Saturday, August 28, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz533.9334.23710.624.0311.2158.9238.52257.97
Jacob Eason59.336.2400.32.311.64.910.30.0523.38

Carson Wentz: The initial timetable was wide (5-12 weeks), but all indications point to Wentz (foot surgery) being ready for Week 1 against the Saints. Being reunited with Frank Reich, there is some optimism for Wentz to rebound. In their final season together in Philadelphia (2017), Wentz led the NFL in both TD% (7.5%) and QBR (78.5), scored the fifth-most fantasy points (despite missing three games) and was selected to the AP All-Pro Second Team.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jonathan Taylor288.11325.311.5236.1283.71.9259.47
Nyheim Hines49203.41.4944.1357.62.3100.89
Marlon Mack66.2294.62.45753.40.354.8
Jordan Wilkins8.634.80.261.310.30.17.32

Jonathan Taylor: Over his final seven games of the season including a playoff loss, Taylor handled a massive 156 touches, racked up 921 yards and scored nine total touchdowns. Excluding that playoff appearance, Taylor ranked top four in the NFL in touches, YFS, touchdowns and half-PPR fantasy points from Week 11 on. Running behind one of the league's best offensive lines, Taylor carries plenty of momentum with him into 2021 even though the Colts re-signed Marlon Mack.

Nyheim Hines: One of the better receiving backs in the league, Hines finished as a top-24 running back across all scoring formats (RB15 in PPR, RB20 in half-PPR and RB24 in standard) in 2020. Only Alvin Kamara (83) and J.D. McKissic (80) had more receptions than Hines (63) last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Pittman Jr.65770.84.94.936.80.1143.26
T.Y. Hilton61.1822.24.7000140.97
Parris Campbell53.7626.93.69.8760.15119.64
Zach Pascal27.83702.600066.5
Mike Strachan2.8370.30006.9
Ashton Dulin1.518.50.10003.2

Michael Pittman Jr.: Pittman Jr. scored only one touchdown as a rookie in 13 games, but the big-bodied receiver (6-4, 223) should be utilized as a red-zone weapon more often in 2021. The second-year wideout is a breakout candidate and it wouldn't be a surprise if he emerged as the team's WR1.

T.Y. Hilton: Over the past two seasons, Hilton averaged 50.8 (2020) and 50.1 (2019) YPG, which are the two lowest of his NFL career. A WR4/WR5 in fantasy drafts, the 31-year-old vet could potentially finish the season as Indy's WR3 as the youngsters emerge.

Parris Campbell: After an injury-plagued rookie season, Campbell, a second-round pick in 2019, played only two snaps in Week 2 prior to a PCL injury that ended his 2020 season. Before the injury, he had 6/71 on nine targets and a nine-yard rush attempt in Week 1 last season. If he can stay healthy, he could challenge Hilton and Pittman as the team's most productive fantasy receiver.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jack Doyle31.3324.82.300061.93
Mo Alie-Cox26.9304.22.200057.07
Kylen Granson11.9131.50.900024.5

Jack Doyle: Over the past four seasons, Doyle's per-game average has declined every season -- 46.0 YPG (2017), 40.8 (2018), 28.0 (2019) and 17.9 (2020). While the Colts run a TE-friendly offense, Doyle will go undrafted in all but the deepest of TE-premium leagues.

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Friday, August 27, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Los Angeles Rams

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Los Angeles Rams.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Matthew Stafford594.1389.14485.529.4111.2937.6131.60.94293.28
John Wolford41.324.9268.51.451.034.719.70.0916.99

Matthew Stafford: Battling a laundry list of injuries, Stafford still managed to play a full 16-game slate. Without his No. 1 target (Kenny Golladay) for most of the season, Stafford's per-game numbers dropped considerably year over year from 312.4 yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game in 2019 to 255.3/1.6 in 2020. Traded to L.A. to play for a more creative offensive mind, Stafford is poised to bounce back assuming good health in 2021.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Darrell Henderson162.1713.25.2736.2287.61.9161.2
Sony Michel172.7742.65.4419.9171.11.1140.56
Xavier Jones47202.11.416.247.50.338.32
Jake Funk14.161.30.394.128.50.214.57

