The Daily Blitz: Will Fuller

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.1	4009.9	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	267.31
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	311.5	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	26.52

Tua Tagovailoa: Even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well, it wasn't a huge surprise to see the Dolphins install Tagovailoa as its starter given his top-five draft pedigree. It is much less common for a coaching stuff to bench a rookie starter multiple times, however.

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder (outside of ownership pushing for Deshaun Watson) and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

Tua Tagovailoa just exhibited off-balance, late-developing play arm whip on a laser to Hunter Long. Different dude out there right now than what we saw as a rookie.
— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) August 4, 2021

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	188.5	782.3	4.62	47.5	363	2.3	179.8
Salvon Ahmed	90.9	386.3	2.5	24.4	179.3	0.9	89.16
Malcolm Brown	100	405	3.5	16.2	125.3	0.7	86.33

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be productive and Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021. There is concern, however, that the team's other backs Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed could become a thorn in the side of those that roster Gaskin.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games last season. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Both Ahmed and Brown are upside dart throws late in drafts that could pay huge dividends later.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jaylen Waddle	67.2	853.5	4.6	3.6	22	0.07	149.17
Will Fuller	61.6	847	4.8	0	0	0	144.3
DeVante Parker	62.9	790.8	4.5	0	0	0	137.53
Preston Williams	15.6	200.9	1.4	0	0	0	36.29
Albert Wilson	7.5	79.9	0.5	1.1	6.3	0	15.37
Jakeem Grant	3.3	34.6	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.5
Mack Hollins	1.7	21.6	0.1	0	0	0	3.61

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Waddle, Will Fuller and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the prior season. All signs point to significant improvement from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but increased competition for targets from Fuller and Waddle puts a cap on Parker's upside.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.3	602.8	3.6	108.53
Hunter Long	12.5	125.3	0.8	23.58
Durham Smythe	7.7	64.8	0.5	13.33
Cethan Carter	3.5	32.4	0.2	6.19

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook, but he's still a fringe TE1.

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Saturday, August 7, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.7	3982.4	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	266.21
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	307.1	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	26.34

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

Tua Tagovailoa just exhibited off-balance, late-developing play arm whip on a laser to Hunter Long. Different dude out there right now than what we saw as a rookie.
— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) August 4, 2021

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	209.1	867.8	5.12	48.2	375.3	2.4	193.53
Salvon Ahmed	90.9	386.3	2.5	24.1	175.9	0.9	88.67
Malcolm Brown	65.9	266.9	2.31	12.5	87.9	0.5	58.59
Gerrid Doaks	5.5	22.8	0.14	0	0	0	3.12

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be highly productive and the Dolphins were unable to draft one of the top three backs in the 2021 NFL Draft. While I currently project a first-round running back to the Dolphins in my early 2022 NFL Mock Draft, Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021 and he has the potential to vastly exceed his current ADP with good health.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Ahmed is a late-round target with the potential to pay huge dividends.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	62.7	851.5	4.8	0	0	0	145.3
Jaylen Waddle	65.4	825.7	4.5	3.6	22	0.07	144.89
DeVante Parker	61.7	772.1	4.4	0	0	0	134.46
Preston Williams	15.6	199.5	1.4	0	0	0	36.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.	10.6	102.9	0.5	6.8	25.8	0.14	22.01
Jakeem Grant	3.3	34.3	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.47
Albert Wilson	2.7	27.9	0.2	1.1	6.3	0	5.97
Malcolm Perry	1.7	17.2	0.1	1.1	4.1	0.01	3.64

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace. Signing with the Dolphins lowers Fuller's upside with the corresponding downgrade at quarterback from Deshaun Watson to Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle (as does Fuller) provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Fuller, Waddle and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.4	598.4	3.6	108.14
Hunter Long	12.5	124.4	0.8	23.49
Durham Smythe	7.7	64.3	0.5	13.28
Cethan Carter	3.5	32.2	0.2	6.17

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Saturday, July 24, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.7	3927.5	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	264.01
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	293.7	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	25.81

Tua Tagovailoa: It was somewhat of an unusual rookie season for Tagovailoa. It wasn't necessarily a surprise that they switched to their top-five pick after the bye with Ryan Fitzpatrick playing well, but it's less common to pull a rookie starter multiple times. With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle and signed Will Fuller V to a one-year deal.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	216	896.4	5.29	48.2	398.9	2.4	199.77
Salvon Ahmed	86.4	367.2	2.38	24.1	158.3	0.9	84.28
Malcolm Brown	63.7	258	2.23	12.5	95	0.5	57.93
Gerrid Doaks	4.5	18.7	0.11	0	0	0	2.53

