Showing posts with label Aaron Rodgers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Aaron Rodgers. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 2, 2025

The Daily Blitz: EDSFootball.com Updates for September 2, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football projections for multiple teams, posted consensus Week 1 NFL power rankings, and a 2025 NFL strength of schedule on EDSFootball.com.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers506.8321.83572.923.0610.1440.3151.11.61239.65
Mason Rudolph35.222.5237.61.441.024.714.10.0915.17
QB Totals542344.33810.524.511.1645165.21.7254.82

Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers was QB19 on a per-game basis in 2024 with Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams (for 11 games). Yes, the Steelers traded for Jonnu Smith, but the receiving corps is a downgrade from what he had last year and it will be interesting to see how he and DK Metcalf mesh. While the four-time NFL Most Valuable Player will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, there's zero reason to draft Rodgers in standard (single-QB) leagues.

MORE: Continue reading our Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Miami Dolphins 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Miami Dolphins.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa507.6350.23908.525.8911.1735.893.10.36249.03
Zach Wilson72.544.2471.31.811.7415.670.20.3931.97
QB Totals580.1394.44379.827.712.9151.4163.30.75281

Tua Tagovailoa: Appearing in more than 13 games only once during his five NFL seasons, the obvious concern with Tagovailoa (in real life and fantasy) is his troubling history of concussions. Over the past three seasons, however, Tagovailoa has led the NFL in at least one different passing category — completion percentage (72.9%) in 2024, passing yards (4.624) in 2023, and TD% (6.3) and Y/A (8.9) in 2022. There's a chance he performs as a back-end QB1 if — a big if — his health cooperates, but his lack of rushing (75/193/0 since 2022) limits the upside even if he plays a full season. For example, the same year (2023) he played 17 games and led the NFL in passing yards, he finished as the QB9 in overall points (QB17 on a PPG basis).

MORE: Continue reading our Miami Dolphins 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

New York Giants 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the New York Giants.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Russell Wilson275.8175.81985.812.695.2434.8147.91.31142.36
Jaxson Dart287.1183.72038.411.776.3235.9161.61.44140.78
QB Totals562.9359.54024.224.4611.5670.7309.52.75283.14

Russell Wilson: Playing for his fourth team in five seasons, Wilson is the favorite to enter the season as the starter but unlikely to maintain that role all year. Wilson took over for Justin Fields as Pittsburgh's starter in Week 7, and he performed as fantasy's QB18 on a per-game basis among QBs with at least six appearances during that stretch. Given the Giants used a first-round pick on Dart and the team's low expectations, it would make sense to give Dart an opportunity to gain valuable game experience sooner than later.

Jaxson Dart: Even if Wilson starts more games than Dart, it's likely that the first-rounder gets some starts, especially during the most crucial time of the fantasy season. Both Wilson and Dart are off the fantasy radar in standard single-QB drafts, but the rookie has the ability to make plays with his legs and provide some fantasy upside once he gets his shot.

MORE: Continue reading our New York Giants 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

2025 NFL Power Rankings: Week 1 Rankings

Updated: September 2, 2025

Throughout the 2025 NFL season, we will update our consensus NFL Power Rankings from a variety of national sites.

Below you will find a table of our NFL Power Rankings heading into Week 1 sorted by their average ranking. The table also lists their respective rankings at various sites (links at bottom of table).

Change is difference from last ranking: + number = improvement, - number = decline.

Previous iteration: Post-Draft 2025 NFL Power Rankings

MORE: Consensus NBA Power Rankings

MORE: Consensus MLB Power Rankings

RankTeamAvg.Chg.ESPNNFLATHCBSUSATFOXYAHPFT
1Philadelphia Eagles1.13021111111
2Baltimore Ravens2.51.212252224
3Kansas City Chiefs3.38-0.634533342
4Buffalo Bills4-0.553425553
5Green Bay Packers4.883.366344466

MORE: Full 2025 NFL Power Rankings: Week 1 Rankings

2025 NFL Strength of Schedule: Which teams have the easiest or most difficult schedules?

Updated: September 2, 2025

We are now only a couple of days away from Thursday Night Football and the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys kicking off the 2025 season.

How things appear in November or December may look much different than they do in September, but which team has the most difficult 2025 NFL schedule? Or the easiest schedule?

