Friday, June 11, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill506.23293923.130.889.3643.9212.92.2296.21
Logan Woodside15.79.7108.30.620.319.3140.027.71

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7.

With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry359.4177916.3523.72521.9324.45
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8191.51.579.17
Jeremy McNichols31.9137.20.810.280.60.635.28
Brian Hill16720.323.430.20.215.04
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.20.25.16

Derrick Henry: The clear favorite among the top six running backs in my rankings to finish last in receptions, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.31108.69.2000206.71
Julio Jones78.71038.17.7000189.36
Josh Reynolds33.9393.13.100074.86
Dez Fitzpatrick11.91311.200026.25
Cameron Batson7.670.50.62.711.20.0515.87
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.440.30.30007.53

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers is certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser40.6453.53.300085.45
Geoff Swaim18.6181.41.400035.84
Jared Pinkney5.140.30.40008.98

Anthony Firkser: Moving up to TE1 on the depth chart now that Jonnu Smith is in New England, Firkser has some sleeper appeal. That said, he's no better than the fourth option behind running back Derrick Henry and receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player, so it's certainly possible that our projections are too conservative.

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