Showing posts with label Jerick McKinnon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jerick McKinnon. Show all posts

Friday, September 1, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes didn't miss a beat and won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Isiah Pacheco187.9845.66.1120.1157.80.9152.45
Jerick McKinnon71.5293.21.5444.7338.22.2107.93
Clyde Edwards-Helaire88.4380.12.325.5195.41.593.1

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and then he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted the sleeper. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Sitting atop the 2023 depth chart, Pacheco has a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores. While I have projected McKinnon for considerably fewer touchdowns in 2023, he could be a solid bye-week fill-in for fantasy squads, at a minimum.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Skyy Moore57.67395.53.225.60.16139.22
Kadarius Toney50.4596.24.38.575.20.55121.44
Marquez Valdes-Scantling38618.74.5000107.87
Rashee Rice44.5546.14.1000101.46
Justyn Ross10.9132.8100024.73
Richie James8.797.70.700018.32
Justin Watson5.577.70.700014.72

Skyy Moore: Marquez Valdez-Scantling will have some spike weeks, but good luck predicting when those will occur, which make him a better option in best ball formats. Meanwhile, the variance of potential outcomes for Kadarius Toney may make fantasy managers hesitant on draft day. While he had a quiet rookie season (22/250/0 on 33 targets), Moore has emerged as the most likely candidate to lead Kansas City's receiving corps in fantasy production.

Kadarius Toney: The range of potential outcomes is wide enough that you may have seen Toney appear on both breakout and bust lists at some point heading into the 2023 season. Earlier this offseason, offensive coordinator Matt Nagy talked up Toney, who many had figured would step into the WR1 role vacated by JuJu Smith-Schuster. If he can (get and) stay healthy, it's certainly possible that he earns the second-most targets on the team behind Travis Kelce although it seems even more likely that it's someone else (e.g., Skyy Moore).

Rashee Rice: Even though though Skyy Moore had a limited role as a receiver in his rookie season, the draft capital used (55th overall pick) and strong preseason makes Rice worth being a target later in drafts. That said, his ADP has continued to rise.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce99.91174.89.42.611.70.26226.56
Noah Gray21.8240.51.90.94.50.0747.22
Blake Bell8.795.20.700018.07

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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Monday, August 7, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes didn't miss a beat and won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Isiah Pacheco179.4807.35.8320.1162.80.9147.44
Jerick McKinnon70.5289.11.5244.7338.22.2107.4
Clyde Edwards-Helaire59.8257.11.5526200.41.577.05
Deneric Prince39.31710.988.165.10.435.94

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and then he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted the sleeper. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Pacheco enters 2023 atop the depth chart and he'll have a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers, but there are reports that the Chiefs could be interested in Josh Jacobs if the Raiders rescind their franchise tag. In addition, Pacheco (shoulder) is still not cleared for contact.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores. While I have projected McKinnon for considerably fewer touchdowns in 2023, he should be a solid bye-week fill-in for fantasy squads, at a minimum.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Kadarius Toney63.3776.65.68.575.20.55153.73
Skyy Moore43561.14.22.116.80.11105.15
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.7603.74.1000103.82
Rashee Rice43528.63.800097.16
Richie James9.2110.20.800020.42
Justin Watson6.592.70.800017.32
Justyn Ross3.750.10.50009.86

Kadarius Toney: With JuJu Smith-Schuster no longer on the roster, Toney is the favorite to earn the largest share of non-Travis Kelce targets. Offensive coordinator Matt Nagy has talked up Toney, who has plenty of upside if he can both stay (after he gets) healthy and reach his full potential as the WR1 in this offense. Toney is a player who you may see on plenty of preseason breakout (and maybe even some bust) lists going into your draft(s).

Skyy Moore: Marquez Valdez-Scantling will have some big games, but good luck predicting when those will occur (outside of best ball formats). Given the variance of potential outcomes with Toney, taking a late-round shot on someone like Moore (KC's 2022 second-round pick) and/or Rashee Rice (KC's 2023 second-round pick) is a decent strategy to get more exposure to Kansas City's high-powered offense.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce1011187.49.72.611.70.26230.17
Noah Gray20.92331.90.94.50.0746.02
Jody Fortson6.875.20.700015.12
Blake Bell2.425.10.20004.91

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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Saturday, July 8, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Isiah Pacheco1928646.2419.4150.30.9153.97
Jerick McKinnon76.9315.31.6148.9380.82.7119.92
Clyde Edwards-Helaire59.8257.11.5527.1215.4282.1
Deneric Prince20.387.30.493.527.60.217.38

