Showing posts with label Josh Hill. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Josh Hill. Show all posts

Thursday, July 18, 2019

New Orleans Saints 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Drew Brees522.9379.14235.528.768.3729.823.82.24283.54
Now the NFL's recordholder for passing yards, Brees needs just 20 touchdowns to overtake Peyton Manning for that record as well. Perhaps more impressively, Brees has been a model of consistency with 15 consecutive seasons as fantasy's QB9 or better. The days of Brees slinging it 600-plus times appears over, however, as his pass attempts in 2017 (536, 33.5/G) and 2018 (489, 32.6/G) are the two lowest of his Saints tenure. Could 2019 be the first season that Brees doesn't finish as a top-nine fantasy quarterback as a Saint?
Taysom Hill5.42.747.50.220.1934.4168.61.3827.54
Teddy Bridgewater10.8777.80.430.323.41.704.36

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

 

RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Alvin Kamara216.9986.910.377.7691.53.5250.64
Even though he has a total of only 476 touches through two seasons, Kamara has finished as a top-four fantasy running back (any scoring format) in both of his first two NFL seasons. Another top-four season is the expectation based on his ADP and our rankings. Kamara has scored 32 touchdowns -- 22 rushing, nine receiving and one return -- in his 31 NFL games with more than 1,500 scrimmage yards in both seasons.
Latavius Murray137.7564.66.8919.9135.30.2112.53
Before last season (RB32, RB38 in PPR), Murray had finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in standard-scoring formats for three consecutive seasons. While he's unlikely to bounce back to that level of fantasy production, we've seen the Saints offense support to productive running backs with Kamara and Mark Ingram so it's possibly that Murray flirts with back-end RB2 production in standard-scoring formats as a Saint.
Buck Allen11.543.70.236.640.30.2611.34
Zach Line4.615.20.143.212.80.325.56
Dwayne Washington11.547.20.120005.44

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Thomas108.51269.58.14000175.79
Three years into his young career, Thomas continues to improve each season -- 92/1,137/9 in 2017, 104/1,245/5 in 2018 and 125/1,405/9 in 2019. Since Thomas has been in the league, there have been 19 100-catch seasons and, of those, only Christian McCaffrey (86.3%, 2018) had a better catch rate than Thomas (85.0%, 2018) over the past three years. The only other wide receivers with 100 catches and catch rate above 70 percent -- Adam Thielen (73.9%, 2018), Larry Fitzgerald (71.3%, 2016) and DeAndre Hopkins (70.6%, 2018).
Ted Ginn Jr.44.7603.54.029.255.20.0990.53
Missing more than half of the season on Injured Reserve, Ginn (knee) still got at least six targets in the seven games (including playoffs) in which he appeared. While Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara are the clear focal points of the Saints' offense, Ginn will have some big weeks as the No. 3, perhaps No. 4, option in the offense.
Tre'quan Smith25367.5300054.75
Smith had a couple of big games (3/111 vs. WAS and 10/157/1 vs. PHI) and a lot of quiet games (23 yards or less in 11 of the other 13). Even if he's more consistent on a weekly basis, it's difficult to trust any receiver not named Thomas in season-long formats.
Keith Kirkwood13.6191.81.3600027.34
Rishard Matthews101320.8500018.3
Cameron Meredith10.4133.10.8300018.29
Chad Hansen331.80.210004.44
Austin Carr2.628.10.210004.07

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jared Cook50.1663.85.1400097.22
Oakland's passing game had virtually nothing last season and Cook paced the team by leading them in targets (101), receptions (68), yards (896) and touchdowns (six). Setting career highs across the board, Cook finished as fantasy's TE5 last season. Perhaps his year-over-year target share dips, but there is also a major offensive boost with Drew Brees and the Saints.
Josh Hill11.9121.40.7100016.4
Dan Arnold4.351.60.430007.74

