Showing posts with label Nelson Agholor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nelson Agholor. Show all posts

Monday, June 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens 2024 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will soon be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2024 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson447290.13352.521.99.39113.2667.94.25295.21
Josh Johnson44.225.6287.31.681.4421.895.90.7129.18

Lamar Jackson: Jackson played a full season — excluding Week 18 (rest) — and was named NFL MVP. He set career bests in completion percentage (67.2%), yards per attempt (8.0) and INT% (1.5%). Even though he averaged about 10 yards per game less than his career average, Jackson led all quarterbacks in rushing yards (821) in 2023.

MORE: Check out our 2025 NFL Mock Draft

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry261.91139.39.8225.32221.3215.5
Keaton Mitchell65.5294.81.813.4118.30.662.41
Justice Hill54.6240.21.2315109.20.653.42
Rasheen Ali19.183.10.484.736.40.218.38
Patrick Ricard0003.630.90.26.09

Derrick Henry: With a less-than-ideal supporting cast in Tennessee last year, Henry finished as the RB5 in non-PPR and RB8 in PPR/half-PPR formats. Yes, there are a few factors working against Henry — 1) the hefty cumulative workload after leading the NFL in carries in four of the past five seasons, 2) being on the wrong side of 30, and 3) the threat of a big Lamar Jackson rushing week. That said, the Ravens running backs had a total of 16 top-24 finishes in 2023 and combined for 20 rushing touchdowns in 2023.

Keaton Mitchell: Before an ACL tear sustained in Week 15, Mitchell gave us a glimpse of what he can do — 8.4 YPC and 10.3 Y/R on 56 touches. Among players with 40-plus carries, Mitchell led all running backs in yards after contact per attempt (5.68) and elusive rating (152.2), per PFF. More than a quarter of his rush attempts (25.5%) went for 10-plus yards. Per John Harbaugh, Mitchell isn't expected to be ready for Week 1.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zay Flowers7591069.561.80.67174.7
Rashod Bateman37.9509.62.900087.31
Nelson Agholor31.6382.22.500069.02
Devontez Walker16.6218.41.400038.54
Deonte Harty336.40.20006.34
Tylan Wallace1.316.40.10002.89

Zay Flowers: Flowers had 77 catches for 858 yards and five touchdowns on 108 targets and added 8/56/1 rushing as a rookie. The talented and dynamic receiver could take a huge step forward in his second season, but the Ravens have a run-heavy offense (league-high 49.92% in 2023) and signing Derrick Henry, who led the NFL in carries in four of the past five years, will likely make them even more (or at least not less) run-heavy.

Rashod Bateman: Could the former first-round pick set career highs in 2024? Sure, but Bateman set per-game career lows last year in receptions (2.0) and yards (22.9) and he's the third behind Flowers and Mark Andrews as an option in the passing game of the league's most run-heavy offense.

MORE: 2024 NFL Strength of Schedule

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews67.2793.55.6000146.55
Isaiah Likely18.2218.41.500039.94
Charlie Kolar338.20.30007.12

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed seven games and played only seven snaps in another. With 43/521/6 in his nine healthy games (Weeks 2 to 10), that was equivalent to a full-season pace of 81/984/11, and Andrews was a top-three performer across all scoring formats during that span.

Isaiah Likely: Likely is one of the few (or only) "tight end handcuffs," but he is one of the few backup tight ends that would immediately become a top-12 option when the starter is out. Likely has played more than half of Baltimore's offensive snaps in 10 games, and he has averaged a 3.5/49.9/0.6 line on 5.4 targets in those 10 outings.

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Friday, September 1, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson512.1326.53748.627.6511.52116.2685.65.23337.44
Tyler Huntley56.937.3344.21.761.3920.793.20.6231.07

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. With the Ravens bolstering their receiving corps by signing Odell Beckham Jr. and drafting Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft and hiring Todd Monken to run the offense, the dual-threat quarterback has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins193.6919.65.8129.62191.3171.32
Gus Edwards125.7584.53.468.259.30.491.64
Justice Hill31141.10.712.694.10.537.02
Patrick Ricard6.516.30.2853.20.816.95
Keaton Mitchell939.60.222.716.40.18.87

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the entire 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game over his career.