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted him. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Pacheco enters 2023 atop the depth chart and he'll have a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Kadarius Toney63.3776.65.68.575.20.55153.73
Skyy Moore43561.142.116.80.11103.95
Marquez Valdes-Scantling38603.73.8000102.17
Rashee Rice42.85213.700095.7
Richie James9.2110.20.800020.42
Justin Watson6.592.70.800017.32
Justyn Ross3.750.10.50009.86

Kadarius Toney: With JuJu Smith-Schuster no longer on the roster, Toney will compete with Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore and rookie Rashee Rice for non-Travis Kelce targets. Offensive coordinator Matt Nagy recently said now that Toney has learned the ins and outs of the Chiefs offense after a midseason trade in 2022, "it's exciting now for us to be able to take that to Year 2 and build that relationship with Pat (Mahomes). He's super talented with the football in his hands, and he's been that way his entire life in his football career." Toney will be a popular name on breakout lists in 2023.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce1011187.49.72.611.70.26230.17
Noah Gray20.92331.90.94.50.0746.02
Jody Fortson6.875.20.700015.12
Blake Bell2.425.10.20004.91

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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Friday, September 2, 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.4475033.7111.6557.42871.87341.46
Chad Henne46.130308.91.610.696.46.40.0618.42

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has been a top-four fantasy quarterback lock, when healthy. During his four seasons as a starter, he has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB7 (missed multiple games), QB4 and QB4, respectively. In four seasons as a starter, Mahomes has a 6.5 TD%, 1.6 INT% and 8.1 Y/A with a 17-game pace of 5,129 passing yards and 41.4 touchdowns. Losing Tyreek Hill will have an impact, but Mahomes should remain a top-four option.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire150.1660.44.6540.7298.51.9155.54
Ronald Jones106.3462.43.4517126.50.892.89
Jerick McKinnon72.3310.91.8827220.11.486.28
Isiah Pacheco12.855.70.315.4430.316.23
Michael Burton5.116.60.23.527.80.28.59

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Through two seasons, Edwards-Helaire has missed a total of 10 games including seven last season. The Chiefs signed Ronald Jones II this offseason and re-signed Jerick McKinnon, who handled double-digit carries in all three of the team's playoff games this past season. While the presence of RoJo and McKinnon may frustrate those that roster CEH, his ADP provides a reasonable draft-day cost to get exposure to the top back of one of the league's most potent offenses.

Ronald Jones: Jones' numbers in 2021 were (more than) halved from the prior season. Last season, Jones had only 111 touches for 492 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve him well, but he'll be competing with (and appears to be behind) Edwards-Helaire and McKinnon for snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
JuJu Smith-Schuster67.9804.46.32.614.60.13154.43
Skyy Moore55.3708.24.83.821.90.19130.6
Mecole Hardman47.9657.74.38.5510.34122.66
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.4607.14.1000104.01
Justin Watson13.5169.51.100030.3

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Smith-Schuster missed 12 games last season and he's only averaged 8.6 and 6.2 yards per reception and target, respectively, over the past two seasons combined. While there's little chance that he posts a line similar to his sophomore campaign (111/1,426/7, 2018), he has an excellent chance to bounce back as the WR1 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

Skyy Moore: Moore had a 95/1,292/10 line and PFF credited Moore with 26 broken tackles after the catch, which led FBS wide receivers. The former WMU Bronco should earn a more prominent role as the season progresses.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman set career highs in targets (83), receptions (59) and yards (693) last season, but he also set career lows in touchdowns (two) and Y/R (11.7). The speedy former second-round pick has an opportunity to build upon those numbers with Tyreek Hill in Miami, but he'll be competing with newcomers Smith-Schuster, Moore and Marquez Valdes-Scantling for targets.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: A boom-or-bust type deep threat, Valdes-Scantling exceeded 20 receiving yards in fewer games (five) than he didn't (six games) in 2021. MVS's history of up-and-down performances is unlikely to change, which makes him a better option in best ball formats than regular season-long re-draft leagues.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce981153.48.3000214.14
Noah Gray9.8108.80.700019.98
Jody Fortson8.188.50.700017.1
Blake Bell3.945.50.40008.9

Travis Kelce: In a down year, Kelce finished with 92 catches for 1,125 yards and nine touchdowns. The 32-year-old tight end now has six consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with more than 90 catches in four straight. He's been either TE1 or TE2 for six consecutive seasons and he may even see a bump in target share with Tyreek Hill now in South Florida.