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	62.7	833.7	4.8	0	0	0	143.52
Jaylen Waddle	65.6	793.6	4.5	4.5	27.5	0.09	142.45
DeVante Parker	61.7	759.8	4.4	0	0	0	133.23
Preston Williams	15.4	200.5	1.4	0	0	0	36.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.	10.6	105.5	0.5	6.8	25.8	0.14	22.27
Jakeem Grant	3.3	35.9	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.63
Albert Wilson	2.7	29.5	0.2	1.1	6.3	0	6.13
Malcolm Perry	1.7	19	0.1	1.1	4.1	0.01	3.82

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the previous season. While Tua Tagovailoa should improve in his second season, the addition of Fuller and Waddle to a defensive-minded team means Parker's 2020 numbers (63/793/4) should be considered more of his baseline than his 2019 numbers (72/1,202/9).

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.4	591	3.6	107.4
Hunter Long	12.5	118.2	0.8	22.87
Durham Smythe	7.7	54.9	0.5	12.34
Cethan Carter	3.5	27.4	0.2	5.69

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Saturday, November 21, 2020

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Tee Higgins is listed below as a "start" for Week 11. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 11 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

Then again, Higgins may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own Davante Adams, Terry McLaurin and Higgins, you should start Adams and McLaurin and, in turn, bench Higgins if you only start two receivers.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 11 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (vs. DAL)

In a difficult matchup against the Chicago Bears, Jefferson had eight receptions for 135 yards on 10 targets in Week 10. The rookie now has four 100-yard games this season. On the season, he now has 42 catches for 762 yards and three touchdowns and the 15th-most fantasy points (half-PPR scoring).

While he may not reach the 100-yard milestone for a fifth time, Jefferson, Adam Thielen and the team's wideouts get a favorable matchup in Week 11. The Dallas Cowboys have allowed wide receivers to score the fifth-most fantasy points per game this season. While Dallas hasn't bled fantasy points in the same fashion as earlier in the season, they are the only team to allow multiple wide receivers (three times) to finish as the weekly WR1 this season.

Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers (at JAX)

There are a lot of mouths to feed in the Steelers offense, but Claypool, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson all rank inside our top-15 fantasy wide receivers for the week. While it may be rare for a team's receiving corps to have three different receivers finish that high in the same week, they all finished as a top-12 wideouts last week.

Against the Cincinnati Bengals last week, Claypool had 4/56/2 on 10 targets to score 19.3 fantasy points (WR8). The second-round pick from Notre Dame now has at least nine targets in three consecutive games. In addition, Claypool has scored double-digit fantasy points in three consecutive games and five of his past six.

The Steelers are double-digit favorites and have one of the week's highest implied totals. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Will Fuller, Houston Texans (vs. NE)

Facing heavy winds in Cleveland, Houston's passing offense -- ranked eighth in the NFL in yards per game (266.6) -- came to a screaching halt last week. Before that game, however, Fuller had scored in six consecutive games. During that six-game stretch, Fuller reached the 100-yard mark three times as well.

Over the past two weeks, the New England Patriots have faced the (read with a sarcastic tone) explosive passing attacks of the New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens. Ranking 31st (Ravens) and 32nd (Jets) in the NFL, the two teams average 184.1 and 167.1 passing yards per game, respectively, this season. That said, the Patriots allowed a total of five combined touchdowns to those teams' wide receivers over the past two weeks combined.

Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals (at WAS)

Another week, another productive outing for Higgins. The second-round rookie from Clemson had 7/115/1 against the Steelers last week to finish the week as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver. Higgins now has a minimum of 62 yards in six consecutive games and an average of 88.0 per game over that span. Over his past four games, Higgins has finished as fantasy's WR12, WR16, WR27 and WR10, respectively. While Washington has limited opposing receivers to the third-fewest fantasy points this season, Cincinnati's rookie remains a viable weekly WR2 regardless of matchup.

