Showing posts with label Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Show all posts

Friday, September 1, 2023

Kansas City Chiefs 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes614410.84727.835.9211.9757.7288.52.31351.56
Blaine Gabbert40.925.6282.21.551.196.417.60.1317.65

Patrick Mahomes: Despite losing Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Mahomes didn't miss a beat and won his second NFL MVP award in 2022. He threw for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, both of which led the NFL last season. While he doesn't have as much rushing upside as Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts, he has more than 300 rushing yards in three consecutive seasons and multiple rushing scores in five consecutive seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Isiah Pacheco187.9845.66.1120.1157.80.9152.45
Jerick McKinnon71.5293.21.5444.7338.22.2107.93
Clyde Edwards-Helaire88.4380.12.325.5195.41.593.1

Isiah Pacheco: Pacheco generated some buzz last August as a seventh-round rookie, and then he delivered for fantasy managers who drafted the sleeper. He finished his inaugural season with 170 carries for 830 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns and added 13 catches for 130 yards (10.0 Y/R). Sitting atop the 2023 depth chart, Pacheco has a chance to improve upon his rookie numbers.

Jerick McKinnon: McKinnon had nearly as many targets (71) as carries (72) last season, and he was extremely effective as a receiver. He ended the year with 56 catches for 512 yards (9.1 Y/R) and nine of his 10 touchdowns were receiving scores. While I have projected McKinnon for considerably fewer touchdowns in 2023, he could be a solid bye-week fill-in for fantasy squads, at a minimum.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Skyy Moore57.67395.53.225.60.16139.22
Kadarius Toney50.4596.24.38.575.20.55121.44
Marquez Valdes-Scantling38618.74.5000107.87
Rashee Rice44.5546.14.1000101.46
Justyn Ross10.9132.8100024.73
Richie James8.797.70.700018.32
Justin Watson5.577.70.700014.72

Skyy Moore: Marquez Valdez-Scantling will have some spike weeks, but good luck predicting when those will occur, which make him a better option in best ball formats. Meanwhile, the variance of potential outcomes for Kadarius Toney may make fantasy managers hesitant on draft day. While he had a quiet rookie season (22/250/0 on 33 targets), Moore has emerged as the most likely candidate to lead Kansas City's receiving corps in fantasy production.

Kadarius Toney: The range of potential outcomes is wide enough that you may have seen Toney appear on both breakout and bust lists at some point heading into the 2023 season. Earlier this offseason, offensive coordinator Matt Nagy talked up Toney, who many had figured would step into the WR1 role vacated by JuJu Smith-Schuster. If he can (get and) stay healthy, it's certainly possible that he earns the second-most targets on the team behind Travis Kelce although it seems even more likely that it's someone else (e.g., Skyy Moore).

Rashee Rice: Even though though Skyy Moore had a limited role as a receiver in his rookie season, the draft capital used (55th overall pick) and strong preseason makes Rice worth being a target later in drafts. That said, his ADP has continued to rise.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce99.91174.89.42.611.70.26226.56
Noah Gray21.8240.51.90.94.50.0747.22
Blake Bell8.795.20.700018.07

Travis Kelce: While age (turns 34 in October) is still a potential concern, he's shown no signs of slowing down after posting his seventh consecutive 1,000-yard season. Without Tyreek Hill, he posted either his best or second-best numbers across the board — 152 targets, 110 receptions, 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Absolutely dominant compared to other tight ends, Kelce (15.4) averaged more than double the half-PPR fantasy points per game than the last TE1 (Dalton Schultz, TE12, 7.6 PPG). In fact, if Kelce were a wide receiver, he'd rank ahead of all but five wide receivers in fantasy PPG last season.

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Saturday, September 10, 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Week 1 NFL Power Rankings

Throughout the 2022 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Below you will find a Week 1 roundup for the Kansas City Chiefs in our consensus 2022 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 4

Who's on the hot seat: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Edwards-Helaire hasn't been a bust, but the 2020 first-round draft pick hasn't had the impact expected of one. He is in no danger of losing his job, but the Chiefs will have to decide on his fifth-year option at the end of this season. The addition of rookie Isiah Pacheco to the running back group could lead the Chiefs to decline the option if Edwards-Helaire doesn't have a big season.

