Sunday, October 15, 2017

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

A trend continues as the Patriots-Jets finds its way into Dan Yanotchko's Week 6 picks. Earlier, Sean Beazley picked the Patriots and John Trifone took the Jets and the points.

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With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 6 NFL picks against the spread:

New England Patriots -9.5 over New York Jets (4 Units)

The Patriots certainly have not looked like the team most experts though would dominate the season wire to wire, but this is the game that I think they will just blow the opponent off of the field. The Jets are a great story at 3-2, but of course, they have beaten Jacksonville, Cleveland, and Miami. When the Jets played a quality team in Oakland, they were throttled 40-25.

This will be another game where the Patriots defense improves, and will be able to hold the Jets in check for the day. Also, since there has been some concern about the hits Tom Brady has taken, look for a big day by Mike Gillislee, who gets a defense that allows 143 yards rushing per game and 4.6 yards per carry. I think there is just too much firepower here for the Pats, and they are looking to put the defensive struggles behind them and will crush the Jets.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (3 Units)

It's been a rough week for Pittsburgh, as they have just been surrounded by controversy, and of course having Ben Roethlisberger throw five picks and only put up nine points on Jacksonville doesn't help at all either. You just can't read too much into one game and this is where the Steelers excel in bouncing back after a tough week. Pittsburgh always plays Kansas City tough, as they are 3-1 in their last four against the spread when playing the Chiefs.

I have a feeling that this will be a very back-and-forth game, and while the Chiefs are the best offensive team in the league, they do have holes on defense. The Steelers can attack a weak KC secondary that allows 248 yards passing per game, and they have also allowed nine touchdowns on the year. I think the Steelers will be throwing a lot to catchup, and I will take the points on the road here.

Denver Broncos -12 over New York Giants (4 Units)

I am not sure what else to say about the Giants season other than it has been a complete and absolute train wreck, and it just keeps getting worse. How is this for a scenario, you just lost your All-Pro wide receiver for the year, and you also had three other wide receivers go down with injury in the last game as well. Your offensive line cannot block very well, and now you have to travel to Denver to play possibly the best defense in the league who just happen to be coming off of a bye.

Since the Giants are missing their wide receivers, you would think they would try to go run heavy. The only problem with that strategy is that the Broncos only allow 50.8 yards rushing per game and 2.4 yards per carry. It will be a long night in Denver, and I just don't see the Giants competing in this contest.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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