The Daily Blitz: Mark Ingram

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Sunday, September 4, 2022

New Orleans Saints Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jameis Winston	489.2	308.7	3546.7	22.5	11.74	46.5	197.6	1.51	237.21
Andy Dalton	42.5	27.1	295.4	1.74	1.23	12.9	36.1	0.26	21.49

Jameis Winston: Winston has an improved group of pass catchers at his disposal with the return of Michael Thomas and the additions of first-rounder Chris Olave and free agent Jarvis Landry. As long as he remains aggressive without being careless with the football, there is some upside from his ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	209.4	931.8	6.28	53.4	439.9	2.8	218.35
Mark Ingram	139.6	572.4	4.54	12.8	92.2	0.6	103.7
Dwayne Washington	38.8	161	1.07	3.7	28.8	0.2	28.45
Tony Jones Jr.	27.1	117.9	0.68	1.8	13.4	0.1	18.71
Adam Prentice	5.2	16.1	0.13	2.7	19.2	0.1	6.26

Alvin Kamara: It appears that any suspension resulting from Kamara's battery case will likely occur in 2023, although it remains an added layer of risk for those that use an early pick on him. He set a career high in rush attempts (240), despite playing a career-low 13 games in 2021. Kamara also set career lows in YPC (3.7), targets (67), receptions (47) and receiving yards per game (33.8). Excluding the four games he missed, however, Kamara was still the RB4 in half-PPR scoring (RB5 on per-game basis).

Mark Ingram: If Kamara is suspended during any part of the 2022 season, which seems unlikely (as noted above), Ingram should lead the backfield in workload and become a viable RB2/flex option during that stretch. If Kamara doesn't miss any time, however, the 32-year-old is likely to have minimal stand-alone value.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Michael Thomas	73.7	895.2	5.5	1.3	5.2	0.04	160.13
Chris Olave	54.6	766.5	4.4	0	0	0	130.35
Jarvis Landry	51.2	609	3.6	5.2	31.2	0.31	113.08
Marquez Callaway	12.6	171	1.2	0	0	0	30.6
Deonte Harty	8.6	107.6	0.7	5.2	39	0.23	24.54
Tre'quan Smith	5.9	82.6	0.6	0	0	0	14.81

Michael Thomas: Thomas missed all of 2021 and appeared in only seven games in 2020. Before that, however, he led the NFL in receptions (149) and yards (1,725) in 2019. A return to league-leading production isn't likely, but he's a viable WR3 in fantasy. It appears his latest injury (hamstring) is unlikely to keep him out of the starting lineup in Week 1.

Chris Olave: The 11th overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, Olave is a polished route-runner with the speed to win vertically. While he isn't the biggest receiver and won't break many tackles, he'll make an immediate impact and is a viable WR4 as a rookie.

Jarvis Landry: Landry returns to his home state to form a talented trio of receivers with Thomas and Olave. Landry missed five games last season, but he had never finished with fewer than 72 catches or 101 targets in a season prior to that. His target share in 2022 may turn out to be a career low, but the five-time Pro Bowler has a history of outperforming expectations.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Adam Trautman	27.2	303.5	2	0	0	0	55.95
Taysom Hill	15.1	176.7	1.3	25.8	134.2	1.03	52.62
Juwan Johnson	6.7	76.8	0.7	0	0	0	15.23
Nick Vannett	5.9	59.6	0.5	0	0	0	11.91

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Wednesday, August 10, 2022

New Orleans Saints Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jameis Winston	489.2	308.7	3546.7	22.5	11.74	46.5	197.6	1.51	237.21
Andy Dalton	42.5	27.1	295.4	1.74	1.23	12.9	36.1	0.26	21.49

Jameis Winston: While Winston (foot) will miss a few days of practice, this injury isn't considered serious. When he is on the field, he'll have an improved group of pass catchers at his disposal with the return of Michael Thomas and the additions of first-rounder Chris Olave and free agent Jarvis Landry. As long as he remains aggressive without being careless with the football, there is some upside from his current ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	206.8	920.3	6.2	51.7	428.4	2.8	214.72
Mark Ingram	139.6	572.4	4.54	12.3	88.4	0.6	103.07
Dwayne Washington	37.5	155.6	1.03	3	23.1	0.2	26.75
Abram Smith	31	131.8	0.78	5.2	38.4	0.3	26.1
Adam Prentice	5.2	16.1	0.13	2.7	19.2	0.1	6.26

Alvin Kamara: Kamara's battery case was delayed again, which could push an expected suspension forward to the 2023 season. Kamara set a career high in rush attempts (240), despite playing a career-low 13 games in 2021. He also set career lows in YPC (3.7), targets (67), receptions (47) and receiving yards per game (33.8). When active, however, Kamara should perform as a top-10 back or better. Excluding the four weeks he missed in 2021, Kamara was the RB4 in half-PPR scoring (RB5 on per-game basis over same span).

