goes into 2022 with questionable quarterback play again.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Logan Thomas40.7484.13.400089.16
John Bates17.7192.81.300035.93
Cole Turner2.728.70.30006.02
Armani Rogers220.50.10003.65

Logan Thomas: Thomas tore his ACL in December and missed a total of 11 games in 2021. In his other season in Washington, the converted college quarterback finished with 72 catches for 670 yards and six touchdowns. When he's on the field, he's been nearly an every-snap player. Even if he isn't ready for Week 1, "the expectation is that he'll return for Week 2 at the latest."

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Sunday, August 7, 2022

Washington Commanders Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Washington Commanders.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz518.1321.73652.622.89.8450.3191.11.26244.29
Taylor Heinicke43.728.1301.51.791.146.229.80.1921.06
Sam Howell20.412.4146.90.780.552.79.70.059.17

Carson Wentz: About to play for his third team in as many seasons, Wentz is coming off a solid, if not spectacular, season. His TD% (5.2) and INT% (1.4) were both the second-best of his career. While he averaged a career-low 209.6 passing yards per game, he also threw a career-low 30.35 pass attempts per game in Indianapolis' run-first offense. His passing volume should increase in Washington, but can he maintain his efficient 27-to-seven TD-INT ratio?

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Antonio Gibson201.1874.86.1339.1319.91.8186.6
J.D. McKissic50.3221.31.1352.5418.32.6112.59
Brian Robinson Jr.105.1451.92.849.171.80.476.36
Jaret Patterson22.495.20.592.216.40.116.4

Antonio Gibson: Gibson had 258 carries for 1,037 yards and seven touchdowns and added 42 receptions for 294 yards and three touchdowns in 2021, but he also lost four fumbles last season as well. Not only did the Commanders re-sign J.D. McKissic to a two-year contract, but they used a third-round pick on Alabama's Brian Robinson Jr. With the Commanders use of McKissic on third downs and Robinson in short-yardage situations, Gibson's workload is almost guaranteed to be scaled back from last year's 300 touches.

J.D. McKissic: While he missed six games last season, McKissic has 123 receptions, 163 targets and 986 receiving yards in 27 games as a Commander. Even if he's third in line for carries behind Gibson and Robinson, he has some stand-alone value, especially in PPR formats.

Brian Robinson Jr.: Like with Gibson (in 2020), the Commanders used a third-round pick on Robinson, who ran for 1,343 yards and 16 touchdowns for Alabama last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Terry McLaurin801088.86.11.19.90.06186.83
Jahan Dotson49.8639.83.81.811.70.07113.27
Curtis Samuel38.9465.5316102.40.899.04
Dyami Brown17.72441.600042.85
Cam Sims10127.10.900023.11
Dax Milne2.530.80.20005.53

Terry McLaurin: In spite of Washington's mediocre quarterback play, McLaurin has averaged a 17-game pace of 82/1,142/6 through his first three NFL seasons. The former third-round pick has outplayed his draft pedigree, which has led to a contract extension, but he goes into 2022 with questionable quarterback play again.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Logan Thomas39.14473.200083.45
John Bates17.6192.71.300035.87
Cole Turner2.728.70.30006.02
Sammis Reyes0.910.30.10002.08

Logan Thomas: Thomas tore his ACL in December and missed a total of 11 games in 2021. In his other season in Washington, the converted college quarterback finished with 72 catches for 670 yards and six touchdowns. Thomas has appeared in 97% or more of the snaps in 11 of his past 15 games. Two of four games with sub-97% snap rates during that span were games in which he sustained what would become a multi-week injury. When he's on the field, he's nearly an every-snap player, but it's still unclear if he'll be ready for Week 1.