Gus Edwards: The Ravens won't be as run-heavy as they have historically been, but Edwards has averaged 5.2 yards per carry on his 501 carries since entering the league in 2018. Especially if Dobbins were to miss any time, Edwards would have quite a bit of upside and immediately move into the RB2 range.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zay Flowers53.5654.84.52.8140.11121.29
Odell Beckham50.8656.94.53.6180.14120.73
Rashod Bateman48.26164000109.7
Nelson Agholor16.4208.71.500038.07
Devin Duvernay7.885.90.65.236.40.2621.29
Tylan Wallace1.316.40.10002.89

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for the Boston College Eagles despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the" guy. He gives Baltimore's offense a shot in the arm, and he has looked the part leading up to the start of the season.

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads Baltimore's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low. In fact, I prefer Flowers and Beckham over Bateman.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews83.7951.67.52.18.40.06183.21
Isaiah Likely33.3368.42.900070.89
Charlie Kolar7.892.10.700017.31

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson512.1326.53748.627.6511.52116.2685.65.23337.44
Tyler Huntley56.937.3344.21.761.3920.793.20.6231.07

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. With the Ravens bolstering their receiving corps by signing Odell Beckham Jr. and drafting Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft and hiring Todd Monken to run the offense, the dual-threat quarterback has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins193.6919.65.8129.62191.3171.32
Gus Edwards125.7584.53.468.259.30.491.64
Justice Hill20.794.20.479.365.50.325.24
Patrick Ricard6.516.30.210.473.70.920.8
Keaton Mitchell19.485.40.474.534.80.218.29

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the entire 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game over his career.

Gus Edwards: The Ravens won't be as run-heavy as they have historically been, but Edwards has averaged 5.2 yards per carry on his 501 carries since entering the league in 2018. Especially if Dobbins were to miss any time, Edwards would have quite a bit of upside and immediately become an RB2.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Odell Beckham50.8656.94.53.6180.14120.73
Zay Flowers51.3634.44.42.8140.11117.55
Rashod Bateman48.26164000109.7
Nelson Agholor16.4208.71.500038.07
Devin Duvernay7.885.90.65.236.40.2621.29
James Proche2.526.60.20005.11

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads Baltimore's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for the Boston College Eagles despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the" guy. He gives the offense a shot in the arm, although there may not be enough targets to go around for him (or any of the top wide receivers) to make a consistent weekly fantasy impact this year if all of the team's top weapons are healthy.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low. In fact, I prefer Beckham and Flowers over Bateman.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews83.7951.67.52.18.40.06183.21
Isaiah Likely33.3368.42.900070.89
Charlie Kolar7.892.10.700017.31

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Thursday, July 6, 2023

Baltimore Ravens 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson513.8327.53750.726.9711.3115.9683.85.22335.01
Tyler Huntley57.137.4345.51.771.420.692.70.6231.09

Lamar Jackson: There is only one quarterback in NFL history with 25-plus passing touchdowns and 1,000-plus rushing yards in the same season, and that quarterback (Jackson) has done it twice. Of course, the biggest concern with Jackson is durability and the fact that he has missed five games in each of the past two seasons. The Ravens have signed Odell Beckham Jr. and drafted Zay Flowers in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft to bolster their receiving corps, and the dual-threat quarterback still has legitimate QB1 (overall) upside if he's able to stay healthy.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins199.6968.15.9929.7219.11.3177.31
Gus Edwards121.6571.53.348.261.40.489.83
Justice Hill37.4170.20.8416.8122.90.746.95
Patrick Ricard6.4160.1910.473.70.920.71

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins has averaged a phenomenal 5.9 yards per carry, but he has played a total of 23 games through three seasons. (On a positive note, he's an extra year removed from a torn ACL that forced him to miss the enter 2021 season.) While Lamar Jackson's elite rushing threat can put tremendous strain on opposing defenses, the flip side is fewer targets and checkdowns to running backs as Dobbins has averaged only 1.39 targets and 1.09 receptions per game.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Odell Beckham49.36394.23.6180.14116.39
Zay Flowers49.6614.44.12.8140.11112.9
Rashod Bateman47.8618.53.9000109.15
Nelson Agholor16.82131.500038.7
Devin Duvernay8.290.10.65.236.40.2621.91
James Proche2.626.60.20005.16

Odell Beckham: Beckham Jr. started his career with three consecutive seasons of at least 90/1,300/10 and 1,000-plus yards in five of his first six seasons. That said, OBJ has a total of 856 receiving yards over the past three years, which includes none in 2022 as he recovered from his knee injury. Even if he leads the team's receivers in fantasy production, the range between the team's WR1 and WR3 could be very narrow, as I project.

