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Thursday, September 1, 2022

Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Jackson	474.5	300.8	3463.9	21.35	13.29	141.3	861.9	4.59	311.11
Tyler Huntley	46.9	30.1	293.1	1.41	0.94	22.6	124.3	0.68	31.99

Lamar Jackson: Missing five games in 2021, it's no surprise that Jackson's passing touchdowns dropped year over year from 26 (2020) to 16 (2021). That said, his TD% (4.2%) was also a three-year low and his INT% (3.4%) was a career high. Jackson didn't rush for 1,000 yards last season after doing so in each of the previous two seasons, but his 63.9 rushing YPG in 2021 still ranked top 12 in the NFL, regardless of position.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
J.K. Dobbins	186.5	839.3	6.71	21.3	170.9	1	157.93
Kenyan Drake	67.8	294.9	1.93	22.2	184.1	1.3	78.38
Gus Edwards	93.3	433.8	2.8	11.6	88.3	0.5	77.81
Mike Davis	41	176.3	1.03	8.3	60.1	0.5	36.97
Patrick Ricard	1.4	2.8	0.04	3.8	30.1	0.3	7.23
Justice Hill	2.8	11.8	0.07	2	15	0.1	4.7

J.K. Dobbins: Not only did Dobbins miss all of 2021, but it's unclear if he'll be available for Week 1 even if John Harbaugh says he "looks better every day." Few teams, if any, will operate a more run-centric offense than the Ravens in 2022. Perhaps Lamar Jackson will lead the team in rushing for a fourth consecutive season, but Dobbins had 134 carries for 805 yards (6.0 YPC) and nine touchdowns as a rookie in 2020.

Kenyan Drake: With Gus Edwards on PUP and the early-season status of J.K. Dobbins uncertain, Drake signs with the Ravens at a point that could propel him (out of necessity) into a fairly large role to start the season. Even when the backfield is at full strength, Drake should maintain a significant role (at least) on passing downs.

Gus Edwards: Beginning the season on the PUP list, Edwards will miss at least the first four games of the season. Before missing the 2021 season, Edwards averaged a minimum of 5.0 YPC every year (three seasons) and has averaged more than 10 touches per game over his career.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Rashod Bateman	71.3	897.9	4.8	0	0	0	154.24
Devin Duvernay	45	503.4	2.7	8.5	34	0.17	93.46
James Proche	19	242.3	1.1	0	0	0	40.33
Demarcus Robinson	13.6	167.2	0.9	0	0	0	28.92
Tylan Wallace	9.8	139	0.6	0	0	0	22.4

Rashod Bateman: Bateman finished with a 46/515/1 line on 68 targets as a rookie after missing the first five games of the season. With Marquise Brown traded to Arizona, Bateman is the team's clear WR1 even if he's second in line for targets behind tight end Mark Andrews. The former first-round pick has plenty of breakout potential heading into his second season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Andrews	82.6	1027.5	7.4	188.45
Nick Boyle	7.8	82.7	0.6	15.77
Isaiah Likely	6.5	75.1	0.5	13.76
Charlie Kolar	5.8	67.6	0.4	12.06
Josh Oliver	0.5	5.6	0	0.81

Mark Andrews: After back-to-back top-five seasons, Andrews led all tight ends in fantasy points across all scoring formats in 2021. The former third-rounder out of Oklahoma broke the Ravens franchise record for receptions (107) and receiving yards (1,361) and scored nine touchdowns last season. A model of consistency, Andrews finished top 10 in all three categories, regardless of position, and he had at least five targets and three catches in all 17 games last season.

