The Daily Blitz: Cole Beasley

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Buffalo Bills

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	604.8	411.3	4657	35.99	11.19	79.6	350.2	5.97	378.7
Mitchell Trubisky	38.6	25.2	262.5	1.81	0.97	5.2	19.2	0.2	18.92

Josh Allen: One of the league's best young dual-threat quarterbacks, Allen has exactly 300 rush attempts in his three NFL seasons and has racked up 1,562 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Remarkably, he has rushed for at least eight touchdowns in all three of his NFL seasons. Since his rookie season (2018), Allen has 22.32% of the team's rush attempts, 27.11% of the rushing yards and 56.82% of the rushing touchdowns.

Shatterering previous career bests across the board in 2020, Allen threw for 4,544 yards (284.0/G, 7.9/A) and 37 touchdowns (6.5 TD%) with only 10 interceptions (1.7%). Despite last year's unusual offseason, the trade for Stefon Diggs paid immediate dividends as the duo's instant rapport allowed Diggs to post career highs across the board as well.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Zack Moss	154	669.9	5.47	30.1	226.3	2.3	151.29
Devin Singletary	134.1	583.3	2.28	32.3	241.1	2.2	125.47
Matt Breida	31.4	142.9	0.63	9.4	66.4	0.7	33.61
Taiwan Jones	4.2	18.1	0.08	0	0	0	2.29

Zack Moss: The good news for Moss is that he's likely to lead the team's backs in fantasy production. The bad news is that the Bills won't run it nearly as much as one would expect for a team that will have as many positive game scripts as they will likely have. In addition, Josh Allen is a threat to vulture many of the scoring opportunities (25 rushing TDs over three seasons).

Devin Singletary: Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Moss over Singletary, neither is much more than a flex option heading into 2021. On a positive note, however, coach Sean McDermott has praised Singletary for "really trying to master the small things that come up down in and down out. ... I've really been impressed with his attention to detail over the past few days."

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	114.6	1446.3	8.9	1	5.3	0.01	255.92
Cole Beasley	69.8	762.5	3.8	0	0	0	133.95
Gabriel Davis	48	659.2	6	0	0	0	125.92
Emmanuel Sanders	50.4	605.1	5.1	0	0	0	116.31
Isaiah McKenzie	16.4	164.8	2.1	9.4	40	0.24	42.72
Jake Kumerow	10.9	159.9	1.3	0	0	0	29.24

Stefon Diggs: Things could not have gone better for Diggs in his first season with the Bills. Buffalo's starters played fewer snaps than usual in Week 17, as Diggs played a season-low 48% of the team's offensive snaps in the regular-season finale. Even so, that Week 17 performance (7/76) was the only game over the final five weeks where Diggs had fewer than 128 receiving yards. A top-three performer across all scoring formats, Diggs led the league in targets (166), receptions (127) and yards (1,535) in 2020.

Cole Beasley: The recipient of triple-digit targets in back-to-back seasons, Beasley posted career highs in receptions (82) and catch rate (76.6%) as well as in yards (967), yards per reception (11.8), per target (9.0) and per game (64.5) in 2020. Catching only four touchdowns last season, Beasley has still finished as a top-36 wide receiver in both of his seasons as a Bill.

Gabriel Davis: Without signing Emmanuel Sanders to partially fill the void created by John Brown's release, there would be more hype for Davis as a 2021 breakout candidate. As a rookie, the 2020 fourth-round pick ended the year with 35 receptions for 599 yards (17.1 Y/R) and seven touchdowns. The talent is there for Davis to command an expanded role.

Emmanuel Sanders: Sanders and Davis will likely be competing for snaps to join Diggs and Beasley in three-wide sets. Even though the passing offense will be one of the league's best, both are only bench stashes heading into the season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	42.6	464.9	4.3	0	0	0	93.59
Tommy Sweeney	12	123	1.1	0	0	0	24.9

Dawson Knox: Knox missed four games in 2020 and his per-game numbers last season (2.0/24.0/0.25) weren't much different than his rookie averages (1.87/25.9/0.13). One of the more athletic tight ends in the league, there is potential for a year-over-year improvement in his third season, but he will likely rank fourth or fifth in pecking order amongst the team's pass catchers.

