Wednesday, September 6, 2023

Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Tua Tagovailoa551.3358.34079.628.1211.5835.4106.21.59272.66
Mike White54.533.8384.21.961.646.36.30.1321.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa sustained multiple concussions, causing him to miss five games (counting a playoff loss) in 2022, and he even considered retiring after last season. When healthy, however, he posted career numbers and led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9) and passer rating (105.5). Excluding the games he missed or left early (Weeks 4-6 and 17-18), Tagovailoa scored the seventh-most fantasy points over that span. Of course, durability and the potential for missed time factors into his 2023 outlook, but there is plenty of optimism if his health cooperates.


Raheem Mostert146671.64.2320.2160.71124.71
De'Von Achane91.7412.72.3422.2180.81.492.89
Jeff Wilson Jr.89.7412.62.5114.5111.60.879.53
Salvon Ahmed31.71300.873.726.80.223.95
Alec Ingold2.74.10.1413.593.70.822.17
Chris Brooks2.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert missed only one game in 2022, but it was just the second season of his career where he didn't miss significant time. He has played only 61 games over the past six seasons. Without any new additions to the backfield, Mostert should get 10-12 touches per game when everyone is healthy, but more than that for as long as Wilson is out. Mostert has never averaged less than 4.9 YPC in a season.

De'Von Achane: Achane has elite speed, as the former Texas A&M running back (and track star) posted a 4.32 40-yard dash at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame suggests he won't handle a high volume of carries in between the tackles, it's a huge positive that Mike McDaniel lobbied for the third-round pick. Given the durability concerns for Wilson and Mostert, Achane could be thrust into a larger role than expected as a rookie.

Jeff Wilson Jr.: Wilson was placed on short-term IR, making him eligible to return in Week 5. Following Wilson's midseason trade to Miami last year, both Mostert (Week 12) and Wilson (Week 15) missed one game each. In the games in which they both appeared, Wilson (82 touches) edged Mostert (80) in workload, so it's possible that he becomes the 1A of Miami's three-headed backfield at some point during the season.


Tyreek Hill109.81368.286.935.50.35245.37
Jaylen Waddle80.81124.97.32.918.90.12199.3
Braxton Berrios41457.53.41.712.10.0488.1
Cedrick Wilson17.3200.91.500037.74
Erik Ezukanma11.2131.7100024.77
River Cracraft6.782.60.600015.21

Tyreek Hill: After transitioning from Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's high-powered offense, the drop in production that many forecast for Hill never materialized. In fact, the explosive wideout averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game for the first time ever as he set career highs in targets (170), receptions (119) and yards (1,710) in 2022. Per NFL Media's Ian Rapoport, Hill won't face any disciplinary action from the league.

Jaylen Waddle: With Tyreek Hill setting career highs in targets, receptions and yards, it's not a surprise that Waddle's targets dropped to 117 (in 2022) from 140 (in 2021). That said, he was utilized further downfield as his ADOT jumped to 12.7 (from 7.0), per PFF, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1). He finished as fantasy's WR7 overall and was 13th on a per-game basis (13.0).


Durham Smythe31.4321.42.700064.04
Tyler Kroft10.2102.70.800020.17
Julian Hill8.691.50.700017.65

Durham Smythe: Even though he tops the depth chart, it's unlikely that Smythe produces a fantasy-relevant season. After all, Mike Gesicki had only 32/362/5 receiving for the Dolphins last season.

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