NFL.com -- Rank: 7

Is a monster Patrick Mahomes season incoming? The prevailing narrative all offseason centered around the trade of Tyreek Hill and how that would limit Kansas City's offense going forward. Which, you know, makes sense: Hill is one of the greatest playmakers we've ever seen. But you could argue that Kansas City's offense was due to move in a new direction -- many Chiefs fans agreed after the second half of the AFC Championship Game. Do I think Mahomes wishes he still had Hill on his team? Sure. But do I also think Mahomes and Andy Reid revel in the opportunity to reinvent the attack and unleash a fresh assault on the enemy this season? Hell yes, I do.

CBS Sports -- Rank: 3

They have to get creative to replace Tyreek Hill on offense, but Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will make it work just fine. The question is whether the pass rush is good enough.

The Athletic -- Rank: 2

The good news: The Chiefs have, at worst, a top-three quarterback, a top-three offensive line and a top-three offensive schemer. It might be as simple as that.

The bad news: Kansas City has the hardest schedule in the league. So even if it looks like the best team in the AFC, any playoff run figures to include having to win on the road.

Nugget to remember: In addition to their difficult schedule, the Chiefs also might be facing some injury regression after finishing 2021 as the healthiest team in the league by Football Outsiders' adjusted games lost. We'll find out this year just how powerful Patrick Mahomes is.

The Ringer -- Rank: 3

Tyreek Hill is no longer in Kansas City. Neither are defensive starters Tyrann Mathieu, Charvarius Ward, Jarran Reed, and Anthony Hitchens. But the straw that stirs the drink, Patrick Mahomes, isn't going anywhere, and that's why the Chiefs rank so highly to start the season. In a down year by his standards, Mahomes threw for 4,839 yards and 37 touchdowns and ranked second in the league in expected points added (EPA) per dropback in 2021. The Chiefs go as he goes, and he remains the biggest cheat code of any player in the NFL.

Yahoo! -- Rank: 3

A key player to watch early is rookie receiver Skyy Moore. It didn't seem through the preseason like he'll be a big part of the offense early on, but his versatility could be a nice asset through the season. Perhaps coach Andy Reid has an early-season plan for the rookie too.

PFT -- Rank: 4

How are they not more widely regarded to be ready to get right back to where they've been for four straight years?

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Friday, September 2, 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.4475033.7111.6557.42871.87341.46
Chad Henne46.130308.91.610.696.46.40.0618.42

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has been a top-four fantasy quarterback lock, when healthy. During his four seasons as a starter, he has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB7 (missed multiple games), QB4 and QB4, respectively. In four seasons as a starter, Mahomes has a 6.5 TD%, 1.6 INT% and 8.1 Y/A with a 17-game pace of 5,129 passing yards and 41.4 touchdowns. Losing Tyreek Hill will have an impact, but Mahomes should remain a top-four option.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire150.1660.44.6540.7298.51.9155.54
Ronald Jones106.3462.43.4517126.50.892.89
Jerick McKinnon72.3310.91.8827220.11.486.28
Isiah Pacheco12.855.70.315.4430.316.23
Michael Burton5.116.60.23.527.80.28.59

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Through two seasons, Edwards-Helaire has missed a total of 10 games including seven last season. The Chiefs signed Ronald Jones II this offseason and re-signed Jerick McKinnon, who handled double-digit carries in all three of the team's playoff games this past season. While the presence of RoJo and McKinnon may frustrate those that roster CEH, his ADP provides a reasonable draft-day cost to get exposure to the top back of one of the league's most potent offenses.

Ronald Jones: Jones' numbers in 2021 were (more than) halved from the prior season. Last season, Jones had only 111 touches for 492 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve him well, but he'll be competing with (and appears to be behind) Edwards-Helaire and McKinnon for snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
JuJu Smith-Schuster67.9804.46.32.614.60.13154.43
Skyy Moore55.3708.24.83.821.90.19130.6
Mecole Hardman47.9657.74.38.5510.34122.66
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.4607.14.1000104.01
Justin Watson13.5169.51.100030.3

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Smith-Schuster missed 12 games last season and he's only averaged 8.6 and 6.2 yards per reception and target, respectively, over the past two seasons combined. While there's little chance that he posts a line similar to his sophomore campaign (111/1,426/7, 2018), he has an excellent chance to bounce back as the WR1 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