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns (vs. PHI)

Even without Odell Beckham, who's out for the season, Landry has been dealing with his own nagging injuries and unable to capitalize on his role as the team's clear-cut WR1. Yet to score a touchdown this season, Landry hasn't exceeded five receptions in any game this year either. In addition, Landry has 52 yards or less in seven of his past eight games. Over the past four weeks, Landry has finished as fantasy's WR51, WR50, WR45 and WR63, respectively. Keep him on your bench this week as well.

Antonio Brown, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. LAR)

Not at the same level as Brown's former team, the Bucs had three top-30 wide receivers in Week 10 -- Mike Evans (WR15), Chris Godwin (WR25) and Brown (WR30). While shutdown corner Jalen Ramsey may shadow Evans more than any other Bucs receiver this week, the Rams have allowed a league-low fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this season. In fact, the team has allowed only two top-30 receivers all season -- Amari Cooper (WR23, Week 1) and Deebo Samuel (WR14, Week 6). They allowed only three other receivers to finish inside the top 36 in a given week -- Cole Beasley (WR31, Week 3), Stefon Diggs (WR32, Week 3) and Tyler Lockett (WR33, Week 10).

Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens (vs. TEN)

Playing at less than 100 percent as a rookie, many felt that Brown would provide his fantasy owners with a second-year breakout now that he was healthy. Instead, he's disappointed his fantasy owners with mostly duds week to week. In half-PPR scoring, Brown currently ranks as fantasy's WR50. Since Week 2, he has finished as a top-36 wide receiver only once (WR16 in Week 5). Over the past three weeks, Brown has a total of six catches for 55 yards and a touchdown and has finished as the weekly WR47, WR70 and WR80, respectively.

A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals (at WAS)

As noted above, the matchup against Washington Football Team is a difficult one for wide receivers. While we trust Higgins (and Tyler Boyd too), the team's former No. 1 receiver is way down in our weekly rankings. Green had a two-game stretch (Weeks 6 and 7) where he parlayed 24 total targets into a 15/178/0 line. Since then, he's been virtually invisible -- 2/19 on 10 targets in the past two weeks combined, which includes a Week 10 goose egg.

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Saturday, September 5, 2020

Houston Texans 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deshaun Watson	503.6	339.9	3953.3	25.94	12.59	82.2	431.6	4.73	308.25
Not only was he dominant in his partial (six starts) rookie season, but Watson finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in both of his full seasons (2018 and 2019). The loss of DeAndre Hopkins in addition to the durability concerns of Will Fuller IV and Brandin Cooks could threaten his ability to yield another top-four campaign for his fantasy owners in 2020.
A.J. McCarron	35	19.8	229.3	1.23	0.95	2.1	2.1	0.02	12.52

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
David Johnson	228.5	902.6	6.28	35.4	309.8	2.12	171.64
Making his tour around the NFL, Carlos Hyde eclipsed the 1,000-yard milestone in his lone season (2019) in Houston and finished as fantasy's RB27 (half-PPR). As bad as David Johnson was in Arizona last year, it's reasonable to expect him to outproduce Hyde, especially given Bill O'Brien's propensity to feed his lead back a healthy workload.
Duke Johnson	81.1	365	1.42	46.1	419.5	1.73	97.35
While he's always been efficient on his touches (4.4 career YPC and 9.2 Y/R), Johnson averaged only 7.94 touches per game in his first season with the Texans. On a positive note, James White (315) and Christian McCaffrey (303) are the only two running backs with more receptions than Johnson (279) since he entered the league in 2015. Better in PPR formats, Johnson has finished as a top-30 PPR running back in four of five seasons including 2019 (RB29).
Buddy Howell	21.4	81.3	0.21	0	0	0	9.39
Cullen Gillaspia	1.1	3.1	0.03	0.9	6.1	0.02	1.22