Zay Flowers: Flowers was ultra-productive for Boston College despite poor quarterback play and opposing defenses knowing he was "the guy." He gives the offense a shot in the arm, even if there isn't enough targets to go around for him to make a consistent weekly fantasy impact as a rookie.

Rashod Bateman: Bateman has appeared in 18 (of 34 possible) career games, and he has posted a receiving line so far of 61/800/3. If he scored the fantasy equivalent of that line last season, he would have finished as fantasy's WR43 in half-PPR scoring. Add in more competition (Beckham and Flowers) and the likelihood of a Bateman breakout in 2023 is relatively low.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews84.8962.67.42.18.40.06184.26
Isaiah Likely32.8362.52.800069.45
Charlie Kolar7.892.20.700017.32

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games in 2022, and his year-over-year production declined to 73/847/5. Even so, Andrews scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points (third on a PPG basis). The additions at wide receiver creates greater competition for targets, but he remains the clear top fantasy option in Baltimore's passing game.

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Monday, September 5, 2022

New England Patriots Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Mac Jones492327.23517.821.6511.0744.3132.90.66222.42
Brian Hoyer3724.12591.110.744.94.90.0514.11

Mac Jones: Despite being the last selected of five first-round quarterbacks in 2021, Jones played the best out of that group even if he was "way too protected" by the Patriots offense as a rookie. The "Pro Bowler" ended his rookie campaign with 3,801 passing yards (7.3 Y/A), 22 touchdowns (4.2%) and 13 interceptions (2.5%). The offensive line and offensive coaching create some concerns that could inhibit Jones' growth in his second season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Damien Harris2029097.0716.7120.90.7157.96
Rhamondre Stevenson167.57375.7830219.11.2152.49
Ty Montgomery30.8135.50.7712.8103.90.638.56
Pierre Strong27.1117.90.687.954.80.427.7

Damien Harris: Harris set career highs in rush attempts (202), rushing yards (929) and rushing touchdowns (15) in 2021. Finishing last season as fantasy's RB8 in non-PPR scoring, he still ended the year inside the top 14 across all scoring formats. Although he was the subject of some trade speculation, the contract-year running back remains on the roster although the gap between him and Rhamondre Stevenson may be minimal.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson carried the ball 133 times for 606 yards (4.56 YPC) and five touchdowns as a rookie, and added 14 catches for 123 yards. He had 19-plus carries in three games last season and finished with 100-plus rushing yards and a pair of scores in two of them. Bill Belichick has talked up Stevenson's development in the pass game and said "it might even become a strength." Even if Harris enters the season as the 1A to Stevenson's 1B, it wouldn't be a shock if the former Sooner emerges as the team's most productive back.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jakobi Meyers67.6745.93.8000131.19
DeVante Parker52.96764000118.05
Kendrick Bourne35413.62.57.448.10.1579.57
Nelson Agholor29360.72.12.511.30.0564.6
Tyquan Thornton14.1192.6100032.31
Matthew Slater0.55.700000.82

Jakobi Meyers: The good news is that Meyers finally scored a touchdown, actually two of them, to go along with 126 targets, 83 catches and 866 yards in 2021. Even with the Patriots trading for DeVante Parker, there's a decent chance that Meyers will lead the team in target share, receptions and yards, but the lack of red zone production gives him little upside.

DeVante Parker: As the saying goes, "the best ability is availability" and Parker has struggled with durability. With his 2019 season being the exception, Parker has missed multiple games in four of the past five seasons and has averaged only 12.8 games over that span. His 17-game pace during that stretch is 68/927/5 and it wouldn't surprise me if he was New England's most productive receiver if he stays healthy in 2022.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Hunter Henry53.2553.34.3000107.73
Jonnu Smith31.6330.52.26.234.10.1666.42

Hunter Henry: Henry's 2021 per-game numbers in receptions (2.9) and yards (35.5) were the lowest of his career outside of his rookie season. That said, he set a career high in touchdowns (nine).