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Sunday, July 31, 2022

Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Jackson	474.5	301.3	3463.9	21.35	13.29	141.3	861.9	4.59	311.11
Tyler Huntley	46.9	30.1	293.1	1.41	0.94	22.6	124.3	0.68	31.99

Lamar Jackson: Missing five games in 2021, it's no surprise that his passing touchdowns dropped year over year from 26 (2020) to 16 (2021). That said, his TD% (4.2%) was also a three-year low and his INT% (3.4%) was a career high. After rushing for more than 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, Jackson's rushing yards per game (63.9) in 2021 was a three-year low but still top 12 in the NFL.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
J.K. Dobbins	199.3	896.9	7.17	24.9	202.9	1.1	172.05
Gus Edwards	130	604.5	3.9	16.6	140.9	0.9	111.64
Tyler Badie	33.9	144.1	0.85	7.8	62	0.4	32.01
Mike Davis	28.3	121.7	0.71	8.3	62	0.5	29.78
Patrick Ricard	1.4	2.8	0.04	4	31.9	0.3	7.51

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins took issue with a tweet from NFL Network's Ian Rapoport suggesting he may not be ready for Week 1. Per John Harbaugh, Dobbins "tells everybody all the time" that he's ready to practice. While he has opened camp on the PUP list, any risk that he won't be ready for the start of the season has been factored into his ADP.

Few teams, if any, will operate a more run-centric offense than the Ravens in 2022. While Dobbins missed all of 2021, he had 134 carries for 805 yards (6.0 YPC) and nine touchdowns as a rookie. While Lamar Jackson could lead the team in rushing for a fourth consecutive season, Dobbins is likely being underdrafted compared to his ADP as long as his health cooperates.

Gus Edwards: Like Dobbins, Edwards missed all of 2021 and opened training camp on the active/PUP list. Before that, however, he averaged a minimum of 5.0 YPC every year (three seasons) and averaged more than 10 touches per game in his career.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Rashod Bateman	72.1	892.3	4.8	0	0	0	154.08
Devin Duvernay	46.1	501.6	2.7	8.5	34	0.17	93.83
Tylan Wallace	24	300.6	1.5	0	0	0	51.06
James Proche	21.5	281.8	1.2	0	0	0	46.13

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Andrews	83.7	1033.2	7.5	190.17
Nick Boyle	9.1	93.9	0.7	18.14
Charlie Kolar	7.5	86.4	0.5	15.39
Isaiah Likely	6	67.6	0.4	12.16

Mark Andrews: After back-to-back top-five seasons, Andrews led all tight ends in fantasy points across all scoring formats in 2021. The former third-rounder out of Oklahoma broke the Ravens franchise record in receptions (107) and receiving yards (1,361) and scored nine touchdowns. A model of consistency, Andrews finished top 10 in all three categories regardless of position and he had at least five targets and three catches in all 17 games last season.

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Atlanta Falcons

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matt Ryan	574.3	376.7	4249.8	26.42	11.49	31.7	101.4	1.11	269.49
Josh Rosen	30.2	18.6	214.4	1.18	0.86	4.5	10.8	0.04	12.9

Matt Ryan: There are a number of offseason changes that will impact Ryan's 2021 fantasy outlook -- new coaching staff, drafting Kyle Pitts, trading away Julio Jones, etc. While Arthur Smith may prefer to operate a run-first offense, personnel and game script may dictate a less run-heavy offense than some may otherwise expect. Even with a 17th regular-season game added to the schedule, Ryan's streak of three consecutive seasons with at least 608 pass attempts could come to an end in 2021.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Davis	204	785.4	5.92	44.5	328.1	2.3	182.92
Wayne Gallman	136	578	4.08	9.9	75.9	0.5	97.82
Keith Smith	12.5	26.3	0.25	4	33.5	0.2	10.68

Mike Davis: Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. Relatively limited competition for running back touches makes Davis a back-end RB2 or high-end flex option in 2021 with Arthur Smith taking over as Atlanta's head coach. That said, Wayne Gallman poses a much bigger threat to Davis' workload than Qadree Ollison did before him.

