Sunday, November 19, 2017

Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 11 NFL picks against the spread:

New York Giants +10 over Kansas City Chiefs (4 Units)

The Giants have been pretty much an embarrassment all this year and after last week's debacle in San Francisco, how could it be worse? This is one of the pick-yourself-up-off-the-mat type of games where you play for pride, and you have to think that the Giants will bring it at home. We all know that the Chiefs defense is very suspect. The Chiefs give up 131.1 yards rushing per game and 4.8 yards per carry. They have also allowed 259 yards per game through the air and 16 passing touchdowns as well. This in one of those games where the Giants will always be in striking distance of the lead. Even if they do not win this game outright, they will certainly be within 10 points.

New England Patriots -7.5 over Oakland Raiders (5 Units)

This game looked quite tantalizing from the beginning of the year based on last year's records, but it looks like the Raiders have slipped quite a bit this year. The Patriots had been looking shoddy on defense, but they have certainly righted the ship lately, as they have not allowed a team over 17 points in their last four games. The Raiders have been really bad on defense, and the last thing that they need is Tom Brady to come and pick them apart. The Raiders have a really bad pass defense, as they have allowed 245 yards passing per game and 14 touchdowns on the year. They really do not pressure the quarterback as they only have 13 sacks, and they have not even had one interception yet this year. Add Mexico City to the list of places that Tom Brady has won, as the Patriots will take care of business vs. the Raiders by two-plus touchdowns.

Atlanta Falcons +2 over Seattle Seahawks (3 Units)

I really don't think that any other team in the league has had worse total news that the Seahawks in the last two weeks, unless you count the Cowboys, but we all knew Ezekiel Elliott was getting suspended anyway. The Seahawks are missing two members of the Leigon of Boom for the year in Richard Sherman (Achilles) and Kam Chancellor (neck). And of course, don't forget that Russell Wilson had a concussion last week. The Falcons are finally starting to get on track for the year, and I just feel that they are a tough matchup for the Seahawks, as they smoked them in the playoffs last year 36-20. The Falcons will be able to put pressure on that weak Seattle line, as they have collected 26 sacks on the year, and they only allow 198 yards passing per game to opposing quarterbacks. Seattle just isn't the home field advantage it was and I will gladly take the points here.


- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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