Using each NFL team's 2025 opponents, our NFL strength of schedule (SOS) tallies the win-loss records of each team's opponents (from last year) and then uses that cumulative win-loss record to rank the difficulty or ease of each team's schedule.

Based on 2024 records, no team has a more challenging schedule than the Giants. Their opponents have collectively won 57.4% of their games in 2024. Meanwhile, San Francisco's opponents have won a combined 41.5% of their 2024 games, which gives them the easiest schedule on paper.

2025 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

The table below ranks teams based on their opponents over the full season.

RankTeamOpp. RecordOpp. Win Pct.Playoff
Opponents
1New York Giants166-123-00.57410
2Detroit Lions165-124-00.57111
2Chicago Bears165-124-00.57110
4Philadelphia Eagles162-127-00.56111

MORE: See where all 32 teams rank based on their 2025 NFL Strength of Schedule

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Sunday, August 10, 2025

EDSFootball.com Updates for August 10, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football projections for multiple teams and completed a couple of fantasy football mock drafts on EDSFootball.com.

2025 Fantasy Football Projections

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Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers506.8321.83572.923.0610.1440.3151.11.61239.65
Mason Rudolph35.222.5237.61.441.024.714.10.0915.17
QB Totals542344.33810.524.511.1645165.21.7254.82

Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers was QB19 on a per-game basis in 2024 with Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams (for 11 games). Yes, the Steelers traded for Jonnu Smith, but the receiving corps is a downgrade from what he had last year and it will be interesting to see how he and DK Metcalf mesh. While the four-time NFL Most Valuable Player will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, there's zero reason to draft Rodgers in standard (single-QB) leagues.

MORE: Continue reading our Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

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Carolina Panthers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Carolina Panthers.

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Bryce Young537.3333.73626.821.7611.2845.7262.82.86252.99
Andy Dalton37.424.1261.81.651.014.313.30.1817.46
QB Totals574.7357.83888.623.4112.2950276.13.04270.45

Bryce Young: Young was benched after a terrible start through the first two weeks last season (only 225 passing yards, 4.01 Y/A, no touchdowns and three interceptions). He didn't start again until Week 8, but he played much better, especially over the final three games (64.8%, 7.0 Y/A, seven touchdowns and no interceptions). After Carolina's Week 11 bye, Young was the QB8 in fantasy PPG (21.2) through the end of the season.

More: Bryce Young 2025 Fantasy Football Outlook

MORE: Continue reading our Carolina Panthers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

2025 Fantasy Football Mock Drafts

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2025 NFL season, we will use the fantasy football mock draft simulator to complete fantasy football mock drafts. And we will do so using a variety of scoring formats — point per reception (PPR), half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues — and league sizes. The goal is to provide you with a good representation of the team that you may be able to draft given your league settings while also providing the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

> Our 2025 mocks will be centralized here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR Mock (11th Pick)

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Starting positions: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 K, 1 DST; Bench spots: 6

1.11 - Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans

Collins has missed seven games over the past two seasons, but the now 26-year-old receiver has averaged 85.3 YPG (fifth best), 15.6 Y/R (eighth) and scored a total of 15 touchdowns (tied, 10th) over that span (among wide receivers with at least 100 targets). He has finished among the top three wide receivers in PFF's Y/RR metric in each of the past two seasons — 3.11 (second) in 2023 and 2.87 (third) in 2024, respectively. If Collins can stay healthy for a full season, the emerging superstar could truly make a jump into the top tier of fantasy receivers in 2025.

2.02 - Brian Thomas Jr., WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Among the top 10 receivers in fantasy points per game, seven of them missed multiple games in 2024. While Thomas was 11th on a per-game basis, he played a full season and finished fourth in fantasy points. As injuries sidelined Jacksonville's other top 2024 pass catchers (Evan Engram and Christian Kirk), Thomas stepped up down the stretch with all six of his double-digit target games occuring in the final six weeks of the season. During that span, he had the second-most targets (70) behind only Ja'Marr Chase (75) and ranked top five in catches (45), yards (593) and touchdowns (five). While Engram and Kirk are no longer in Jacksonville, the Jags upgraded their No. 2 receiver opposite Thomas by trading up to draft Travis Hunter, last year's Heisman Trophy and Biletnikoff Award winner (among many other awards). Hunter's presence may cut slightly into his target domination, but secondaries will have to give Hunter more defensive attention than they would have to their pre-draft No. 2 wideout(s).