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Saturday, October 2, 2021

Indianapolis Colts Week 4 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

Throughout the 2021 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Here is where the Indianapolis Colts rank in terms of average, best and worst:

  • Average ranking: 25.6 (25th)
  • Best ranking: 25th (Multiple)
  • Worst ranking: 26th (Multiple)

Below you will find a Week 4 roundup for the Colts in our consensus 2021 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 26

The good news for Carson Wentz is that the quarterback can basically only improve from his current ranking. The bad news is there's no guarantee of that happening, because Wentz is currently dealing with injuries to both ankles suffered in Week 2. Wentz's 60.4% completion rate is 29th in the NFL, partially because the Colts' receivers have been underwhelming, outside of Michael Pittman Jr. And T.Y. Hilton has been out all season with a disk injury. Wentz also has issues holding the ball too long (fifth longest in the league). The biggest key for Wentz is to get healthy. "I'm very confident that we can progress this thing along and be myself," Wentz said. -- Mike Wells

NFL.com -- Rank: 26

If you're starting to feel like this is a lost season for the Colts, we're right there with you. Indy remains winless after a 25-16 loss to the rival Titans in Nashville. Carson Wentz showed grit playing on two bad ankles, but his lack of mobility is just another obstacle for a Colts offense that has to work way too hard to move the football. Wentz's miss on an end zone throw to Michael Pittman in the third quarter will stick with him during long hours in the trainer's room this week. The Colts need a win over the Dolphins to save their season in Week 4 and they might have to do it without All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson, who suffered an ankle injury against the Titans.

CBS Sports -- Rank: 26

They have hardly looked like a team some thought would win the AFC South. They've had a lot of injuries impact their roster early this season, but the 0-3 start is bad and the schedule coming up is a challenge.

USA Today -- Rank: 25

Wasn't this supposed to an elite offensive line? Thus far, it's done an elite job getting QB Carson Wentz banged around and rendering RB Jonathan Taylor close to invisible.

The Athletic -- Rank: 25

Surprise! Most of the attention placed upon the Colts' miserable start has rightfully been centered on Carson Wentz's nightmare tenure as the team's starting quarterback, but given his performance in Philadelphia last season, maybe any other expectation was simply wishful thinking. Perhaps more surprising is that the Colts have been unable to jumpstart talented second-year running back Jonathan Taylor, whose high-water mark for rushing yards in a game so far is 64 -- with no touchdowns. This from a player who averaged 123.5 yards across his final six games in 2020 and scored seven times in that stretch.

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Saturday, August 28, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz533.9334.23710.624.0311.2158.9238.52257.97
Jacob Eason59.336.2400.32.311.64.910.30.0523.38

Carson Wentz: The initial timetable was wide (5-12 weeks), but all indications point to Wentz (foot surgery) being ready for Week 1 against the Saints. Being reunited with Frank Reich, there is some optimism for Wentz to rebound. In their final season together in Philadelphia (2017), Wentz led the NFL in both TD% (7.5%) and QBR (78.5), scored the fifth-most fantasy points (despite missing three games) and was selected to the AP All-Pro Second Team.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jonathan Taylor288.11325.311.5236.1283.71.9259.47
Nyheim Hines49203.41.4944.1357.62.3100.89
Marlon Mack66.2294.62.45753.40.354.8
Jordan Wilkins8.634.80.261.310.30.17.32

Jonathan Taylor: Over his final seven games of the season including a playoff loss, Taylor handled a massive 156 touches, racked up 921 yards and scored nine total touchdowns. Excluding that playoff appearance, Taylor ranked top four in the NFL in touches, YFS, touchdowns and half-PPR fantasy points from Week 11 on. Running behind one of the league's best offensive lines, Taylor carries plenty of momentum with him into 2021 even though the Colts re-signed Marlon Mack.