Mark Ingram: If Kamara is suspended during any part of the 2022 season, Ingram would likely lead the backfield in workload. If so, the 32-year-old back would become a viable RB2/flex option during that stretch, but it's looking more likely that any suspension would occur in 2023.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Michael Thomas	71.4	870.2	5.3	1.3	5.2	0.04	155.28
Chris Olave	53.1	745.4	4.2	0	0	0	126.29
Jarvis Landry	47.9	574.4	3.4	5.2	31.2	0.31	106.77
Marquez Callaway	19.3	247.8	1.6	0	0	0	44.03
Deonte Harty	8.6	107.6	0.7	5.2	39	0.23	24.54
Tre'quan Smith	5.9	82.6	0.6	0	0	0	14.81

Michael Thomas: Thomas missed all of 2021 and appeared in only seven games in 2020. Before that, however, he led the NFL in receptions (149) and yards (1,725) in 2019. While a return to league-leading production isn't likely this season, there's a good chance that he becomes a fantasy value for managers that draft him.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Adam Trautman	30.6	341.9	2.3	0	0	0	63.29
Taysom Hill	11.8	138.3	1.1	25.8	134.2	1.03	45.93
Juwan Johnson	6.7	76.8	0.7	0	0	0	15.23
Nick Vannett	5.9	59.6	0.5	0	0	0	11.91

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Thursday, September 23, 2021

Houston Texans Week 3 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

Throughout the 2021 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Here is where the Houston Texans rank in terms of average, best and worst:

Average ranking: 27.6 (28th)
Best ranking: 27th (Multiple)
Worst ranking: 28th (Multiple)

Below you will find a Week 3 roundup for the Texans in our consensus 2021 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 29

Fantasy surprise: RB Mark Ingram II

Because the Texans have five running backs on the roster, it made it a harder decision about whether one of the veteran backs (Ingram, Phillip Lindsay and David Johnson) was startable. It was Ingram in Week 1 who led the way with 85 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. He fueled the team again against the Browns, although he didn't get in the end zone. A lot of how the Texans' running backs are used will depend on the game script, which is why Johnson led the group in snaps played in Week 2. -- Sarah Barshop

NFL.com -- Rank: 29

Tyrod Taylor was cooking up an upset special on Sunday in Cleveland. The journeyman QB completed his first 10 passes and scored a pair of early touchdowns against the heavily favored Browns. Then misfortune visited the star-crossed passer once again. Taylor pulled his hamstring in the final seconds of the first half -- the injury knocked him out of the game and led to a quick scratch from Thursday's Week 3 tilt against the Panthers. On Monday, Texans coach David Culley dismissed any thought that Deshaun Watson could re-enter the picture, so instead it will be rookie Davis Mills getting his first career start against a thriving Carolina defense in prime time. This doesn't feel promising.

CBS Sports -- Rank: 28

With Tyrod Taylor out, rookie Davis Mills gets the start against Carolina. After his first series against the Browns, he did some good things.

USA Today -- Rank: 27

Bad enough we have to see them on a national stage in Week 3. But now we have to watch third-round rookie QB Davis Mills replace perennially luckless Tyrod Taylor while Deshaun Watson continues collecting paychecks from his couch.

The Athletic -- Rank: 27

This rating would be far higher if Tyrod Taylor hadn't suffered a hamstring injury that will sideline him for at least a few weeks. Taylor was playing great through six quarters, with three touchdown passes, a rushing score and no interceptions. But now he's out and rookie Davis Mills is starting on a short week against the Panthers on Thursday. Mills, who completed 8-of-18 passes for 102 yards, with a touchdown and an interception after replacing Taylor last week, will be backed up by Jeff Driskel. Deshaun Watson remains inactive.

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Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Fantasy Football RB Waiver Wire Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be rostered in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Eli Mitchell, San Francisco 49ers (8%)

When the 49ers traded up in the third round to draft Ohio State's Trey Sermon, many jumped to the conclusion that Sermon would earn a substantial Day 1 workload. With Sermon a (surprise) healthy scratch, it was another rookie that had a massive workload and productive day.

#49ers Kyle Shanahan says Trey Sermon simply was not among top 3 RBs out of camp, glad Mitchell ran well without hesitation today
— Cam Inman (@CamInman) September 12, 2021

It's unclear how much work the team would have allocated to Mitchell, the 194th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, if Raheem Mostert (knee) didn't exit the game early. With Mostert leaving after two carries, however, Mitchell carried the ball 19 times for 104 yards and a touchdown. While JaMycal Hasty also had a three-yard touchdown, it was his only carry.

Mostert will miss the rest of the season and Mitchell should be in line for the largest share of the workload (at least, in the short term) even assuming that Sermon would be active.

The 49ers will head to Philadelphia for a Week 2 matchup against the Eagles.