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Thursday, July 29, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Buffalo Bills

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	603.8	414.8	4709.6	37.13	11.17	80.9	356	6.07	386.58
Mitchell Trubisky	38.5	25.2	261.8	1.81	0.96	5.3	18.6	0.2	18.85

Josh Allen: One of the league's best young dual-threat quarterbacks, Allen has exactly 300 rush attempts in his three NFL seasons and has racked up 1,562 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Remarkably, he has rushed for at least eight touchdowns in all three of his NFL seasons. Since his rookie season (2008), Allen has 22.32% of the team's rush attempts, 27.11% of the rushing yards and 56.82% of the rushing touchdowns.

Continuing to make major strides as a passer, Allen shattered previous career bests across the board in 2020. In his third season, Allen threw for 4,544 yards (284.0/G, 7.9/A) and 37 touchdowns (6.5 TD%) with only 10 interceptions (1.7%). Despite last year's unusual offseason, the trade for Stefon Diggs paid immediate dividends as the duo's instant rapport allowed Diggs to post career highs across the board as well.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Zack Moss	151.3	658.2	5.37	27.5	211.3	2.1	145.52
Devin Singletary	136.6	594.2	2.32	33	261	2.3	129.74
Matt Breida	31.5	143.3	0.63	8.8	67.1	0.7	33.42
Antonio Williams	4.2	18.5	0.13	2.2	17.4	0.2	6.67

Zack Moss: Many 2021 mock drafts linked the Bills to a first-round running back. Instead of adding an early-round running back, it's a positive for the outlook of Moss and Devin Singletary that the Bills only added Matt Breida in free agency. While I prefer Moss over Singletary, a concern for both is that Josh Allen has 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons. Not only has Allen led the team in that category in each of the past three years, he has 56.8% (25 of 44) of the team's rushing touchdowns over that stretch.

Devin Singletary: Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Moss over Singletary, both are not much more than a flex option heading into 2021. On a positive note, however, coach Sean McDermott has praised Singletary for "really trying to master the small things that come up down in and down out. ... I've really been impressed with his attention to detail over the past few days."

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	116.6	1446.7	9.1	1.1	5.8	0.01	258.21
Cole Beasley	79.2	870	4.7	0	0	0	154.8
Gabriel Davis	46.2	693.5	6	0	0	0	128.45
Emmanuel Sanders	44	527	4.7	0	0	0	102.9
Isaiah McKenzie	14.3	141.7	2.1	9.5	40.4	0.24	39.4
Isaiah Hodgins	4.4	49.7	0.5	0	0	0	10.17

Emmanuel Sanders: Most fantasy rankings will project Diggs, Beasley and Davis as the team's top-three receivers, but at least one beat reporter (The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia) believes that Sanders could factor into the offense more than Davis. Buscaglia described Sanders' contract as a "weighty contract indicative of a substantial role in the offense" and wrote that "all of the Bills' actions in the offseason were not of a team confident that Davis was ready to step into an enormous role."

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	36.3	397.7	3.9	81.32
Jacob Hollister	22	236.1	2	46.61
Tommy Sweeney	5.5	52.2	0.6	11.57

Dawson Knox: Knox missed four games in 2020 and his per-game numbers last season (2.0/24.0/0.25) weren't much different than his rookie averages (1.87/25.9/0.13). One of the more athletic tight ends in the league, there is the potential for a year-over-year improvement in his third season, but he will likely rank fourth or fifth in pecking order amongst the team's pass catchers. In fact, Josh Allen's Wyoming teammate, Jacob Hollister, could wind up moving ahead of Knox on the depth chart.