Nyheim Hines: One of the better receiving backs in the league, Hines finished as a top-24 running back across all scoring formats (RB15 in PPR, RB20 in half-PPR and RB24 in standard) in 2020. Only Alvin Kamara (83) and J.D. McKissic (80) had more receptions than Hines (63) last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Pittman Jr.65770.84.94.936.80.1143.26
T.Y. Hilton61.1822.24.7000140.97
Parris Campbell53.7626.93.69.8760.15119.64
Zach Pascal27.83702.600066.5
Mike Strachan2.8370.30006.9
Ashton Dulin1.518.50.10003.2

Michael Pittman Jr.: Pittman Jr. scored only one touchdown as a rookie in 13 games, but the big-bodied receiver (6-4, 223) should be utilized as a red-zone weapon more often in 2021. The second-year wideout is a breakout candidate and it wouldn't be a surprise if he emerged as the team's WR1.

T.Y. Hilton: Over the past two seasons, Hilton averaged 50.8 (2020) and 50.1 (2019) YPG, which are the two lowest of his NFL career. A WR4/WR5 in fantasy drafts, the 31-year-old vet could potentially finish the season as Indy's WR3 as the youngsters emerge.

Parris Campbell: After an injury-plagued rookie season, Campbell, a second-round pick in 2019, played only two snaps in Week 2 prior to a PCL injury that ended his 2020 season. Before the injury, he had 6/71 on nine targets and a nine-yard rush attempt in Week 1 last season. If he can stay healthy, he could challenge Hilton and Pittman as the team's most productive fantasy receiver.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jack Doyle31.3324.82.300061.93
Mo Alie-Cox26.9304.22.200057.07
Kylen Granson11.9131.50.900024.5

Jack Doyle: Over the past four seasons, Doyle's per-game average has declined every season -- 46.0 YPG (2017), 40.8 (2018), 28.0 (2019) and 17.9 (2020). While the Colts run a TE-friendly offense, Doyle will go undrafted in all but the deepest of TE-premium leagues.

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Friday, November 20, 2020

Week 11 Fantasy Football QB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Justin Herbert is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 11 with him as my starting quarterback.

Then again, Herbert may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Patrick Mahomes and Herbert, you should start Mahomes and, in turn, bench Herbert.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 11 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (vs. NYJ)

Once again, Herbert appears on this list. With the exception of Week 3 against the Carolina Panthers, Herbert has scored at least 21 fantasy points in all of his starts. Over his past six games, the rookie has finished no worse than the weekly QB11 and has averaged 26.66 fantasy points per game.

In all eight games this season, Herbert has either thrown for 300-plus yards and/or accounted for multiple touchdowns. Even though he threw for a season-low 187 yards last week, he threw two touchdowns and rushed for another. The strong-armed mobile quarterback has averaged 22.0 rushing yards per game and scored three rushing touchdowns this season as well.

One potential concern is game script working against Herbert's fantasy production, as the Chargers are nearly double-digit favorites. That said, few teams have a higher implied total than the Chargers this week. Meanwhile, only three teams have allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks than the New York Jets this season.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (at JAX)

Big Ben will face one of those three teams that have allowed more fantasy points to the position than the Jets. Like Herbert and Chargers, Roethlisberger and Steelers are double-digit favorites and have one of the week's highest implied totals. The Steelers have one of the league's better trios at wide receivers with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool all ranked inside my top-15 fantasy wide receivers for the week.

Roethlisberger started relatively slow this season with seven consecutive games finishing outside of the top 10 weekly fantasy quarterbacks. That said, he has exploited back-to-back soft matchups against the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals by throwing for 300-plus yards and three-plus touchdowns in each game.

Cam Newton, New England Patriots (at HOU)

Heading into Week 11, Newton has only two 200-yard passing games and only three passing scores this season. In fact, he has thrown more than twice as many interceptions (seven) as touchdowns this season. Even so, he has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in three consecutive weeks, four of his past five and six of eight games this season.

One of the most prolific dual-threat quarterbacks in NFL history, it has been Newton's rushing prowess that has helped him compensate for a lack of gaudy passing statistics. Newton has rushed for nine touchdowns this season and is tied with Atlanta's Todd Gurley for third-most in the NFL. Only Dalvin Cook and Kyler Murray have more.