Skyy Moore: Moore had a 95/1,292/10 line and PFF credited Moore with 26 broken tackles after the catch, which led FBS wide receivers. The former WMU Bronco should earn a more prominent role as the season progresses.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman set career highs in targets (83), receptions (59) and yards (693) last season, but he also set career lows in touchdowns (two) and Y/R (11.7). The speedy former second-round pick has an opportunity to build upon those numbers with Tyreek Hill in Miami, but he'll be competing with newcomers Smith-Schuster, Moore and Marquez Valdes-Scantling for targets.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: A boom-or-bust type deep threat, Valdes-Scantling exceeded 20 receiving yards in fewer games (five) than he didn't (six games) in 2021. MVS's history of up-and-down performances is unlikely to change, which makes him a better option in best ball formats than regular season-long re-draft leagues.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce981153.48.3000214.14
Noah Gray9.8108.80.700019.98
Jody Fortson8.188.50.700017.1
Blake Bell3.945.50.40008.9

Travis Kelce: In a down year, Kelce finished with 92 catches for 1,125 yards and nine touchdowns. The 32-year-old tight end now has six consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with more than 90 catches in four straight. He's been either TE1 or TE2 for six consecutive seasons and he may even see a bump in target share with Tyreek Hill now in South Florida.

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Monday, August 1, 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.4475033.7111.6557.42871.87341.46
Chad Henne46.130308.91.610.696.46.40.0618.42

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has been a top-four fantasy quarterback lock, when healthy. During his four seasons as a starter, he has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB7 (missed multiple games), QB4 and QB4, respectively. In four seasons as a starter, Mahomes has a 6.5 TD%, 1.6 INT% and 8.1 Y/A with a 17-game pace of 5,129 passing yards and 41.4 touchdowns. Losing Tyreek Hill will have an impact, but Mahomes should remain a top-four option.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire141.4622.24.3840.3293.41.9149.39
Ronald Jones127.8555.94.1517.9136.60.9108.5
Jerick McKinnon63.8274.31.6624.4207.41.378.13
Isaih Pacheco8.5370.25.440.50.313.45
Michael Burton5.116.60.23.527.80.28.59

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Through two seasons, Edwards-Helaire has missed a total of 10 games including seven last season. The Chiefs signed Ronald Jones II this offseason and re-signed Jerick McKinnon, who handled double-digit carries in all three of the team's playoff games this past season. While the presence of RoJo and McKinnon may frustrate those that roster CEH, his ADP provides a reasonable draft-day cost to get exposure to the top back of one of the league's most potent offenses.

Ronald Jones: Jones' numbers in 2021 were (more than) halved from the prior season. Last season, Jones had only 111 touches for 492 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve him well, but he'll be competing with Edwards-Helaire and McKinnon for snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
JuJu Smith-Schuster67.9804.46.32.614.60.13154.43
Skyy Moore55.3708.24.83.821.90.19130.6
Mecole Hardman47.56404.28.5510.34120.09
Marquez Valdes-Scantling37.4607.14.1000104.01
Josh Gordon9.1131.50.700021.9
Cornell Powell2.230.40.20005.34

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Smith-Schuster missed 12 games last season and he's only averaged 8.6 Y/R and 6.2 Y/Tgt over the past two seasons combined. While there's little chance that he posts a line similar to his sophomore campaign (111/1,426/7, 2018), he has an excellent chance to bounce back as the likely WR1 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

Skyy Moore: Converting to receiver based on WMU team needs, Moore led the Broncos in both receptions (51) and yards (802) as a true freshman in 2019. Last season, he had a 95/1,292/10 line and PFF credited Moore with 26 broken tackles after the catch, which led FBS wide receivers. There is a pathway to Moore being the team's most productive wide receiver as a rookie.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman set career highs in targets (83), receptions (59) and yards (693) last season, but he also set career lows in touchdowns (two) and Y/R (11.7). The speedy former second-round pick has an opportunity to build upon those numbers with Tyreek Hill in Miami, but he'll be competing with newcomers Smith-Schuster, Moore and Marquez Valdes-Scantling for targets.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: A boom-or-bust type deep threat, Valdes-Scantling exceeded 20 receiving yards in fewer games (five) than he didn't (six games) in 2021. MVS's history of up-and-down performances is unlikely to change, which makes him a better option in best ball formats than regular season-long re-draft leagues.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce981153.48.3000214.14
Blake Bell10.7108.80.700020.43
Noah Gray8.996.10.700018.26
Jody Fortson773.40.600014.44

Travis Kelce: In a down year, Kelce finished with 92 catches for 1,125 yards and nine touchdowns. The 32-year-old tight end now has six consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with more than 90 catches in four straight. He's been either TE1 or TE2 for six consecutive seasons and he may even see a bump in target share with Tyreek Hill now in South Florida.