Jonnu Smith: Smith had five-plus targets in each of his first four games as a Patriot, but then he was a recipient of five targets in only one of his other 12 games in 2021. With only one touchdown last season, Smith never finished better than TE15 (half-PPR scoring) in any game last season. Belichick has said that Smith has "had a really good offseason" and that "he's put himself in position to, I think, go out and play well."

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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Mac Jones563.2366.14083.224.2212.6741.4128.31.04253.94
Jarrett Stidham17.410.4118.30.730.684.63.50.056.94

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. Not only did Jones beat out Cam Newton for the starting job, but he won't have to look other his shoulder (if he struggles) with Newton no longer on the roster.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Damien Harris230.11058.55.7521.6170.20.9173.57
James White57.5221.41.2955.5464.32.8120.86
Rhamondre Stevenson98.9430.22.478.565.10.269.8
J.J. Taylor19.686.20.291.510.5012.16
Jakob Johnson0005.631.50.27.15
Brandon Bolden1.25.20.031.18.402.09

Damien Harris: In terms of usage, Harris has been a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that may not change much with James White returning to Foxboro given his well-defined third-down role within the Patriots offense. With New England handing the keys to the franchise to Mac Jones, the fantasy outlook for Harris should improve as he won't have to worry about Cam Newton vulturing rushing touchdowns.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White benefits from the team moving on from Cam Newton as it should translate into fewer QB rush attempts and more running back targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson's strong play -- 30/216/5 rushing in three preseason games -- was one factor the Patriots were comfortable parting ways with Sony Michel. Even so, the fourth-round rookie out of Oklahoma will likely need an injury to either Harris and/or White to be a factor in fantasy this season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jakobi Meyers64.9794.13.91.25.40.02135.92
Nelson Agholor50.8697.44000119.14
Kendrick Bourne36.7462.22.600080.17
N'Keal Harry27.9329.82.30.95.40.0261.39
Gunner Olszewski2.833.60.21.46.40.036.78

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

Nelson Agholor: Agholor set a career high in receiving yards (896) and tied a career high in touchdowns (eight) in his lone season in Las Vegas. While I expect Meyers to continue to perform as the team's WR1, it wouldn't surprise me if Agholor came close to duplicating his 2020 numbers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jonnu Smith47.1554.63.83.529.80.18105.87
Hunter Henry47.6529.43.600098.34
Devin Asiasi4.750.40.40009.79

Jonnu Smith: One year after investing a pair of Day 2 picks at the position, the Patriots double-dipped in the free-agent tight end market with Smith and Hunter Henry. Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

Hunter Henry: Missing multiple games in four consecutive seasons including all of 2018, Henry had 60 catches on 93 targets, both of which were career highs, for 613 yards and four touchdowns in 2020. Unfortunately for both Smith and Henry, however, their individual upside may cancel each other out.

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Friday, August 20, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Cam Newton339.2217.82442.213.748.1482.13535.34203.71
Mac Jones203.5132.31475.48.754.5819.961.70.594.03

Cam Newton: Newton struggled as a passer in 2020 and many reasons -- return from injury, new team with unusual offseason, lack of pass-catching talent, etc. -- attributed to his woeful passing numbers. Even though 33 quarterbacks threw more touchdowns than Newton (eight) and he threw more interceptions (10) than touchdowns, he also scored the 16th-most fantasy points as he rushed for 12 touchdowns.

Likely to run for fewer scores and throw for more, Newton has improved weapons in the passing game. At this point of the preseason, Newton appears to be in the driver's seat for the starting job even though Mac Jones, New England's first-round pick, has made it a real competition. If Newton struggles, however, it's possible that the Patriots make a (permanent) midseason switch to Jones.