Wayne Gallman: The odd man out in San Francisco, Gallman lands in a spot that makes him an ideal late-round sleeper. With Saquon Barkley lost for most of the season, Gallman finished 2020 as a top-33 back with 147/682/6 rushing (4.6 YPC) and 21/114/0 receiving. It may not be the most likely of scenarios, but Gallman leading Atlanta's backs in fantasy production is not exactly the longest of long shots either.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Calvin Ridley	100.4	1348.2	7.9	4.5	20.3	0.09	234.99
Russell Gage	59.3	658.5	3.7	2.3	9	0.03	118.78
Cordarrelle Patterson	20.4	185.3	1.1	56.7	283.5	1.7	73.88
Olamide Zaccheaus	32.2	399.5	2.2	1.1	3.3	0.01	69.64
Christian Blake	17.4	187.5	1.1	0	0	0	34.05
Frank Darby	5.5	62.5	0.3	0	0	0	10.8
Tajae Sharpe	2.6	35.7	0.2	0	0	0	6.07

Calvin Ridley: Ridley closed the season the same way he started it -- with 100-plus yards in four of five games. Along with Davante Adams (six) and Stefon Diggs (three), Ridley was one of three receivers to finish as a top-two weekly fantasy receiver at least three times in 2020. Ridley finished last season with 90 catches on 143 targets for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns and is a top-four fantasy wide receiver in 2021 with Julio Jones in Tennessee.

Russell Gage: With the Falcons trading Julio Jones to Tennessee, Gage should rank second or third on the team in receiving behind Calvin Ridley and possibly/likely rookie Kyle Pitts in 2021. Gage set career highs across the board in 2020 with 72 catches, 110 targets, 786 yards and four touchdowns.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	63.2	776.8	5.3	141.08
Hayden Hurst	32.2	337	2.3	63.6
Lee Smith	3.8	35.7	0.3	7.27

Kyle Pitts: It's typically a difficult transition to the NFL for rookie tight ends, but Pitts isn't the typical tight end. The definition of a mismatch player in the mold of Darren Waller, Pitts has the potential to develop into fantasy's overall TE1 within a couple of years. The John Mackey Award winner, Pitts won't turn 21 until October, runs like a receiver (4.44 forty) and no pass-catcher over the past 20 drafts has had a larger wingspan.

Hayden Hurst: Hurst performed as the TE9 in half-PPR/PPR formats and the TE11 in non-PPR formats as he set career highs in targets (88), receptions (56), yards (571) and touchdowns (six) in year one in Atlanta. Unfortunately for fantasy managers, his weekly performance was inconsistent as he had five games with single-digit receiving yards. While Arthur Smith will run a TE-friendly offense, Kyle Pitts will make Hurst even more of a TD-dependent option in 2021.

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Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Atlanta Falcons

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matt Ryan	574.3	376.7	4249.8	26.13	11.49	31.7	101.4	1.11	268.33
A.J. McCarron	30.2	19	202.3	1.04	0.53	4.5	11.3	0.05	12.62

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Davis	204	785.4	5.92	45.5	338.4	2.6	186.25
Qadree Ollison	79.3	309.3	2.97	7.9	55.7	0.3	60.07
Javian Hawkins	31.7	130	0.63	4.9	37.8	0.3	24.81
D'Onta Foreman	34	142.8	0.94	2	15.6	0.1	23.08
Keith Smith	3.4	7.1	0.07	3	22.3	0.1	5.46

Mike Davis: Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. Limited competition for running back touches makes Davis a back-end RB2/flex option in 2021 with Arthur Smith taking over as Atlanta's head coach.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Calvin Ridley	101.9	1349	7.7	4.5	20.3	0.09	234.62
Russell Gage	59.4	656.7	3.7	2.3	9	0.03	118.65
Cordarrelle Patterson	16.8	167	1	56.7	283.5	1.7	69.65
Olamide Zaccheaus	31.7	391.8	2.2	1.1	3.3	0.01	68.62
Christian Blake	18.8	202.6	1.2	0	0	0	36.86
Frank Darby	6.9	77.9	0.4	0	0	0	13.64
Tajae Sharpe	3	40.1	0.2	0	0	0	6.71

Russell Gage: With the Falcons trading Julio Jones to Tennessee, Gage should rank second or third on the team in receiving behind Calvin Ridley and possibly rookie Kyle Pitts in 2021. Gage set career highs across the board in 2020 with 72 catches, 110 targets, 786 yards and four touchdowns.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	57.4	723.5	4.7	129.25
Hayden Hurst	32.6	340.6	2.3	64.16
Jaeden Graham	3	22.3	0.2	4.93
Lee Smith	1	11.1	0.1	2.21