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Sunday, June 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Buffalo Bills

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	610.2	419.2	4759.6	37.83	10.98	80.9	356	6.07	391.76
Mitchell Trubisky	32.1	21	218.3	1.51	0.8	5.3	18.6	0.2	16.23

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Zack Moss	142.9	621.6	5.36	27.5	236.5	2.2	144.92
Devin Singletary	145	630.8	2.18	33	286.2	2.4	135.68
Matt Breida	33.6	152.9	0.67	8.8	74.7	0.7	35.38
Antonio Williams	2.1	9.2	0.06	2.2	12.4	0.2	4.82

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	121.1	1480.9	9.4	1.1	5.8	0.01	265.68
Cole Beasley	85.8	945.8	5.2	0	0	0	168.68
Gabriel Davis	45.1	696.9	6.1	0	0	0	128.84
Emmanuel Sanders	37.4	435.6	4	0	0	0	86.26
Isaiah McKenzie	14.3	124.4	2.2	9.5	40.4	0.24	38.27
Isaiah Hodgins	4.4	49.8	0.5	0	0	0	10.18

Cole Beasley: The recipient of triple-digit targets in back-to-back seasons, Beasley posted career highs in receptions (82) and catch rate (76.6%) as well as in yards (967), yards per reception (11.8), per target (9.0) and per game (64.5) in 2020. Catching only four touchdowns last season, Beasley has now finished as a top-36 wide receiver in both of his seasons as a Bill and will likely outperform his ADP in 2021 as well.

Gabriel Davis: If the Bills did not sign Emmanuel Sanders to partially fill the void created by John Brown's release, there would be hype for Davis as a breakout candidate in 2021. As a rookie, the 2020 fourth-round pick ended the year with 35 receptions for 599 yards (17.1 Y/R) and seven touchdowns.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	42.9	485.3	4.5	96.98
Jacob Hollister	12.1	99.6	1.4	24.41
Tommy Sweeney	5.5	49.8	0.6	11.33

Dawson Knox: Knox missed four games in 2020 and his per-game numbers last season (2.0/24.0/0.25) weren't much different than his rookie averages (1.87/25.9/0.13). One of the more athletic tight ends in the league, there is the potential for a year-over-year improvement in his third season, but he will likely rank fourth or fifth in pecking order amongst the team's pass catchers.

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Saturday, December 12, 2020

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Corey Davis is listed below as a "start" for Week 14. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 14 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

Then again, Davis may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own Davante Adams, Calvin Ridley and Davis and only start two wide receivers, you should start Adams and Ridley and, in turn, bench Davis.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans (at JAX)

Given his largely disappointing first three NFL seasons, it was no surprise that the Titans declined the fifth-year option on Davis. While the fourth-year pro has missed a couple of games earlier in the season, he's having a breakout campaign in 2020.

Fantasy football's highest-scoring receiver in Week 13, Davis caught 11 of his 12 targets for 182 yards, all of which were season highs, and a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns. On the season, the former No. 5 overall pick has set career highs, by a wide margin, in yards per reception (15.1), yards per game (80.1), catch rate (75.7%).

Teammate A.J. Brown (ankle) is expected to play this week, but he's at less than 100% (as are nearly all NFL players at this point in the season). That said, the Titans are favored by more than a touchdown and one of three teams with an implied total of 30-plus points this week.

It's possible that they are conservative with Brown's usage against the one-win Jaguars and Davis is the recipient of an extra target or two as a result. Meanwhile, it may not take as many targets for Davis to turn out a productive fantasy day as the Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (at TB)

Remember in late-August when Jefferson was behind Adam Thielen AND Bisi Johnson?

While most had expected him to assume the Stefon Diggs role once he was selected in the first round, the preseason caution has helped to make the former LSU star one of fantasy's biggest draft bargains this summer.

Against the Jaguars in Week 13, Jefferson had another monster game (9/121/1 on 12 targets) and finished as the week's WR4. Jefferson now has 100-plus yards and/or a touchdown (or two) in four consecutive games. During that stretch, he's finished no worse than the weekly WR14 and he has averaged a 6.75/103/1 line on 10 targets per game.

