Showing posts with label Jeff Wilson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jeff Wilson. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 6, 2023

Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa551.3358.34079.628.1211.5835.4106.21.59272.66
Mike White54.533.8384.21.961.646.36.30.1321.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa sustained multiple concussions, causing him to miss five games (counting a playoff loss) in 2022, and he even considered retiring after last season. When healthy, however, he posted career numbers and led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9) and passer rating (105.5). Excluding the games he missed or left early (Weeks 4-6 and 17-18), Tagovailoa scored the seventh-most fantasy points over that span. Of course, durability and the potential for missed time factors into his 2023 outlook, but there is plenty of optimism if his health cooperates.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Raheem Mostert146671.64.2320.2160.71124.71
De'Von Achane91.7412.72.3422.2180.81.492.89
Jeff Wilson Jr.89.7412.62.5114.5111.60.879.53
Salvon Ahmed31.71300.873.726.80.223.95
Alec Ingold2.74.10.1413.593.70.822.17
Chris Brooks2.18.80.051.28.90.13.27

Raheem Mostert: Mostert missed only one game in 2022, but it was just the second season of his career where he didn't miss significant time. He has played only 61 games over the past six seasons. Without any new additions to the backfield, Mostert should get 10-12 touches per game when everyone is healthy, but more than that for as long as Wilson is out. Mostert has never averaged less than 4.9 YPC in a season.

De'Von Achane: Achane has elite speed, as the former Texas A&M running back (and track star) posted a 4.32 40-yard dash at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame suggests he won't handle a high volume of carries in between the tackles, it's a huge positive that Mike McDaniel lobbied for the third-round pick. Given the durability concerns for Wilson and Mostert, Achane could be thrust into a larger role than expected as a rookie.

Jeff Wilson Jr.: Wilson was placed on short-term IR, making him eligible to return in Week 5. Following Wilson's midseason trade to Miami last year, both Mostert (Week 12) and Wilson (Week 15) missed one game each. In the games in which they both appeared, Wilson (82 touches) edged Mostert (80) in workload, so it's possible that he becomes the 1A of Miami's three-headed backfield at some point during the season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill109.81368.286.935.50.35245.37
Jaylen Waddle80.81124.97.32.918.90.12199.3
Braxton Berrios41457.53.41.712.10.0488.1
Cedrick Wilson17.3200.91.500037.74
Erik Ezukanma11.2131.7100024.77
River Cracraft6.782.60.600015.21

Tyreek Hill: After transitioning from Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's high-powered offense, the drop in production that many forecast for Hill never materialized. In fact, the explosive wideout averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game for the first time ever as he set career highs in targets (170), receptions (119) and yards (1,710) in 2022. Per NFL Media's Ian Rapoport, Hill won't face any disciplinary action from the league.

Jaylen Waddle: With Tyreek Hill setting career highs in targets, receptions and yards, it's not a surprise that Waddle's targets dropped to 117 (in 2022) from 140 (in 2021). That said, he was utilized further downfield as his ADOT jumped to 12.7 (from 7.0), per PFF, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1). He finished as fantasy's WR7 overall and was 13th on a per-game basis (13.0).

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Durham Smythe31.4321.42.700064.04
Tyler Kroft10.2102.70.800020.17
Julian Hill8.691.50.700017.65

Durham Smythe: Even though he tops the depth chart, it's unlikely that Smythe produces a fantasy-relevant season. After all, Mike Gesicki had only 32/362/5 receiving for the Dolphins last season.