2. Tony Jones Jr., New Orleans Saints (23%)

In two seasons with the Saints, Latavius Murray averaged 11.26 touches per game and he finished as fantasy's RB33 (2020) and RB29 (2019), respectively, in half-PPR scoring. In the first game with Murray no longer on the roster, Jones assumed the complementary role to Alvin Kamara and handled 12 touches.

Jones racked up 53 scoreless scrimmage yards (50 rushing and three receiving), but that level of workload would likely yield flex-level production for those that roster Jones this season. And if Kamara were to miss any time, there is enormous weekly upside for Jones. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

3. James White, New England Patriots (33%)

In the opener, White had six catches for 49 yards on seven targets and four carries for 12 yards. With Mac Jones taking the reigns from Cam Newton, there will undoubtedly be more running back targets in 2021 than in 2020.

Before hauling in 49 receptions for 375 yards on 62 targets last season, White had a minimum of 95 targets, 72 receptions and 645 receiving yards in each of the previous two seasons with Tom Brady under center. Perhaps a return to that level of receiving production is unlikely, but he's a viable RB3/flex, especially in full PPR formats.

4. Mark Ingram, Houston Texans (19%)

Unanimously ranked 32nd in our consensus NFL Power Rankings, the Texans may not jump out to such a commanding lead again like they did in this one -- 27-7 lead at halftime -- for the rest of the season. That said, Ingram had 26 of the running back's 41 touches (63.4%) Sunday for 85 yards and a touchdown.

Perhaps he never sees north of 25 touches again, but it's difficult to ignore that kind of workload. Heading into Monday Night Football, only Cincinnati's Joe Mixon (33) and Christian McCaffrey (30) had more touches on the week. Minnesota's Dalvin Cook also had 26 touches.

Game script for next week's matchup against the Cleveland Browns could force the Texans into catchup mode early, but if Ingram continues to handle Houston's largest share of the workload, he may enter the flex range in more competitive matchups.

5. Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles (8%)

Philadelphia's 30 running back touches were allocated, as follows: Miles Sanders (19), Gainwell (11) and Boston Scott (zero). Based on Week 1 usage, Gainwell appears to be well ahead of Scott on the depth chart. The rookie from Memphis surprised many when he slipped to the fifth round, but it may not surprise many that he's carved out a signifcant role as a change-of-pace option to Sanders. In his NFL debut, Gainwell had nine carries for 37 yards and a score plus two receptions for six yards on three targets.

Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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Saturday, September 4, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Houston Texans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyrod Taylor	395.4	242.6	2787.6	15.42	5.54	51.4	277.6	2.18	202.94
Davis Mills	169.5	102.5	1169.6	6.36	4.83	18.2	74.6	0.55	73.32

Tyrod Taylor: At +30,000 (via Bovada.lv), no team is a bigger long shot to win Super Bowl 56. Assuming the season goes off the tracks sooner than later, it wouldn't be a surprise to see the team give third-round rookie Davis Mills some starts. For as long as Taylor starts, however, he will be have plenty of streaming appeal given his rushing upside and plenty of favorable game scripts (from a fantasy perspective).

Davis Mills: As noted above, the team's likely poor record could lead to some starts for the third-rounder out of Stanford, which makes him a name to know in 2-QB leagues.

Deshaun Watson: Watson's unresolved legal issues as well as his trade request (under contract through 2025) this offseason adds a layer (or multiple layers) of uncertainty for Watson heading into the 2021 season. It's possible that he doesn't play a snap in 2021 even though he's currently on the Texans' 53-man roster.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
David Johnson	108.9	462.8	3.16	30.1	252.6	1.5	114.55
Phillip Lindsay	119	517.7	3.27	22.4	183.5	0.9	106.34
Mark Ingram	62.5	265.6	1.63	7.7	59.2	0.3	47.91
Rex Burkhead	38.9	159.5	1.13	11.2	84.9	0.4	39.22
Scottie Phillips	4	17.2	0.08	0.5	3.9	0	2.84

David Johnson: Johnson's three best games of the season occurred over the final three games of the season -- 18.8 half-PPR fantasy points (RB13), 27.4 (RB4) and 19.5 (RB11), respectively. The Texans should be one of the worst teams in the NFL in 2021 and the additions of Phillip Lindsay, Rex Burkhead and Mark Ingram further muddy DJ's 2021 outlook.

Phillip Lindsay: Beginning his career by rushing for 1,000-plus yards and hauling in 35 receptions in back-to-back seasons, Lindsay missed five games but was also on the wrong side of Denver's timeshare with Melvin Gordon in 2020. The former UDFA joins a crowded backfield in Houston that will be hampered often by negative game scripts.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brandin Cooks	76.6	1030.1	5.2	0	0	0	172.51
Nico Collins	45.6	594	3.1	0	0	0	100.8
Anthony Miller	37.9	444	2.4	0.4	1.7	0.01	77.98
Chris Conley	32.7	416.4	2.4	0	0	0	72.39
Andre Roberts	6.9	78.9	0.4	0	0	0	13.74

Brandin Cooks: Averaging a career-high 76.7 YPG, Cooks finished his first season in Houston with 81 catches for 1,150 yards and six touchdowns. From Week 5 on, Cooks had at least 59 yards in 10 of 11 games. During that 11-game span, he averaged 6.5 catches and 92 yards per game.