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Monday, August 1, 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.4475033.7111.6557.42871.87341.46
Chad Henne46.130308.91.610.696.46.40.0618.42

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has been a top-four fantasy quarterback lock, when healthy. During his four seasons as a starter, he has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB7 (missed multiple games), QB4 and QB4, respectively. In four seasons as a starter, Mahomes has a 6.5 TD%, 1.6 INT% and 8.1 Y/A with a 17-game pace of 5,129 passing yards and 41.4 touchdowns. Losing Tyreek Hill will have an impact, but Mahomes should remain a top-four option.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire141.4622.24.3840.3293.41.9149.39
Ronald Jones127.8555.94.1517.9136.60.9108.5
Jerick McKinnon63.8274.31.6624.4207.41.378.13
Isaih Pacheco8.5370.25.440.50.313.45
Michael Burton5.116.60.23.527.80.28.59

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Through two seasons, Edwards-Helaire has missed a total of 10 games including seven last season. The Chiefs signed Ronald Jones II this offseason and re-signed Jerick McKinnon, who handled double-digit carries in all three of the team's playoff games this past season. While the presence of RoJo and McKinnon may frustrate those that roster CEH, his ADP provides a reasonable draft-day cost to get exposure to the top back of one of the league's most potent offenses.

Ronald Jones: Jones' numbers in 2021 were (more than) halved from the prior season. Last season, Jones had only 111 touches for 492 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve him well, but he'll be competing with Edwards-Helaire and McKinnon for snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
JuJu Smith-Schuster67.9804.46.32.614.60.13154.43
Skyy Moore55.3708.24.83.821.90.19130.6
Mecole Hardman47.56404.28.5510.34120.09
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.4607.14.1000104.01
Josh Gordon9.1131.50.700021.9
Cornell Powell2.230.40.20005.34

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Smith-Schuster missed 12 games last season and he's only averaged 8.6 Y/R and 6.2 Y/Tgt over the past two seasons combined. While there's little chance that he posts a line similar to his sophomore campaign (111/1,426/7, 2018), he has an excellent chance to bounce back as the likely WR1 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

Skyy Moore: Converting to receiver based on WMU team needs, Moore led the Broncos in both receptions (51) and yards (802) as a true freshman in 2019. Last season, he had a 95/1,292/10 line and PFF credited Moore with 26 broken tackles after the catch, which led FBS wide receivers. There is a pathway to Moore being the team's most productive wide receiver as a rookie.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman set career highs in targets (83), receptions (59) and yards (693) last season, but he also set career lows in touchdowns (two) and Y/R (11.7). The speedy former second-round pick has an opportunity to build upon those numbers with Tyreek Hill in Miami, but he'll be competing with newcomers Smith-Schuster, Moore and Marquez Valdes-Scantling for targets.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: A boom-or-bust type deep threat, Valdes-Scantling exceeded 20 receiving yards in fewer games (five) than he didn't (six games) in 2021. MVS's history of up-and-down performances is unlikely to change, which makes him a better option in best ball formats than regular season-long re-draft leagues.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce981153.48.3000214.14
Blake Bell10.7108.80.700020.43
Noah Gray8.996.10.700018.26
Jody Fortson773.40.600014.44

Travis Kelce: In a down year, Kelce finished with 92 catches for 1,125 yards and nine touchdowns. The 32-year-old tight end now has six consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with more than 90 catches in four straight. He's been either TE1 or TE2 for six consecutive seasons and he may even see a bump in target share with Tyreek Hill now in South Florida.

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Monday, September 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44933.839.537.6664.1310.92.72387.56
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.716.27.10.0616.36

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire212.9936.86.0751.6442.63.6221.76
Darrel Williams74.4319.92.0522183.81.582.67
Jerick McKinnon34.1143.20.8514.2116.5144.17
Michael Burton2.15.70.043.223.30.15.34

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of last season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill91.51317.410.813.497.20.74256.45
Mecole Hardman51.2698.85.85.231.20.21134.66
Demarcus Robinson37.7463.33.714.50.0388.01
Byron Pringle28.6357.22.700066.22
Marcus Kemp3.246.60.30008.06
Daurice Fountain2.431.10.20005.51
Jody Fortson1.515.50.10002.9

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce106.71294.210.1000243.37
Blake Bell11124.20.900023.32
Noah Gray5.662.10.400011.41

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worth considering towards the end of Round 1.