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Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa551.3358.34079.628.1211.5835.4106.21.59272.66
Mike White54.533.8384.21.961.646.36.30.1321.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa sustained multiple concussions, causing him to miss five games (counting a playoff loss) in 2022, and he even considered retiring after last season. When healthy, however, he posted career numbers and led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9) and passer rating (105.5). Excluding the games he missed or left early (Weeks 4-6 and 17-18), Tagovailoa scored the seventh-most fantasy points over that span. Of course, durability and the potential for missed time factors into his 2023 outlook, but there is plenty of optimism if his health cooperates.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jeff Wilson Jr.131.4604.43.5524.71831.2119.59
Raheem Mostert129.3594.83.4320.2160.71112.23
De'Von Achane82.2369.92.122.2189.71.488.06
Alec Ingold2.74.10.1414.9109.4125.64
Salvon Ahmed16.366.80.451.411.20.111.8
Chris Brooks2.18.80.051.28.90.13.27

Jeff Wilson Jr.: Following Wilson's midseason trade to Miami, both Raheem Mostert (Week 12) and Wilson (Week 15) missed one game each. In the games in which they both appeared, Wilson (82 touches) edged Mostert (80) in workload. Going into the 2023 season, I project Wilson to maintain a relatively slight edge. Clouding the outlook for both has been Miami's consistent interest in various free agents or trade candidates (e.g., Jonathan Taylor) and the addition of De'Von Achane, their speedy third-round rookie.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert missed only one game in 2022, but it was just the second season of his career where he didn't miss significant time. He has played only 61 games over the past six seasons. Without any new additions to the backfield, Mostert should get 10-12 touches per game as long as he's healthy, and he's never averaged less than 4.9 YPC in a season.

De'Von Achane: Achane has elite speed, as the former Texas A&M running back (and track star) posted a 4.32 40-yard dash at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame suggests he won't handle a high volume of carries in between the tackles, it's a huge positive that Mike McDaniel lobbied for the third-round pick. Even though both Wilson and Mostert are in front of him on the depth chart, Achane could be thrust into a larger role than expected as a rookie given the durability histories of Wilson and Mostert. Speaking of injuries, however, Achane is still dealing with a shoulder injury.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill109.81372.686.935.50.35245.81
Jaylen Waddle80.81124.97.32.918.90.12199.3
Braxton Berrios41457.53.41.712.10.0488.1
Cedrick Wilson18.22121.500039.3
Erik Ezukanma11.2131.7100024.77
River Cracraft6.782.60.600015.21

Tyreek Hill: After transitioning from Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's high-powered offense, the drop in production that many forecast for Hill never materialized. In fact, the explosive wideout averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game for the first time ever as he set career highs in targets (170), receptions (119) and yards (1,710) in 2022. It's still unclear if Hill will eventually face a suspension for a June 18th incident, which has been resolved from a legal standpoint.

Jaylen Waddle: With Tyreek Hill setting career highs in targets, receptions and yards, it's not a surprise that Waddle's targets dropped to 117 (in 2022) from 140 (in 2021). That said, he was utilized further downfield as his ADOT jumped to 12.7 (from 7.0), per PFF, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1). He finished as fantasy's WR7 overall and was 13th on a per-game basis (13.0).

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Durham Smythe31.4325.92.800065.09
Julian Hill8.693.70.800018.47

Durham Smythe: The Dolphins have only two healthy tight ends on their initial 53-man roster, so Smythe is the runaway favorite to lead Miami's tight ends in fantasy points. That said, it's unlikely that Smythe produces a fantasy-usable season. After all, Mike Gesicki had only 32/362/5 receiving for the Dolphins last season.

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Sunday, August 6, 2023

Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa551.3358.34107.228.9411.5835.4106.21.59277.05
Mike White54.533.8384.21.961.646.36.30.1321.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa sustained multiple concussions, causing him to miss five games (counting a playoff loss) in 2022, and he even considered retiring after last season. When healthy, however, he posted career numbers and led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9) and passer rating (105.5). Excluding the games he missed or left early (Weeks 4-6 and 17-18), Tagovailoa scored the seventh-most fantasy points over that span. Of course, durability and the potential for missed time factors into his 2023 outlook, but there is plenty of optimism if his health cooperates.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jeff Wilson Jr.141.8652.33.8325.7195.41.3128.4
Raheem Mostert133.5614.13.5420.6157.21.1115.27
De'Von Achane73.8332.11.8821.2172.91.279.58
Alec Ingold2.74.10.1412.996.60.922.76
Salvon Ahmed12.149.60.331.290.19.04