Darrell Henderson: After the injury to Cam Akers (Achilles) and prior to the trade for Sony Michel, Henderson seemed destined for large workloads and was a viable mid-tier RB2 in fantasy football. With Michel added to the mix, however, it likely puts a significant dent into the workload that would have been allocated to Henderson, which makes him more of an RB3/flex option for the 2021 season.

Sony Michel: Michel may have been surprised that he was traded to the Rams, but the landing spot is ideal for his 2021 fantasy outlook. Given the season-ending injury to Akers and the team's possible preference to utilize Henderson more as a change-of-pace option, Michel is likely to lead the Rams in carries and it's not out of the question that he out-touches Henderson overall. Michel moves from a fantasy draft afterthought to a viable flex option following his trade.

Xavier Jones: A popular sleeper pick before the Sony Michel trade, Jones will now likely need an injury to one of Michel or Henderson during the season for a fantasy-relevant role in 2021.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Robert Woods87.11029.26.418.8124.10.99203.22
Cooper Kupp86.91012.66.64.729.10.14188.06
DeSean Jackson40.4608.53.72.113.70.08105.1
Van Jefferson32.1387.52.40.72.80.0169.54
Tutu Atwell21.7275.71.95.428.40.1653.62

Robert Woods: It was a relatively disappointing season for Woods and the Rams offense in general. Woods tied a career high in receptions (90), but his receiving yardage (936) and yards from scrimmage (1,091) were three-year lows. Replacing Jared Goff with Matthew Stafford generates some optimism for all of the skill-position players.

Cooper Kupp: While Kupp averaged a career-high 6.1 receptions per game, he set career lows with 10.6 Y/R and only three touchdowns. As noted with Woods, however, the upgrade at quarterback should provide a boost to Kupp, Woods and the offense overall.

DeSean Jackson: Unlikely to be drafted outside of deep non-PPR leagues, Jackson may have the occasional big game, but consistent useful fantasy production is likely to elude him. Playing only eight games over the past two seasons combined, Jackson has a total of 23 catches for 395 yards and three touchdowns during that span.

Van Jefferson: Even though Josh Reynolds signed with the Titans, the addition of DeSean Jackson in free agency and Tutu Atwell in the draft eliminates much of the breakout potential that Jefferson might have had in 2021, barring injury.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Higbee59665.64.3000121.86
Jacob Harris12.4156.91.100028.49
Brycen Hopkins4.852.30.700011.83
Johnny Mundt3.130.90.30006.44

Tyler Higbee: Following his breakout season -- or breakout month (December 2019), 2020 was disappointing for Higbee's fantasy managers. The fifth-year tight end saw a year-over-year dip in targets (60), receptions (44) and yards (521), but he did set a career high in touchdowns (five), though three were caught in one game. That led to inconsistency as Higbee finished as a top-10 fantasy tight end in only two weeks last season.

With Gerald Everett signing with Seattle and the team trading for Matthew Stafford, there is optimism for improved numbers from Higbee.

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Thursday, August 26, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Teddy Bridgewater531.1353.23930.120.4511.6843.5165.32.18245.25
Drew Lock5935.7424.82.391.779.434.80.4729.31

Teddy Bridgewater: The QB competition between Drew Lock and Bridgewater is over when it comes to determining the Week 1 starter (Bridgewater), but it's possible that both make starts in 2021. While his upside is low, Bridgewater will provide steadier quarterback play for a team that has a strong roster overall and will compete for the playoffs.

