Friday, September 1, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes didn't miss a beat and won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.


Isiah Pacheco187.9845.66.1120.1157.80.9152.45
Jerick McKinnon71.5293.21.5444.7338.22.2107.93
Clyde Edwards-Helaire88.4380.12.325.5195.41.593.1

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and then he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted the sleeper. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Sitting atop the 2023 depth chart, Pacheco has a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores. While I have projected McKinnon for considerably fewer touchdowns in 2023, he could be a solid bye-week fill-in for fantasy squads, at a minimum.


Skyy Moore57.67395.
Kadarius Toney50.4596.24.38.575.20.55121.44
Marquez Valdes-Scantling38618.74.5000107.87
Rashee Rice44.5546.14.1000101.46
Justyn Ross10.9132.8100024.73
Richie James8.797.70.700018.32
Justin Watson5.577.70.700014.72

Skyy Moore: Marquez Valdez-Scantling will have some spike weeks, but good luck predicting when those will occur, which make him a better option in best ball formats. Meanwhile, the variance of potential outcomes for Kadarius Toney may make fantasy managers hesitant on draft day. While he had a quiet rookie season (22/250/0 on 33 targets), Moore has emerged as the most likely candidate to lead Kansas City's receiving corps in fantasy production.

Kadarius Toney: The range of potential outcomes is wide enough that you may have seen Toney appear on both breakout and bust lists at some point heading into the 2023 season. Earlier this offseason, offensive coordinator Matt Nagy talked up Toney, who many had figured would step into the WR1 role vacated by JuJu Smith-Schuster. If he can (get and) stay healthy, it's certainly possible that he earns the second-most targets on the team behind Travis Kelce although it seems even more likely that it's someone else (e.g., Skyy Moore).

Rashee Rice: Even though though Skyy Moore had a limited role as a receiver in his rookie season, the draft capital used (55th overall pick) and strong preseason makes Rice worth being a target later in drafts. That said, his ADP has continued to rise.


Travis Kelce99.91174.89.42.611.70.26226.56
Noah Gray21.8240.
Blake Bell8.795.20.700018.07

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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