MORE: Houston Texans 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	60.6	857.5	6.06	0	0	0	122.11
As the saying goes, "the best ability is availability." Fuller has played 42 games in four NFL seasons and has missed at least five games in three consecutive years, but head coach Bill O'Brien recently said of Fuller that he's "excited about having him for 16 games. He looks as good as he's ever looked." If he's able to stay healthy, few players can match his ability to explode for a 150/3 line in any given week and trading (read: giving) away DeAndre Hopkins should lead to a more consistent volume of targets, when healthy.
Brandin Cooks	59.3	827.2	4.89	7.5	45.8	0.3	118.44
See Fuller IV, Will. Cooks has an extensive concussion history, which is worrisome (on many levels), but there is upside if he can stay healthy. Cooks gets a quarterback upgrade and will likely have less competition for target share compared to his situation with the Rams. Before last year’s disappointment, the 26-year-old receiver had four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.
Randall Cobb	45	551.3	3.38	3.2	18.7	0.06	77.64
While Cobb set a non-rookie low in receptions per game (3.7), the slot receiver averaged a career-high 15.1 yards per reception in his lone campaign in Dallas. Heading south to Houston, Cobb won't be drafted in many standard-sized leagues, but the durability question marks ahead of him on the depth chart boost his chance of becoming a popular waiver-wire add at some point during the season.
Kenny Stills	25	348.8	2.38	0	0	0	49.16
DeAndre Carter	7.3	83.6	0.37	0	0	0	10.58
Isaiah Coulter	4.2	48.3	0.25	0	0	0	6.33

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Darren Fells	33.2	333.7	3.24	0	0	0	52.81
By setting a career high in touchdowns (seven), Fells nearly finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end in 2019. The classic touchdown-or-bust tight end, Fells had more games with two yards or less (four) than he had with 30 yards or more (three).
Jordan Akins	30.2	336.7	1.89	0	0	0	45.01
Kahale Warring	6.3	64.3	0.38	0	0	0	8.71
Jordan Thomas	3.7	38.1	0.31	0	0	0	5.67

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Monday, August 17, 2020

Houston Texans Fantasy Football Projections 2020

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deshaun Watson	503.6	339.9	3953.3	25.94	12.59	82.2	431.6	4.73	308.25
Not only was he dominant in his partial (six starts) rookie season, but Watson finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in both of his full seasons (2018 and 2019). The loss of DeAndre Hopkins in addition to the durability concerns of Will Fuller IV and Brandin Cooks poses a threat to his ability to yield another top-four campaign for his fantasy owners in 2020.
A.J. McCarron	35	19.8	229.3	1.23	0.95	2.1	2.1	0.02	12.52

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
David Johnson	222	876.9	6.11	36.4	322.1	2.18	169.64
Making his tour around the NFL, Carlos Hyde eclipsed the 1,000-yard milestone in his lone season (2019) in Houston and finished as fantasy's RB27 (half-PPR). As bad as David Johnson was in Arizona, it's reasonable to expect him to outproduce Hyde, especially given Bill O'Brien's propensity to feed his lead back a healthy workload.
Duke Johnson	85.4	384.3	1.49	48.1	440.1	1.8	102.18
While he's always been efficient on his touches (4.4 career YPC and 9.2 Y/R), Johnson averaged only 7.94 touches per game in his first season with the Texans. On a positive note, James White (315) and Christian McCaffrey (303) are the only two running backs with more receptions than Johnson (279) since he entered the league in 2015. Better in PPR formats, Johnson has finished as a top-30 PPR running back in four of five seasons including 2019 (RB29).
Buddy Howell	14.9	56.6	0.15	0	0	0	6.56
Karan Higdon	8.5	35.7	0.13	0	0	0	4.35
Cullen Gillaspia	1.1	3.1	0.03	0.9	6.1	0.02	1.22

MORE: Houston Texans 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	60.2	851.8	6.02	0	0	0	121.3
As the saying goes, "the best ability is availability." Fuller has played 42 games in four NFL seasons and has missed at least five games in three consecutive years, but head coach Bill O'Brien recently said of Fuller that he's "excited about having him for 16 games. He looks as good as he's ever looked." If he's able to stay healthy, few players can match his ability to explode for a 150/3 line in any given week and trading (read: giving) away DeAndre Hopkins should lead to a more consistent volume of targets, when healthy.
Brandin Cooks	57.7	810.7	4.76	7.5	45.8	0.3	116.01
See Fuller IV, Will. Cooks has an extensive concussion history, which is worrisome (on many levels), but there is upside if he can stay healthy. Cooks gets a quarterback upgrade and will likely have less competition for target share compared to his situation with the Rams. Before last year’s disappointment, the 26-year-old receiver had four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.
Randall Cobb	45	551.3	3.38	3.2	18.7	0.06	77.64
While Cobb set a non-rookie low in receptions per game (3.7), the slot receiver averaged a career-high 15.1 yards per reception in his lone campaign in Dallas. Heading south to Houston, Cobb won't be drafted in many standard-sized leagues, but the durability question marks ahead of him on the depth chart boost his chance of becoming a popular waiver-wire add at some point during the season.
Kenny Stills	25	351.3	2.38	0	0	0	49.41
DeAndre Carter	7.3	83.6	0.37	0	0	0	10.58
Isaiah Coulter	4.2	47.9	0.25	0	0	0	6.29