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. It would be reasonable to assume that Jones makes some starts during the season even if he doesn't win the job outright to begin the season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Damien Harris216.5995.95.4115.9127.30.6156.33
James White42.3158.60.9551.6440.72.6107.03
Sony Michel69.7299.71.746.745.10.148.87
Rhamondre Stevenson56243.61.45.443.10.240.97
J.J. Taylor2.5110.041.49.803.02
Brandon Bolden1.25.20.031.15.901.84

Damien Harris: In terms of usage, Harris is a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that likely won't change much with James White returning to Foxboro given his well-defined third-down role within the Patriots offense. The other major obstacle to Harris being a top-24 option is the presence of Cam Newton, who rushed for six times as many touchdowns as Harris (12 to two) in 2020. As long as Newton holds off Mac Jones as the starter, there is the chance/likelihood that he vultures goal-line opportunities from Harris. While the skill set is there for a breakout, he's more correctly drafted as a flex option, which matches his ADP.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White would likely benefit from a quarterback shift from Newton to Jones as it would likely translate into fewer QB rush attempts and more running back targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson's strong play -- 25/193/4 rushing in two preseason games -- could lead to the Patriots parting ways with Sony Michel. Even so, the fourth-round rookie out of Oklahoma is unlikely to carry much fantasy value in 2021 as both Harris and White will be featured more prominently even if Michel is cut/dealt.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jakobi Meyers60.4722.83.51.25.40.02124.14
Nelson Agholor47.3638.63.5000108.51
Kendrick Bourne34.1430.92.300073.94
N'Keal Harry32.9385.92.5160.0270.76
Gunner Olszewski2.629.40.21.56.90.036.31

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

Nelson Agholor: Agholor set a career high in receiving yards (896) and tied a career high in touchdowns (eight) in his lone season in Las Vegas. While I expect Meyers to continue to perform as the team's WR1, it wouldn't surprise me if Agholor came close to duplicating his 2020 numbers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jonnu Smith42505.43.33.731.50.1995.63
Hunter Henry44.3485.83.200089.93
Devin Asiasi4.4470.30008.7

Jonnu Smith: One year after investing a pair of Day 2 picks at the position, the Patriots double-dipped in the free-agent tight end market with Smith and Hunter Henry. Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

Hunter Henry: Missing multiple games in four consecutive seasons including all of 2018, Henry had 60 catches on 93 targets, both of which were career highs, for 613 yards and four touchdowns in 2020. Unfortunately for both Smith and Henry, however, their individual upside may cancel each other out.

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Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Cam Newton325.7209.1234513.197.8279.6342.35.17196.17
Mac Jones217.1141.115749.344.8822.469.40.56100.86

Cam Newton: Newton struggled as a passer and many reasons -- return from injury, new team with unusual offseason, lack of pass-catching talent, etc. -- attributed to his woeful passing numbers. Even though 33 quarterbacks threw more touchdowns than Newton (eight) and he threw more interceptions (10) than touchdowns, he also scored the 16th-most fantasy points as he rushed for 12 touchdowns.

Likely to run for fewer scores and throw for more, Newton has improved weapons in the passing game. If he struggles, however, it's possible that the Patriots make a (permanent) midseason switch to first-round pick Mac Jones.

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. It would be reasonable to assume that Jones makes some starts during the season even if he doesn't win the job outright to begin the season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Damien Harris214984.45.3514107.80.5151.32
James White42.3158.60.9551.7440.92.6107.1
Sony Michel87.1374.52.187490.260.13
Rhamondre Stevenson41.1178.80.825.341.10.230.76
J.J. Taylor2.5110.041.49.803.02
Brandon Bolden1.25.20.041.27.802.14

Damien Harris: Harris is a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that likely won't change much with James White returning to Foxboro. The other major obstacle to Harris being a top-24 option is the presence of Cam Newton, who rushed for six times as many touchdowns as Harris (12 to two) in 2020. As long as Newton holds off Mac Jones as the starter, there is the chance/likelihood that he vultures goal-line opportunities from Harris.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White would likely benefit from a quarterback shift from Newton to Jones as it would likely translate into more running back targets and fewer QB rush attempts.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jakobi Meyers58.7703.53.41.25.40.02120.76
Nelson Agholor47.3634.93.5000108.14
Kendrick Bourne35.9448.72.500077.82
N'Keal Harry33.6393.92.6160.0272.51
Gunner Olszewski2.629.40.21.56.90.036.31

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

Nelson Agholor: Agholor set a career high in receiving yards (896) and tied a career high in touchdowns (eight) in his lone season in Las Vegas. While I expect Meyers to continue to perform as the team's WR1, it wouldn't surprise me if Agholor duplicated his 2020 numbers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jonnu Smith41.3495.83.23.731.50.1993.72
Hunter Henry43.24823.100088.4
Devin Asiasi4.4470.40009.3
Dalton Keene2.627.40.20005.24

Jonnu Smith: One year after investing a pair of Day 2 picks at the position, the Patriots double-dipped in the free-agent tight end market with Smith and Hunter Henry. Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

Hunter Henry: Missing multiple games in four consecutive seasons including all of 2018, Henry had 60 catches on 93 targets, both of which were career highs, for 613 yards and four touchdowns in 2020. Unfortunately for both Smith and Henry, however, their individual upside may cancel each other out.

