Sunday, July 22, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 3rd Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on July 7th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2018 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

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Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Half-PPR (point-per-reception) scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 3
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.03 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Elliott served a six-game suspension in 2017 but led the league in rushing yards per game (98.3) with a larger workload (24.2 carries per game) in his sophomore campaign. With limited weapons in the passing game, Elliott and the Cowboys will face many eight-men fronts, but the upside is he could get close to 400 touches.

2.10 - Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: Falling just shy of the 1,000-yard mark last season, Baldwin has 247/3,188/29 over the past three seasons and has finished as the WR7, WR10 and WR13, respectively, in standard-scoring formats over the past three seasons.

3.03 - Jerick McKinnon, RB, San Francisco 49ers: Matt Barrows of the Sacramento Bee recently wrote: "The over/under on his catches for the season might be 73, the highest number that Devonta Freeman caught when Shanahan was coaching him with the Falcons." Running backs in Kyle Shanahan's offense typically flourish and McKinnon has a ton of upside this year.

4.10 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas is coming off his worst season (83/949/5) since breaking out in 2012. Signing Case Keenum may not return Thomas to the days of 90/1,400/10 numbers he posted from 2012 to 2014, but a bounce-back campaign to the tune of 90 catches and 1,200 yards seems reasonable with steadier quarterback play.

5.03 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Miami Dolphins: Over the final five games of the 2017 season, Drake ran for a league-high 444 yards on 91 carries (4.88 YPC) with two touchdowns and added 17 receptions for 150 yards. Team additions at running back could keep him from getting his December workload (21.6 touches per game), but he's still likely to be the team's most productive back.

6.10 - Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks: My fourth RB selected through six rounds, my RB3 (Drake) and RB4 (Penny) are both worthy of being my RB2.

7.03 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph's targets dropped year over year (132 to 81), but he still finished as fantasy's TE6 (TE8 in PPR) in 2017. He posted a 57/532/8 stat line last season and those numbers form a reasonable expectation for the upcoming season.

8.10 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Who knows what we'll get from Parker? I've been too high on the former first-rounder before, but there is certainly upside for the 25-year-old with Jarvis Landry in Cleveland.

9.03 - Rex Burkhead, RB, New England Patriots: Missing six games in his first season with the Patriots, Burkhead scored eight touchdowns as he rushed for 264 yards and added 30 catches for 254 yards. If Burkhead gets the majority of goal-line opportunities, which I expect, there is massive upside in New England's Tom Brady-led high-powered offense.

10.10 - Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts: Assuming Luck is under center against the Bengals in Week 1, there is plenty of profit potential this late. In his past three full seasons, Luck has finished as fantasy's QB4 (2013), QB2 (2014) and QB4 (2016).

11.03 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: If he can't stay healthy, Rivers is more than capable of being my every-week starter. Either way, I'd play the matchups with Luck and Rivers. Except for 2012 (21st) and 2016 (14th), Rivers has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the eight of his past 10 NFL seasons.

12.10 - D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers: Despite poor quarterback play at Maryland, Moore had a school-record 80 catches for 1,033 yards and eight touchdowns and was named the Big Ten Wide Receiver of the Year last season. The first wide receiver off the board in this year's draft, Moore ran a 4.42 forty with a 39.5-inch vertical and 11-foot broad jump at the NFL Combine, is outstanding after the catch and has gotten off to an impressive start this offseason.

13.03 - Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals: Over the past four seasons, Eifert has nearly as many touchdowns (18) as games played (24). Durability has been (and still is) the obvious concern, but upside for double-digit scores is a legitimate possibility if he can stay/get healthy.

14.10 - Carolina Panthers D/ST

15.03 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

- View full mock draft results here

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