MORE: 2025 Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Football Projections

3.11 - Davante Adams, WR, Los Angeles Rams

Adams, who was traded midseason from the Raiders to the Jets, still managed to extend his streak of 1,000-yard, eight-TD seasons to five. Even though he turns 33 on Christmas Eve and won't dominate targets the way he had at previous stops, he should have (or come close to having) another 1,000/8 season.

4.02 - Omarion Hampton, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Perhaps his outlook is even rosier in dynasty leagues than redraft given the presence of Najee Harris, but Hampton should emerge as the team's lead back by season's end. Harris's "superficial eye injury" will almost certainly accelerate that shift. Currently, there is no update on when Harris will return although he's walking laps around the field as "part of his rehab process."

MORE: 2026 Los Angeles Chargers Mock Draft Roundup

MORE: Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR Mock (11th Pick)

2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock (9th Pick)

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Starting positions: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 K, 1 DST; Bench spots: 6

1.09 - Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions

St. Brown has been a model of consistency — year in and year out, week in and week out. ARSB has 90-plus catches in all four seasons, 1,161-plus yards in the past three seasons, and double-digit touchdowns in back-to-back seasons. He had five-plus catches in 14 of 17 games last season and his other games were four, three and two catches. Only Ja'Marr Chase (15) had more such games in 2024, and he's tied with Davante Adams for the most five-catch games (49) since 2021, per Stathead.

2.04 - Brian Thomas Jr., WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Among the top 10 receivers in fantasy points per game, seven of them missed multiple games in 2024. While Thomas was 11th on a per-game basis, he played a full season and finished fourth in fantasy points. As injuries sidelined Jacksonville's other top 2024 pass catchers (Evan Engram and Christian Kirk), Thomas stepped up down the stretch with all six of his double-digit target games occuring in the final six weeks of the season. During that span, he had the second-most targets (70) behind only Ja'Marr Chase (75) and ranked top five in catches (45), yards (593) and touchdowns (five). While Engram and Kirk are no longer in Jacksonville, the Jags upgraded their No. 2 receiver opposite Thomas by trading up to draft Travis Hunter, last year's Heisman Trophy and Biletnikoff Award winner (among many other awards). Hunter's presence may cut slightly into his target domination, but secondaries will have to give Hunter more defensive attention than they would have to their pre-draft No. 2 wideout(s).

MORE: 2025 Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Football Projections

3.09 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Evans, who will turn 32 in August, extended his remarkable streak of 1,000-yard seasons to 11 (albeit just barely: 1,004 yards) in 2024. While he missed three games last season, Evans remains one of the most dominant red-zone weapons in the league — 24 receiving touchdowns over the past two seasons and double-digit scores in four of the past five years.

4.04 - Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Walker has missed multiple games in each of his three NFL seasons including six missed games last year. While he averaged only 3.7 yards per carry and 4.4 yards per touch, both career lows, his PFF elusive rating (113.5) was a career high and the third most among all running backs with at least 100 carries in 2024. Walker should benefit from the new coaching staff's heavy use of outside zone and there is plenty of upside if his health cooperates.

MORE: Join or Create a 2025 Yahoo! Fantasy Football League

MORE: Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team PPR Mock (9th Pick)

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Monday, May 20, 2024

New York Jets 2024 fantasy football projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will soon be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2024 fantasy football projections for the New York Jets.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers552.8359.33924.927.648.8436.1104.71.44268.99
Tyrod Taylor44.828.1313.61.70.761789.30.6830.83

Aaron Rodgers: The Jets signed Mike Williams, a big upgrade opposite Garrett Wilson, and Tyron Smith in free agency while also drafting Olu Fashanu and Malachi Corley with their first two picks to help bolster the offense. Assuming better health in 2024 for Rodgers, who missed nearly all of last season with a torn Achilles, he should help raise the play of the offense in general — and the pass catchers in particular — even if he's only a mid-tier QB2 in fantasy.