While the Houston Texans have been middle of the pack in limiting fantasy production of quarterbacks, they rank last in the NFL in rushing defense (167.4 YPG allowed) and YPC allowed (5.2).

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders (vs. KC)

The Raiders are on a three-game winning streak and that has led to disappointing fantasy results for Carr. In those wins, Carr has thrown 25 or fewer pass attempts with 165 passing yards or less in every game.

Before that span, however, Carr had a five-game stretch where he scored more than 20 fantasy points in four games and threw for multiple scores in all five. One of those matchups was against the Kansas City Chiefs, where the Raiders were forced to keep up with the Patrick Mahomes-led high-powered offense. In that game, Carr threw for 347 yards and three touchdowns, both of which are season highs.

Even though the matchup is difficult on paper, a rematch against the Chiefs could lead to enough volume that pushes Carr into viable streamer territory in Week 11.

Week 11 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (at CLE)

Wentz ended a four-game streak of games with multiple touchdowns as he failed to throw or run for a touchdown in Week 10 against the New York Giants. Wentz now has finished as the QB24 in back-to-back performances with a total of only 331 passing yards in those two games combined. It's not a daunting matchup against the Cleveland Browns this week and a healthier supporting cast around him is certainly a positive, but he'll remain outside my top 12 looking in as long as his struggles continue.

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans (at BAL)

Last week, the Indianapolis Colts ended Tannehill's five-game streak with multiple touchdowns and limited last year's NFL Comeback Player of the Year to a season-low 147 passing yards. Tannehill now has thrown for 158 yards or less in back-to-back weeks.

Even though he had thrown multiple touchdowns over a five-game stretch, Tannehill now has finished outside the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks in four consecutive weeks. With another tough matchup on the horizon, Tannehill is once again outside my top-12 quarterbacks for the week.

Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams (at TB)

Despite a soft matchup against the Seattle Seahawks last week, Goff was unable to capitalize on the opportunity. While he threw for 302 yards, he failed to throw a touchdown and ended the week with only 10.48 fantasy points.

Since starting the season with 23-plus fantasy points in three of his first five starts, Goff now has failed to score 17 fantasy points or finish higher than QB18 in four consecutive starts. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

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Friday, November 13, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Jared Goff is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 10 with him as my starting quarterback.

Then again, Goff may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Russell Wilson and Goff, you should start Wilson and, in turn, bench Goff.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (at MIA)

The sixth-overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Herbert continues to destroy even the most optimistic expectations that anyone could have set for him. Scoring a minimum of 23 fantasy points in five consecutive starts, the rookie has finished as fantasy's QB7, QB4, QB1, QB4, QB11, respectively, in those weeks. During that five-game span, the former Oregon Duck has thrown multiple touchdowns every week while compiling a 15-to-three TD-INT ratio.

Not only is he having success as a passer, but Herbert has the mobility to make plays with his legs as well. Since becoming the starter in Week 2, he has averaged 23.7 rushing yards per game, which puts him on a (15-game) pace of 355.7 rushing yards.

The Miami Dolphins are currently on a four-game winning streak and one of the main reasons has been their defense. While they don't present Herbert with a great matchup, they allowed Kyler Murray to score a week-high 37.92 fantasy points last week. At this point, Herbert, the QB7 in my ROS fantasy rankings, has been a matchup-proof weekly starter.

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (at NYG)

In his first matchup against the Giants, Wentz threw for a season-high 359 yards. In fact, that remains his only 300-yard performance of the season. While he hasn't thrown for gaudy yardage totals, Wentz has multiple passing touchdowns in four consecutive games. In addition, he has rushed for five touchdowns this season as well.

Over his past six games, Wentz has scored 19.42 fantasy points (or more) in five of six games. During that span, he has averaged 22.69 per contest.

Another positive for Wentz is the team's overall improved health among its pass-catchers. Travis Fulgham has become a force for Wentz, but the team's MASH unit of pass-catchers are getting healthier as well.

Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SEA)

If you've inserted Goff into your starting lineup lately, you've likely been disappointed with the results. Turning in a very mediocre performance (QB17) so far this season, Goff has finished as fantasy's weekly QB18 or worse in four of his past five outings. During that five-game span, he's averaged only 16.4 fantasy points per game.

With the Seattle Seahawks coming to Tinseltown this week, Goff's outlook vastly improves in Week 10. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season than Seattle. In addition, only Drew Brees has a more favorable remaining fantasy football strength of schedule than Goff.

Back to the matchup against the Seahawks, they have allowed 300-plus passing yards every week except against the Vikings (Week 5). In addition, they have allowed six top-10 quarterback performances in eight weeks including a trio of top-two performances.

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders (vs. DEN)

The past two weeks have been low-volume (24 pass attempts or less) fantasy duds for Carr. In those two games, Carr has thrown for only 111 and 165 yards and finished the week as fantasy's QB21 and QB22, respectively.

Throwing 16 touchdowns to only two interceptions this season, Carr has been efficient as his 6.2% TD% is a career high and his 0.8 INT% is a career low. Meanwhile, Carr's 7.8 Y/A is the second highest of his career next to last year's 7.9 Y/A.

The Broncos have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Based on implied totals from Vegas odds, the Raiders have one of the week's higher projected totals.

Week 10 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. WAS)

Against the Vikings last week, Stafford threw for 211 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions to finish as fantasy's QB26 last week. Aside from two performances (Week 4 and Week 8), Stafford has finished as the weekly QB15 or worse in every other game this season. Perhaps Stafford bucks his current trend of disappointing performances, but Washington has allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season and he will once again be without stud receiver Kenny Golladay (hip).

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings (at CHI)

As the Vikings attempt to sweep the NFC North over the past three weeks, it's possible that the Vikings keep Cousins' pass attempts low once again. Cousins threw just 14 and 20 pass attempts, respectively, in wins over the Packers and Lions over the past two weeks. Before these two wins, Cousins had dream matchups against the Texans (Week 4), Seahawks (Week 5) and Falcons (Week 6), three of the seven most generous fantasy defenses. Even so, Cousins has finished as the weekly QB17 (or worse) in four of his past five outings. Given that the Bears allow the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, there is little reason for optimism for Cousins this week.

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (at PIT)

Since Week 2, Burrows has thrown for either 300 yards and/or multiple touchdowns in six of seven games. This year's top draft pick also has volume on his side as he's averaged 41.25 pass attempts per game this season. Excluding a Week 5 loss to Baltimore, he's thrown at least 36 pass attempts every game this season. That said, Burrow could struggle this week as he draws a bottom-five matchup against the Steelers.

Cam Newton, New England Patriots (vs. BAL)

If you roster/start Newton, you're hoping for a rushing score (or two). In his first season as Patriots quarterback, Newton has rushed for eight touchdowns this season. Meanwhile, Newton hasn't thrown a touchdown since Week 3 and has only two passing scores (and seven interceptions) on the season. In a difficult matchup against the Ravens, I expect Wink Martindale to force Newton (and the team's uninspiring group of receivers) to beat them through the air.

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Saturday, October 31, 2020

Fantasy Football Week 8 QB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Carson Wentz is listed below as a "start" for Week 8. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 8 with him as my starting quarterback.

Then again, Wentz may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Russell Wilson and Wentz, you should start Wilson and, in turn, bench Wentz.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 8 Fantasy Football QB Start'em

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans (at CIN)

Last year's NFL's Comeback Player of the Year, Tannehill has picked up where he left off in 2019. Starting a combined 16 regular-season games for the Titans, the former first-round pick has now thrown for a total of 4,188 yards, 37 touchdowns and seven interceptions in those starts while adding 263 rushing yards and five more scores.

Currently fourth in the NFL in passer rating (112.3) in 2020, Tannehill has thrown for multiple touchdowns in all but one game this season. On the year, he has compiled a 15-to-two TD-INT ratio. Tannehill has a pair of top-three fantasy performances in his past three starts and he's set up for a big outing in Week 8 as well.

