Showing posts with label A.J. Brown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label A.J. Brown. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Philadelphia Eagles 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Hurts495.2321.93837.822.787.43148.1725.79.26357.9
Marcus Mariota34.421.5252.81.510.8912.160.50.4823.3

Jalen Hurts: Hurts set career bests in passing — 66.5% completion, 8.0 Y/A, 4.8 TD%, 1.2 INT%, and 101.5 passer rating — in 2022. Despite his improvement as a passer, aided by the trade for A.J. Brown last offseason, it's especially the rushing production that makes him an elite fantasy quarterback. Over the past two seasons (30 games), the former Oklahoma (and Alabama) quarterback has rushed 304 times for 1,544 yards and 23 touchdowns. That's an equivalent to 9.75 fantasy points per game (from his rushing stats alone).

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
D'Andre Swift126.6582.45.3837.1286.31.5146.7
Rashaad Penny150.8731.45.816.955.20.2118.17
Kenneth Gainwell78.1343.63.1220.3149.30.882.96
Boston Scott22.997.30.927.455.20.326.27

D'Andre Swift: There's a good chance that Swift leads Philadelphia's backfield in fantasy production, as long as he stays healthy, but he has missed a minimum of three games every season in his young career. Swift is one of the league's best receiving backs with an average of 3.9 receptions per game in his career. While he'll benefit from playing in a high-powered offense and behind an elite offense line, a drop in target share is likely with Jalen Hurts (165 carries in 2022) under center. Only Chicago's running backs had fewer receptions than Philadelphia's last season.

Rashaad Penny: Through five NFL seasons, Penny has missed nearly as many games (40) as he has played (42). When healthy, however, he has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over his career and an even-better 6.2 YPC over the past two seasons (176/1095/8). Aside from durability concerns, Penny hasn't been a factor in the passing game — 36 career targets in 42 games.

Kenneth Gainwell: The Eagles will employ a committee approach to their backfield, and it's even possible that Gainwell will lead the backfield in fantasy production without factoring in health. Given the durability history of Swift and Penny, however, there is the potential that Gainwell gets even more work than anticipated.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown78.11159.77.1000197.62
DeVonta Smith82.41041.16.5000184.31
Quez Watkins25.6341.61.900058.36
Olamide Zaccheaus9.8126.80.800022.38

A.J. Brown: Brown shattered previous career highs in targets (145), receptions (88) and yards (1,496) last season and tied his career high in touchdowns (11) in his first season in Philadelphia. Even if he doesn't repeat as a top-five fantasy wide receiver, he's the 1A in this offense to Devonta Smith's 1B, and should be drafted as a top-10 receiver in 2023.

DeVonta Smith: Smith followed up a strong 2021 rookie season (64/916/5) with an even better sophomore campaign (95/1,196/7) despite the addition of A.J. Brown to the receiving corps. Brown was fantasy's WR5 (half-PPR scoring) in 2022, but Smith was also a top-10 performer last season.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dallas Goedert61.1705.64.1000125.71
Jack Stoll6.775.70.400013.32
Grant Calcaterra4.555.20.30009.57
Albert Okwuegbunam3.638.90.20006.89

Dallas Goedert: Goedert missed five games last season, but he still finished with 55 catches for 702 yards and three touchdowns. Despite the addition of A.J. Brown, Goedert's 58.5 YPG average was a career high and he had 60-plus yards in eight of 12 games. In addition, he had a minimum of three catches in all but one game last season.

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Friday, August 25, 2023

Philadelphia Eagles 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Hurts495.2321.93837.822.787.43148.1725.79.26357.9
Marcus Mariota34.421.5252.81.510.8912.160.50.4823.3

Jalen Hurts: Hurts set career bests in passing — 66.5% completion, 8.0 Y/A, 4.8 TD%, 1.2 INT%, and 101.5 passer rating — in 2022. Despite his improvement as a passer, aided by the trade for A.J. Brown last offseason, it's especially the rushing production that makes him an elite fantasy quarterback. Over the past two seasons (30 games), the former Oklahoma (and Alabama) quarterback has rushed 304 times for 1,544 yards and 23 touchdowns. That's an equivalent to 9.75 fantasy points per game (from his rushing stats alone).