MORE: Check out our 2025 NFL Mock Draft

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Breece Hall233.81063.86.962508.63.4250.04
Braelon Allen53.1228.31.4314.7114.40.855
Israel Abanikanda43.6185.30.9812.293.20.643.43
Isaiah Davis24.2101.60.584.6360.321.34
Nick Bawden1.33.30.042.3170.14.02

Breece Hall: Not much went right for the Jets in 2023, although Hall was one of their few bright spots. Hall nearly rushed for 1,000 yards (994), led all running backs in receptions (76) and scored the fourth-most fantasy points (second-most in full-PPR formats) among running backs. With more competent quarterback play next season and being another year removed from his torn ACL, Hall is my clear favorite among non-Christian McCaffrey running backs.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Garrett Wilson921112.67.64.317.20.17205.6
Mike Williams61837.15.7000148.41
Malachi Corley38.7466.23.26.435.20.3290.61
Allen Lazard10.7137.81.100025.73
Xavier Gipson9.3103.80.75.331.80.3224.33
Jason Brownlee2.125.40.20004.79

Garrett Wilson: With Aaron Rodgers playing four snaps in 2023, it's no surprise that Wilson failed to live up to preseason expectations. Then again, fantasy managers expected more than a WR31 finish. Even so, the lack of scoring (three TDs) was a big factor, as Wilson finished with 95 catches for 1,042 yards. No receiver had a higher number of contested targets (37), per PFF. Assuming better quarterback play and barring injury, Wilson could take a big step forward in his age-24 season.

Mike Williams: Williams missed nearly all of the 2023 season with a torn ACL, but he's shown how productive he can be when healthy. While he has appeared in only 32 games over the past three seasons, he has averaged a 17-game line of 84/1,217/7 during that span. Earlier this spring, GM Joe Douglas said of Williams, "I would say he's not gonna be ready for the start of training camp," but "we do feel confident that he's gonna be ready for the year."

MORE: 2024 NFL Strength of Schedule

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Conklin50508.63.600097.46
Jeremy Ruckert22.1222.51.600042.9
Kenny Yeboah5.655.10.400010.71

Tyler Conklin: Conklin has had exactly 87 targets with 58 to 61 receptions in three consective years including the past two seasons with the Jets. Conklin set a career high with 621 yards (but failed to score a touchdown) in 2023. The presence of Mike Williams and Malachi Corley as the team's WR2/WR3, respectively, could lead to a few less targets (than 87), but a healthy Aaron Rodgers should raise the overall performance of the offense.

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Thursday, August 31, 2023

New York Jets 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New York Jets.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers556.3364.44088.829.7610.0136.8106.71.38281.52
Zach Wilson35.520.1252.11.10.994.319.40.2215.76

Aaron Rodgers: After winning back-to-back NFL MVP awards in 2020 and 2021, Rodgers numbers (without Davante Adams) were well below his career averages across the board in 2022 — 64.6% (65.3% career average), 4.8 TD% (6.2%), 2.2 INT% (1.4%), 6.8 Y/A (7.7) and 91.1 passer rating (103.6). Regardless of how long the next era of his career lasts, Rodgers joins a Jets team that has a better supporting cast than he had last year in Green Bay.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Breece Hall183.4825.35.539.8329.92.1181.02
Dalvin Cook144.4635.44.4826.9212.71.4133.54
Michael Carter28.11180.712.5760.532.85
Israel Abanikanda19.581.90.47430.40.217.25
Nick Bawden0001.28.70.12.07

Breece Hall: Before Hall tore his ACL, his NFL career was off to a great start. The rookie from Iowa State averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 11.5 yards per reception through seven games. His workload had jumped considerably in Weeks 4-6 (61 touches) from Weeks 1-3 (34). Who knows how good his rookie season would have been if the injury hadn't happened? There are lots of reasons for fantasy managers to be excited about Hall's long-term outlook, but it wouldn't be a shock if he starts the 2023 season slowly, especially with Dalvin Cook joining the Jets on a one-year deal.

Dalvin Cook: Cook appeared in all 17 games last season, and it was the first time that played more than 14 games in a season. Now a Jet, he's no longer the clear lead back, but it's possible that he starts the season with a larger share of the workload as the Jets ease Hall back from injury.