Jeff Wilson Jr.: Following Wilson's midseason trade to Miami, both Raheem Mostert (Week 12) and Wilson (Week 15) missed one game each. In the games in which they both appeared, Wilson (82 touches) edged Mostert (80) in workload. Going into the 2023 season, I project Wilson to maintain a relatively slight edge, but the addition of De'Von Achane, their speedy third-round rookie, (and a potential signing of Dalvin Cook) only clouds the outlook even further.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert missed only one game in 2022, but it was just the second season of his career where he didn't miss significant time. He has played only 61 games over the past six seasons. Without any new additions to the backfield, Mostert should get 10-12 touches per game as long as he's healthy, and he's never averaged less than 4.9 YPC in a season.

De'Von Achane: Achane has elite speed, as the former Texas A&M running back (and track star) posted a 4.32 40-yard dash at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame suggests he won't handle a high volume of carries in between the tackles, it's a huge positive that Mike McDaniel lobbied for the third-round pick. So, even if both Wilson and Mostert start in front of Achane on the depth chart, Achane could be thrust into a larger role than expected as a rookie, especially given the durability histories of Wilson and Mostert.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill109.81381.17.86.935.50.35245.46
Jaylen Waddle80.81131.87.43.120.20.12200.72
Braxton Berrios35.1390.82.61.510.70.0473.54
Chosen Anderson17.1226.81.600040.83
Cedrick Wilson12.4143.7100026.57
Erik Ezukanma7.380.80.600015.33

Tyreek Hill: After transitioning from Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's high-powered offense, the drop in production that many forecast for Hill never materialized. In fact, the explosive wideout averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game for the first time ever as he set career highs in targets (170), receptions (119) and yards (1,710) in 2022. Hill was involved in a June 18th incident, which was under both police and league investigation, but attorneys for both sides issued a statement saying they have "resolved their differences."

Jaylen Waddle: With Tyreek Hill setting career highs in targets, receptions and yards, it's not a surprise that Waddle's targets dropped to 117 (in 2022) from 140 (in 2021). That said, he was utilized further downfield as his ADOT jumped to 12.7 (from 7.0), per PFF, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1). He finished as fantasy's WR7 overall and was 13th on a per-game basis (13.0).

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Durham Smythe21.6224.62.300047.06
Eric Saubert12.5125.81.400027.23
Elijah Higgins8.294.30.900018.93
Tyler Kroft5.960.60.500012.01

Durham Smythe: Even if Smythe leads Miami's tight ends in fantasy points, it's unlikely that Smythe (or any Dolphins tight end) produces a fantasy-usable season. After all, Mike Gesicki had only 32/362/5 receiving for the Dolphins last season.

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Saturday, September 3, 2022

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Trey Lance490.6311.53753.121.5914.23101.2526.24.05284.94
Jimmy Garoppolo42.728.7328.82.011.137.610.30.1921.1

Trey Lance: The assumption all offseason and training camp was that Jimmy Garoppolo would play elsewhere in 2022. While the 49ers and Jimmy G. agreed to a restructured contract, he goes into the season as the team's No. 2 behind Lance (and the league's highest-paid backup). If things go right, Lance has enormous upside given his dual-threat skill set. If things don't go as well as expected, however, how long of a leash will Lance get before the team makes a quarterback change?

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Elijah Mitchell192.2855.35.7728.1216.31.3163.63
Jeff Wilson69293.31.913.9108.20.762.7
Kyle Juszczyk14.752.90.8124.3216.31.552.93
Tyrion Davis-Price70.8304.41.986.646.90.352.11
Jordan Mason10.142.90.251.28.20.17.81

Elijah Mitchell: Mitchell missed six games as a rookie, but he was the clear lead back when he was on the field. Counting three playoff games, Mitchell had a minimum in 17 carries in 11 of 14 games in 2021. (Mitchell had 68.3% of the non-QB carries in those other three games.) ESPN's Nick Wagoner noted earlier this offseason that the 49ers "injury concerns about Mitchell are real" and he missed the preseason with a hamstring injury.