As stingy as Tampa has been to opposing running backs, the Vikings, who are roughly a TD underdog, may find themselves throwing it more than usual this week. Either way, Jefferson remains a WR1 this week -- and for the rest of the season.

Robby Anderson, Carolina Panthers (vs. DEN)

Scoring only his second touchdown of the season last week, Anderson (4/94/1) finished as fantasy's WR12 in Week 13. Before that, he had finished outside the top 30 fantasy wide receivers in six consecutive games.

Anderson has averaged 8.67 targets and a 26.32% weekly target share this season and has a target share of at least 21.43% in every game except one -- Week 6 versus the Chicago Bears (18.52%). With D.J. Moore expected to miss Week 14, Anderson could be in line for as many targets as he can handle.

Cole Beasley, Buffalo Bills (vs. PIT)

Ranked as a high-end WR3 inside my top 30 receivers this week, it's notable that he's ranked ahead of all receivers in this game outside of Stefon Diggs and Diontae Johnson. That said, few receivers have been as productive as Beasley over his past three games.

During that span, Beasley has had two top-three weekly receiver performances and his two best games of the season -- 11/109/1 on 13 targets in Week 10 and 9/130/1 on 11 targets in Week 13. Even though he had only 2/25 on four targets in the game in between, he threw a 20-yard touchdown that week as well.

Buffalo had a Week 11 bye, but only Tyreek Hill, Jefferson and Davante Adams have scored more fantasy points than Beasley in the three most recent weeks that Beasley has played. Diggs has performed as the WR11 over the same stretch.

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Antonio Brown, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. MIN)

Even though the Vikings have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, it's difficult to trust Brown. Since joining the Bucs, Brown had his worst game -- two catches for 11 yards on three targets -- in Week 12 against the Kansas City Chiefs.

While I would prefer to start either Chris Godwin and/or Mike Evans over Brown this week, it still wouldn't surprise me if he eventually emerged as Tom Brady's most trusted and productive receiver. Even so, I'd rather be a week wait than a week early given the fantasy playoff implications likely at stake this week.

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos (at CAR)

From Weeks 8 to 11, Jeudy had a minimum of eight targets per week and at least 68 receiving yards in three of the four games. During that span, Jeudy was tied for the fourth-most targets (40) and 11th-most yards (303) among wide receivers.

Although the team was able to turn back to Drew Lock in Week 13, things weren't much better for Jeudy's numbers. The first-round rookie finished with just one catch for five yards on four targets. At this point, I'd trust teammate Tim Patrick more than Jeudy if I had to roll the dice with one of Denver's WR4 types.

Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals (at NYG)

Over a four-week span (Weeks 6 to 9) that included Arizona's Week 8 bye, Kirk performed as a top-12 fantasy wide receiver in each of the other three games. Accumulating a three-game line of 12/246/5, Kirk scored the fifth-most fantasy points over those four weeks even without adjusting for his bye.

In the four weeks since that stretch, Kirk has a total of 12 catches for 98 scoreless yards. While he had six targets per game in Weeks 10 to 12, Kirk set season lows with one catch for two yards on three targets. He's finished no higher than WR50 in any of the past four weeks.

BUST ALERT: Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BUF)

All in all, it's been a highly productive rookie season for Claypool so far. Through Week 13, Claypool has scored the 16th-most fantasy points in half-PPR formats.

Over a five-game stretch from Weeks 8 to 12, Claypool was getting a consistent volume of targets -- minimum of eight every week and a total of 52 (10.4 per game). Targeted only four times in Week 13, Claypool played only 43.7% of Pittsburgh's offensive snaps, his lowest amount since Week 2. (He had played 60%-plus from Weeks 3-11.) As he splits snaps with James Washington, I'd prefer both Diontae Johnson and JuJu Smith-Schuster over the rookie.

The Bills have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

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Monday, October 26, 2020

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Ranking Week 8 WR Options

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers (48%)

Despite the 49ers running all over the Patriots, the first-round rookie had the best game of his young career on Sunday with six catches for 115 yards. To a degree, the boxscore production for Aiyuk has been a bit up and down given the run-first nature of the offense, but he's averaging 3.6/51.8/0.2 on 5.8 targets per game over his past five games.