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Monday, September 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44933.839.537.6664.1310.92.72387.56
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.716.27.10.0616.36

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire212.9936.86.0751.6442.63.6221.76
Darrel Williams74.4319.92.0522183.81.582.67
Jerick McKinnon34.1143.20.8514.2116.5144.17
Michael Burton2.15.70.043.223.30.15.34

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of last season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill91.51317.410.813.497.20.74256.45
Mecole Hardman51.2698.85.85.231.20.21134.66
Demarcus Robinson37.7463.33.714.50.0388.01
Byron Pringle28.6357.22.700066.22
Marcus Kemp3.246.60.30008.06
Daurice Fountain2.431.10.20005.51
Jody Fortson1.515.50.10002.9

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce106.71294.210.1000243.37
Blake Bell11124.20.900023.32
Noah Gray5.662.10.400011.41

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worth considering towards the end of Round 1.

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Saturday, August 21, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44933.839.537.6663305.62.21383.97
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.716.27.10.0616.36

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire210.99286.0150.6429.73.5218.13
Darrel Williams71.3306.61.9621.5178.61.479.43
Jerick McKinnon32134.40.813.8111.3142.27
Darwin Thompson9.338.60.234.331.10.211.7
Michael Burton12.70.023.223.30.14.92

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of the season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill91.51317.410.813.497.20.74256.45
Mecole Hardman51.2698.85.85.231.20.21134.66
Demarcus Robinson36.6450.43.614.50.0385.57
Byron Pringle27.5344.22.600063.77
Cornell Powell14186.41.300033.44
Marcus Kemp2.841.40.30007.34

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce104.41268.310.1000239.63
Blake Bell5.659.50.400011.15
Noah Gray3.436.20.20006.52

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's also worthy of drafting in Round 1.

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Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Kansas City Chiefs

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes612.9405.44995.139.537.6662300.72.17385.69
Chad Henne35.725242.81.750.717.28.30.0716.54

Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is my top-ranked fantasy quarterback given the combination of elite skill set, supporting cast and coaching. The only real decision for fantasy managers is whether or not to invest the early draft capital necessary to secure Mahomes (or another high-end quarterback) as their starter. Leading the NFL with 316.0 passing yards per game, Mahomes was only a 260/2 game away from a second 5,000/40 season before the Chiefs rested him in Week 17.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire210.99286.0146.3405.93.5213.6
Darrel Williams67.22891.8520.4170.21.375.02
Jerick McKinnon23.81000.612.9104.80.935.93
Darwin Thompson21.790.10.549.778.60.427.36
Michael Burton12.70.023.223.60.14.95

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Given how productive a third-round rookie (Kareem Hunt) had been in Andy Reid's offense just a few seasons ago (2017), Edwards-Helaire, the only first-round running back in the 2020 NFL Draft, was a relative disappointment despite a couple of big performances in the first half of the season. Even so, he has the skill set and draft pedigree to be much more productive in Kansas City's high-powered offense this season than he was as a rookie and could turn out to be a draft-day bargain.

Darrel Williams: Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 (or better) in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill92.51346.111.413.4100.50.8264.11
Mecole Hardman51.2707.15.85.231.20.21135.49
Demarcus Robinson33.6432.13.214.50.0379.84
Byron Pringle26.9340.52.400061.9
Cornell Powell14188.61.200033.06
Gehrig Dieter5.470.70.400012.17

Tyreek Hill: Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

Mecole Hardman: Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

Demarcus Robinson: Given that Hardman has yet to deliver for fantasy managers, it wouldn't be the worst idea to throw a dart at Robinson or Byron Pringle with the last pick in your fantasy draft.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce104.4126510.1000239.3
Blake Bell4.547.10.20008.16
Noah Gray3.2340.20006.2
Nick Keizer2.223.60.10004.06

Travis Kelce: Tampa Bay's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up.