Jeff Wilson: Given that a different player has led the 49ers in rushing in each of Kyle Shanahan's five seasons as head coach, it's never a bad idea to throw a late-round dart at the team's projected RB2. Perhaps Tyrion Davis-Price, the team's third-round pick, moves up the depth chart, but it was Wilson that started the team's preseason finale with Mitchell sidelined.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Deebo Samuel72.61030.75.631.6205.41.58202.99
Brandon Aiyuk62.9842.94.94.639.10.28150.73
Jauan Jennings33.2422.52.600074.45
Danny Gray14.5193.9100032.64
Ray-Ray McCloud3.940.80.21.510.90.068.68

Deebo Samuel: After missing nine games in 2020, Samuel had a breakout campaign (77/1,405/6 receiving and 59/365/8 rushing) in 2021. With a new contract extension in hand, the versatile wideout said he's not opposed to his hybrid "wide back" role. Samuel's physical play style and role puts him at increased risk for injury, but the do-it-all talent is a top-five receiver whenever he's on the field.

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk exceeded 15 receiving yards in only two of his first six games last season and totalled only 9/96/1 receiving during that span. That said, he was much more productive and consistent from Week 8 on, as he closed the season with 47/730/4 over the final 11 games of the season. The upside is there for Aiyuk to vastly outperform his current ADP.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
George Kittle68.98494.72.50.20.1148.17
Tyler Kroft4.446.90.30008.69
Charlie Woerner3.132.70.20006.02
Ross Dwelley2.626.50.20005.15

George Kittle: Since his second season (2018), Kittle has averaged a 17-game pace of 95/1,299/6. While he's missed at least two games in three consecutive seasons, he's averaged 86.1, 75.2, 79.3 and 65.0 yards per game over the past four seasons, respectively. Given that he's arguably the most talented all-around tight end in the league, Kittle has had a relatively high share of duds (example: 2/21, 1/29 and 5/10 over the final three weeks, respectively) to go along with some monster outings (9/181/2 and 13/151/1 in back-to-back weeks last year). Despite some week-to-week volatility and shaky durability history, he's a top-five fantasy option, at worst.

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Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Week 15 Fantasy Football RB Waiver Wire Rankings

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Jeff Wilson Jr., San Francisco 49ers (19%)

Even though Tevin Coleman and Jerick McKinnon were active, the duo of Raheem Mostert and Wilson handled all of the non-FB running back touches against the Washington Football Team. After the game, coach Kyle Shanahan said of the duo that "we've gotten all our backs back and we've been trying to go with Jeff Wilson and Raheem as our one-two." Wilson finished the game with 12 touches for 44 yards and a touchdown.

Mostert aggravated his ankle injury during the game and the team is expected to know more about the status of his injury on Wednesday. If Mostert is unable to go in Week 15 against the Dallas Cowboys, Wilson immediately moves into the RB2 mix.

The Cowboys have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Only the Houston Texans (5.36) and Las Vegas Raiders (4.99) have allowed more yards per carry to opposing running backs than the Cowboys (4.98) this season.

2. DeAndre Washington, Miami Dolphins (24%)

3. Lynn Bowden, Miami Dolphins (3%)

Washington led Miami's injury-depleted backfield in Week 14 with 13 carries for 35 yards and two catches for 17 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs. The production wasn't what fantasy managers had hoped to see if they plug-and-played Washington against his former team as a flex option last week.

That said, if Myles Gaskin, Salvon Ahmed and Matt Breida are unable to go in Week 15, Washington could see another 15-plus touches against the New England Patriots on Sunday.

Depending on the status of DeVante Parker and Jakeem Grant, Bowden could have another prominent role in the passing game in Week 15. With both leaving early in Week 14, Bowden had seven catches for 82 yards on nine targets and added a two-yard carry.