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Darren Fells	33.2	333.7	3.24	0	0	0	52.81
By setting a career high in touchdowns (seven), Fells nearly finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end in 2019. The classic touchdown-or-bust tight end, Fells had more games with two yards or less (four) than he had with 30 yards or more (three).
Jordan Akins	29.3	328.2	1.76	0	0	0	43.38
Kahale Warring	6.3	64.3	0.38	0	0	0	8.71
Jordan Thomas	4.6	47.4	0.39	0	0	0	7.08

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Sunday, June 23, 2019

Houston Texans 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deshaun Watson	551.3	369.4	4548.2	27.57	12.4	81.8	441.7	3.68	333.66
Watson's TD% regressed to a more normal 5.1% (from 9.3% as a rookie), but Watson stayed healthy for a full season and finished as fantasy's QB4 in 2018. Watson threw for 4,165 yards and 26 touchdowns and added 551 rushing yards and five more scores on the ground. If both Will Fuller and Keke Coutee are able to stay healthy, Watson has one of the best trios of receivers at his disposal.
A.J. McCarron	11.3	7	76.8	0.4	0.23	2.3	1.2	0.01	4.39

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RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Miller	210.4	925.8	5.26	36.2	260.6	1.45	158.9
Miller was more efficient in 2018 (4.6 YPC) than he was in either of his first two seasons (4.0 in 2016 and 3.7 in 2017) in Houston. If D'Onta Foreman (Achilles) stays healthy, it's possible that Miller sees a year-over-year dip in workload even though he figures to enter the season as the 1 or 1(a) to Foreman's 1(b) or 2.
D'Onta Foreman	149.6	643.3	4.49	15.8	142.2	0.79	110.23
Last year, I outgained Foreman by one rushing yard as the 235-pound back missed virtually all of 2018 and lost one yard on his seven carries. Feeling much better now, Foreman's battle to overtake Miller could be categorized more like a slight incline than an uphill battle.
Josh Ferguson	11.7	44.5	0.18	4.2	27.3	0.04	8.5
Karan Higdon	4.7	20.2	0.07	2	14.2	0.04	4.1
Buddy Howell	1.2	4.8	0.01	0	0	0	0.54

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WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
DeAndre Hopkins	112.2	1570.8	10.38	0	0	0	219.36
Hopkins said that he was the "most banged up I've ever been playing football," but Hopkins set career highs in receptions (115) and yards (1,572) and scored 11 touchdowns. Despite not always having good quarterback play, which he has now with Deshaun Watson, Hopkins has at least 95 catches, 1,375 yards and 11 touchdowns in three of his past four seasons.
Will Fuller	54.9	845.5	6.59	2.3	11.5	0.05	125.54
As the saying goes, the best ability is availability. Unavailable in more than half of the team's games, Fuller has played in just 14, 10 and seven games, respectively, in his first three NFL seasons. Playing in only 11 total games with Deshaun Watson, Fuller has 45 catches for 782 yards and 11 touchdowns in those 11 games. Extrapolating that per-game pace over 16 games, Fuller would have a stat line of 65/1,137/16.
Keke Coutee	62	682	3.1	1.2	6	0.01	87.46
Playing in just seven regular-season and postseason games combined, Coutee ended his rookie season (11/110/1 on 14 targets) similar to how he started it (11/109 on 15 targets) -- both games against the Colts. If he stays healthy, Coutee could be poised for a breakout season.
DeAndre Carter	14.6	147.5	0.58	0	0	0	18.23
Vyncint Smith	7.6	106.4	0.76	0	0	0	15.2

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TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Jordan Thomas	28.1	303.5	2.81	47.21
Kahale Warring	20.7	252.5	1.66	35.21
Jordan Akins	20.5	235.8	1.44	32.22
Darren Fells	15	160.5	1.8	26.85

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Tuesday, August 21, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Houston Texans