Michael Carter: Carter had double-digit touches in eight of the first nine games last season, but he had only 28 touches — 15 carries for 32 yards and 13 catches for 79 yards — over the final five games. The team kept him over Zonovan Knight, but his opportunities will be limited as long as both Hall and Cook are healthy.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Garrett Wilson83.11048.37.1527.50.18192.81
Allen Lazard61.3779.25.72.615.60.1144.93
Mecole Hardman32.9479.73.26.944.90.2189.37
Randall Cobb32.73692.81.98.60.0471.15
Xavier Gipson8.799.80.700018.53
Jason Brownlee5.667.30.500012.53
Irvin Charles2.734.70.20006.02

Garrett Wilson: Despite poor quarterback play, Wilson was outstanding in 2022 as he finished with 83 receptions for 1,103 yards and four touchdowns and was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. More efficient quarterback play should help Wilson in his second season.

Allen Lazard: Lazard posted career highs in targets (100), receptions (60) and yards (788) last season. Although Lazard edged his Packers teammate Christian Watson in fantasy points scored last season, both of whom finished as top-36 performers, Watson outscored him on a per-game basis. While he benefits from continuing to catch passes from Aaron Rodgers, there's a clear talent gap between Garrett Wilson and Lazard.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman has the potential to have an occasional big week, but he'll be hard to trust as the team's third (or fourth?) receiver behind Wilson and Lazard (and Cobb?). He's never averaged more than 40.8 yards per game in his four seasons with Patrick Mahomes.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Conklin40.4449.33.400085.53
C.J. Uzomah17.71911.600037.55
Jeremy Ruckert11.3123.7100024.02
Kenny Yeboah3.841.20.30007.82

Tyler Conklin: Conklin followed up his breakout 2021 season (61/593/3, 87 targets) in Minnesota with nearly identical numbers (58/552/3, 87 targets) with the Jets last year. Given that the offense should be better in general in 2023, there's a chance that Conklin performs as a mid-tier TE2 once again.

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Saturday, August 26, 2023

2023 NFL Division Predictions: AFC East

Before the start of the season, I will post my division-by-division predictions for the 2023 NFL regular season and postseason.

Instead of projecting an outright winner and loser in all 272 regular-season games, I've assigned a win probability to each team in every game and totalled them up.

Check out our 2023 NFL Predictions page for other divisions.

With that said, here are our early AFC East projections for each team including their win total.

1. Buffalo Bills - Projected Wins: 10.32

The Bills have clinched three consecutive AFC East titles while finishing with four consecutive 10-win seasons. Since taking over as head coach, Sean McDermott has led the Bills to the postseason in five of six seasons. While they are the team to beat, this division is arguably the strongest from top to bottom in the NFL.

It all starts with Josh Allen, who has a 17-game average over the past three seasons of 4,591 passing yards, 36 touchdowns and 13 interceptions to go along with 675 rushing yards and seven more touchdowns. The dual-threat talent has flourished since the team traded for Stefon Diggs, who has 338/4,189/29 receiving during that three-year span. The addition of Dalton Kincaid, their first-round pick, to join Dawson Knox, James Cook, and Gabe Davis round out a talented group of pass catchers. Diggs recently talked up Davis, saying he's "damn near WR1 in my eyes." Ranking second in the NFL in total offense and scoring offense last season, the Bills will once again have one of the league's most explosive offenses.

The defense lost Terrell Edmunds, who signed a free-agent deal with the Chicago Bears, but the team has finished first or second in scoring defense in three of the past four seasons. They have finished top six in total defense in four of the past five seasons. Because of their strength of both sides of the ball, it's not surprising that they have led the NFL in scoring differential in back-to-back seasons.

Despite the challenge the Bills will face from the rest of the division, our expectation is that they will win their fourth consecutive division title. Given the expectations of the team and fan base, what will really matter is how deep into the postseason they will go. (It's been 30 years — the 1993 season — since the Bills have made it to the Super Bowl.)

MORE: Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

2. Miami Dolphins - Projected Wins: 9.23

First-year head coach Mike McDaniel led the Dolphins to the playoffs in 2022. Although they lost to the Bills by a field goal in the Wild Card round, it was their first playoff appearance since the 2016 season and only their third trip to the postseason in two decades.

The Dolphins started the season 8-3, losing only in the three games that Tua Tagovailoa either left early or missed. Tagovailoa was outstanding through Week 12 — 69.7% completion rate, 9.03 Y/A, 19-to-three TD-INT ratio and 115.7 passer rating. He wasn't as good in December (0-4 in four starts before missing the final three games including their playoff loss), but the offense was generally firing on all cylinders as he led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9), and passer rating (105.5) in 2022.

The duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are as talented as any duo in the league, and Hill averaged more than 100 yards per game for the first time in his career last season. The Dolphins have a lot of speed at the skill positions, and a deep rotation of running backs, when healthy, with Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson Jr. and Devon Achane. As long Tagovailoa stays healthy, McDaniel & Co. will operate one of the NFL's top offenses.

Vic Fangio will take over Miami's defense, and he'll be reunited with Bradley Chubb from his time in Denver. Meanwhile, former first-rounder Jaelan Phillips has had two strong seasons (15.5 career sacks) already, and he finished as PFF's sixth-graded edge in 2022. As an ascending prospect now coached by one of the league's best defensive minds, Phillips is a player that will appear on many breakout lists heading into 2023. While the defense should apply plenty of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, they have a talented secondary led by Xavien Howard, Jalen Ramsey (when he returns) and Jevon Holland, among others.

MORE: Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

3. New York Jets - Projected Wins: 8.92

Maybe it's too early to call Zach Wilson a "bust," but it would be an understatement to say that he has struggled early in his young career. Through two seasons (22 games), Wilson has thrown more interceptions (18) than touchdowns (15) and has completed only 55.2% of his pass attempts. Both Mike White and Joe Flacco each started four games in 2022, but the Jets will bank on Aaron Rodgers being that missing piece on an otherwise talented roster.

Rodgers is coming off a down year himself, but he's a four-time NFL MVP. While Breece Hall is rehabbing a torn ACL, he was coming into his own before the injury and could provide a boost to the offense as the season progresses. That said, signing Dalvin Cook means that Jets won't need to put too much on Hall's plate before he's ready. Meanwhile, Garrett Wilson won NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (83/1,103/4) despite the team's poor quarterback play last season. Rodgers will find comfort and familiar faces in Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb.

Not only did the Jets have the Offensive ROY, but they had the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year as well. In fact, Sauce Gardner was first-team AP All-Pro in 2022 as a rookie. With a defense anchored by defensive tackle Quinnen Williams and Gardner, the Jets ranked top four in the NFL in both scoring and total defense in 2022. Only the Eagles (4.78) allowed fewer yards per play than the Jets (4.84) last season

Obviously, Jets' fans are hoping for major improvements on offense by trading for Rodgers. But even if they offense is middle of the road, they have a chance to challenge for a division title in one of the league's most competitive divisions. And if they make the postseason, they will end the NFL's longest active playoff drought (12 seasons).

MORE: New York Jets 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

4. New England Patriots - Projected Wins: 7.71

February 3, 2019: The last time that the Patriots have won a playoff game. While they have made the playoffs in two of the past four seasons, they have exited in the Wild Card round in both of those seasons (2019 and 2021).

During the Tom Brady era (2001-2019), the Patriots were top 12 in scoring offense every single season. From 2004-2019, they finished outside the top 12 in total offense only once (15th, 2019). Since then, they have finished 27th, 15th and 26th in total offense, respectively. With Bill O'Brien returning to run the offense, it should be better than it was last season and Rhamondre Stevenson is a versatile and talented young running back. That said, they would rank fourth in the division if we were to power rank quarterback situations, and their receiving corps won't scare any opposing secondaries. This could potentially be a make-or-break season for Mac Jones.

The strength of New England's team is its defense. Matt Judon is one of the league's better edge rushers, and Christian Barmore is a talented young player. Although he tends to zig when others zag, Bill Belichick hit it straight down the fairway and got a steal with Oregon cornerback Christian Gonzalez in the first round. New England's defense ranked fourth in fewest yards per play allowed, and only the Dallas Cowboys (33) had more takeaways than the Patriots (30), who tied for second with the San Francisco 49ers. They ranked second behind the 49ers (25.7%) in the NFL in percentage of drives ending in a score (30.5%).

With matchups against the Eagles, Dolphins, Jets and Cowboys to open the season, the Patriots have a brutal start to their season and will likely enter each of their first four games as underdogs against teams with outstanding defenses.