Even though Deshaun Watson is still (currently) on the roster, it's reasonable to project lower year-over-year numbers for Cooks with Tyrod Taylor to start. At the same time, he should be the recipient of as many targets as he can handle.

Nico Collins: Based on his combination of size (6-4, 215) and speed (4.45 forty), Collins enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal for a team that should be trailing (and therefore throwing) often.

Anthony Miller: No longer in Matt Nagy's doghouse, Miller will start fresh in Houston, but things may not necessarily be any better in terms of his fantasy production. In addition, Miller (shoulder) is expected to miss the start of the season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Jordan Akins	42.2	471.6	2.7	84.46
Brevin Jordan	16.7	175.6	1.2	33.11
Pharaoh Brown	13.8	151.9	1	28.09

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Saturday, September 5, 2020

Baltimore Ravens 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Jackson	440	291.5	3388	25.3	7.48	142.6	877	4.99	339.4
What's not to like about Jackson? Well, I mean, aside from his ADP? Jackson led the NFL in passing touchdowns (36) and TD% (9.0) and his rushing production -- 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns -- accounted for double-digit fantasy points per game (10.84) on its own. The dual-threat quarterback's rushing production provides an extremely high floor -- only one game with fewer than 19.8 fantasy points -- and high ceiling -- 10 of his 15 weeks were top-four weekly performances.
Robert Griffin III	35.7	21.8	235.6	1.21	0.89	16	56	0.16	19.04
Trace McSorley	0	0	0	0	0	1.5	5.3	0.03	0.71

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Ingram	184.8	840.8	6.93	25	205	2.25	159.66
Despite being second on his own team in rushing (behind Lamar Jackson), Ingram still performed as an RB1 in all scoring formats in 2019. Ingram eclipsed the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 5.0 yards per carry and scored a total of 15 touchdowns for the league's highest-scoring offense. Ingram's grip on the lead-back role is weakened some by the team drafting a talented back (J.K. Dobbins), but the veteran back remains a viable RB2 in 2020.
J.K. Dobbins	154.3	709.8	5.4	21.8	183.1	1.31	129.55
Some viewed Dobbins as the RB1 in this year's draft class. The former Buckeye enters a situation where his long-term success can be maximized, but the presence of Ingram atop the depth chart puts some constraints on Dobbins' short-term (i.e., 2020) outlook. Even so, the workload gap between Ingram and Dobbins should be narrower than it was between Ingram (228 touches in 2019) and the team's RB2 (Gus Edwards, 140) last year and Edwards finished as a top-50 back. Much more of a receiving threat than Edwards, Dobbins could still vastly exceed his current ADP.
Gus Edwards	69.8	335	2.79	2	13.6	0.02	51.72
While Dobbins is the future of the position for the run-heavy Ravens, it may be too early to automatically assume that he'll get the second-most touches behind Ingram on an every-week basis. The Athletic's Jeff Zrebiec recently wrote that "it might be a weekly decision" when it comes to who will get carries behind Ingram. Edwards averaged 5.3 yards per carry a season ago.
Patrick Ricard	0	0	0	7.4	37.7	1.11	10.43
Justice Hill	7.3	29.6	0.15	6.4	51.8	0.13	9.82

MORE: Baltimore Ravens 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Marquise Brown	64.7	857.3	6.79	0	0	0	126.47
The only first-round receiver drafted in 2019, Brown was the most productive wide receiver for the Ravens as the rookie finished with 42 catches for 584 yards and seven touchdowns. Never 100 percent last season due to his foot, Brown added 23 pounds this offseason. The only concern with Brown is the run-first nature of the offense, which will continue to lead to some boom-or-bust outings on a week-to-week basis.
Willie Snead	34.8	372.4	1.91	2.9	13.1	0.03	50.19
Miles Boykin	21.6	308.9	1.84	0	0	0	41.93
Devin Duvernay	19.9	222.9	1.39	2.9	15.1	0.06	32.5
James Proche	8.4	87.4	0.5	0	0	0	11.74
Chris Moore	1.3	14.2	0.1	0	0	0	2.02

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Andrews	69	903.9	6.9	0	0	0	131.79
In the year that the Ravens drafted Andrews, they used a first-round pick on a tight end except it wasn't Andrews. While that first-rounder (Hayden Hurst) was traded this offseason to Atlanta (and the move provides a boost for Hurst's outlook), Andrews is coming off a breakout season where he posted career highs in receptions (64), yards (852) and touchdowns (10). Andrews is a consensus top-three TE option behind Travis Kelce and George Kittle in 2020.
Nick Boyle	35.2	345	2.11	0	0	0	47.16
Boyle actually led Ravens' tight ends in snaps played (769, 69.59%) while posting receiving career highs across the board in targets (43), receptions (31), yards (321) and touchdowns (two) in 2019. Trading Hayden Hurst may not necessarily lead to an uptick in snaps played, but it's possible the trade leads to a few extra targets Boyle's way this season.
Jacob Breeland	0.7	6.4	0.04	0	0	0	0.88