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worthy of drafting in Round 1.

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Saturday, January 23, 2021

Fantasy Football Rankings: Conference Championship Game RB Rankings

The 2020-21 NFL season is down down to four teams and three games to go with the Conference Championship Games this weekend and Super Bowl LV in two weeks in Tampa.

More rankings for this weekend's games:

Here are our running back rankings for Sunday's games:

1. Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers

One year after leading the NFL in touchdowns (19, 2019), Jones averaged a career-high 5.89 yards per touch and 104.2 YFS per game for the league's top-scoring offense in 2020. Jones had his least efficient performance of the season against the Buccaneers in Week 6 when he carried the ball 10 times for 15 yards and a touchdown and added three catches for 26 yards. Even though the Buccaneers have one of the league's best run defenses, Jones is the top option at what is the weakest position of the two-game slate.

2. Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills

Even with Zack Moss sidelined, Singletary had only seven carries for 25 yards and three catches for 12 yards against the Baltimore Ravens last week. While Singletary should dominate backfield touches once again with Moss out for the rest of the playoffs, it's also possible that the Bills utilize a pass-heavy approach this weekend that limits Singletary's effectiveness on Sunday.

3. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs

After missing last week's playoff game, Edwards-Helaire (hip) is expected to play on Sunday despite a questionable injury designation. Edwards-Helaire last played more than a month ago (Dec. 20th).

Even if Le'Veon Bell (knee, questionable) misses the game, he will likely form a timeshare with Darrel Williams. On a positive note, Edwards-Helaire rushed for a career-high 161 yards against the Bills in Week 6.

4. Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The third-year back was just shy of his first 1,000-yard season, but he set career highs in both rushing yards (978), yards per carry (5.1) and total touchdowns (eight). Upgraded to a full participant at Friday's practice, Jones had 13 carries for 62 scoreless yards against the New Orleans Saints last week. Fournette will likely lead the backfield once again, but it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see a healthier RoJo just as (or even more) involved as (than) Fournette.

5. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Handling 36 carries and catching nine-of-10 targets in Tampa's two playoff games, Fournette has surpassed 100 scrimmage yards and scored in back-to-back games this postseason. During that span, he has handled roughly twice as many touches as Ronald Jones (25), but Jones enters Sunday's game the healthiest he's been this postseason. In the regular season, Fournette (3.78 YPC, 6.47 Y/R) was much less efficient than Jones (5.09 YPC, 5.89 Y/R).

6. Darrel Williams, Kansas City Chiefs

With CEH sidelined, Williams had 13 carries for 78 yards and four catches for 16 yards against the Cleveland Browns last week. While a repeat of last week's 17 touches is unlikely, Williams could reasonably reach double-digit touches as he shares work with Edwards-Helaire. Le'Veon Bell is listed as questionable, but may be closer to doubtful.

7. Jamaal Williams, Green Bay Packers

Williams had 12 carries for 65 yards against the Los Angeles Rams last week. In his past six games, Williams has 17, five, 10, one, five and 12 carries, respectively. Even though the number of his carries has been all over the place recently, Williams will likely finish in the range of 8-12 touches on Sunday.

8. A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers

Given that the Packers involve multiple running backs in their game plan, Dillon could have some fantasy viability if Williams (ankle, questionable) isn't able to go or reaggravates his injury on Sunday.

9. T.J. Yeldon, Buffalo Bills
10. Darwin Thompson, Kansas City Chiefs
11. LeSean McCoy, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Kansas City Chiefs 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes547.2363.94569.132.569.349.6213.31.74326.17
Regression from his statistically-historic 2018 campaign (5,097/50) was expected and a midseason knee injury also slowed the 2018 league MVP. On a team loaded with speed and talented weapons, Mahomes should bounce back in a big way in 2020.
Chad Henne34.922247.81.310.874110.0814.99