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Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Week 15 Fantasy Football WR Waiver Wire Rankings

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Keke Coutee, Houston Texans (45%)

With Brandin Cooks inactive in Week 14, it was a surprise that Coutee was targeted only three times against the Chicago Bears. Catching all three of his targets for 24 yards, he (and fantasy managers) was (were) fortunate that one of those catches went for a touchdown.

Two weeks ago in the first game of the season following Will Fuller's PED suspension, Coutee had 8/141 on nine targets against the Indianapolis Colts. Since entering the league, Coutee has faced the Colts four times including a playoff matchup and he has exceeded the 100-yard mark in three of them. In those four games combined, he has accumulated 43 targets, 33 receptions, 385 yards and a touchdown.

2. Nelson Agholor, Las Vegas Raiders (36%)

Agholor had five catches for 100 yards and a touchdown on nine targets against the Colts on Sunday. The first-year Raider now has at least nine targets in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, he has turned his 35 targets into 20 catches for 280 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Among wide receivers, he ranks inside the top 15 in half-PPR points scored (14th), targets (11th), receiving yards (15th) and touchdowns (T-13th) over that span.

3. Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos (28%)

In Week 12, COVID-19 sidelined the team's entire quarterback room and Kendall Hinton (practice squad wide receiver) was forced to start at quarterback as he completed only one pass (to Noah Fant).

If we exclude that anomaly with Hinton under center, Patrick has at least three receptions in nine consecutive games. In those nine games, he has a stat line of 37/590/6, which is equivalent to a 16-game pace of 66/1,049/11.

4. Rashard Higgins, Cleveland Browns (11%)

Higgins now has 65-plus yards in three of his past four games with back-to-back games of 15-plus fantasy points (half-PPR). In his past two games, he has 6/95/1 on nine targets against the Tennessee Titans and 6/68/1 on 10 targets against the Baltimore Ravens last night. As Baker Mayfield and the Browns passing offense clicks, the team's No. 2 receiver should remain in the WR3 mix the rest of the way.

5. Chad Hansen, Houston Texans (2%)

In his first action of the season, Hansen had five catches for 101 yards on seven targets in Week 13 against the Colts. He followed up that performance with a 7/56 line on seven targets, all of which were team highs, against the Bears on Sunday. Reverting to the practice squad, Hansen should get elevated to the active roster again and he's a viable flex option in Week 15.

6. Russell Gage, Atlanta Falcons (11%)

Throwing a touchdown to Calvin Ridley, Gage also caught five-of-seven targets for 82 yards against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. If Julio Jones (hamstring) is sidelined again in Week 15, Gage will be in the WR3/flex mix as he now has at least seven targets and 50 receiving yards in three of four games. Over that four-game span, he has 19 receptions for 225 yards and a touchdown on 32 targets in addition to his 39-yard touchdown pass.

7. Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills (7%)

Davis had only 19 receiving yards in Week 14 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but he has now scored in three consecutive games and he had his second-most targets (eight) of the season this week. Over the past three weeks, Davis has nine receptions on 16 targets for 166 yards and three touchdowns. If John Brown (ankle) continues to miss more time (even though he's expected to return to practice this week), Davis has some sleeper appeal for managers in deeper leagues.

8. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Green Bay Packers (20%)

It's difficult to trust any Packers receiver other than Davante Adams, but Valdes-Scantling had six catches for 85 yards and a touchdown in Week 14 against the Detroit Lions. MVS now has six targets in three of the last four games in which he was active and more than 50 receiving yards in four of his past five. In his past five games played, he has 15 catches for 342 yards (22.8 Y/R) and four touchdowns.

+ More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 15

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