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Friday, August 11, 2023

New York Jets 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New York Jets.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers556.3364.44088.829.7610.0136.8106.71.38281.52
Zach Wilson35.520.1252.11.10.994.319.40.2215.76

Aaron Rodgers: After winning back-to-back NFL MVP awards in 2020 and 2021, Rodgers numbers (without Davante Adams) were well below his career averages across the board in 2022 — 64.6% (65.3% career average), 4.8 TD% (6.2%), 2.2 INT% (1.4%), 6.8 Y/A (7.7) and 91.1 passer rating (103.6). Regardless of how long the next era of his career lasts, Rodgers joins a Jets team that has a better supporting cast than he had last year in Green Bay.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Breece Hall190.5857.35.7238.8323.42.1184.39
Michael Carter54.1227.21.3532.3238.71.278.04
Zonovan Knight85.33542.1311.791.20.767.35
Israel Abanikanda45.5191.11.09645.60.335.01

Breece Hall: Before Hall tore his ACL, his NFL career was off to a great start. The rookie from Iowa State averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 11.5 yards per reception through seven games. His workload had jumped considerably in Weeks 4-6 (61 touches) from Weeks 1-3 (34). Who knows how good his rookie season would have been if the injury hadn't happened? There are lots of reasons for fantasy managers to be excited about Hall's long-term outlook, but it wouldn't be a shock if he starts the 2023 season slowly as he works his way back from injury. Clouding the outlook for the backfield was Dalvin Cook's visit at the end of July, even if there is "no timeline for a signing."

Michael Carter: Carter had double-digit touches in eight of the first nine games last season, but he had only 28 touches — 15 carries for 32 yards and 13 catches for 79 yards — over the final five games. Various other backs (Hall, James Robinson and Zonovan Knight) had games where they handled larger workloads than Carter last season and there is speculation that Carter could be the odd man out if the team signs Dalvin Cook.

Zonovan Knight: Knight wasn't active until Week 12, but he handled 98 touches (85/300/1 rushing and 13/100 receiving) over the final seven games of the season.

Israel Abanikanda: NFL.com's Lance Zierlein comped Abanikanda to Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco before the NFL Draft, although it would be unreasonable to expect a such a large rookie contribution from the fifth-round pick. That said, The Athletic's Zach Rosenblatt wrote after OTAs that Abanikanda "has the explosiveness and home-run ability to make an impact right away, and I think he will."

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Garrett Wilson81.11026.67527.50.18189.04
Allen Lazard61.3779.25.72.615.60.1144.93
Mecole Hardman40.6555.63.96.944.90.21105.01
Corey Davis27.1327.72.400060.72
Randall Cobb17.3195.31.51.98.60.0438.28
Alex Erickson2.328.20.20005.17

Garrett Wilson: Despite poor quarterback play, Wilson was outstanding in 2022 as he finished with 83 receptions for 1,103 yards and four touchdowns and was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. More efficient quarterback play should help Wilson in his second season.

Allen Lazard: Lazard posted career highs in targets (100), receptions (60) and yards (788) last season. Although Lazard edged his Packers teammate Christian Watson in fantasy points scored last season, both of whom finished as top-36 performers, Watson outscored him on a per-game basis. While he benefits from continuing to catch passes from Aaron Rodgers, there's a clear talent gap between Garrett Wilson and Lazard.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman has the potential to have an occasional big week, but he'll be hard to trust as the team's third receiver behind Wilson and Lazard. He's never averaged more than 40.8 yards per game in his four seasons with Patrick Mahomes.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Conklin38.5427.63.300081.81
C.J. Uzomah17.71911.600037.55
Jeremy Ruckert7.580.30.700015.98
Zack Kuntz2.330.40.30005.99

Tyler Conklin: Conklin followed up his breakout 2021 season (61/593/3, 87 targets) in Minnesota with nearly identical numbers (58/552/3, 87 targets) with the Jets last year. Given that the offense should be better in general in 2023, there's a chance that Conklin performs as a mid-tier TE2 once again.

C.J. Uzomah: After signing a free-agent deal with the Jets, Uzomah finished 2022 with a modest 21/232/2 stat line. Perhaps a new year with a new quarterback and offensive coordinator will be what Uzomah needs for a better season with Gang Green.

Jeremy Ruckert: The Athletic's Zach Rosenblatt called Ruckert "one of the biggest winners of OTAs." Meanwhile, coach Robert Saleh said that the third-round, second-year tight end "looks awesome."

