Sunday, August 22, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Green Bay Packers

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Green Bay Packers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers568.7378.24407.433.276.5440.2160.81.91323.84
Jordan Love36.322259.51.491.0913.433.50.1318.29

Aaron Rodgers: While "his future [was] in Jeopardy," the offseason drama between Rodgers and the Packers front office is now fortunately behind us (at least until next offseason). The reigning and three-time MVP, Rodgers led the NFL in completion percentage (70.7%), passing touchdowns (48, 9.1%) and passer rating (121.5) last season. All of those were either career highs or the second-best of his Hall-of-Famer career. That said, it would be unrealistic to expect him to duplicate last year's 9.1 TD%, nearly double his rate from 2019 (4.6%) and much higher than his career average (6.3%).

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Aaron Jones218.81028.49.6357.2494.73.4259.09
A.J. Dillon138.46095.7418144.71.1125.41
Kylin Hill22.395.90.52.418.70.116.26
Dexter Williams2.29.40.06170.13.1

Aaron Jones: One year after leading the NFL in touchdowns (19, 2019), Jones averaged a career-high 5.89 yards per touch for the league's top-scoring offense. Through four NFL seasons, Jones has averaged at least 5.5 yards per carry in three of them. Even though he missed two games and scored eight fewer touchdowns in 2020, he has finished as a top-five fantasy running back in consecutive seasons.

A.J. Dillon: With 21/124/2 against the Titans in Week 16, fantasy managers got a glimpse of what Dillon could do in a lead-back role. With Aaron Jones re-upping with the Packers, however, that won't happen as long as Jones is on the field. Unlike Jamaal Williams, who's now in Detroit, Dillon isn't much of a receiver out of the backfield, but if his upside is through the roof if Jones were to miss any time.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Davante Adams109.51351.111.3000257.66
Randall Cobb47.6555.43.7211.80.04102.96
Allen Lazard39.4534.43.63.328.10.198.15
Marquez Valdes-Scantling29478.43.52.2130.0685
Amari Rodgers222451.43.623.40.0746.66
Devin Funchess4.2560.500010.7
Malik Taylor0.89.30.10001.93

Davante Adams: Not only did Adams miss two games in 2020, but he has missed multiple games in three of his past four seasons. Even so, the seven-year veteran led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (18) and yards per game (98.1) and also set a career high in receptions (115). With double-digit touchdowns in four of five seasons, Adams has a total of 58 scores in 71 games over that span. With Aaron Rodgers still playing at an MVP level, Adams moves back into the WR1 spot with the Rodgers drama behind us.

Randall Cobb: Naturally, Cobb is excited to reunite with Rodgers and the Packers. In his previous three seasons in Green Bay, however, Cobb averaged only 46.9 (2016), 43.5 (2017) and 42.6 (2018), respectively. That said, he's likely to rank second behind Adams among the team's receivers in target share.

Allen Lazard: After Adams, there are a number of receivers that could emerge as the team's second-most productive fantasy wide receiver. Unfortunately, Lazard (or whomever performs as the team's WR2) is unlikely to be a consistent fantasy performer.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: A big play waiting to happen, Valdes-Scantling led the NFL in Y/R (20.9) last season and had a career high in yards (690) and touchdowns (six). MVS had five games with no catches and two games with only one catch despite Rodgers playing at an MVP level. Fantasy managers should expect more week-to-week inconsistency from MVS, but he's certain to have a couple of big games in 2021.

Amari Rodgers: Earlier this offseason, The Athletic's Matt Schneidman dubbed Rodgers as the team's breakout candidate for 2021. Coincidentally, Tee Martin (Rodgers' father) coached former (and again current) Packer receiver Randall Cobb at Kentucky. With Cobb returning to Green Bay, it puts a dent into Rodgers' 2021 role.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Robert Tonyan54611.44.7000116.34
Marcedes Lewis10.6114.30.900022.13
Jace Sternberger3.435.90.20006.49
Josiah Deguara110.70.10002.17

Robert Tonyan: Entering 2020 with only 14 career receptions, Tonyan nearly scored as many touchdowns (12 counting the playoffs) as he had career receptions prior to last season. While teammate Davante Adams led the NFL with 18 touchdown receptions, Tonyan's 11 regular-season scores tied a position high with Travis Kelce.

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