Monday, August 7, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes didn't miss a beat and won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.


Isiah Pacheco179.4807.35.8320.1162.80.9147.44
Jerick McKinnon70.5289.11.5244.7338.22.2107.4
Clyde Edwards-Helaire59.8257.11.5526200.41.577.05
Deneric Prince39.31710.988.165.10.435.94

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and then he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted the sleeper. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Pacheco enters 2023 atop the depth chart and he'll have a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers, but there are reports that the Chiefs could be interested in Josh Jacobs if the Raiders rescind their franchise tag. In addition, Pacheco (shoulder) is still not cleared for contact.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores. While I have projected McKinnon for considerably fewer touchdowns in 2023, he should be a solid bye-week fill-in for fantasy squads, at a minimum.


Kadarius Toney63.3776.65.68.575.20.55153.73
Skyy Moore43561.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.7603.74.1000103.82
Rashee Rice43528.63.800097.16
Richie James9.2110.20.800020.42
Justin Watson6.592.70.800017.32
Justyn Ross3.750.10.50009.86

Kadarius Toney: With JuJu Smith-Schuster no longer on the roster, Toney is the favorite to earn the largest share of non-Travis Kelce targets. Offensive coordinator Matt Nagy has talked up Toney, who has plenty of upside if he can both stay (after he gets) healthy and reach his full potential as the WR1 in this offense. Toney is a player who you may see on plenty of preseason breakout (and maybe even some bust) lists going into your draft(s).

Skyy Moore: Marquez Valdez-Scantling will have some big games, but good luck predicting when those will occur (outside of best ball formats). Given the variance of potential outcomes with Toney, taking a late-round shot on someone like Moore (KC's 2022 second-round pick) and/or Rashee Rice (KC's 2023 second-round pick) is a decent strategy to get more exposure to Kansas City's high-powered offense.


Travis Kelce1011187.49.72.611.70.26230.17
Noah Gray20.92331.
Jody Fortson6.875.20.700015.12
Blake Bell2.425.10.20004.91

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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