The Bengals secondary has allowed a total of eight passing scores by Philip Rivers (three) and Baker Mayfield (five) over the past two weeks. Only the Green Bay Packers have a higher implied total than the Titans based on Vegas odds in Week 8.

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. DAL)

Wentz threw for a season-high 359 yards against the Giants last week and he now has three consecutive games with multiple passing scores. Before that stretch, he had thrown only four touchdowns in his first four games of the season. More impressively, Wentz has been scoring a significant portion of his fantasy points on the ground with 185 rushing yards and five touchdowns this year.

Not only does Wentz have 29.42-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games, but he now has more than 22 fantasy points in four of five games and the exception was a 19.42-point performance. The only concern with Wentz's outlook is that this game won't be close as Philadelphia is a double-digit favorite. In the past two weeks, where the Cowboys have lost by a combined 50-point margin, they have limited both opposing quarterbacks in those games to less than 200 yards.

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (at DEN)

Before the season, I wrote that Herbert could be Josh Allen-esque once he earned an opportunity to start. In other words, even if he weren't a good "real" quarterback early in his career, his mobility and arm strength could generate useful fantasy production once he became the starter. That said, he's exceeded expectations across the board since becoming the unexpected starter in Week 2.

Herbert has more than 300 passing yards and/or multiple touchdowns in all five of his starts. Scoring a minimum of 23.24 fantasy points in four of those five weeks, Herbert has been playing even better recently. The No. 6 overall pick has 10 passing touchdowns to only one interception over his past three games and finished as fantasy's QB1 (40.48 points) in Week 7.

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders (at CLE)

While Carr has never been an elite fantasy quarterback (and still isn't), he's been more productive than most have realized as he's never finished worse than fantasy's QB20 (2014, rookie season). Since Week 2, Carr has averaged 297.4 passing yards per game and thrown multiple touchdowns every week. During that five-game stretch, the veteran quarterback has compiled a 12-to-two TD-INT ratio.

Carr has now scored 20-plus fantasy points in three consecutive games and four of his past five. To help maintain his current hot streak, the Raiders quarterback gets a favorable matchup in Week 8 against the Browns, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game this season. In addition, they have allowed four games of 24-plus fantasy points to opposing signal-callers in 2020.

Week 8 Fantasy Football QB Sit'em

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (vs. IND)

Stafford threw for a season-high 340 yards against the Falcons last week and his lone touchdown (for the last-second victory) was a dagger in the hearts of Falcons fans. Despite the yardage total, however, Stafford only managed to finish as fantasy's QB15 in Week 7.

This season, there have been 23 quarterbacks that have finished with top-12 performances in multiple weeks, but Stafford is not one of those quarterbacks. Aside from his QB9 outing in Week 4, Stafford has finished as fantasy's QB15 or worse in every other one of his starts this season.

With a matchup against the Colts, who have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, it's possible that Stafford delivers another middle-of-the-road performance for his fantasy owners.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (at CHI)

On a positive note, Brees has scored 22-plus fantasy points and has finished as a weekly top-10 fantasy quarterback in three of his past four games. Coincidentally, the future first-ballot HOFer has yet to finish any better than QB10 this season. Despite having zero rushing yards this season, rushing touchdowns in back-to-back games have buoyed Brees' fantasy production recently.

Brees will be without top receiver Michael Thomas, who hasn't played since Week 1. In addition, the Saints won't have receivers Emmanuel Sanders or Marquez Callaway either. Meanwhile, it's a challenging matchup for Brees as the Bears have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BAL)

Not only are the Steelers the last remaining unbeaten team in the NFL, Roethlisberger has thrown multiple touchdowns in all but one game this season. That said, his virtually non-existent rushing production (six rushing yards in six games) means he's been a mediocre fantasy quarterback this season. While Brees has yet to finish any better than the weekly QB10, Big Ben has yet to finish higher than QB11 in any week. In fact, he's finished outside the top-20 fantasy quarterbacks in each of the past two weeks and draws a tough matchup against the Ravens in Week 8.