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
D'Andre Swift126.6582.45.3837.1286.31.5146.7
Rashaad Penny150.8738.95.816.955.20.2118.92
Kenneth Gainwell78.1343.63.1220.3149.30.882.96
Boston Scott22.997.30.927.959.30.326.93

D'Andre Swift: There's a good chance that Swift leads Philadelphia's backfield in fantasy production, as long as he stays healthy, but he has missed a minimum of three games every season in his young career. Swift is one of the league's best receiving backs with an average of 3.9 receptions per game in his career. While he'll benefit from playing in a high-powered offense and behind an elite offense line, a drop in target share is likely with Jalen Hurts (165 carries in 2022) under center. Only Chicago's running backs had fewer receptions than Philadelphia's last season.

Rashaad Penny: Through five NFL seasons, Penny has missed nearly as many games (40) as he has played (42). When healthy, however, he has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over his career and an even-better 6.2 YPC over the past two seasons (176/1095/8). Aside from durability concerns, Penny hasn't been a factor in the passing game — 36 career targets in 42 games.

Kenneth Gainwell: The Eagles will employ a committee approach to their backfield, and it's even possible that Gainwell will lead the backfield in fantasy production without factoring in health. Given the durability history of Swift and Penny, however, there is the potential that Gainwell gets even more work than anticipated.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown76.71147.47000195.09
DeVonta Smith82.41041.16.5000184.31
Quez Watkins25.6341.6200058.96
Olamide Zaccheaus10.1130.90.800022.94
Britain Covey4.1430.20007.55

A.J. Brown: Brown shattered previous career highs in targets (145), receptions (88) and yards (1,496) last season and tied his career high in touchdowns (11) in his first season in Philadelphia. Even if he doesn't repeat as a top-five fantasy wide receiver, he's the 1A in this offense to Devonta Smith's 1B, and should be drafted as a top-10 receiver in 2023.

DeVonta Smith: Smith followed up a strong 2021 rookie season (64/916/5) with an even better sophomore campaign (95/1,196/7) despite the addition of A.J. Brown to the receiving corps. Brown was fantasy's WR5 (half-PPR scoring) in 2022, but Smith was also a top-10 performer last season.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dallas Goedert61.1705.64000125.11
Jack Stoll6.775.70.500013.92
Grant Calcaterra4.555.20.400010.17

Dallas Goedert: Goedert missed five games last season, but he still finished with 55 catches for 702 yards and three touchdowns. His 58.5 YPG average was a career high and he had 60-plus yards in eight of 12 games. In addition, he had a minimum of three catches in all but one game last season.

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Thursday, September 1, 2022

Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Hurts520.1322.53770.722.3611.96121.4667.77.28326.8
Gardner Minshew49.933.7359.32.30.89.7310.1926.21

Jalen Hurts: Hurts threw only 16 touchdowns in 2021, but only one quarterback -- Justin Herbert (12) -- had more QB1 weekly finishes last season than Hurts (11). Hurts was tied for second with Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady and Josh Allen. His elite rushing upside (10 rushing scores in 2021) matters more than his modest passing numbers, but the trade for A.J. Brown to join Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert should lead to more prolific passing stats in 2022.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders186.9897.14.2131.2243.71.3162.74
Kenneth Gainwell78.9339.31.9727.4194.1184.86
Boston Scott74325.61.6715.7111.50.966.98
Trey Sermon14.662.10.381.812.40.111.23

Miles Sanders: Sanders has missed at least four games in back-to-back seasons and the hamstring injury that has sidelined him for the past several weeks will give fantasy managers additional pause. Over the past two seasons, however, Sanders has averaged 5.4 yards per carry on 301 rush attempts even though he's been less efficient as a receiver (6.6 Y/R, 62.8% catch rate). As his ADP continues to trend lower, it's creating an opportunity for those that draft/roster Sanders if they are "just being precautious."