Opportunities could be more plentiful for Aiyuk in Week 8. The run-heavy offense may need to throw much more often in Week 8 to keep up with Russell Wilson and the league's highest-scoring offense. In addition, Deebo Samuel tweaked his hamstring on Sunday as well.

Not only will the 49ers likely throw it more often than their norm, the matchup for Aiyuk is ideal as no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Seahawks.

2. Sterling Shepard, New York Giants (29%)

After missing more than a month and returning from IR, Shepard had six receptions for 59 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles on Thursday Night Football. Only Evan Engram (nine, 30.0% share) had more targets than Shepard (eight, 26.7%). Missing a total of 10 games over the past season and a half, Shepard has the chance to be the team's top-performing receiver if he can stay healthy.

3. Cole Beasley, Buffalo Bills (41%)

Beasley converted 11-of-12 targets into a season-high 112 yards on Sunday. Buffalo's slot receiver has more than 50 yards and/or a touchdown in every game this season.

As we all know by now, the Patriots (Buffalo's Week 8 opponent) focus on stopping an opponent's best weapon (Stefon Diggs for Buffalo) and forcing their secondary weapons to beat them. Especially if John Brown and Dawson Knox miss more time, Beasley should get peppered with targets this week.

4. Rashad Higgins, Cleveland Browns (1%)

Higgins led the Browns in both catches (six) and yards (110) in what turned out to be a shootout against their cross-state rivals on Sunday. While Higgins Week 7 production was equal to or greater than his production through Week 6, his role in the offense will expand significantly going forward with the team losing Odell Beckham to a torn ACL.

5. Nelson Agholor, Las Vegas Raiders (4%)

Agholor finished Sunday with five receptions for 107 yards and a touchdown on nine targets, all of which were season highs. Not only did it extend Agholor's scoring streak to three games, but his yardage has continued to increase each week (44, 67 and 107, respectively). Of course, the streak won't last forever, but there's another favorable matchup on the table for Agholor and the team's receivers as the Browns rank amongst the three most generous fantasy defenses to the position this season.

6. Denzel Mims, New York Jets (4%)

Making his season (and NFL) debut, Mims led the Jets in targets (seven) and finished with four catches for 42 yards. Of course, Mims led the team in targets with Jamison Crowder sidelined and Breshad Perriman (concussion) leaving the game early. That said, Mims is a height-weight-speed freak on a team that will be (big) underdogs in every game this season and are currently 20-point underdogs to the Chiefs.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 8

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Monday, August 24, 2020

Buffalo Bills Fantasy Football Projections 2020

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	482.2	301.4	3544.2	22.42	11.57	96.1	494.9	6.73	298.18
Allen's passing numbers improved in 2019 and he should take another step forward in his third season, especially given the team's offseason trade for Stefon Diggs. When it comes to fantasy, however, it's Allen's rushing ability that makes him a viable starter. After rushing for 631 yards and eight scores as a rookie, Buffalo's dual-threat quarterback ran 109 times for 510 yards and nine touchdowns in 2019.
Matt Barkley	30.8	18.2	218.7	0.85	1.08	1.7	-1.7	0	9.82

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Devin Singletary	170.6	793.3	2.99	37.3	266.7	2.42	138.46
Over his final nine games including the playoffs, Singletary averaged 16.0/73.4 rushing and 2.9/23.6 receiving. With the Bills using another third-round pick on a running back (Zack Moss), Singletary almost certainly won't maintain his late-season averages of 18.9 touches and 97.0 yards from scrimmage.
Zack Moss	165.8	737.8	4.15	17.7	119.5	0.8	115.43
Frank Gore had nearly 180 touches -- 166 carries and 13 receptions -- and it would be reasonable to expect Moss to approach -- or even exceed -- those numbers as a rookie. A tackle-breaking machine at Utah, Moss is a physical 223-pound runner that had three 1,000-yard seasons in Salt Lake City.
T.J. Yeldon	27.6	107.6	0.07	8.5	70.6	0.26	19.8
Patrick DiMarco	2.4	5.6	0.01	4.5	36.5	0.09	4.81
Taiwan Jones	4.8	19.9	0.01	1	8.4	0.01	2.95