Cam Newton, New England Patriots (at BUF)

Newton has three top-12 weekly performances in his five starts this season. That success has been tied to his rushing production as all three of those games came when he rushed for a touchdown (or two). That said, Newton has thrown for 162 yards or less in four of five games and he had only 98 passing yards before getting benched last week.

The Patriots have one of this week's lowest implied totals and Newton will be without Julian Edelman and N'Keal Harry. While Buffalo allowed three 300-yard passers in their first four games, they have limited the three most recent they've faced to 225 yards or less -- Tannehill (195), Patrick Mahomes (225) and Sam Darnold (120).

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Saturday, August 22, 2020

Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Football Projections 2020

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz549.4354.44065.628.299.0754.3209.10.95284.25
The Eagles have a dynamic one-two punch at tight end with Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert, but their receiving corps was decimated by injuries last season. Wentz became the league's first 4,000-yard passer without a 500-yard (wide) receiver. The front office turbo-charged the receiving corps with the addition of speed and lots of it this offseason.
Jalen Hurts35.121.2249.21.440.9719.5106.30.9830.3

RUNNING BACKS


PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders2281014.65.747.6423.62.86195.18
Doug Pederson may favor a committee approach at running back, but Sanders -- 4.6 YPC and 10.2 Y/R as a rookie -- clearly has lead-back talent. After handling just 10.6 touches per game over the first half of the season, Sanders was fed 18 touches per game in the final eight with Jordan Howard missing most of the second half of the season. Although Sanders suffering a week-to-week lower-body injury, a source told ESPN's Tim McManus that Sanders will be "ready to play" Week 1.
Boston Scott86.8355.93.0432.3264.90.9786.14
Effective down the stretch, Scott racked up 350 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns and hauled in 23-of-25 targets over the final four games of the season. While Miles Sanders is "the guy," Scott should get 8-10 touches per week with many of those touches being high-value receptions.
Corey Clement28.21170.854.639.10.2121.97
Mike Warren10.944.70.381.18.10.027.68

MORE: Philadelphia Eagles 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Reagor53.8747.84.844.326.70.09107.03
Injuries decimated Philadelphia's receiving corps last season and the front office invested heavily into adding reinforcements with Reagor being the headliner of the incoming crop of pass-catchers. An explosive athlete that runs faster than his tested time (4.47) in Indy, Reagor can provide a DeSean Jackson-like impact to the receiving corps. In fact, it wouldn't be surprising if he outproduced the veteran receiver.
DeSean Jackson47.4703.94.6200098.11
Jackson opened the 2019 season and his return to Philly with a bang (8/154/2 in Week 1), but he got hurt in Week 2 and managed just one five-yard reception the rest of the year. The team has loaded up on fast receivers that will likely lead to even more week-to-week volatility in Jackson's output.
Alshon Jeffery35.3457.14.2400071.15
Currently on the active/PUP list, the expectation is that Jeffery will begin the season on the PUP list and be required to miss at least the first six games of the season. The veteran receiver has missed at least three games in four of the past five seasons so durability is always a concern. While he had a big game (9/137/1 vs. MIA) at the end of the season, Jeffery averaged a career-low 11.4 yards per reception over 10 games in 2019.
Greg Ward Jr.14.9157.20.822.211.40.0221.9
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside11.4145.40.9700020.36
John Hightower7.71090.5600014.26
Reagor wasn't the only speedster that the Eagles drafted as Hightower, their fifth-round pick, has shown well during Eagles practices so far.
Quez Watkins1.621.10.130002.89