Kyle Pitts: It's typically a difficult transition to the NFL for rookie tight ends, but Pitts isn't the typical tight end. The definition of a mismatch player in the mold of Darren Waller, Pitts has the potential to develop into fantasy's TE1 within a few years. The John Mackey Award winner, Pitts won't turn 21 until October, runs like a receiver (4.44 forty) and no pass-catcher over the past 20 drafts has had a larger wingspan.

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Saturday, July 31, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Atlanta Falcons

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matt Ryan	586.4	384.7	4339.4	26.68	11.73	31.7	101.4	1.11	273.64
A.J. McCarron	18.1	11.4	121.3	0.62	0.32	4.5	11.3	0.05	8.12

Matt Ryan: There are a number of offseason changes that will impact Ryan's 2021 fantasy outlook -- new coaching staff, drafting Kyle Pitts, trading away Julio Jones, etc. While Arthur Smith may prefer to operate a run-first offense, personnel and game script may dictate a less run-heavy offense than some may expect. Even with a 17th regular-season game added to the schedule, Ryan's streak of three consecutive seasons with at least 608 pass attempts will likely come to an end in 2021.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Davis	215.4	829.3	6.25	46.5	345.7	2.7	194.45
Qadree Ollison	88.4	344.8	3.32	8.9	66.9	0.4	67.94
Javian Hawkins	39.7	162.8	0.79	5	37.9	0.3	29.11
Keith Smith	4.5	9.5	0.09	3	22.3	0.1	5.82

Mike Davis: Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. With limited competition for running back touches, Davis will have at least flex appeal, especially with Arthur Smith (most recently OC in Tennessee) taking over as Atlanta's head coach.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Calvin Ridley	102	1349.4	7.7	4.5	20.3	0.09	234.71
Russell Gage	59.4	658	3.7	2.3	9	0.03	118.78
Olamide Zaccheaus	31.7	392.5	2.2	1.1	3.3	0.01	68.69
Cordarrelle Patterson	16.8	167.3	1	61.2	306	1.84	72.77
Christian Blake	18.8	203	1.2	0	0	0	36.9
Frank Darby	6.9	78.1	0.4	0	0	0	13.66
Tajae Sharpe	3	40.1	0.2	0	0	0	6.71

Calvin Ridley: Ridley closed the season the same way he started it -- with 100-plus yards in four of five games. Along with Davante Adams (six) and Stefon Diggs (three), Ridley was one of three receivers to finish as a top-two weekly fantasy receiver at least three times in 2020. Ridley finished last season with 90 catches on 143 targets for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns and should be a top-five fantasy wide receiver in 2021, especially with Julio Jones in Tennessee.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	57.4	724.9	4.7	129.39
Hayden Hurst	32.7	341.2	2.3	64.27
Jaeden Graham	3	22.3	0.2	4.93
Lee Smith	1	11.2	0.1	2.22

Kyle Pitts: It's typically a difficult transition to the NFL for rookie tight ends, but Pitts isn't the typical tight end. The definition of a mismatch player in the mold of Darren Waller, Pitts has the potential to develop into fantasy's TE1 within a few years. The John Mackey Award winner, Pitts won't turn 21 until October, runs like a receiver (4.44 forty) and no pass-catcher over the past 20 drafts has had a larger wingspan.

Hayden Hurst: Hurst performed as the TE9 in half-PPR and PPR formats and the TE11 in non-PPR formats as he set career highs in targets (88), receptions (56), yards (571) and touchdowns (six) in year one in Atlanta. Unfortunately for fantasy managers, his weekly performance was inconsistent as he had five games with single-digit receiving yards. While Arthur Smith will run a TE-friendly offense, Kyle Pitts will make Hurst even more of a TD-dependent option in 2021.