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Sunday, August 23, 2020

Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Football Projections 2020

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Jackson	440	290.4	3388	25.3	7.48	145.5	894.8	5.09	341.78
What's not to like about Jackson? Well, I mean, aside from his ADP? Jackson led the NFL in passing touchdowns (36) and TD% (9.0) and his rushing production -- 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns -- accounted for double-digit fantasy points (10.84) per game on its own. The dual-threat quarterback's rushing production provides an extremely high floor -- only one game with fewer than 19.8 fantasy points -- and high ceiling -- 10 of his 15 weeks were top-four weekly performances.
Robert Griffin III	35.7	21.8	235.6	1.21	0.89	16	56	0.16	19.04
Trace McSorley	0	0	0	0	0	1.5	5.3	0.03	0.71

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Ingram	184.8	840.8	6.93	25	205	2.25	159.66
Despite being second on his own team in rushing (behind Lamar Jackson), Ingram still performed as an RB1 in all scoring formats in 2019. Ingram eclipsed the 1,000-yard rushing mark, averaged 5.0 yards per carry and scored a total of 15 touchdowns for the league's highest-scoring offense. Ingram's grip on the lead-back role is weakened some by the team drafting a talented back (J.K. Dobbins), but the veteran back remains a viable RB2 in 2020.
J.K. Dobbins	152.8	702.9	5.35	21.8	183.1	1.31	128.56
Some viewed Dobbins as the RB1 in this year's draft class. The former Buckeye enters a situation where his long-term success can be maximized, but the presence of Ingram atop the depth chart puts some constraints on Dobbins' short-term (i.e., 2020) outlook. Even so, the workload gap between Ingram and Dobbins should be narrower than it was between Ingram (228 touches in 2019) and the team's RB2 (Gus Edwards, 140) last year and Edwards finished as a top-50 back. Much more of a receiving threat than Edwards, Dobbins could still vastly exceed his current ADP.
Gus Edwards	68.4	328.3	2.74	2	13.6	0.02	50.75
While Dobbins is the future of the position for the run-heavy Ravens, it's too early to automatically assume that he'll get the second-most touches behind Ingram on an every-week basis. The Athletic's Jeff Zrebiec recently wrote that "it might be a weekly decision" when it comes to who will get carries behind Ingram. Edwards averaged 5.3 yards per carry a season ago.
Patrick Ricard	0	0	0	7.4	37.7	1.11	10.43
Justice Hill	7.3	29.6	0.15	6.4	51.8	0.13	9.82

MORE: Baltimore Ravens 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Marquise Brown	64.7	857.3	6.79	0	0	0	126.47
The only first-round receiver drafted in 2019, Brown was the most productive wide receiver for the Ravens as the rookie finished with 42 catches for 584 yards and seven touchdowns. Never 100 percent last season due to his foot, Brown added 23 pounds of muscle this offseason. The only concern with Brown is the run-first nature of the offense, which will continue to lead to some boom-or-bust outings on a week-to-week basis.
Willie Snead	35.6	380.9	1.96	2.9	13.1	0.03	51.34
Miles Boykin	20.2	288.9	1.72	0	0	0	39.21
Devin Duvernay	19.9	222.9	1.39	2.9	15.1	0.06	32.5
James Proche	8.4	87.4	0.5	0	0	0	11.74
Chris Moore	1.3	14.2	0.1	0	0	0	2.02

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Andrews	69.8	914.4	6.98	0	0	0	133.32
In the year that the Ravens drafted Andrews, they used a first-round pick on a tight end except it wasn't Andrews. While that first-rounder (Hayden Hurst) was traded this offseason to Atlanta (and the move provides a boost for his outlook), Andrews is coming off a breakout season where he posted career highs in receptions (64), yards (852) and touchdowns (10).
Nick Boyle	35.2	345	2.11	0	0	0	47.16
Boyle actually led Ravens' tight ends in snaps played (769, 69.59%) while posting receiving career highs across the board in targets (43), receptions (31), yards (321) and touchdowns (two) in 2019. Trading Hayden Hurst may not necessarily lead to an uptick in snaps played, but it's possible the trade leads to a few extra targets Boyle's way this season.
Jacob Breeland	0.7	6.4	0.04	0	0	0	0.88

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Saturday, July 6, 2019

Fantasy Football 2019 Outlook: Mark Ingram, Baltimore Ravens

After spending his first eight NFL seasons with Drew Brees in New Orleans' high-octane offense, Mark Ingram signed a three-year free-agent contract this offseason with the Baltimore Ravens.