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown73.41028.46.3000177.34
DeVonta Smith69.8916.95.4000158.99
Quez Watkins29.4365.5200063.25
Zach Pascal25.6313.91.900055.59

A.J. Brown: While he missed four games in 2021, Brown's 105 targets were only one shy of his career high (106, 2020). That said, he posted career lows in receiving yards (869), yards per reception (13.8), yards per target (8.3) and touchdowns (five). Going from one run-centric offense in Tennessee to another in Philadelphia means that he will boost the fantasy value for Jalen Hurts more than the other way around.

DeVonta Smith: Smith had a productive rookie season (64/916/5), but the trade for A.J. Brown limits Smith's upside and potential to make a big second-year leap. Based on talent alone, however, he remains a solid WR3 in fantasy.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dallas Goedert58.6695.94.2000124.09
Jack Stoll9.6105.30.500018.33
Grant Calcaterra7.176.40.400013.59
Tyree Jackson6.666.10.400012.31

Dallas Goedert: Zach Ertz was traded in October, and Goedert had back-to-back 100-yard games in December. If it weren't for the addition of A.J. Brown, who I project to lead the team in receiving, Goedert would be poised for another big leap forward. Even though he's third in line for targets behind Brown and last year's first-round pick Devonta Smith and Philadelphia led the NFL in rushing play percentage (49.87%) last year, Goedert is a mid-tier TE1 in fantasy.

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Sunday, July 31, 2022

Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Hurts518.7321.63786.522.311.93121.4667.77.28327.25
Gardner Minshew51.334.6369.42.360.829.7310.1926.82

Jalen Hurts: Hurts threw only 16 touchdowns in 2021, but only one quarterback -- Justin Herbert (12) -- had more QB1 weekly finishes last season than Hurts (11). Hurts was tied for second with Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady and Josh Allen. His elite rushing upside (10 rushing scores in 2021) matters more than his modest passing numbers, but the trade for A.J. Brown to join Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert should lead to more prolific passing stats in 2022.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders201.5987.44.5332.1249.41.4175.31
Kenneth Gainwell86.2370.72.1630.3228.61.295.24
Boston Scott54.6240.21.2311.693.50.650.15
Jason Huntley8.534.40.151.18.305.72

Miles Sanders: Sanders has missed at least four games in back-to-back seasons, but he's averaged 5.4 yards per carry on the 301 rush attempts he's handled over that span. He's been less effective as a receiver (6.6 Y/R, 62.8% catch rate).

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown72.310146.3000175.35
DeVonta Smith69.8908.15.5000158.71
Quez Watkins23.9299.21.700052.07
Zach Pascal22.6274.31.800049.53
Greg Ward Jr.8.599.70.600017.82
Jalen Reagor6.887.30.53.614.80.0917.15

A.J. Brown: While he missed four games in 2021, Brown's 105 targets were only one shy of his career high (106, 2020). That said, he posted career lows in receiving yards (869), yards per reception (13.8), yards per target (8.3) and touchdowns (five). Going from one run-centric offense in Tennessee to another in Philadelphia means that he will boost the fantasy value for Jalen Hurts more than the other way around.

DeVonta Smith: Smith had a productive rookie season (64/916/5), but the trade for A.J. Brown limits Smith's upside and potential to make a big second-year leap.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Dallas Goedert57685.74.2000122.27
Jack Stoll7.7790.400014.15
Tyree Jackson6.666.50.300011.75
Grant Calcaterra6.162.30.300011.08

Dallas Goedert: Zach Ertz was traded in October, and Goedert had back-to-back 100-yard games in December. If it weren't for the addition of A.J. Brown, who I project to lead the team in receiving, Goedert would be poised for another big leap forward. Even though he clearly tops the team's depth chart at tight end, Goedert is a mid-tier TE1 given the team's run-first offense and the fact that both Brown and last year's first-round pick Devonta Smith are in front of Goedert in the target pecking order.