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Saturday, August 21, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44933.839.537.6663305.62.21383.97
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.716.27.10.0616.36

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire210.99286.0150.6429.73.5218.13
Darrel Williams71.3306.61.9621.5178.61.479.43
Jerick McKinnon32134.40.813.8111.3142.27
Darwin Thompson9.338.60.234.331.10.211.7
Michael Burton12.70.023.223.30.14.92

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of the season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill91.51317.410.813.497.20.74256.45
Mecole Hardman51.2698.85.85.231.20.21134.66
Demarcus Robinson36.6450.43.614.50.0385.57
Byron Pringle27.5344.22.600063.77
Cornell Powell14186.41.300033.44
Marcus Kemp2.841.40.30007.34

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce104.41268.310.1000239.63
Blake Bell5.659.50.400011.15
Noah Gray3.436.20.20006.52

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's also worthy of drafting in Round 1.

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Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44995.139.537.6662300.72.17385.69
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.717.28.30.0716.54

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire210.99286.0146.3405.93.5213.6
Darrel Williams67.22891.8520.4170.21.375.02
Jerick McKinnon23.81000.612.9104.80.935.93
Darwin Thompson21.790.10.549.778.60.427.36
Michael Burton12.70.023.223.60.14.95

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of the season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 (or better) in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill92.51346.111.413.4100.50.8264.11
Mecole Hardman51.2707.15.85.231.20.21135.49
Demarcus Robinson33.6432.13.214.50.0379.84
Byron Pringle26.9340.52.400061.9
Cornell Powell14188.61.200033.06
Gehrig Dieter5.470.70.400012.17

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce104.4126510.1000239.3
Blake Bell4.547.10.20008.16
Noah Gray3.2340.20006.2
Nick Keizer2.223.60.10004.06

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worthy of drafting in Round 1.

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Monday, September 7, 2020

San Francisco 49ers 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jimmy Garoppolo441.7302.63511.522.5312.1548.372.50.97219.35
As productive as they are running the ball, it's no surprise that only the Titans (26.9/G) threw it less often than the 49ers (28.2/G) in 2019. While Garoppolo finished 14th in fantasy points (in large part to his 16-game durability), he was only 22nd on a per-game basis last season.
Nick Mullens30.719.6230.31.441.015.1-4.6012.49

RUNNING BACKS


PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Raheem Mostert177.8835.77.1120.6189.51.65155.08
Mostert was terrific down the stretch, scoring in all but one of his final nine games counting the postseason including a 29/220/4 rushing performance in the NFC Championship Game. Even so, Kyle Shanahan prefers a hot-hand approach at running back and the team still has a crowded backfield room even without Matt Breida, who is now in Miami.
Tevin Coleman137.2603.74.819.5167.71.46114.7
Since the calendar flipped to December, Coleman had just one game (in eight) with more than six carries -- 22/105/2 rushing against the Vikings in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. While Mostert may be the team's most-productive running back in 2020, Coleman will have his share of big outings with the potential to vastly outperform his current ADP.
Jerick McKinnon71.1295.11.7819.2136.30.7758.44
Expectations are that McKinnon will be third, at best, among the team's running backs in terms of fantasy production. Given the fluid nature of the running back depth chart throughout the season and the production that Kyle Shanahan coaches out of the backfield, McKinnon is worthy of a late-round dart throw in 2020 fantasy drafts.
Kyle Juszczyk20.375.10.217.1167.60.6829.55
Jeff Wilson26.7105.51.070.97.40.0417.95

WIDE RECEIVERS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Deebo Samuel57.7761.64.6214123.20.77120.82
Samuel exceeded 100 scrimmage yards in four of his final eight regular-season games and only 12 wide receivers scored more fantasy points per game than he did from Weeks 10-17. Even though the team used a first-round pick on Brandon Aiyuk, Samuel was poised for a major step forward in year two before suffering a Jones fracture in his foot in June. While he has been ahead of schedule in his rehabilitation, it's likely that he's on a snap count early in the season if he's ready for the opener.
Brandon Aiyuk42.6549.53.27.651.70.2380.7
Aiyuk averaged nearly double-digit yards after the catch over his career, per PFF. With the league's most creative offensive mind scheming him open, Aiyuk has a chance to surpass rookie expectations similar to how Samuel did last year.
Trent Taylor27.3279.81.500036.98
Kendrick Bourne19.8233.61.9800035.24
Dante Pettis1.920.50.110002.71

TIGHT ENDS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
George Kittle72.4977.45.79000132.48
Kittle missed a couple of games and his 2019 numbers (85/1,053/5) took a small dip compared to 2018 (88/1,377/5), but it's a two-player tier at the top of the TE position with Kittle and Travis Kelce.
Jordan Reed25.2262.11.8900037.55
Reed is clearly second fiddle to Kittle and durability is a major concern, especially given his well-documented concussion history. When he's healthy, however, he has difference-making abilities and few coaches will get the most out of him the way his former coach (Shanahan) will.
Ross Dwelley3.327.10.30004.51

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