TIGHT ENDS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zach Ertz72.6765.95.12000107.31
A model of consistency, Ertz has a minimum of 74 catches and 816 yards in five consecutive seasons. While he was even better over the past two seasons (204/2,079/14 combined line), the team loaded up on speedy pass-catchers this offseason and Carson Wentz may not need to rely on Ertz as heavily in 2020.
Dallas Goedert40.3419.13.9300065.49
Goedert nearly doubled his production in year two as he finished with 58 catches for 607 yards and five touchdowns on 87 targets. Counting the playoff loss to Seattle, Goedert closed the season with 55-plus yards in five of his final six games. A hairline fracture in one of his thumbs won't jeopardize his availability for Week 1.
Joshua Perkins2.628.60.180003.94

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Sunday, July 21, 2019

Philadelphia Eagles 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz577.9387.24449.830.0510.6946.7168.10.65297.52
The obvious concern with Wentz is durability as the fourth-year quarterback has now missed at least three games in back-to-back seasons. If he can stay healthy, however, he has a ton of upside compared to his current ADP. Wentz showed how good he could be in 2017 when he was the QB2 through Week 14 before missing the final three weeks of the season. The addition of DeSean Jackson gives Wentz the best and most complete group of weapons that he has had in his young career.
Nate Sudfeld17.911.6116.40.720.361-0.506.77

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders152.9649.85.3533.4253.80.67126.48
Sanders joins a crowded Philly backfield, but he figures to lead the group in workload and production. That said, the team has used (and still plans to use) a committee approach to their backfield despite using a second-round pick on Sanders.
Jordan Howard135.4548.44.8712.790.20.1994.22
Howard has 250-plus carries in each of his first three seasons, but now that he's in Philadelphia, that streak is sure to come to an end. Howard has 18 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons combined and he'll likely be a TD-dependent play on a weekly basis with Sanders more likely to out-touch him over the full season.
Corey Clement32.1131.60.9615.5133.30.7836.93
Darren Sproles8.836.10.286510.1811.47
Boston Scott4.919.10.075.240.60.086.87

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WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Alshon Jeffery70.9950.17.44000139.65
Jeffery's catch rate was up significantly in 2018 (70.7%) compared to his first season (47.5%, 2017) in Philadelphia and that led to per-game improvements in receptions and yards (5.0/64.8 vs. 3.6/49.3). Missing three games in 2018, Jeffery has now missed at least three games in three of four seasons and has failed to reach the 900-yard mark since 2014.
DeSean Jackson49.2826.64.85.8290.29116.1
In spite of missing four games, Jackson finished 32nd in fantasy points (42nd in PPR) in 2018. Now back in Philadelphia, D-Jax gives the Eagles the deep threat they have lacked. A big play waiting to happen, Jackson has led the NFL in Y/A in 2018 (18.9), 2016 (17.9) and 2014 (20.9).
Nelson Agholor40.7468.12.651.913.30.0464.28
There has been some offseason speculation about Agholor's status with the Eagles. Aside from his touchdowns cut in half year over year (from eight to four), Agholor's 2018 numbers (64/736 on 97 targets) were nearly identical to his 2017 production (62/768 on 95 targets). Barring injuries to others, it's highly unlikely that Agholor duplicates that level of production in 2019.
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside21.3249.21.4900033.86
One of Philadelphia's second-round picks, Arcega-Whiteside should start the season as the team's fourth receiver. A physical receiver with the ability to make tough catches, JJAW could be productive in the red zone during his rookie season.
Mack Hollins7.498.10.5200012.93
Shelton Gibson0.810.70.030001.25

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TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zach Ertz97.61034.67.32000147.38
Ertz now has four consecutive 800-yard seasons. While he has had some really productive stretches in previous seasons, the veteran tight end had a breakout season with 116 catches for 1,163 yards and eight touchdowns in 2018. At the most top-heavy fantasy position, Ertz is a consensus top-three option.
Dallas Goedert42.54424.0400068.44
Goedert had 33/334/4 as a rookie and Philadelphia's tight ends coach has described his development as "phenomenal." The presence of Ertz contains his breakout potential to a degree, but he has top-five upside if Ertz were to miss any time.
Richard Rodgers219.40.160002.9

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