Showing posts with label Isaiah Likely. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Isaiah Likely. Show all posts

Monday, June 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens 2024 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will soon be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2024 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson447290.13352.521.99.39113.2667.94.25295.21
Josh Johnson44.225.6287.31.681.4421.895.90.7129.18

Lamar Jackson: Jackson played a full season — excluding Week 18 (rest) — and was named NFL MVP. He set career bests in completion percentage (67.2%), yards per attempt (8.0) and INT% (1.5%). Even though he averaged about 10 yards per game less than his career average, Jackson led all quarterbacks in rushing yards (821) in 2023.

MORE: Check out our 2025 NFL Mock Draft

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry261.91139.39.8225.32221.3215.5
Keaton Mitchell65.5294.81.813.4118.30.662.41
Justice Hill54.6240.21.2315109.20.653.42
Rasheen Ali19.183.10.484.736.40.218.38
Patrick Ricard0003.630.90.26.09

Derrick Henry: With a less-than-ideal supporting cast in Tennessee last year, Henry finished as the RB5 in non-PPR and RB8 in PPR/half-PPR formats. Yes, there are a few factors working against Henry — 1) the hefty cumulative workload after leading the NFL in carries in four of the past five seasons, 2) being on the wrong side of 30, and 3) the threat of a big Lamar Jackson rushing week. That said, the Ravens running backs had a total of 16 top-24 finishes in 2023 and combined for 20 rushing touchdowns in 2023.

Keaton Mitchell: Before an ACL tear sustained in Week 15, Mitchell gave us a glimpse of what he can do — 8.4 YPC and 10.3 Y/R on 56 touches. Among players with 40-plus carries, Mitchell led all running backs in yards after contact per attempt (5.68) and elusive rating (152.2), per PFF. More than a quarter of his rush attempts (25.5%) went for 10-plus yards. Per John Harbaugh, Mitchell isn't expected to be ready for Week 1.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zay Flowers7591069.561.80.67174.7
Rashod Bateman37.9509.62.900087.31
Nelson Agholor31.6382.22.500069.02
Devontez Walker16.6218.41.400038.54
Deonte Harty336.40.20006.34
Tylan Wallace1.316.40.10002.89

Zay Flowers: Flowers had 77 catches for 858 yards and five touchdowns on 108 targets and added 8/56/1 rushing as a rookie. The talented and dynamic receiver could take a huge step forward in his second season, but the Ravens have a run-heavy offense (league-high 49.92% in 2023) and signing Derrick Henry, who led the NFL in carries in four of the past five years, will likely make them even more (or at least not less) run-heavy.

Rashod Bateman: Could the former first-round pick set career highs in 2024? Sure, but Bateman set per-game career lows last year in receptions (2.0) and yards (22.9) and he's the third behind Flowers and Mark Andrews as an option in the passing game of the league's most run-heavy offense.

MORE: 2024 NFL Strength of Schedule

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews67.2793.55.6000146.55
Isaiah Likely18.2218.41.500039.94
Charlie Kolar338.20.30007.12

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed seven games and played only seven snaps in another. With 43/521/6 in his nine healthy games (Weeks 2 to 10), that was equivalent to a full-season pace of 81/984/11, and Andrews was a top-three performer across all scoring formats during that span.

Isaiah Likely: Likely is one of the few (or only) "tight end handcuffs," but he is one of the few backup tight ends that would immediately become a top-12 option when the starter is out. Likely has played more than half of Baltimore's offensive snaps in 10 games, and he has averaged a 3.5/49.9/0.6 line on 5.4 targets in those 10 outings.

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Friday, September 1, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson512.1326.53748.627.6511.52116.2685.65.23337.44
Tyler Huntley56.937.3344.21.761.3920.793.20.6231.07

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. With the Ravens bolstering their receiving corps by signing Odell Beckham Jr. and drafting Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft and hiring Todd Monken to run the offense, the dual-threat quarterback has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins193.6919.65.8129.62191.3171.32
Gus Edwards125.7584.53.468.259.30.491.64
Justice Hill31141.10.712.694.10.537.02
Patrick Ricard6.516.30.2853.20.816.95
Keaton Mitchell939.60.222.716.40.18.87

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the entire 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game over his career.

Gus Edwards: The Ravens won't be as run-heavy as they have historically been, but Edwards has averaged 5.2 yards per carry on his 501 carries since entering the league in 2018. Especially if Dobbins were to miss any time, Edwards would have quite a bit of upside and immediately move into the RB2 range.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zay Flowers53.5654.84.52.8140.11121.29
Odell Beckham50.8656.94.53.6180.14120.73
Rashod Bateman48.26164000109.7
Nelson Agholor16.4208.71.500038.07
Devin Duvernay7.885.90.65.236.40.2621.29
Tylan Wallace1.316.40.10002.89

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for the Boston College Eagles despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the" guy. He gives Baltimore's offense a shot in the arm, and he has looked the part leading up to the start of the season.

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads Baltimore's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low. In fact, I prefer Flowers and Beckham over Bateman.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews83.7951.67.52.18.40.06183.21
Isaiah Likely33.3368.42.900070.89
Charlie Kolar7.892.10.700017.31

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson512.1326.53748.627.6511.52116.2685.65.23337.44
Tyler Huntley56.937.3344.21.761.3920.793.20.6231.07

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. With the Ravens bolstering their receiving corps by signing Odell Beckham Jr. and drafting Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft and hiring Todd Monken to run the offense, the dual-threat quarterback has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins193.6919.65.8129.62191.3171.32
Gus Edwards125.7584.53.468.259.30.491.64
Justice Hill20.794.20.479.365.50.325.24
Patrick Ricard6.516.30.210.473.70.920.8
Keaton Mitchell19.485.40.474.534.80.218.29

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the entire 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game over his career.

