Saturday, July 20, 2019

Kansas City Chiefs 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.




Patrick Mahomes569375.54665.832.7214.2357.2251.71.72324.54
The upside was clear, but nobody could have anticipated the level of success that Mahomes had in 2018. Not only was he named NFL Most Valuable Player in his first season as a starter, but Mahomes became the first player in league history to finish with a 5,000-yard and 50-TD season. Given the difficulty of repeating that lofty production and the incredible depth at quarterback, it's possible that Mahomes disappoints fantasy owners at his current ADP (even though he's still ranked as my QB1).
Chad Henne5.73.642.80.110.1111.50.012.14

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Damien Williams180.8795.57.555420.83.03184.81
From Week 14 through the postseason, Williams went on a scoring spree with 10 touchdowns (six rushing and four receiving) and racked up 602 scrimmage yards on 105 touches including 28 receptions. The Chiefs only added Carlos Hyde (free agency) and Darwin Thompson (sixth round) as competition this offseason so Williams will open the season as the unquestioned lead back. Assuming he maintains that role for the entire season, there is enormous upside in Kansas City's high-powered offense.
Carlos Hyde100.1405.43.516.193.40.3272.8
Hyde began last season as Cleveland's workhorse -- only Todd Gurley (129) and Ezekiel Elliott (117) had more carries through the first six weeks of the season than Hyde (114). Inefficient (3.35 YPC) on his massive workload, the Browns traded him to Jacksonville and Hyde was even less efficient there (3.26 YPC). Given that Williams lacks a workhorse track record, Hyde and rookie Darwin Thompson are both worth late-round dart throws.
Darwin Thompson36.8158.20.7421.5176.30.6541.79
A sixth-round rookie out of Utah State, Thompson has plenty of sleeper appeal in fantasy drafts this summer.
Anthony Sherman12.507.662.30.237.86
Darrel Williams270.020000.82

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Tyreek Hill66.51057.47.9814.31030.43166.5
Hill's ADP was already on the rise since June when it was reported that his suspension wouldn't be lengthy. Not only won't there be a lengthy suspension, but there won't be one at all. Among qualified players, Hill led the NFL in yards per touch (15.0) as he racked up 1,630 scrimmage yards and 14 total touchdowns -- 12 receiving, one rushing and one return. With a strong-armed, MVP-winning quarterback, few players can match Hill's weekly upside.
Sammy Watkins57.5787.85.325.138.30.05114.83
Even though Watkins has played five NFL seasons, he just recently turned 26. That said, he's had just one top-24 season (WR16, 2015) over that five-year span. A major reason for Watkins disappointing start to his career has been durability (or a lack thereof). Over the past four seasons, Watkins has missed three-plus games in three seasons with a total of 18 missed games during that span. There was some optimism with the former fourth-overall pick before it was announced that Hill won't be suspended. But even if Watkins manages to stay healthy for all of 2019, he's no better than third in line for targets.
Mecole Hardman26.3381.42.6310.271.40.2662.62
Blessed with 4.33 speed, Hardman would have been able to make more of an impact if Hill were suspended. While there could be a big game or two given the prolific offense, predicting when would be a dart throw when everyone is healthy.
Demarcus Robinson23.7305.72.3700044.79
Byron Pringle2.531.30.190004.27
Gehrig Dieter1.621.40.10002.74

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Travis Kelce96.41233.98.19000172.53
There is a good chance that Kelce finishes as fantasy's top-scoring tight end (AGAIN) as he has finished as the TE1, TE2 and TE1 over the past three seasons, respectively. Only one player had five-plus catches in 15 games last season and it was Kelce, who briefly held the single-season record for most receiving yards (1,336) for a tight end. Whether it was in the era that Rob Gronkowski was dominant or with Kelce now, I tend to balk at the steep price of an elite tight end considering its impact to roster construction.
Blake Bell8.993.50.5300012.53
Neal Sterling8.184.20.4100010.88

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