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

Quarterbacks

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Deshaun Watson	478.4	298.5	3803	29.2	14.8	72.7	450.7	3.5	3.5	298.39
Offensive line woes and lack of experience did not slow Watson down as a rookie. Unfortunately, an ACL tear did. Before the injury, however, Watson finished with the most or second-most fantasy points in each of his final four games and eclipsed the 30-point mark in three of those four outings. Expectations are sky high entering season two and regression is inevitable, but he has legitimate QB1 upside if he can stay healthy for a full season.
Brandon Weeden	36.4	23.7	262	1.1	1.1	2.4	7.7	0	0.1	13.25
Joe Webb	5.2	2.6	30	0.2	0.2	7.1	46.2	0.1	0.1	7.37

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Running Backs

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Lamar Miller	199.5	827.9	5.4	34.6	294.1	2.8	0.5	160.4
Miller has two 1,000-yard seasons since 2014, but he was even less efficient in 2017 (career-low 3.7 YPC) than he was in 2016 (4.0). The Texans have one of the league's worst offensive lines (actually the worst if you go by PFF rankings) and the line won't be markedly better in 2018. On a positive note, Miller has shed a few pounds and entered training camp at his lowest weight since signing with Houston.
D'Onta Foreman	124.5	522.9	4.7	9.8	78.4	0.3	1.2	87.73
Foreman's rookie season was cut short due to an Achilles injury and he's starting training camp on the active/PUP list. Perhaps he'll avoid the reserve/PUP list, which would require him to miss a mininum of six games, but that at least remains a possibility at this point.
Alfred Blue	54.6	202	1.1	6.7	48.2	0.3	0.4	32.62
Jay Prosch	1.9	4.8	0.1	4	32	0.2	0	5.48
Tyler Ervin	2.9	10.2	0	2.2	11	0.1	0.5	1.72

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Wide Receivers

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	FL	Points
DeAndre Hopkins	99.3	1400.1	8.4	0	0	0	0.9	188.61
Leading the NFL in receiving touchdowns (13) last season, Hopkins now has four seasons with 75-plus catches and three seasons with 1,200-plus yards through his age-25 season. With a league-high 174 targets last season, Hopkins had 35-percent target share in 10 of 15 games and double-digit targets 11 times. As the focal point of Houston's offense, he arguably has the highest floor among all receivers in the league.
Will Fuller	52.9	804.1	6.3	4.8	23	0	1	118.51
The Texans scored 30.71 (real) points per game with Deshaun Watson under center; only 13.67 without him. As you'd expect, the games that Fuller played with Watson were much better than those without him. Both were on the field together for just four games (admittedly, an incredibly small sample size), but Fuller scored seven touchdowns in those four games! Durability is a concern for both as Fuller has missed multiple games in both seasons and Watson is returning from a torn ACL, but there is plenty of upside for Fuller if both maintain good health in 2018.
Keke Coutee	16	240	1.6	0	0	0	0.3	33
Racking up 93/1,429/10 for the Red Raiders last season, the fourth-round rookie had impressed Andre Johnson. That said, the rookie is dealing with a strained hamstring.
Bruce Ellington	22	250.8	1.3	2.4	12.5	0	1.2	31.73
Braxton Miller	14.9	122.2	0.7	4.8	19.2	0	0.3	17.74
Sammie Coates	0.5	8	0.1	0	0	0	0.1	1.2
DeAndrew White	0.3	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0.42

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Tight Ends

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Ryan Griffin	21.5	227.9	1.4	0	0	0	0.2	30.79
With C.J. Fiedorowicz retiring, the Texans drafted a pair of tight ends -- Jordan Akins and Jordan Thomas -- this year. That said, Griffin could get the most snaps at the position, but his upside is relatively limited.
Stephen Anderson	17.7	219.5	1.3	0	0	0	0.1	29.55
Anderson played 15 games last season and set career highs with 25 receptions for 342 yards. Like Griffin, Anderson isn't fantasy-relevant in 12-team leagues. On a positive note, however, Houston's tight ends have the league's most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule. If one emerges early in the season, they could become worth a pickup.
Jordan Akins	6.2	68.2	0.4	0	0	0	0.1	9.02
Jordan Thomas	1.6	16.8	0.1	0	0	0	0.1	2.08

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

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TIGHT ENDS

Saturday, August 7, 2021

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Saturday, July 24, 2021

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Saturday, November 21, 2020

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Week 11 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Saturday, September 5, 2020

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RUNNING BACKS

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TIGHT ENDS

Monday, August 17, 2020

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TIGHT ENDS

Sunday, June 23, 2019

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TIGHT ENDS

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

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