MORE: Buffalo Bills 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	65.7	955.9	5.75	2.4	13.2	0.01	131.47
Over the past three seasons, Diggs has finished as fantasy's WR21 (2019), WR11 (2018) and WR19 (2017), but he wanted out of Minnesota and got his wish. In terms of his statistical production, it's likely that he takes a step back in a less-friendly fantasy situation.
John Brown	55.1	804.5	4.68	1.7	6.1	0.01	109.2
With speed to burn, Brown is a perfect fit for strong-armed quarterback Josh Allen as Smokey posted his first 1,000-yard season (72/1,060/6) since 2015. With the Bills trading their first-round pick for Diggs, however, Brown will certainly see his target share (24.3% over his 15 games) decline in 2020.
Cole Beasley	50.1	563.6	3.51	0	0	0	77.42
Following the team's Week 6 bye, Beasley either scored a touchdown and/or exceeded 70 receiving yards in eight of his final 10 regular-season games. The 5-foot-8 receiver set a career-high in targets per game (7.07) and touchdowns (six), but there is little chance that he matches his 2019 level of volume or red-zone production with the Bills trading for Diggs.
Gabriel Davis	11.8	146.3	0.71	0	0	0	18.89
Isaiah McKenzie	8.3	78.9	0.25	6	38.4	0.3	15.03
Andre Roberts	2.7	26.5	0.11	1.2	7.4	0.01	4.11
Isaiah Hodgins	0.8	9.7	0.06	0	0	0	1.33

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	38.8	500.5	3.1	0	0	0	68.65
Under-utilized at Mississippi, Knox, who ran a 4.51 forty at his Pro Day, had 28 catches for 388 yards (13.9 Y/R) and two touchdowns as a rookie. While he should build upon his solid rookie campaign, the addition of Stefon Diggs to the receiving corps and the team's run-first approach could limit how big of a second-year jump Knox makes.
Tyler Kroft	13.2	143.9	0.92	0	0	0	19.91
Tommy Sweeney	3.9	46.8	0.27	0	0	0	6.3
Lee Smith	2.9	21.8	0.29	0	0	0	3.92

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Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Buffalo Bills 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	494.2	282.9	3484.1	19.03	15.81	96.2	519.5	5.39	268.15
Returning from injury after Buffalo's Week 11 bye, Allen failed to exceed 231 passing yards in the final six games of the season, completed just 51.9 percent of his pass attempts during that span while throwing seven interceptions. That said, no quarterback scored more fantasy points than Allen (24.2/G) from Week 12 on although Houston's Deshaun Watson (24.1/G) was close. The rookie quarterback averaged 12.93 fantasy points per game from his rushing stats alone -- 54/576/5 and four 95-yard games - over that six-week stretch. A high-upside QB2 in season-long formats, Allen will have even more appeal in best-ball leagues and DFS tournaments.
Matt Barkley	12.7	7.6	91.4	0.43	0.38	1.2	-0.6	0	4.56