Earlier in his career, Ingram had durability concerns as he missed three-plus games in four of his first five NFL seasons. With the exception on a four-game suspension to open last season, Ingram hasn't missed any (other) regular-season games over the past three seasons.

In something of a role reversal from 2017 to 2018, Ingram became the complement to Alvin Kamara, who looks to perform as a top-four fantasy back for a third consecutive season. On a per-game basis last year, Ingram set five-year lows in both rush attempts (11.5) and receptions (1.8).

Lead back in run-heavy attack

As Ingram begins the next phase of his career, he steps in as the favorite for a lead-back role for what is one of the league's most run-dominant offenses. That said, his grip on that role is certainly far from iron clad.

Gus Edwards showed how productive he could be as a runner over last season's final half. Rookie Justice Hill may enter 2019 as a complementary part of the backfield, but he has the potential for much more than a secondary role if the opportunity presents itself.

The days of Brees slinging it all over the yard are over as the future HOFer threw it just 489 times in his age-39 season. Wanting balance in their offensive attack, the Saints ranked fifth in the NFL in run-play percentage in 2018.

- MORE: Check out Kevin Hanson's way-too-early 2020 NFL Mock Draft.

But no team ran the ball more in absolute terms than the Ravens (547 attempts), who ended 2018 third in run-play percentage despite ranking just 25th before Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback. Of course, a huge reason for the jump is Jackson himself as he had more rush attempts than pass completions in six of his seven regular-season starts.

Baltimore should lead the NFL in rushing attempts this upcoming season and Jackson may even lead quarterbacks in carries. That said, the team will look for their thin-framed quarterback to run less often in 2019. Jackson's presence and threat to run, however, helps to open up running lanes as teams will undoubtedly try to make the Ravens beat them through the air.

RB2 with RB1 upside?

Even though he wasn't as productive as I would have expected last season, Ingram was fantasy's RB21 (RB20 in PPR) from Week 5 -- when he returned from suspension -- through the end of the year. Setting five-year workload lows, it could have been even worse.

Before last season's complementary role to Kamara, Ingram had finished as a top-10 fantasy running back in back-to-back seasons. Ingram was the RB6 in 2017 and the RB10 (RB8 in PPR) in 2016.
In those two seasons combined, Ingram was one of four players to have more than 2,000 rushing yards, 100 receptions and 20 combined touchdowns. The other three were Le'Veon Bell, Todd Gurley and LeSean McCoy.

An underrated receiver out of the backfield, only seven running backs have more receptions than Ingram (175) over the past four seasons. Ingram had only 21 catches last season, but he had 50, 46 and 58 from 2015 to 2017, respectively.

Ingram is also quick to get north-south as a runner. According to the NFL's NextGen stats, Ingram's 2018 average TLOS (Time to Line of Scrimmage) was 2.58 seconds, fourth-lowest among qualified running backs. Teammate Gus Edwards ranked first (2.43 seconds) in TLOS.

OL among the best

Just (or even more) important to the success of a running back than his own ability is the team's offensive line. And the good news is that Ingram won't suffer (much of) a downgrade as he transitions away from one of the league's better offensive lines.

Based on PFF offensive line rankings, both were ranked amongst the top 10 offensive lines in the NFL. In PFF's end-of-year offensive line rankings, Baltimore and New Orleans ranked 10th and eighth, respectively.

Here's what PFF's Mike Renner wrote about Baltimore's offensive line: "Marshal Yanda’s return and Ronnie Stanley’s emergence as one of the best left tackles in the league fueled this team (and running game) down the stretch. Stanley earned the third-highest pass-protecting grade of any tackle this season, while Yanda was the third-highest graded guard."

Fantasy Football SOS

No running back or team has a more favorable fantasy football strength of schedule than Ingram and the Ravens based on the fantasy points their 2019 opponents allowed last season.

The Ravens will face the Bills, Jets and Browns in the fantasy football playoffs (Weeks 14 to 16) and the 60.81 cumulative fantasy points per game those three opponents allowed last season are the eighth-most.

- View full Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

Fantasy Football ADP

Fantasy Football ADP: 4.01, RB22 (as of 7/6)

RBs going directly before: Josh Jacobs, 3.05/RB19; Kerryon Johnson, 3.09/RB20; David Montgomery, 4.01/RB21

RBs going directly after: Sony Michel, 4.06/RB23; Phillip Lindsay, 4.06/RB24; Chris Carson, 4.07/RB25

Below is a chart of Mark Ingram's ADP over the past month:

[Source: Mark Ingram ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator]

Mark Ingram Average Draft Position

- More Mark Ingram Fantasy Football ADP

Mark Ingram: Full Season Projections

Here are our full-season projections for Ingram:

Rush	RuYD	RuTD	Rec.	ReYD	ReTD	Fantasy Points
225.8	1027.4	8.47	29.5	212.4	0.89	180.14

- Baltimore Ravens 2019 Fantasy Football Projections
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Bottom line

Relative value: Undervalued

As noted above, Ingram's current ADP is RB22 and he currently stands at RB20 in our fantasy football rankings, but I think there is upside for much more with little downside risk (barring injury, of course). While it may be somewhat of a crowded backfield, no team wants to run the ball more the Ravens and Ingram will move to the front of the line for work.