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Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Atlanta Falcons

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matt Ryan	586.4	384.7	4339.4	26.68	11.73	31.7	101.4	1.11	273.64
A.J. McCarron	18.1	11.4	121.3	0.62	0.32	4.5	11.3	0.05	8.12

Matt Ryan: Coming out of the draft, it was good news for Ryan that the Falcons used their top-four pick on the most dangerous playmaker in the draft instead of selecting his future replacement. The bad news coming out of the draft were reports that the team would trade Julio Jones, who was recently traded to the Titans.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Davis	238	916.3	7.14	47.5	379.2	2.7	212.34
Qadree Ollison	79.3	309.3	3.17	8.9	78.1	0.4	64.61
Javian Hawkins	32.9	134.9	0.66	5	44.6	0.3	26.21
Keith Smith	4.5	9.5	0.09	3	33.5	0.1	6.94

Mike Davis: Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. With limited competition for running back touches, Davis will have flex appeal (or more), especially with Arthur Smith (most recently OC in Tennessee) taking over as Atlanta's head coach.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Calvin Ridley	101	1293.6	7.6	4.5	20.3	0.09	228.03
Russell Gage	59.4	658	3.7	2.3	9	0.03	118.78
Olamide Zaccheaus	32.7	379.2	2.2	1.1	3.3	0.01	67.86
Cordarrelle Patterson	16.8	178.4	1	54.4	272	1.63	69.22
Christian Blake	19.8	211.9	1.3	0	0	0	38.89
Frank Darby	6.9	78.1	0.4	0	0	0	13.66
Tajae Sharpe	3	44.6	0.2	0	0	0	7.16

Calvin Ridley: Ridley closed the season the same way he started it -- with 100-plus yards in four of five games. Along with Davante Adams (six) and Stefon Diggs (three), Ridley was one of three receivers to finish as a top-two weekly fantasy receiver at least three times in 2020. Ridley finished last season with 90 catches on 143 targets for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns and should be a top-five fantasy wide receiver in 2021.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	47.5	624.5	4.1	110.8
Hayden Hurst	40.6	423.8	2.9	80.08
Jaeden Graham	3	22.3	0.2	4.93
Lee Smith	1	11.2	0.1	2.22

Kyle Pitts: It's typically a difficult transition to the NFL for rookie tight ends, but Pitts isn't the typical tight end. The definition of a mismatch player in the mold of Darren Waller, Pitts has the potential to develop into fantasy's TE1 within a few years. The John Mackey Award winner, Pitts won't turn 21 until October, runs like a receiver (4.44 forty) and no pass-catcher has had a larger wingspan over the past 20 drafts.

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Saturday, December 19, 2020

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, J.K. Dobbins is listed below as a "start" for Week 15. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 15 with him as one of my starting running backs.

Then again, Dobbins may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you roster Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb and Dobbins and only start two running backs, you should start Henry and Chubb and, in turn, bench Dobbins.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (vs. HOU)

The timing of Taylor's breakout could not have been better for fantasy managers. Taylor, who sat out Week 12, has at least 90 rushing yards and 114 yards from scrimmage in three consecutive games. Among running backs that have played multiple games since Week 11, only Derrick Henry (152.0) has more YFS per game than Taylor (138.0) over that span.

Taylor has finished as a top-three fantasy running back in back-to-back weeks. That includes a matchup against the Houston Texans in Week 13 when Taylor rushed 13 times for 91 yards (7.0 YPC) and three catches for 44 yards and a touchdown.

It's not just Taylor that has feasted against the Texans, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Positive game script should help Taylor as the Colts are favored by more than a touchdown at home and have a top-five implied total in Week 15.

Not only is Taylor a high-end RB1, but teammate Nyheim Hines is inside our top-24 fantasy running backs for the week as a viable RB2. Over the past three weeks, Hines has performed as fantasy's (half-PPR scoring) RB16, RB21 and RB24, respectively.

Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams (vs. NYJ)

Like Taylor, Akers has timed his breakout well. A recommended bench stash in many iterations of our weekly waiver-wire column before getting the volume fantasy managers desired, the rookie from Florida State has a total of 53 touches over the past two weeks.