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Monday, September 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.6325.43904.729.799.2644.8217.32.24292
Logan Woodside26.316.2181.51.040.537.911.90.0211.67

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5624.8185.91.8289.81
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8147.11.578.08
Jeremy McNichols32.2138.50.815.544.90.327.75
Mekhi Sargent31.1132.20.7542.90.326.01
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.40.25.03

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: Unfortunately, Evans (knee) will begin 2021 on IR. Once he returns, however, he offers the offense a change-of-pace option to Henry

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.81160.59000211.45
Julio Jones79.41093.17.6000194.61
Josh Reynolds32.5400.42.900073.69
Cameron Batson10.6116.50.82.610.80.0523.13
Chester Rogers7.277.60.600014.96
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine4.353.10.40009.86
Racey McMath1.520.40.20003.99

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a solid WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser44.4498.53.600093.65
Geoff Swaim18.81881.400036.6
Tommy Hudson3.638.80.30007.48

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill505.9328.83971.330.869.3644.8217.32.24298.74
Matt Barkley21.112.9156.10.840.637.9-407.94

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5623.1183.71.8288.74
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8150.71.679.04
Brian Hill52.7237.21.057.757.80.542.65
Jeremy McNichols10.545.20.264.3330.212.73
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.60.25.05

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work. Being second on the depth chart of such a run-heavy team, however, makes Evans worth a late-round dart throw whether you're handcuffing Henry or not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.91170.19.3000214.26
Julio Jones80.31108.27.9000198.37
Josh Reynolds31.6394.22.900072.62
Dez Fitzpatrick12152.71.200028.47
Cameron Batson7.784.60.62.610.80.0517.29
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.443.30.30007.83

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser43.6493.23.600092.72
Geoff Swaim15.4148.61.100029.16
Jared Pinkney5.151.60.400010.11
Luke Stocker3.437.10.30007.21

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

More Tennessee Titans pages:

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Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) like us on Facebook and/or (3) subscribe to our newsletter.

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.9325.6388230.559.2745.3219.72.27294.53
DeShone Kizer20.912.9141.10.780.528440.414.52

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry351.41721.915.8123.7191.11.9309.41
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8144.81.574.5
Brian Hill39.9179.60.87.656.30.535.19
Jeremy McNichols1668.80.45.944.30.318.46
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.10.25.15

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.21130.59.2000208.85
Julio Jones78.71062.17.7000191.76
Josh Reynolds32.2396.32.900073.13
Dez Fitzpatrick11.8148.91.200027.99
Cameron Batson7.684.50.52.711.20.0516.67
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.444.30.30007.93

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds will become a waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser42.3472.73.400088.82
Geoff Swaim18.61811.400035.8
Jared Pinkney5.146.30.40009.58

Anthony Firkser: Moving to top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Friday, June 11, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill506.23293923.130.889.3643.9212.92.2296.21
Logan Woodside15.79.7108.30.620.319.3140.027.71

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7.

With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry359.4177916.3523.72521.9324.45
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8191.51.579.17
Jeremy McNichols31.9137.20.810.280.60.635.28
Brian Hill16720.323.430.20.215.04
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.20.25.16

Derrick Henry: The clear favorite among the top six running backs in my rankings to finish last in receptions, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.31108.69.2000206.71
Julio Jones78.71038.17.7000189.36
Josh Reynolds33.9393.13.100074.86
Dez Fitzpatrick11.91311.200026.25
Cameron Batson7.670.50.62.711.20.0515.87
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.440.30.30007.53

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers is certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser40.6453.53.300085.45
Geoff Swaim18.6181.41.400035.84
Jared Pinkney5.140.30.40008.98

Anthony Firkser: Moving up to TE1 on the depth chart now that Jonnu Smith is in New England, Firkser has some sleeper appeal. That said, he's no better than the fourth option behind running back Derrick Henry and receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player, so it's certainly possible that our projections are too conservative.