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Saturday, June 22, 2019

Fantasy Football Mock Draft 2019: 12 Teams, 7th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2019 NFL season, Kevin Hanson will use the 2019 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

- MORE: Check out Kevin Hanson's way-too-early 2020 NFL Mock Draft.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

>> Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team 2019 fantasy football mock draft using standard scoring:

1.07 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Only Todd Gurley averaged more fantasy points per game than Gordon last season (standard scoring) so there is plenty of upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season. Unfortunately, MG3 has now missed multiple games in three of his four NFL seasons.

That said, MG3's YPC average spiked to 5.1 in 2018 and he set a career high in touchdowns (14). After a scoreless rookie campaign, Gordon has finished with 12-plus touchdowns in three consecutive seasons.

2.06 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

Three years into his young career, Thomas continues to improve each season -- 92/1,137/9 in 2017, 104/1,245/5 in 2018 and 125/1,405/9 in 2019. Since Thomas has been in the league, there have been 19 100-catch seasons and, of those, only Christian McCaffrey (86.3%, 2018) had a better catch rate than Thomas (85.0%, 2018) over the past three years.

3.07 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen reached the 100-yard mark in the first eight games (and only once in the final eight games) as he posted career highs across the board -- receptions (113), yards (1,373) and touchdowns (nine). Finishing as a WR1 (top-12) in each of the past two seasons. I'd be comfortable with him as my WR1, but I really like him as my WR2.

4.06 - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions

Playing just 10 games as a rookie, Johnson had exactly 150 touches -- 118 carries and 32 receptions. Averaging 5.4 yards per carry, Johnson was fantasy's RB15 through Week 11 before missing the remainder of the season. Provided he stays healthy in 2019, the second-year back should see north of last year's 15 touches per game and could once again perform as a top-15 back when he's on the field.

5.07 - Mark Ingram, RB, Baltimore Ravens

Suspended the first four games of the season, Ingram had a down year as Alvin Kamara took over as lead back in New Orleans. In the two seasons before that, however, Ingram rushed for 2,167 yards, added 104 catches for 735 yards and scored a total of 22 touchdowns.

No team ran the ball as much as Baltimore in 2018 and that trend should continue in 2019 with Ingram as their lead back and my projection of 250 touches could prove too conservative. Normally, I'd jump at the chance to draft him in Round 4 so I really love his value in Round 5 of this mock.

6.06 - D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers

Including his rushing yards (172), Moore had 960 yards as a rookie but only two touchdowns. A low-end WR2 based on my current projections, Moore has plenty of upside as this team's WR3.

7.07 - Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears

In addition to a year-over-year bump in touches (140 to 170), Cohen was more efficient (10.2 Y/R, 4.5 YPC) and scored eight touchdowns. Cohen finished as a fantasy's RB17 in non-PPR formats (like this one) and as much as I love David Montgomery, The Human Joystick is a great value here.

8.06 - Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants

It's possible that newcomer Golden Tate outproduces Shepard in the Odell Beckham-less receiving corps, but I like Shepard as my WR4.

9.07 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Once again, Ekeler averaged more than five yards per carry and 10 yards per reception. But as he nearly doubled his workload (74 to 145 touches), MG3's complementary back finished as the RB27 last season. He has stand-alone value even if Gordon stays healthy and I don't normally handcuff on purpose, but I will do so more often with the MG3/Ekeler duo.

10.06 - DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

In spite of missing four games, Jackson finished 32nd in fantasy points (42nd in PPR) in 2018. Now back in Philadelphia, D-Jax gives the Eagles the deep threat they lacked. Jackson has led the NFL in Y/A in 2018 (18.9), 2016 (17.9) and 2014 (20.9). More than anything, he helps the next guy I drafted ...

11.07 - Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

The obvious concern with Wentz is durability as he has now missed at least three games in back-to-back seasons. If he can stay healthy, however, he has as much a ton of upside compared to his current ADP. Wentz showed how good he could be in 2017 when he was the QB2 through Week 14 before missing the final three weeks of the season. The addition of D-Jax gives Wentz the best and most complete group of weapons that he has had in his young career.

12.06 - Trey Burton, TE, Chicago Bears

Posting career highs across the board (54 catches for 569 yards and six touchdowns), Burton finished with the sixth-most fantasy points at the position last season. Hopefully Burton will be more consistent in 2018 as he exceeded 40 receiving yards in only three games, but he's typically going a couple of rounds earlier in drafts and provides a nice value here.

13.07 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Detroit Lions

Let go by the Rams, Anderson was extremely productive down the stretch as Gurley dealt with his knee issues. In fact, no running back scored more fantasy points over the final two weeks of the season. Including their first playoff game, CJA had a streak of three games with 120-plus rushing yards and (at least) one touchdown. More coincidence than intention, I have now handcuffed my top-two running backs.