4. Phillip Lindsay, Denver Broncos (44%)

Lindsay had exactly 35 catches in each of his first two NFL seasons, but this year he has four catches (on 11 targets) through 10 games. In fact, the Broncos rank bottom three in the NFL in running back receptions (37) and targets (55).

Not only has he not been involved as a receiver this season, but he's been inefficient as a runner recently. Over this past three games, Lindsay has failed to exceed 2.2 YPC. During that stretch, he has 34 carries for 70 rushing yards (2.06 YPC).

So, why is he listed on this list?

Lindsay has double-digit touches in three of four games and at least nine in all four games with an average of 13 per week. Although Melvin Gordon's DUI hearing was moved to January (read: no suspension this season), he "dinged his shoulder a bit" in Sunday's game and was a "non-participant" in the team's estimated practice report for Tuesday. If for whatever reason Gordon is inactive or limited, Lindsay could see north of 15 touches.

5. Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens (33%)

Edwards had seven carries for 49 yards and two touchdowns and added a four-yard reception against the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. While J.K. Dobbins has moved into the clear RB1 role for the team, Mark Ingram had zero touches on MNF.

No team has an easier remaining strength of schedule than the Ravens as their remaining opponents have a combined 8-30-1 record (.218). Favored by nearly two touchdowns over the Jacksonville Jaguars this week, the Ravens have an implied total over 30 points and game script could lead to even more carries for the rotational running back.

+ More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 15

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Monday, September 28, 2020

Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Pickups: RB Options Heading into NFL Week 4

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 4 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Myles Gaskin, Miami Dolphins (47 percent)

The answer to the Jordan Howard-versus-Matt Breida debate has turned out to be "neither." Well, the answer (among only those two backs) may be Howard due to his valuable goal-line opportunities, but Gaskin is clearly the team's running back to own.

Leading the backfield in workload in every game, Gaskins had a whopping 27 touches -- 22 carries and five receptions -- in Week 3. On the season, Gaskin has a total of 53 (60.9% of running back) touches, which compares to only 16 each (18.4%) for both Breida and Howard. Patrick Laird also has two touches (2.3%).

Even though Howard has vultured goal-line carries and should continue to do so as that is his primary role, Gaskins is unlikely to finish the season with no touchdowns assuming he continues to run circles around Howard and Breida in usage.

Despite having no touchdowns on the season, Gaskins is the RB25 in half-PPR scoring formats through Sunday Night Football. Especially in full PPR or half-PPR formats, his role as a receiver boosts his floor, however, as he has a minimum of four catches each week and a total of 15 through three games.

2. Jeff Wilson Jr., San Francisco 49ers (22 percent)

For as long as both Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman are sidelined, Wilson remains a potential flex play. In Sunday's win over the Giants, Jerick McKinnon had 17 touches and Wilson had 15 touches. In Week 3, Wilson turned his 15 touches including three receptions into 69 yards and two touchdowns. It's unclear if Mostert, whose MCL sprain is "mild," will miss another game or not.

3. Rex Burkhead, New England Patriots (11 percent)

Heading into Monday Night Football, only Alvin Kamara has scored more fantasy points than Burkhead in Week 3. With James White out, the versatile back carried the ball six times for 49 yards and two touchdowns and added seven catches for another 49 yards and a score on 10 targets. If White returns in Week 4, Burkhead may not see 13 touches, but it could shape up to be more of a White (and Burkhead) game than a Sony Michel type of game against the high-powered Chiefs offense.

4. Carlos Hyde, Seattle Seahawks (18 percent)

The Seahawks have been letting Russ cook as Russell Wilson has opened the season with 14 passing touchdowns in three games. That said, the team is generally run-first and Chris Carson sustained a knee injury at the end of the Week 3 win over the Cowboys. The good news for Carson (and his fantasy owners) is that the injury isn't serious and he has a chance to play in Week 4.

If he's unable to go or the Seahawks are careful with Carson, Hyde could get a large workload in a game with the potential for positive game script as the Dolphins are currently touchdown underdogs in Week 4. Hyde had his first-ever 1,000-yard rushing season with Houston last year.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 4

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