RUNNING BACKS


PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Clyde Edwards-Helaire199.3896.97.4755.74543.48200.79
Perhaps a bit of a surprise for some as the first running back off the board, Edwards-Helaire has drawn comparisons to (a better version of) Brian Westbrook (by head coach Andy Reid) and lands in an ideal long-term spot for his fantasy value. With Damien Williams opting out of the 2020 season, it boosts CEH's short-term (i.e., 2020) outlook and catapults him into the (upper?) RB1 range. It wasn't that long ago that fantasy owners saw what a prominently-featured rookie running back (Kareem Hunt, RB3, 2017) could do in an Reid-led offense.
Darrel Williams89.2370.24.4618.4154.60.9284.76
While the Chiefs will give Edwards-Helaire all he can handle, Williams enters the season as the team's No. 2 back and offers some sleeper appeal. While injuries are a huge part of the game (and especially at running back), but the COVID-19 pandemic will potentially create even more opportunities for backup running backs than usual and we've seen waiver-wire backs thrive in spot duty in this offense.
Darwin Thompson36.7143.10.9211.784.20.3530.35
Anthony Sherman37.50.124.4370.226.49

WIDE RECEIVERS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill76.71142.89.597.9490.4179.12
Not only did an early-season injury sideline him for four games, but he was only the WR9 on a per-game basis after he returned in Week 6 through the end of the season. With good health from both Hill and Patrick Mahomes, however, he has as much weekly upside as any receiver in the league.
Mecole Hardman48.5715.46.06522.50.15111.05
With 4.33 speed, Hardman has the ability to turn any touch into a big play. Targeted only 2.56 times per game as a rookie, Hardman averaged 20.7 yards per catch and took six of his 26 receptions to the house. Set for an expanded offensive role in his second season, Hardman is one of my favorite best-ball targets in 2020.
Sammy Watkins48640.83.24213.60.0685.24
Watkins was amazing in Week 1 (9/198/3) and productive in the playoffs (14/288/1 in three games), but below-average (to be kind) in between. In 13 games from Weeks 2 to 17, Watkins had a 43/475 receiving line with no touchdowns and performed as fantasy's WR74 during that non-Week 1 stretch. Not only has Watkins missed multiple games in four of the past five years, but it's possible, perhaps likely, that second-year receiver Mecole Hardman leapfrogs him on the targets pecking order.
Demarcus Robinson19.7258.11.9700037.63
Byron Pringle7.5960.6400013.44
Marcus Kemp0.89.10.060001.27

TIGHT ENDS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce85.21090.66.18000146.14
Kelce has finished as either the TE1 (2016, 2018 and 2019) or TE2 (2017) in each of the past four seasons. During that span, Kelce has averaged a line of 92/1,182/7. The only drawback on using a second-round pick on Kelce (or George Kittle) is the potential impact to overall roster construction as there are several appealing tight end targets in the mid-to-late rounds.
Ricky Seals-Jones8.8113.50.8800016.63
Deon Yelder3.843.70.250005.87

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Thursday, August 27, 2020

PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft - 12 Teams, 10th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2020 NFL season, we will use the 2020 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team 2020 fantasy football mock draft using PPR scoring with the 10th pick:

1.10 - Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Perhaps a bit of a surprise for some as the first running back off the board, Edwards-Helaire has drawn comparisons to (a better version of) Brian Westbrook (by head coach Andy Reid) and lands in an ideal long-term spot for his fantasy value. With Damien Williams opting out of the 2020 season, it boosts CEH's short-term (i.e., 2020) outlook and catapults him into the (upper?) RB1 range. It wasn't that long ago that fantasy owners saw what a prominently-featured rookie running back (Kareem Hunt, RB3, 2017) could do in an Reid-led offense.

2.03 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

The obvious knock on Jones has been his lack of red-zone production as he still has just one season (2012) with double-digit touchdowns. That said, Jones now has 1,394 receiving yards in six consecutive seasons; the only other active streak is two (Michael Thomas, WR1). Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged a receiving line of 103.8/1,564.7/6.2.

3.10 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Even though I have Robert Woods ranked higher than Thielen, there was a greater chance of getting both Thielen (our WR12) and Woods (our WR10) by taking Thielen first. (See Pick Predictor graphic.) Thielen played just 16 snaps from Weeks 7-14 last year. Before leaving Week 7 early, Thielen was a top-10 fantasy wide receiver (WR9) through Week 6. The former UDFA was also a top-10 fantasy wide receiver in 2018 (WR7) and 2017 (WR10). With Stefon Diggs out and rookie Justin Jefferson in, Thielen enters 2020 as the team's clear No. 1 wide receiver for the upcoming season.

