Friday, June 22, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: New England Patriots

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.



Tom Brady592386479531.49.526.336.80.32.1299.68
Wanting to play until "cuarenta y cinco," Brady will turn 41 before the start of the 2018 season yet he has shown no signs of slowing down. That said, the Patriots traded away 1,000-yard receiver Brandin Cooks and trusted slot receiver Julian Edelman returns from a torn ACL but not until Week 5 due to a PED suspension. Finishing as fantasy's QB4, Brady threw for a league-high 4,577 yards in 2017. He remains a top-five fantasy QB with the upside to lead all players in fantasy points scored in 2018.
Brian Hoyer63.8400.

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Running Backs


Rex Burkhead155.5668.77.837.2316.22.60.8159.29
Missing six games in his first season with the Patriots, Burkhead scored eight touchdowns as he rushed for 264 yards and added 30 catches for 254 yards. Even though Dion Lewis is now in Tennessee, the Patriots drafted Georgia's Sony Michel in the first round and there will still be plenty of week-to-week volatility in the production of New England's running backs. That said, I'd expect Burkhead to lead the backfield in touchdowns and we've seen LeGarrette Blount rush for 18 touchdowns only two seasons ago.
Sony Michel135.8651.84.119.7181.20.81.2110.3
Expectations would be through the roof for most running backs selected in the first round. For the Patriots, however, it's anyone's guess how the workload will be allocated in any given week. Given his draft pedigree (and talent, of course), Michel figures to be heavily involved more often than not and it wouldn't surprise me if he finished as the team's most productive fantasy back.
James White41.6172.60.851.4436.
White hauled in 56 receptions for 429 yards and three touchdowns last season after posting a 60/551/5 receiving line in 2016. With Michel added to the mix, the Patriots have a versatile group of backs, but I'd expect White to get 50 receptions for a third consecutive season.
Mike Gillislee35143.51.816.500.225.4
Jeremy Hill21.9921.10.53.700.115.97
James Develin0005.
Brandon Bolden6.625.

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Wide Receivers


Chris Hogan61.3870.57.42.612.500.1132.5
Hogan played only one regular-season game (Week 14) in the second half of the season, but he posted a 33/438/5 slash line in his first eight games. During that span, he was the WR7 in standard-scoring formats with the 13th-most on a per-game basis. Based on his current ADP, he's being drafted as a high-end WR3 but there is a plenty of profit potential provided he stays healthy for a full season.
Julian Edelman82.9928.54.16.636.30.11.3120.28
Missing all of last season with a torn ACL, Edelman is appealing his four-game suspension for the start of this season. In 2016, Edelman had 98 catches for a career-high 1,106 yards and three touchdowns. With Brandin Cooks traded to the Rams, Edelman figures to be peppered with targets when he is on the field. It wouldn't surprise me if Edelman set career highs across the board on a per-game basis.
Jordan Matthews31.43582.50000.450
Malcolm Mitchell20.3259.82.40000.239.98
Phillip Dorsett5.997.40.4000012.14
Cordarrelle Patterson3.2320.24.430.80.40.611.68
Kenny Britt5.876.60.5000010.66

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Tight Ends


Rob Gronkowski68.41101.210.30000.1171.72
There was plenty of drama about Gronk's status this offseason, but it's "likely" that he gets a re-worked contract in some way. Aside from his eight-game 2016 season, Gronk has 1,000-plus yards in three of the past four years and he has scored double-digit touchdowns in five seasons over his career.
Dwayne Allen7.985.30.8000013.33
Jacob Hollister3.3350.300005.3

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