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Saturday, June 22, 2019

New Orleans Saints 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Drew Brees544.2394.54380.829.938.7129.823.82.24293.35
Now the NFL's recordholder for passing yards, Brees needs just 20 touchdowns to overtake Peyton Manning for that record as well. Perhaps more impressively, Brees has been a model of consistency with 15 consecutive seasons as fantasy's QB9 or better. The days of Brees slinging it 600-plus times appears over, however, as his pass attempts in 2017 (536, 33.5/G) and 2018 (489, 32.6/G) are the two lowest of his Saints tenure. Could 2019 be the first season that Brees doesn't finish as a top-nine fantasy quarterback as a Saint?
Taysom Hill5.62.849.30.220.234.4168.61.3827.59
Teddy Bridgewater11.27.380.60.450.343.41.704.51

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

 

RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Alvin Kamara216.9986.910.380.97203.64254.33
Even though he has a total of only 476 touches through two seasons, Kamara has finished as a top-four fantasy running back (any scoring format) in both of his first two NFL seasons. Another top-four season is the most likely outcome based on his ADP. Kamara has scored 32 touchdowns -- 22 rushing, nine receiving and one return -- in his 31 NFL games with more than 1,500 scrimmage yards in both seasons.
Latavius Murray137.7564.66.8920.7140.80.21113.14
Before last season (RB32, RB38 in PPR), Murray had finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in standard-scoring formats for three consecutive seasons. While he's unlikely to bounce back to that level of fantasy production, we've seen the Saints offense support to productive running backs with Kamara and Mark Ingram so it's possibly that Murray flirts with back-end RB2 production in standard-scoring formats as a Saint.
Buck Allen12.647.90.256.841.50.2712.06
Devine Ozigbo10.342.20.21170.026.3
Zach Line4.615.20.143.413.60.345.76

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Thomas112.91320.98.47000182.91
Three years into his young career, Thomas continues to improve each season -- 92/1,137/9 in 2017, 104/1,245/5 in 2018 and 125/1,405/9 in 2019. Since Thomas has been in the league, there have been 19 100-catch seasons and, of those, only Christian McCaffrey (86.3%, 2018) had a better catch rate than Thomas (85.0%, 2018) over the past three years. The only other wide receivers with 100 catches and catch rate above 70 percent -- Adam Thielen (73.9%, 2018), Larry Fitzgerald (71.3%, 2016) and DeAndre Hopkins (70.6%, 2018).
Ted Ginn Jr.47.4639.94.279.255.20.0995.67
Missing more than half of the season on Injured Reserve, Ginn (knee) still got at least six targets in the seven games (including playoffs) in which he appeared. While Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara are the clear focal points of the Saints' offense, Ginn will have some big weeks as the No. 3, perhaps No. 4, option in the offense.
Tre'quan Smith26387.43.1200057.46
Smith had a couple of big games (3/111 vs. WAS and 10/157/1 vs. PHI) and a lot of quiet games (23 yards or less in 11 of the other 13). Even if he's more consistent on a weekly basis, it's difficult to trust any receivers other than Thomas (and perhaps Ginn) in season-long formats.
Keith Kirkwood152131.500030.3
Rishard Matthews12.9170.31.100023.63
Cameron Meredith11.8152.20.9400020.86
Chad Hansen3.941.30.270005.75
Austin Carr2.729.20.220004.24

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jared Cook51.2678.45.2500099.34
Oakland's passing game had virtually nothing last season and Cook paced the team by leading the team in targets (101), receptions (68), yards (896) and touchdowns (six). Setting career highs across the board, Cook finished as fantasy's TE5 last season. Perhaps his year-over-year target share dips, but there is also a major offensive boost with Drew Brees and the Saints.
Josh Hill11.4116.30.6800015.71
Dan Arnold4.5540.450008.1

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Wednesday, August 8, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: New Orleans Saints

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Drew Brees545389.7441528.111.433.626.91.71.2276.69
After throwing more than 625 pass attempts in each of the previous seven seasons, Brees threw it only 536 times for 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns, both of which were lows of his 12 seasons in New Orleans. Even so, his 4,334 passing yards still ranked fourth in the NFL behind Tom Brady (4,577), Philip Rivers (4,515) and Matthew Stafford (4,446).