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Monday, May 17, 2021

Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 20 Fantasy WRs for 2021

FantasyPros tracks fantasy football rankings accuracy and Kevin Hanson's 2020 rankings were 9th-most accurate (among 149 experts tracked). Hanson has now finished top 20 in accuracy six times since 2011.

With the 2021 NFL Draft now behind us, I have updated my fantasy football rankings for the 2021 NFL season.

More way-too-early 2021 fantasy football rankings:

For now, here are our early fantasy football wide receiver rankings for 2021 season:

1. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams miss two games in 2020, but he has missed multiple games in three of his past four seasons. Even so, the seven-year veteran led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (18) and yards per game (98.1) and also set a career high in receptions (115). With double-digit touchdowns in four of five seasons, Adams has a total of 58 scores in 71 games over that span. With Aaron Rodgers still playing at an MVP level, Adams is the clear choice to be drafted as fantasy's WR1 (as long as Rodgers is under center for the Packers) in 2021.

2. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs

Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

3. DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona Cardinals

In his first season in Arizona, Hopkins tied a career high in receptions (115) and his 1,407 receiving yards were the third most of his career while Stefon Diggs (166) was the only receiver with more targets than Hopkins (160). While his six touchdowns were a four-year low, Hopkins still finished as a top-five fantasy receiver in half-PPR formats.

4. Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills

Things could not have gone better for Diggs in his first season with the Bills. Buffalo's starters played fewer snaps than usual in Week 17, as Diggs played a season-low 48% of the team's offensive snaps. Even so, that Week 17 performance (7/76) was the only game over the final five weeks where Diggs had fewer than 128 receiving yards. A top-three performer across all scoring formats, Diggs led the league in targets (166), receptions (127) and yards (1,535) in 2020.

5. Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons

Ridley closed the season the same way he started it (with 100-plus yards in four of five games). Along with Davante Adams (six) and Stefon Diggs (three), Ridley was one of three receivers to finish as a top-two weekly fantasy receiver at least three times in 2020. Ridley finished last season with 90 catches on 143 targets for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns and should be a top-six fantasy wide receiver in 2021.

6. A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans

Brown missed a couple of games, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

The vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries won't be entirely soaked up by free-agent additions Josh Reynolds and Marcus Johnson and the Day 3 receivers they drafted. In other words, Brown could see a significant bump in targets/share.

7. D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks

The sky is the limit for Metcalf, who is coming off a breakout sophomore campaign (83/1,303/10). Through Week 9, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks passing offense were unstoppable and Metcalf had more than 90 yards in seven of his first eight games. Through Week 9, only Tyreek Hill had scored more fantasy points than Metcalf.

The only concern for Metcalf (and Wilson) is the Seahawks' desire to establish the run. Over the final eight regular-season games, Metcalf exceeded 61 yards in only two games. As great as Metcalf was in the first half of the season, he was tied with (now WFT receiver) Curtis Samuel as the WR25 from Weeks 10-17.

8. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings

Jefferson exceeded all expectations in his inaugural season with 88 catches for a rookie-record 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns. Not only did the former LSU Tiger have seven 100-yard games, but he had double-digit targets in five of his final six games after doing so in only two of his first 10 games. Going forward, Jefferson should be the 1(a) to Adam Thielen's 1(b) in Minnesota's passing offense.

9. Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers

Allen missed a couple of games and was limited in others, but he finished with 100 catches for the third time in four seasons despite playing with a rookie quarterback. Although just shy of the 1,000-yard mark and averaging a career-low 9.92 Y/R, Allen tied his career high (set as a rookie in 2013) with eight touchdowns. Along with Davante Adams and Diontae Johnson, Allen was just one of three receivers to get double-digit targets in 10 games in 2020.

10. Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints

It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. While Thomas played in the four Taysom Hill starts and had a pair of 100-yard games, both against the Falcons, the most-likely scenario for the 2021 Saints is that Jameis Winston takes over as the team's starter.

Before 2020, Thomas had improved every season -- 1,137 yards (2016), 1,245 (2017), 1,405 (2018) and 1,725 (2019). In his last full season (2019), he led the NFL in both receptions (149) and yards (1,725).

11. Terry McLaurin, Washington Football Team

While the team's quarterback play hasn't done him many favors, McLaurin managed to set career highs with 87 catches and 1,118 yards in his second season. While his Y/R dipped to 12.9 from 15.8, he set career highs in YPG (74.5) and catch rate (64.9%). Even though WFT didn't draft a QB in April, signing Ryan Fitzpatrick in free agency boosts McLaurin's outlook and puts him squarely in the WR1 (top 12) mix.

12. Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears

Preventing Robinson from reaching free agency, the Bears used their franchise tag on Robinson. It's disappointing for fantasy managers that had hoped for an upgraded situation for the 27-year-old receiver, but Robinson has a total of 200 receptions and a minimum of 1,147 yards over his past two seasons in Chicago. In other words, A-Rob is a safe bet to perform as a WR1 despite his situation.

13. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Although he set a career low in yards per game (62.9), Evans exceeded the 1,000-yard mark -- now seven consecutive seasons to begin his career -- and set a career high with 13 scores. The Bucs have franchise tagged Chris Godwin and re-signed Antonio Brown, which could lead to more week-to-week consistency for all of the team's receivers.

14. Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Missing four games in the first half of the season, Godwin finished a disappointing 2020 campaign with 65/840/7 as he averaged 25.2 fewer yards per game than in 2019. An assortment of injuries and the presence of Antonio Brown (7.75 targets per game) interfered with Godwin's consistency last season. Godwin ranked third in targets (55) over the final eight games behind Evans (63) and Brown (62).

15. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons

Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons.

Will Jones be on the roster when the Falcons face the Eagles in Week 1? The team leaving Jones off their schedule release wallpaper only added some fuel to the fire of offseason trade rumors.

16. D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers

Moore averaged only 6.9 targets per game through his first 10 games, but that number jumped to 9.8 per game over his final five games. In addition, three of his four 100-yard games occurred over that final five-game stretch. Even though his 55.9% catch rate was a career low, the 23-year-old receiver's ADOT (13.2), Y/R (18.1) and receiving yards (1,193) were all career highs.

17. Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams

It was a disappointing season for Woods and the Rams offense in general. Woods tied a career high in receptions (90), but his receiving yardage (936) and yards from scrimmage (1,091) were three-year lows. Replacing Jared Goff with Matthew Stafford generates some optimism for all of the skill-position players.

18. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen averaged only 61.7 YPG, but he scored 14 touchdowns in 2020. Only three receivers were targeted more often in the red zone than Thielen (19).

19. Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys

Cooper finished 2020 with a career-high 92 receptions for 1,114 yards and five touchdowns. It was his third consecutive 1,000-yard season and fifth of his career. In 41 games as a member of the Cowboys, Cooper has averaged 73.9 yards per game.

20. CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys

With a healthy Dak Prescott, Lamb began his NFL career with two 100-yard games and a minimum of 59 yards in each of his first five games. During that five-game span, Lamb scored the 11th-most fantasy points (Amari Cooper was 12th) and only five other receivers had more receiving yards (433). Based on his skill set, Lamb should eventually emerge as the 1(a) for the Cowboys to Cooper's 1(b) ... potentially as early as 2021.

Continue reading our 2021 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings (Top 60)