Only Minnesota's Dalvin Cook (62) has more touches than Akers (53) over the past two weeks. Henry is a distant third with 44 touches over that span.

Going into Week 15, no team is a bigger favorite than the Rams (-17), who host the winless New York Jets. In turn, only the Tennessee Titans have a higher implied total than the Rams.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers (at GB)

Once again, the Panthers will (likely) be without running back Christian McCaffrey (doubtful) and will turn to Davis. McCaffrey played in Weeks 1, 2 and 9 and amassed 76 touches in those three games combined.

If we exclude the games that CMC has started, Davis has scored the sixth-most (half-PPR) fantasy points over that span. Even though Davis has no 100-yard rushing games and only two games with more than 66 rushing yards, he is top-three among running backs in receptions (44) and targets (54) in the weeks that he has started.

As fairly large road underdogs to the Green Bay Packers, Davis' role as a receiver will help maintain a high floor. In addition, the Packers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens (vs. JAX)

One-quarter (six) of the running backs in my top 24 are rookies -- although the only one of the group that was drafted in the first round (Clyde Edwards-Helaire) ranks lowest of that group (RB24). For Dobbins, he has emerged over the past few weeks as the team's lead back.

In his past three games played, which excludes Week 12, Dobbins has 17, 11 and 13 touches (all team highs), respectively. In those three games, Dobbins has handled 56.9% of the backfield's touches and has more than double the next closest back (Gus Edwards, 25.0%).

SLEEPER: Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens (vs. JAX)

The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season and the Ravens are 13-point home favorites against the one-win Jags. If the Ravens repeat last week's usage (Mark Ingram, no touches), the one-two punch of Dobbins-Edwards both become viable plays.

Edwards had seven carries for 49 yards and two touchdowns and one four-yard reception against the Cleveland Browns last week. With six rushing touchdowns over his past eight games, he has made the most of his relatively limited opportunities.

Since Week 6, here are his weekly half-PPR finishes: RB24, RB13, RB25, RB28, RB67, RB31, RB23 and RB12, respectively. Outside of the Titans game (RB67), he has been in the RB2/flex mix in seven of his past eight games.

MORE: BAL has the easiest remaining strength of schedule (.218, 8-30-1).

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Todd Gurley, Atlanta Falcons (vs. TB)

Gurley is listed, but this applies to all Falcons running backs. Averaging close to 20 touches per game (19.3) over the first nine weeks of the season, only three backs had more touches through Week 9. Since then, however, Gurley has either missed a game, the team had its bye or he has been limited to single-digit touches each week.

Even when Gurley was getting the volume, he was inefficient (3.67 YPC) but an effective fantasy running back as only Dalvin Cook (13) scored more touchdowns than Gurley (nine) over that stretch. Over his past three games, he has a total of 80 scoreless scrimmage yards.

Allowing the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs in 2020, no team has limited opposing running backs to fewer YPC than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3.19) this season.

David Johnson, Houston Texans (at IND)

Johnson returns in Week 15, but he's nothing more than a flex option this week. A TD-dependent play against the Colts, Johnson carried the ball 10 times for 44 yards and a touchdown against the Colts in Week 13. Not only was Johnson held without a catch in that game, but he's exceeded two catches in only two games this season.

Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. PIT)

Losing his first fumble since 2016, Bernard had only six touches and 23 yards in Week 14 against the Dallas Cowboys. Since a three-game stretch (Weeks 6 to 8) as the RB20, RB7 and RB2, respectively, Bernard has finished as the weekly RB30 or worse in five consecutive games. Bernard has averaged 41.0 scoreless yards from scrimmage over that five-game stretch with no more than 55 YFS or 7.5 half-PPR fantasy points in any of those outings.

The first of his current five-game malaise was against the Pittsburgh Steelers when he had eight carries for 30 yards and added four catches for 17 yards. Only the New Orleans Saints have allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing running backs this season than the Steelers.

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Saturday, November 14, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Kareem Hunt is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting running backs.