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alvin Kamara192.61020.87.770.2666.92.90.8231.37
Due to efficiency (6.1 YPC and 10.2 Y/R) and 14 touchdowns (eight rushing, five receiving and one return), Kamara finished as a top-four fantasy back (RB3 in PPR) as a rookie. Even though that level of efficiency isn't sustainable, Kamara was slated for a larger workload even before Mark Ingram was suspended for four games. An increase to 250-plus touches (from 201) could mean that Kamara repeats as a top-five fantasy back, especially in PPR formats.
Mark Ingram181.4852.67.439.3277.10.81.9158.37
Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. Playing full 16-game seasons in back-to-back years, Ingram has rushed for 1,000-plus yards and scored double-digit touchdowns in consecutive seasons. Although he'll miss the first four games due to a PED suspension, that creates more fantasy appeal (to a certain degree) as there is a discount for his strong production from Weeks 5 to 16, which matter much more than Weeks 1 to 4 when it's easier to find a suspension-replacement RB2.
Terrance West13.452.30.3213.60.10.18.79
Trey Edmunds11.652.20.300007.02
Zach Line412.40.22.816.80.305.92
Boston Scott3.113.30.13.730.30.10.15.36
Jonathan Williams5.824.10.11.811.70.104.78

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Thomas94.81175.57.30000.8159.75
With 196 receptions for 2,382 yards and 14 touchdowns through two NFL seasons, Thomas has at least 92 catches and 1,137 yards each season. No player has more receptions through his first two NFL seasons than Thomas.
Cameron Meredith55.6728.44.40001.596.24
While he missed all of last season with a torn ACL, Meredith had 66 catches for 888 yards and four touchdowns over 14 games with the Bears in 2016. Even though he's the WR2/3 on the team behind Thomas, Meredith has some upside in a better offense with a much better quarterback.
Ted Ginn38.4556.83.85.4270.10.181.58
Finishing as a top-35 fantasy wide receiver, Ginn Jr. nearly set career highs with 53 receptions and 787 yards in his first season with the Saints. Given the team's acquisition of Meredith, duplicating last year's numbers seems unlikely as I expect Meredith to be the team's second-most productive wide receiver.
Tre'quan Smith5.685.10.40000.110.71
Tommylee Lewis4.652.90.20.93.600.47.85
Brandon Tate3.450.30.30000.16.63

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Benjamin Watson50.7517.14.30000.177.31
Watson's last season (2015) in New Orleans was the best of his career from a fantasy perspective (TE8). Another 74/825/6 season on 110 targets (like 2015) is unlikely for the 37-year-old tight end, but there is a chance he turns into a fringe TE1/TE2 fantasy option in his return to the Saints.
Josh Hill10.690.10.8000111.81
Michael Hoomanawanui3.425.50.30000.14.15

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Friday, July 6, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: New Orleans Saints

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Drew Brees541386.8435526.510.333.626.91.71.2270.09
After throwing more than 625 pass attempts in each of the previous seven seasons, Brees threw it only 536 times for 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns, both of which were lows of his 12 seasons in New Orleans. Even so, his 4,334 passing yards still ranked fourth in the NFL behind Tom Brady (4,577), Philip Rivers (4,515) and Matthew Stafford (4,446).

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alvin Kamara188.21006.97.571681.63.10.8233.25
Due to efficiency (6.1 YPC and 10.2 Y/R) and 14 touchdowns (eight rushing, five receiving and one return), Kamara finished as a top-four fantasy back (RB3 in PPR) as a rookie. Even though that level of efficiency won't be sustainable, Kamara was slated for a larger workload even before Mark Ingram was suspended for four games. An increase to 250-plus touches (from 201) could mean that Kamara repeats as a top-five fantasy back in 2018.
Mark Ingram188.6895.97.9392750.81.9165.49
Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. To a certain degree, Ingram's four-game suspension creates more fantasy appeal. Granted, his full-season production will be lower, but filling his RB2 spot in the first four weeks without the burden of (many) byes isn't difficult and there is a discount given the level of strong production from Weeks 5 to 16.
Zach Line5.8180.32.716.20.307.02
Trey Edmunds11.652.20.300007.02
Jonathan Williams8.133.60.21.811.70.106.33
Terrance West5.421.10.11.711.60.10.14.27
Boston Scott1.35.60216.40.10.12.6