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RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
LeSean McCoy	147.3	559.7	4.05	23.8	171.4	0.48	100.29
After the NFL Draft, GM Brandon Beane said that McCoy is "still here" and "the starter." Inefficient with a career-low 3.2 yards per carry, the 31-year-old (in July) finished second on the team in rushing behind rookie quarterback Josh Allen and tied his career low in touches (195, 2009). Even if he's still there in Week 1, the Bills seem ready to employ a committee approach with McCoy, Frank Gore and rookie Devin Singletary. I currently project Shady to get 10-12 touches per game.
Frank Gore	106.9	406.2	2.14	9.5	78.9	0.48	64.23
Playing for his third team in three years and now 36 years old, the next time that Gore averages single-digit touches per game will be his first. Perhaps that first time is this year, but he's likely to be involved enough to limit the upside of the team's other (rather uninspiring) backfield options.
T.J. Yeldon	48.7	199.7	0.61	31.5	236.3	1.89	58.6
With a pair of 30-somethings ahead of him (and a rookie) on the depth chart, it's certainly possible that Yeldon has a few weeks where he becomes very fantasy-relevant. Better in full PPR formats, Yeldon set a career high with 55 catches last season and now has at least 30 in all four of his NFL seasons.
Devin Singletary	57	228	1.14	15.1	113.3	0.45	43.67
The Bills used a top-75 pick on Singletary, the RB5 in the 2019 NFL Draft, but the highly-productive former Owl could make more of a fantasy impact in 2020 than this year.
Patrick DiMarco	1.2	4.2	0.06	2.9	29	0.15	4.58
Marcus Murphy	3.6	16.2	0.04	0.8	5.2	0	2.38

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WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Robert Foster	40.9	691.2	4.09	0	0	0	93.66
A big play waiting to happen, Foster had at least 50 receiving yards and/or a touchdown in six of his final seven games last season. In fact, he had three 100-yard games over that stretch and was one of just nine players to do during that span. Even with the free-agent additions of Cole Beasley and John Brown, I like Foster as much as any Bills receiver (especially in non-PPR formats) heading into 2019.
John Brown	36.5	576.7	3.56	7.1	42.6	0.28	84.97
Playing a full 2018 season, Brown finished with 42/715/5 (17.0 Y/R) in Baltimore. Going from one run-first attack to another, however, Brown is likely to be consistently inconsistent. The pairing of his speed with Josh Allen's cannon of an arm could lead to the occasional monster week, but knowing when to take advantage of those boom outings while avoiding bust weeks will be difficult to do with any confidence.
Cole Beasley	57.6	593.3	3.46	0	0	0	80.09
The good news is I have Beasley projected to lead the Bills in receptions. The bad news is he has limited fantasy usefulness outside of deep(ish) PPR leagues. Exceeding 675 receiving yards only once (2016) in his career, Beasley may once again fall short of that threshold in Buffalo's run-first offense.
Zay Jones	39.7	456.6	3.18	0	0	0	64.74
By a wide margin, Jones led the Bills in targets (102, next closest: 62) and receptions (56, next closest: 34) in addition to leading the team in receiving yards (652) and touchdowns (seven). Going into his third season, however, Jones has little to no chance to repeat that level of production as I have him projected to finish fourth on the team in receiving yards.
Isaiah McKenzie	3.7	36.3	0.15	4.8	26.4	0.24	8.61
David Sills	2.2	23.8	0.17	0	0	0	3.4
Andre Roberts	1.3	15	0.07	0	0	0	1.92

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TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyler Kroft	19	174.8	1.9	0	0	0	28.88
The Bills gave Kroft a three-year, $18.75 million deal in March, but the free-agent addition broke his foot on the first day of OTAs. At this point, it's possible that he's not ready for the start of the season.
Dawson Knox	14.6	182.5	1.17	0	0	0	25.27
It's difficult for rookie tight ends to make significant fantasy contributions, but Knox is a plus athlete that could turn out to be a much better pro than he was a college player. Perhaps it's not until 2020 (or beyond) that Knox becomes fantasy-relevant, but he has elicited plenty of praise in the offseason and built good rapport with Josh Allen.
Jason Croom	12.8	147.2	0.9	0	0	0	20.12
Lee Smith	7.6	53.2	0.91	0	0	0	10.78