14.06 - Baltimore Ravens D/ST

15.07 - Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

Starting just seven (regular-season) games last season, Jackson led the team in rush attempts (147) and was second in rushing yards (695) to Gus Edwards (718). Even though he threw for more than 200 yards only once (204 in Week 16), Jackson scored the eighth-most fantasy points per contest during his seven-week stretch as starter.

The goal may be for Jackson to run less (for durability's sake) in 2019, but offensive coordinator Greg Roman has had plenty of success orchestrating offenses led by mobile quarterbacks. Here are the fantasy QB finishes in Roman's last four seasons as OC: QB8, QB14 (Tyrod Taylor in Buffalo) and QB16, QB11 (Colin Kaepernick in San Francisco).

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Saturday, June 8, 2019

Baltimore Ravens 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Lamar Jackson	497.7	293.6	3434.1	17.92	11.2	129.2	633.1	4.52	277.07
Starting just seven (regular-season) games last season, Jackson led the team in rush attempts (147) and was second in rushing yards (695) to Gus Edwards (718). Even though he threw for more than 200 yards only once (204 in Week 16), Jackson scored the eighth-most fantasy points per contest during his seven-week stretch as starter. The goal may be for Jackson to run less (for durability's sake) in 2019, but offensive coordinator Greg Roman has had plenty of success orchestrating offenses led by mobile quarterbacks. Here are the fantasy QB finishes in Roman's last four seasons as OC: QB8, QB14 (Tyrod Taylor in Buffalo) and QB16, QB11 (Colin Kaepernick in San Francisco).
Trace McSorley	7.8	4.3	54.6	0.23	0.2	5.6	25.2	0.11	5.88
Robert Griffin III	13	6.5	65	0.26	0.26	0	0	0	3.12

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RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Ingram	219	996.5	8.76	31.1	223.9	0.93	180.18
Suspended the first four games of the season, Ingram had a down year as Alvin Kamara took over as lead back in New Orleans. In the two seasons before that, however, Ingram rushed for 2,167 yards, added 104 catches for 735 yards and scored a total of 22 touchdowns. No team ran the ball as much as Baltimore in 2018 and that trend should continue in 2019 with Ingram as their lead back and my projection of 250 touches could prove too conservative.
Gus Edwards	98.3	501.3	2.95	3.1	24.8	0.03	70.49
A key waiver-wire pickup in fantasy leagues last season, Edwards had only 62 rushing yards before the team's Week 10 bye, but he ended up leading the team in rushing (718 yards) on the year. Edwards rushed for a minimum of 67 yards from Weeks 11 to 17 and three 100-yard games over that seven-week span. The addition of Ingram puts a significant dent into Edwards' workload and outlook for 2019.
Justice Hill	59	318.6	0.89	24.9	211.7	0.75	62.87
Kenneth Dixon	39.3	188.6	1.18	8.8	57.2	0.09	32.2
Patrick Ricard	0	0	0	0.9	4.1	0.09	0.95

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WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Marquise Brown	41.5	684.8	3.53	7	40.6	0.14	94.56
The first wide receiver off the board in the 2019 NFL Draft, Brown has drawn comparisons to DeSean Jackson and is the cousin of Raiders receiver Antonio Brown. From a fantasy perspective, the run-heavy Baltimore offense is far from an ideal landing spot for "Hollywood."
Willie Snead	49.8	527.9	1.49	0.8	5.2	0	62.25
Chris Moore	38.9	420.1	3.11	1.4	4.3	0.01	61.16
Miles Boykin	21	319.2	2.1	0	0	0	44.52
Seth Roberts	10	106	0.5	0	0	0	13.6
Jordan Lasley	4.7	62	0.33	0	0	0	8.18
Michael Floyd	5.2	56.2	0.42	0	0	0	8.14

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TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mark Andrews	38.1	541	3.43	0	0	0	74.68
The Ravens used a first-round pick on Hayden Hurst last season, but it was the third-rounder that was the most productive in 2018. Andrews, who posted a 34/552/3 line, remains the best bet among Baltimore's tight ends to be the most productive in 2019.
Hayden Hurst	23.3	291.3	1.86	0	0	0	40.29
Nick Boyle	26.5	225.3	0.27	0	0	0	24.15

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Wednesday, August 10, 2022

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Thursday, September 23, 2021

Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Saturday, September 4, 2021

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Saturday, September 5, 2020

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Sunday, August 23, 2020

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Saturday, July 6, 2019

Lead back in run-heavy attack

RB2 with RB1 upside?

OL among the best

Fantasy Football SOS

Fantasy Football ADP

Mark Ingram: Full Season Projections

Bottom line

Saturday, June 22, 2019

Saturday, June 8, 2019

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Fantasy Resources

NFL Draft Resources

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