Showing posts with label Brian Hill. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brian Hill. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill505.9328.83971.330.869.3644.8217.32.24298.74
Matt Barkley21.112.9156.10.840.637.9-407.94

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5623.1183.71.8288.74
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8150.71.679.04
Brian Hill52.7237.21.057.757.80.542.65
Jeremy McNichols10.545.20.264.3330.212.73
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.60.25.05

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work. Being second on the depth chart of such a run-heavy team, however, makes Evans worth a late-round dart throw whether you're handcuffing Henry or not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.91170.19.3000214.26
Julio Jones80.31108.27.9000198.37
Josh Reynolds31.6394.22.900072.62
Dez Fitzpatrick12152.71.200028.47
Cameron Batson7.784.60.62.610.80.0517.29
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.443.30.30007.83

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser43.6493.23.600092.72
Geoff Swaim15.4148.61.100029.16
Jared Pinkney5.151.60.400010.11
Luke Stocker3.437.10.30007.21

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Monday, September 7, 2020

Atlanta Falcons 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Matt Ryan619.6410.5464727.2613.0131.5119.70.95286.57
Eclipsing the 300-yard mark in 11 of 15 games, Ryan finished 2019 with 4,466 yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. The veteran signal-caller has alternated seasons between finishing outside the top 10 (QB19 in 2015, QB15 in 2017 and QB11 in 2019) and top two (QB2 in both 2016 and 2018). Currently drafted as the QB10 based on his ADP, Ryan more potential upside than downside risk.
Matt Schaub22.513.3155.30.860.652.8-2.808.07

RUNNING BACKS


PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Todd Gurley202.2859.48.0942.93262.15179.98
Racking up 3,924 scrimmage yards and scoring 40 touchdowns the previous two years combined, Gurley barely exceeded the 1,000-yard rushing mark (1,064 YFS) in his age-25 season. Obvious durability concerns persist about Gurley's arthritic knee, but he enters 2020 as the clear lead back in Atlanta's potent offense. In terms of workload for Gurley, OC Dirk Koetter told ESPN that "I think a minimum of 15 touches and a high of [25]."
Ito Smith44.5169.11.5616.9114.10.3439.72
Smith has been inefficient on his 150 career touches with averages of 3.76 yards per carry and 6.29 yards per reception. The 195-pound back would likely only serve as a part of a committee backfield if Gurley were to miss any time.
Brian Hill40.8171.40.828.762.20.1729.3
Qadree Ollison37.1122.41.676.740.20.0726.7
Keith Smith3.76.50.044.230.20.084.39

WIDE RECEIVERS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Julio Jones93.41340.36.771.910.80.02175.85
The obvious knock on Jones has been his lack of red-zone production as he still has just one season (2012) with double-digit touchdowns. That said, Jones now has 1,394 receiving yards in six consecutive seasons; the only other active streak is two (Michael Thomas, WR1). Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged a receiving line of 103.8/1,564.7/6.2.
Calvin Ridley79.710607.372.8160.03152
Ridley posted per-game career highs in targets (7.2), receptions (4.8) and yards (66.6) in 2019, although his season was cut short (Week 14) by an abdominal injury. Through Week 14, Ridley was a top-15 receiver across the board -- WR13 in half-PPR, WR14 in full PPR and WR10 in non-PPR. With a lack of depth behind starters, Ridley is poised for a big season as long as his health cooperates.
Russell Gage60.5559.63.033.711.10.0475.49
In the nine games following the Mohamed Sanu trade to New England, Gage hauled in 45 receptions (5.0/G) for 402 yards (44.7/G) and a touchdown on 66 targets (7.33/G). While he averaged only 8.93 Y/R, Gage had at least four catches in seven of those nine games. The third-year receiver is a worthwhile late-round target, especially in deeper PPR leagues.
Olamide Zaccheaus10.6129.30.7400017.37
Christian Blake12.1111.30.4800014.01
Brandon Powell2.838.10.20005.01

TIGHT ENDS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Hayden Hurst59.1688.54.2800094.53
Hurst doubled his production in 2019 to 30/349/2, but that paled in comparison to (now former) teammate Mark Andrews. Hurst's trade to Atlanta does wonders for his fantasy outlook as Austin Hooper signed a free-agent deal with Cleveland. Before Hooper's mid-season injury, he was fantasy's top-scoring tight end and finished second behind Julio Jones in team targets.
Jaeden Graham18.1217.21.8100032.58
Luke Stocker5.245.50.310006.41

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