4.03 - Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams

Woods scored only three touchdowns -- two receiving and one rushing -- in 2019, but he posted very similar numbers in other categories -- 9.3 targets per game (8.1 in 2018), 6.0 receptions (5.4) and 75.6 yards (76.2) last season. After the team's bye (Week 9), Woods had a minimum of nine targets every week and averaged 11.3 per game to yield 7.4/94.7/0.3 receiving per game. Woods is one of my favorite WR targets in fantasy drafts this year.

MORE: Robert Woods 2020 Fantasy Football Profile

5.10 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Denver Broncos

It was a surprising move for Gordon to stay in the division as the Broncos already had a back-to-back 1,000-yard rusher that is also a capable receiver out of the backfield. Even so, "the belief" is that MG3 will be the team's "bell cow," but's he's had some early challenges adjusting to Denver's altitude.

6.03 - Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Shattering previous career highs as a passer, Prescott threw for 4,902 yards and 30 touchdowns and only Lamar Jackson scored more fantasy points in 2019. With CeeDee Lamb slipping to Dallas in the draft, the trio of Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and Lamb give Prescott one of the league's best trio of pass-catchers. Dak's rushing ability -- 277-plus rushing yards every year and 21 scores in four seasons -- raises his fantasy floor.

7.10 - Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets

Crowder led the Jets in targets (122), receptions (78), yards (833) and touchdowns (six) last season. With Robby Anderson and Demaryius Thomas no longer on the roster, Crowder could be even better in 2020 if Sam Darnold can stay healthy. The slot receiver's ADP has been steadily rising in August.

8.03 - Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Mostert was terrific down the stretch, scoring in all but one of his final nine games counting the postseason including a 29/220/4 rushing performance in the NFC Championship Game. Even so, Kyle Shanahan prefers a hot-hand approach at running back and the team still has a crowded backfield room even without Matt Breida, who is now in Miami.

9.10 - Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears

The Human Joystick set career lows in efficiency (3.3 YPC and 5.8 Y/R), but he set career highs in both targets (104) and receptions (79). Given his role in the passing game, Cohen is a much better option in (full) PPR formats as he's finished no worse than RB30 in PPR scoring -- 27th in 2019, 11th in 2018 and 30th in 2017 -- over his three NFL seasons.

10.03 - Preston Williams, WR, Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins made a number of roster improvements through free agency and the draft, but there were no significant additions in terms of pass-catchers. In fact, the group is worse off with Wilson and Hurns opting out. More talented (four-star high school recruit) than his UDFA status (due to off-field reasons) would imply, Williams made an immediate impact for the Dolphins with 32/428/3 in eight games before tearing his ACL. After observing training camp practices open to reporters, Adam Beasley from the Miami Herald wrote that Williams may be "potentially better than ever."

11.10 - Hunter Henry, TE, Los Angeles Chargers

One of the league's most talented tight ends, Henry has played just 26 games over the past three seasons combined. That said, he set career highs in his age-25 season in targets (76), receptions (55) and yards (652) in just 12 games.

12.03 - Hayden Hurst, TE, Atlanta Falcons

Hurst doubled his production in 2019 to 30/349/2, but that paled in comparison to (now former) teammate Mark Andrews. Hurst's trade to Atlanta does wonders for his fantasy outlook as Austin Hooper signed a free-agent deal with Cleveland. Before Hooper's mid-season injury, he was fantasy's top-scoring tight end and finished second behind Julio Jones in team targets.

13.10 - Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Edmonds played 60 snaps (94%) against the Giants in Week 8 and exploded for 150 YFS and three touchdowns on 29 touches. Missing all of November and playing only 15 offensive snaps in December, the third-year back out of Fordham enters 2020 as Kenyan Drake's primary handcuff.

14.03 - Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

The former seventh-round pick out of Northwestern, Jackson is in a battle with Joshua Kelley to be the team's primary early-down complement to Ekeler. Even though Melvin Gordon skipped the first four games of the season, both Ekeler and Gordon finished as top-24 backs so if either Jackson or Kelley can take solid hold of the RB2 role, they have flex upside.

15.10 - Philadelphia Eagles DST

16.03 - Greg Zuerlein, K, Dallas Cowboys

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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