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Thomas92.11123.66.90000.8152.16
With 196 receptions for 2,382 yards and 14 touchdowns through two NFL seasons, Thomas has at least 92 catches and 1,137 yards each season. No player has more receptions through his first two NFL seasons than Thomas.
Cameron Meredith52.6689.14.20001.591.11
While he missed all of last season with a torn ACL, Meredith had 66 catches for 888 yards and four touchdowns over 14 games with the Bears in 2016. Even though he's the WR2/3 on the team behind Thomas, Meredith has some upside in a better offense with a much better quarterback.
Ted Ginn33.9491.63.46.733.50.10.173.31
Finishing as a top-35 fantasy wide receiver, Ginn Jr. nearly set career highs with 53 receptions and 787 yards in his first season with the Saints. Given the team's acquisition of Meredith, duplicating last year's numbers seems unlikely as I expect Meredith to be the team's second-most productive wide receiver.
Brandon Coleman17.5246.81.8000133.48
Tre'quan Smith4.974.50.40000.19.65
Tommylee Lewis4.248.30.20.93.600.45.59

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Benjamin Watson48.74873.90000.171.9
Watson's last season (2015) in New Orleans was the best of his career from a fantasy perspective (TE8). Another 74/825/6 season on 110 targets (like 2005) is unlikely for the 37-year-old tight end, but there is a chance he turns into a fringe TE1/TE2 fantasy option in his return to the Saints.
Josh Hill9.782.50.8000111.05
Michael Hoomanawanui2.720.30.20000.13.03

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Thursday, May 24, 2018

2018 Fanatsy Football Projections: New Orleans Saints

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Drew Brees539385.4433925.310.233.226.61.71.2264.82
After throwing more than 625 pass attempts in each of the previous seven seasons, Brees threw it only 536 times for 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns, both of which were lows of his 12 seasons in New Orleans.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alvin Kamara187.91024.17.570.7682.33.20.8235.64
Due to efficiency (6.1 YPC and 10.2 Y/R) and 14 touchdowns (eight rushing, five receiving and one return), Kamara finished as a top-four fantasy back (RB3 in PPR) as a rookie. Even though that level of efficiency won't be sustainable, Kamara was slated for a larger workload even before Mark Ingram was suspended for four games. An increase to 250-plus touches (from 201) could mean that Kamara repeats as a top-five fantasy back in 2018.
Mark Ingram190.1912.5841289.10.81.9169.16
Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. To a certain degree, Ingram's four-game suspension creates more fantasy appeal. Granted, his full-season production will be lower, but filling his RB2 spot without the burden of bye weeks isn't difficult and there is a discount given the level of strong production from Weeks 5 to 16.
Zach Line6.219.20.32.716.20.307.14
Trey Edmunds10.245.90.300006.39
Jonathan Williams833.20.21.811.70.106.29
Boston Scott1.35.60216.40.10.12.6

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Thomas91.91121.26.90000.8151.92
With 196 receptions for 2,382 yards and 14 touchdowns through two NFL seasons, Thomas has at least 92 catches and 1,137 yards each season. No player has more receptions through his first two NFL seasons than Thomas.
Cameron Meredith51.3654.13.60001.584.01
While he missed all of last season with a torn ACL, Meredith had 66 catches for 888 yards and four touchdowns over 14 games in 2016. Even though he's the WR2/3 on the team behind Thomas, Meredith has some upside in a better offense with a much better quarterback.
Ted Ginn33478.52.16.6330.10.164.15
Finishing as a top-35 fantasy wide receiver, Ginn Jr. nearly set career highs with 53 receptions and 787 yards in his first season with the Saints. Given the team's acquisition of Meredith, duplicating last year's numbers seems unlikely as I expect Meredith to be the team's second-most productive wide receiver.
Brandon Coleman17.4245.31.7000132.73
Tre'quan Smith4.974.50.40000.19.65
Tommylee Lewis5.765.60.30.93.600.47.92

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Benjamin Watson48.54853.90000.171.7
Watson's last season (2015) in New Orleans was the best from a fantasy perspective (TE8) of his career. Another 74/825/6 season on 110 targets is unlikely for the 37-year-old tight end, but there is a chance he turns into a fringe TE1/TE2 option in his return to the Saints.
Josh Hill9.782.50.8000111.05
Michael Hoomanawanui3.324.80.30000.14.08

More Fantasy Football TE Resources:
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