Then again, Hunt may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Alvin Kamara, James Robinson and Hunt and can only start two running backs, you should start Kamara and Robinson and, in turn, bench Hunt.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at GB)

In Jacksonville's post-Leonard Fournette era, it would be easy to make the case for Robinson as fantasy football's MVP this season. The undrafted rookie out of Illinois State, Robinson currently ranks fourth among running backs in fantasy points scored (all scoring formats).

Even better, he has been a consistent performer. Robinson has finished as an RB1 (top-12 fantasy running back) in five of eight games. Not only does he have a minimum of 16 touches in every game this season, but he has a massive 51 combined touches in the past two games. That volume has helped him turn in two of his three top-three weekly finishes in his two most recent games.

Surprisingly enough, Robinson was held catchless on two targets in Week 9, but he had a minimum of four receptions in each of his previous five games. In a game against the Green Bay Packers where the Jags are two-TD underdogs, Robinson's role as a pass-catcher allows him to maintain a solid floor even if game script works against potential rushing volume.

On another positive note, the Packers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. No team has allowed a higher rushing TD% to opposing running backs than the Packers (5.71%) and only the Patriots have allowed a higher catch rate to running backs (88.57%).

Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals (vs. BUF)

The efficiency wasn't what fantasy owners wanted, but the volume was. With Kenyan Drake sidelined, the Cardinals force-fed Edmonds a total of 28 touches -- 25 carries and three receptions -- in their narrow loss to the Dolphins. Despite averaging only 2.8 yards per carry and 6.0 yards per catch, Edmonds still finished the week as fantasy's RB21 (half-PPR scoring).

Because of his high level of efficiency before Week 9, Edmonds had finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in four of his first seven games despite averaging only 7.86 touches during that stretch. As of this writing, Drake is considered to be a "game-time decision" for Sunday's game against the Bills.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers (vs. TB)

The matchup isn't great, as the Bucs have allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, but the injury to Christian McCaffrey once again gives Davis the potential for a massive workload. Davis averaged 18.83 touches over six games when CMC was sidelined. Even including games where McCaffrey was active, Davis has six games with at least five catches including an 8/74 receiving line in relief of McCaffrey in Tampa back in Week 2.

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (vs. HOU)

At this point, it appears that Nick Chubb (knee) will return from IR on Sunday. Either way, Hunt's fantasy outlook remains high. In four games to start the season where the duo was active, Hunt finished as the weekly RB26, RB5, RB20 and RB11, respectively.

Houston has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season. Over their past five games, they have allowed four running backs to finish as a weekly top-four producer -- Dalvin Cook (RB2, Week 4), Derrick Henry (RB1, Week 6), Jamaal Williams (RB4, Week 7) and James Robinson (RB3, Week 9) -- and a total of six top-10 fantasy running backs this season.

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (at ARI)

Singletary has scored single-digit fantasy points in five consecutive games and is coming off a season-low five touches in Week 9. The second-year back has finished as the weekly RB34 or worse in four of the past five games.

Now that Zack Moss is again healthy, the rookie has double-digit touches in three consecutive games and Moss (35) has more touches than Singletary (30) over that span. Not only is he losing the usage battle to Moss, but Singletary is averaging an inefficient 4.06 YPC this season. Low volume plus inefficiency equals a seat at the end of my fantasy bench.

Rex Burkhead and Damien Harris, New England Patriots (vs. BAL)

The duo of Burkhead and Harris combined for 29 touches on Monday Night Football, but you can safely bench all Patriots running backs this week. In a difficult matchup against Baltimore, there's a good chance that the 3-5 Patriots won't benefit from positive game script on Sunday night.

The Ravens have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Not only is Cam Newton (eight rushing touchdowns) a potential touchdown vulture, there may not be many opportunities either way as the Patriots are currently tied for the week's lowest implied total.

Wayne Gallman, New York Giants (vs. PHI)

Perhaps I'm under-selling Gallman's fantasy usefulness, as the former Clemson Tiger has scored in three consecutive games and has finished as the RB14, RB16 and RB6 over the past three weeks, respectively. And the first of that list (RB14) was against the this week's opponent. In that game, however, Gallman averaged just 3.4 YPC (10 carries for 34 yards). Technically, that is a little better than what the Eagles have allowed on running back carries (3.39 YPC allowed) this season.