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Wednesday, June 5, 2019

Buffalo Bills 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	526.5	289.6	3553.9	18.69	17.64	95.9	517.9	5.51	266.49
Returning from injury after Buffalo's Week 11 bye, Allen failed to exceed 231 passing yards in the final six games of the season, completed just 51.9 percent of his pass attempts and threw seven interceptions. Given his rushing production (54/576/5), which included four 95-yard rushing games over his final six, however, the rookie was fantasy's QB1 from Week 12 on. In fact, he scored 12.93 fantasy points per game during that stretch from his rushing stats alone. Inconsistency may detract from his appeal in season-long formats, but he's an ideal QB2 in best-ball formats or starter in DFS tournaments due to his upside.
Matt Barkley	13.5	8.1	97.2	0.46	0.41	1.2	-0.6	0	4.85

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RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
LeSean McCoy	147.4	560.1	4.05	26.3	189.4	0.53	102.43
After the NFL Draft, GM Brandon Beane said that McCoy is "still here" and "the starter," but few would be surprised if he was released before the start of the season. Inefficient with a career-low 3.2 yards per carry, the 31-year-old (in July) finished second on the team in rushing behind rookie quarterback Josh Allen. McCoy tied his career low in touches (195), which he set as a rookie in 2009. If he's still on the roster in September, a new career low in touches is likely for Shady.
Frank Gore	105.3	400.1	2.11	10.1	83.8	0.51	64.11
Playing for his third team in three years and now 36 years old, the next time that Gore averages single-digit touches per game will be his first. Perhaps that first time is this year, but he's likely to be involved enough to limit the upside of the team's other (rather uninspiring) backfield options.
T.J. Yeldon	48	196.8	0.6	31.5	236.3	1.89	58.25
With a pair of 30-somethings ahead of him on the depth chart, it's certainly possible that Yeldon has a few weeks where he becomes very fantasy-relevant. Better in full PPR formats, Yeldon set a career high with 55 catches last season and now has at least 30 in all four of his NFL seasons.
Devin Singletary	52.7	210.8	1.05	15.1	113.3	0.45	41.41
The Bills used a top-75 pick on Singletary, the RB5 in the 2019 NFL Draft, but the highly-productive former Owl should make a much larger fantasy impact in 2020 than this year.
Patrick DiMarco	1.2	4.2	0.06	3.1	31	0.16	4.84
Marcus Murphy	3.5	15.8	0.04	0.8	5.2	0	2.34

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WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Robert Foster	46.1	806.8	4.61	0	0	0	108.34
A big play waiting to happen, Foster had at least 50 receiving yards and/or a touchdown in six of his final seven games last season. In fact, he had three 100-yard games over that stretch and was one of just nine players to do during that span. Even with the free-agent additions of Cole Beasley and John Brown, I like Foster as much as any Bills receiver (especially in non-PPR formats) heading into 2019.
John Brown	37.7	599.4	3.96	7	42	0.28	89.58
Brown played a full season in 2018 and finished with 42/715/5 (17.0 Y/R) with the Ravens. Pairing his speed with Josh Allen's strong arm means a huge week could happen any week, but he's likely to be consistently inconsistent on a week-to-week basis that it will be difficult to know when to capitalize on those potential boom weeks.
Cole Beasley	61.3	631.4	3.68	0	0	0	85.22
Exceeding 675 receiving yards only once (2016) in his career, Beasley will once again fall short of that mark based on my current projections. Unless you're in a deep PPR league, Beasley has limited fantasy appeal in Buffalo's run-first offense.
Zay Jones	43.8	503.7	3.5	0	0	0	71.37
Isaiah McKenzie	4.7	46.1	0.19	4.7	25.9	0.24	9.78
David Sills	4.1	44.3	0.41	0	0	0	6.89
Ray-Ray McCloud	5.4	45.9	0.22	0	0	0	5.91
Andre Roberts	1.4	16.1	0.07	0	0	0	2.03

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TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Tyler Kroft	20.2	185.8	2.02	30.7
Jason Croom	13.6	156.4	0.95	21.34
Dawson Knox	9.7	121.3	0.78	16.81
Lee Smith	8.1	56.7	0.97	11.49

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

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Thursday, July 29, 2021

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Sunday, June 6, 2021

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Saturday, December 12, 2020

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Monday, October 26, 2020

Monday, August 24, 2020

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Tuesday, July 2, 2019

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