Gus Edwards: The Ravens won't be as run-heavy as they have historically been, but Edwards has averaged 5.2 yards per carry on his 501 carries since entering the league in 2018. Especially if Dobbins were to miss any time, Edwards would have quite a bit of upside and immediately become an RB2.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Odell Beckham50.8656.94.53.6180.14120.73
Zay Flowers51.3634.44.42.8140.11117.55
Rashod Bateman48.26164000109.7
Nelson Agholor16.4208.71.500038.07
Devin Duvernay7.885.90.65.236.40.2621.29
James Proche2.526.60.20005.11

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads Baltimore's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for the Boston College Eagles despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the" guy. He gives the offense a shot in the arm, although there may not be enough targets to go around for him (or any of the top wide receivers) to make a consistent weekly fantasy impact this year if all of the team's top weapons are healthy.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low. In fact, I prefer Beckham and Flowers over Bateman.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews83.7951.67.52.18.40.06183.21
Isaiah Likely33.3368.42.900070.89
Charlie Kolar7.892.10.700017.31

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Thursday, July 6, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson513.8327.53750.726.9711.3115.9683.85.22335.01
Tyler Huntley57.137.4345.51.771.420.692.70.6231.09

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. The Ravens have signed Odell Beckham Jr. and drafted Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft to bolster their receiving corps, and the dual-threat quarterback still has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins199.6968.15.9929.7219.11.3177.31
Gus Edwards121.6571.53.348.261.40.489.83
Justice Hill37.4170.20.8416.8122.90.746.95
Patrick Ricard6.4160.1910.473.70.920.71

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the enter 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Odell Beckham49.36394.23.6180.14116.39
Zay Flowers49.6614.44.12.8140.11112.9
Rashod Bateman47.8618.53.9000109.15
Nelson Agholor16.82131.500038.7
Devin Duvernay8.290.10.65.236.40.2621.91
James Proche2.626.60.20005.16

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads the team's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for Boston College despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the guy." He gives the offense a shot in the arm, even if there isn't enough targets to go around for him to make a consistent weekly fantasy impact as a rookie.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews84.8962.67.42.18.40.06184.26
Isaiah Likely32.8362.52.800069.45
Charlie Kolar7.892.20.700017.32

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Sunday, July 31, 2022

Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson474.5301.33463.921.3513.29141.3861.94.59311.11
Tyler Huntley46.930.1293.11.410.9422.6124.30.6831.99

Lamar Jackson: Missing five games in 2021, it's no surprise that his passing touchdowns dropped year over year from 26 (2020) to 16 (2021). That said, his TD% (4.2%) was also a three-year low and his INT% (3.4%) was a career high. After rushing for more than 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, Jackson's rushing yards per game (63.9) in 2021 was a three-year low but still top 12 in the NFL.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins199.3896.97.1724.9202.91.1172.05
Gus Edwards130604.53.916.6140.90.9111.64
Tyler Badie33.9144.10.857.8620.432.01
Mike Davis28.3121.70.718.3620.529.78
Patrick Ricard1.42.80.04431.90.37.51

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins took issue with a tweet from NFL Network's Ian Rapoport suggesting he may not be ready for Week 1. Per John Harbaugh, Dobbins "tells everybody all the time" that he's ready to practice. While he has opened camp on the PUP list, any risk that he won't be ready for the start of the season has been factored into his ADP.

Few teams, if any, will operate a more run-centric offense than the Ravens in 2022. While Dobbins missed all of 2021, he had 134 carries for 805 yards (6.0 YPC) and nine touchdowns as a rookie. While Lamar Jackson could lead the team in rushing for a fourth consecutive season, Dobbins is likely being underdrafted compared to his ADP as long as his health cooperates.

Gus Edwards: Like Dobbins, Edwards missed all of 2021 and opened training camp on the active/PUP list. Before that, however, he averaged a minimum of 5.0 YPC every year (three seasons) and averaged more than 10 touches per game in his career.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Rashod Bateman72.1892.34.8000154.08
Devin Duvernay46.1501.62.78.5340.1793.83
Tylan Wallace24300.61.500051.06
James Proche21.5281.81.200046.13

Rashod Bateman: Bateman finished with a 46/515/1 line on 68 targets as a rookie after missing the first five games of the season. With Marquise Brown traded to Arizona, Bateman is the team's clear WR1 even if he's second in line for targets behind tight end Mark Andrews. The former first-round pick has breakout potential heading into his second season.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews83.71033.27.5000190.17
Nick Boyle9.193.90.700018.14
Charlie Kolar7.586.40.500015.39
Isaiah Likely667.60.400012.16

Mark Andrews: After back-to-back top-five seasons, Andrews led all tight ends in fantasy points across all scoring formats in 2021. The former third-rounder out of Oklahoma broke the Ravens franchise record in receptions (107) and receiving yards (1,361) and scored nine touchdowns. A model of consistency, Andrews finished top 10 in all three categories regardless of position and he had at least five targets and three catches in all 17 games last season.

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