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Saturday, October 24, 2020

Fantasy Football Start'Em, Sit'Em: Week 7 RBs

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Giovani Bernard is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And we'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 7 with him as one of our starting running backs.

Then again, Bernard may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Derrick Henry, James Conner and Bernard, you should start Henry and Conner and, in turn, bench Bernard.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check it our Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (at CIN)

Hunt has finished as a top-five fantasy running back once this season (Week 2 against the Bengals). In that game, backfield mate Nick Chubb finished as the week's RB3 with 22/124/2 rushing. Hunt also scored a pair of touchdowns -- one rushing and one receiving -- as he totaled 101 scrimmage yards on 12 touches. With Chubb out this week, Hunt is set up for a monster week and currently sits inside our top four fantasy running backs for the week.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers (at NO)

Christian McCaffrey who? Of course, CMC is one of the most talented backs in the NFL, but the Panthers have not missed a beat with Davis filling in for the team's stud running back.

Davis has a minimum of 20 touches and a touchdown in each of the past four weeks as the starter. In addition, Davis has a minimum of eight receptions in three of his past five games with a total of 32 catches during that span. In fact, the other top back (Alvin Kamara, 38) in this game is the only running back to haul in more receptions than Davis this season.

Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at LV)

Even though Leonard Fournette has practiced in full this week, Tampa's backfield clearly belongs to Jones. The third-year back now has a three-game 100-yard streak and currently ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing (472). While he has been a workhorse with 20-plus touches in three consecutive games as well, RoJo has been efficient with an average of 4.87 yards per carry this season.

To help Jones' cause, he gets a favorable matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season. Counting rush attempts by only running backs, the Raiders have allowed 5.21 YPC (third-most) and a rushing touchdown percentage of 7.29% (most) to the position.

Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. CLE)

Whether or not you owned Joe Mixon, who has been ruled out this week, Bernard is a viable plug-and-play option at RB2 off the waiver wire. The Browns have surrendered only 3.81 YPC to running backs, but they have allowed seven rushing touchdowns on 116 carries (6.03%, third-most) to the position.

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Le'Veon Bell, Kansas City Chiefs (at DEN)

It's certainly possible that Bell becomes the 1(a) to Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 1(b) at some point this season. That said, it's more likely that the roles to begin Bell's Kansas City tenure see him as the No. 2 -- not even the 1(b) -- to CEH initially. The first-round rookie currently ranks second in the NFL in rushing (505) and is a talented receiver out of the backfield. Taking a wait-and-see approach with Bell figures to be the most prudent approach. In additionn, the Broncos have been the league's stingiest defense to opposing running backs this season.

Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams (vs. CHI)

Henderson is off to a great start. Through six weeks, the second-year back has three RB1 (top-12) weekly performances and another RB2 (top-24) performance. With 14 or more touches in four of the past five weeks, Henderson has averaged 87.6 yards from scrimmage per game with a total of four touchdowns during that span.

While Cam Akers (surprisingly) played only one snap last week, there is (the potential for) a three-headed backfield with Henderson, Malcolm Brown and Akers. Given that the Bears have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, Henderson is more of a flex option than a must-start RB2 this week.

Adrian Peterson, Detroit Lions (at ATL)

Peterson has scored in back-to-back games, but he rushed for 40 or less yards in each of those games. With a limited role as a receiver (seven targets in five games), Peterson was out-touched and outperformed by rookie D'Andre Swift last week. Swift rushed 14 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns and added three catches for seven yards.

While the matchup against the Falcons is favorable, it's Swift, not Peterson, that ranks insde our top 20 fantasy running backs for the week. Averaging only 4.13 YPC this season, Peterson is likely to continue to cede more rushing work to Swift, who has four-plus targets in four of five games this season.

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Saturday, December 19, 2020

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

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Saturday, October 24, 2020

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

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