Sunday, May 6, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Houston Texans

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.



Deshaun Watson458.6288.9371529.414.773.9480.43.73.5300.04
Offensive line woes and lack of experience did not slow Watson down as a rookie. Unfortunately, an ACL tear did. Before the injury, however, Watson finished with the most or second-most fantasy points in each of his final four games and eclipsed the 30-point mark in three of those four outings. Expectations are high entering season two, but he has legitimate QB1 upside for 2018 if he can stay healthy for a full season.
Brandon Weeden35.322.92541.11.12.2700.112.86
Joe Webb10.15.1590.30.46.743.

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Running Backs


Lamar Miller161.3661.33.232.2273.72.60.5127.3
Miller has two 1,000-yard seasons since 2014, but he was even less efficient in 2017 (career-low 3.7 YPC) than he was in 2016 (4.0). The Texans have one of the league's worst offensive lines (actually the worst if you go by PFF rankings) and the line won't be markedly better in 2018. Even more troubling for Miller, D'Onta Foreman could eventually emerge as the primary back with Miller serving more of a complementary passing-down type of role.
D'Onta Foreman156.8658.66.39.5760.31.2110.66
Foreman's rookie season was cut short due to an Achilles injury. Assuming he's ready for the start of the season, Foreman should at least form a committee with Lamar Miller and it's certainly possible that he handles the larger share of the split by season's end.
Alfred Blue29.1104.80.45.841.20.30.418
Jay Prosch2.
Tyler Ervin2.27.705.326.

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Wide Receivers


DeAndre Hopkins101.61432.68.60001192.86
Leading the NFL in receiving touchdowns (13) last season, Hopkins now has four seasons with 75-plus catches and three seasons with 1,200-plus yards through his age-25 season. With a league-high 174 targets last season, Hopkins had 35-percent target share in 10 of 15 games and double-digit targets 11 times. As the focal point of Houston's offense, he arguably has the highest floor among all receivers in the league. A model of consistency, Hopkins had 70-plus yards and/or a touchdown (plus) in all 15 games last year.
Will Fuller43.5635.15.24.521.60194.87
The Texans scored 30.71 (real) points per game with Deshaun Watson under center; only 13.67 without him. As you'd expect, the games that Fuller played with Watson were much better than those without him. Both were on the field together for just four games, but Fuller scored seven touchdowns in those four games! Durability is a concern for both as Fuller has missed multiple games in both seasons and Watson is returning from a torn ACL, but there is plenty of upside for Fuller if both maintain good health in 2018.
Bruce Ellington19.4221.
Braxton Miller19.6160.714.51800.323.27
Keke Coutee7.61140.80000.315.6
Sammie Coates2.5400.40000.16.2
DeAndrew White1.5210.100002.7

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Tight Ends


Stephen Anderson17.7221.31.40000.130.33
Anderson played 15 games last season and set career highs with 25 receptions for 342 yards. With less than 20 yards in nine of those 15 games, Anderson has more upside than Griffin, but neither tight end is much more than a streaming option. On a positive note, Houston's tight ends have the league's most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule.
Ryan Griffin19.4203.71.20000.227.17
Griffin has averaged 20-something yards per game in each of the past three seasons. With C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussions) retiring, it's possible that Griffin sets a career-high per-game average but I wouldn't expect a significant jump.
Jordan Akins4.650.60.30000.16.66

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