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Tuesday, July 4, 2023

New York Jets 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New York Jets.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers556.3364.44088.830.0410.0136.8106.71.38282.64
Zach Wilson35.520.1252.10.920.994.319.40.2215.04

Aaron Rodgers: After winning back-to-back NFL MVP awards in 2020 and 2021, Rodgers numbers (without Davante Adams) were well below his career averages across the board in 2022 — 64.6% (65.3% career average), 4.8 TD% (6.2%), 2.2 INT% (1.4%), 6.8 Y/A (7.7) and 91.1 passer rating (103.6). Regardless of how long the next era of his career lasts, Rodgers joins a Jets team that has a better supporting cast than he had last year in Green Bay.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Breece Hall194.8876.65.8438.8323.42.1187.04
Michael Carter56.3236.51.4133.8251.81.381.99
Zonovan Knight83.1344.92.0811.791.20.766.14
Israel Abanikanda41.1172.60.995.643.40.332.14

Breece Hall: Before Hall tore his ACL, his NFL career was off to a great start. The rookie from Iowa State averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 11.5 yards per reception through seven games. His workload had jumped considerably in Weeks 4-6 (61 touches) from Weeks 1-3 (34). Who knows how good his rookie season would have been if the injury hadn't happened? There are lots of reasons for fantasy managers to be excited about Hall's long-term outlook, but it wouldn't be a shock if he starts the 2023 season slowly as he works his way back from injury.

Michael Carter: Carter had double-digit touches in eight of the first nine games last season, but he had only 28 touches — 15 carries for 32 yards and 13 catches for 79 yards — over the final five games. Various other backs (Hall, James Robinson and Zonovan Knight) had games where they handled larger workloads than Carter, but he's a talented back, especially as a receiver, and Hall should be eased in slowly.

Zonovan Knight: Knight wasn't active until Week 12, but he handled 98 touches (85/300/1 rushing and 13/100 receiving) over the final seven games of the season.

Israel Abanikanda: NFL.com's Lance Zierlein comped Abanikanda to Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco, and it would be unreasonable to expect a similar rookie contribution from the fifth-round pick. That said, The Athletic's Zach Rosenblatt wrote after OTAs that Abanikanda "has the explosiveness and home-run ability to make an impact right away, and I think he will."

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Garrett Wilson79.61009.36.9527.50.18185.96
Allen Lazard61.7785.75.72.615.60.1145.78
Mecole Hardman40.95603.96.944.90.21105.6
Corey Davis25.6310.42.300057.64
Randall Cobb16.9173.61.51.98.60.0435.91
Denzel Mims6.286.80.700015.98

Garrett Wilson: Despite poor quarterback play, Wilson was outstanding in 2022 as he finished with 83 receptions for 1,103 yards and four touchdowns and was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. More efficient quarterback play will definitely help Wilson, even though Rodgers' buddies (Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb) followed him to Florham Park.

Allen Lazard: Lazard posted career highs in targets (100), receptions (60) and yards (788) last season. Although Lazard edged his Packers teammate Christian Watson in fantasy points scored last season, both of whom finished as top-36 performers, Watson outscored him on a per-game basis. While he benefits from continuing to catch passes from Aaron Rodgers, there's a clear talent gap between Garrett Wilson and Lazard.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman has the potential to have an occasional big week, but he'll be hard to trust as the team's third receiver. He's never averaged more than 40.8 yards per game in his four seasons with Patrick Mahomes.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Conklin38.1423.23.300081.17
C.J. Uzomah16.31781.400034.35
Jeremy Ruckert6.973.80.700015.03
Zack Kuntz2.330.40.20005.39

Tyler Conklin: Conklin followed up his breakout 2021 season (61/593/3, 87 targets) in Minnesota with nearly identical numbers (58/552/3, 87 targets) with the Jets last year. Given that the offense should be better in general in 2023, there's a chance that Conklin performs as a mid-tier TE2 once again.

C.J. Uzomah: After signing a free-agent deal with the Jets, Uzomah finished 2022 with a modest 21/232/2 stat line. Perhaps a new year with a new quarterback and offensive coordinator will be what Uzomah needs for a better season with Gang Green.

Jeremy Ruckert: The Athletic's Zach Rosenblatt called Ruckert "one of the biggest winners of OTAs." Meanwhile, coach Robert Saleh said that the third-round, second-year tight end "looks awesome."

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