Drew Lock: Lock will enter 2021 as the backup, but as noted above, could certainly make a start or two in 2021. Lock completed just 57.3% of 2020 pass attempts and tied Carson Wentz for a league-high 15 interceptions thrown.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Javonte Williams202.4890.66.8835267.81.6184.22
Melvin Gordon144.8622.65.0721.4150.20.9123.8
Mike Boone37.7169.71.439.771.90.339.39
Royce Freeman16.569.30.376.847.90.117.94

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos moving up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

Melvin Gordon: While only 14 yards shy of 1,000 rushing yards in 2020, Gordon averaged a career-low 4.9 yards per catch. From Weeks 11 to 17, however, elite volume (120 touches, seventh-most) allowed MG3 to rank seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring during that stretch.

Will the presence of Javonte Williams make Gordon expendable? For fantasy managers that roster MG3, it may be better for a new opportunity than a situation where the Broncos gradually shift a larger share of the workload to Williams as the season progresses, a potentially frustrating development for MG3 fantasy managers.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jerry Jeudy78.910194.9000170.75
Courtland Sutton71.8949.44.92.49.60.05161.5
K.J. Hamler34424.62.314.1620.3581.56
Tim Patrick31.1378.92.200066.64
Diontae Spencer8.687.10.300014.81
Seth Williams5.154.40.30009.79

Jerry Jeudy: Despite Courtland Sutton (ACL) missing nearly all of 2020, Jeudy underwhelmed as a rookie. A 46.0% catch rate prevented him from capitalizing on a 31.46% share of his team's air yards. Inconsistent quarterback play contributed to the lack of production and all signs point to the potential for a breakout in year two, especially with the Broncos naming Bridgewater as their starting QB.

Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a breakout season in 2019 -- 72 catches for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns -- but missed nearly all of 2020 with a torn ACL. The choice of Bridgewater over Lock likely benefits Jeudy more than Sutton.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

Tim Patrick: Patrick was productive last season with a career-best 51/742/6 line. While he may once again outproduce expectations, it's also possible that he ranks fourth in WR snaps behind Sutton, Jeudy and Hamler.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Noah Fant62.2659.83.5000118.08
Albert Okwuegbunam20.4204.71.200037.87
Eric Saubert3.939.20.20007.07

Noah Fant: Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673). Fant is currently dealing with a "leg issue" that isn't believed to be serious or keep him out Week 1.

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2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Baltimore Ravens

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson451.1294.33360.730.99.7155.71004.36.15375.96
Tyler Huntley36.622.7252.51.560.9913.246.20.2620.54

Lamar Jackson: It's not a surprise that Jackson's year-over-year numbers dipped following his elite 2019 MVP season. Jackson threw 10 fewer touchdowns in 2020 and threw for 208 yards or less in 12 of 15 games. Even so, his real fantasy success comes from his rushing ability and he has now rushed for 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons.

Over the final five weeks of the season, Jackson averaged only 161.8 passing yards per game, but he threw 11 touchdowns and rushed for 430 yards and four more scores. During that span, he averaged a massive 27.67 fantasy points per game.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
J.K. Dobbins217.3999.69.7831.7245.72211.06
Gus Edwards148.3689.64.8210.883.10.7115.79
Justice Hill43.2183.61.085.945.20.334.11
Patrick Ricard0.92.70.017.354.20.814.2

J.K. Dobbins: The Ravens have had a 1,000-yard rusher in back-to-back seasons. Unfortunately (for the team's running backs), that player is quarterback Lamar Jackson. For a team that loves to run the ball, however, Dobbins offers plenty of profit potential as a mid-RB2 type. Dobbins could potentially be a steal if Harbaugh follows through on a "main offensive point of emphasis" -- to get the RBs more involved in the passing game.

Gus Edwards: Best in standard (non-PPR) formats, Edwards performed as fantasy's RB28 in non-PPR, RB35 in half-PPR and RB37 in full PPR formats in 2020. Edwards has a minimum of 133 carries, 711 yards and 5.0 YPC in all three of his NFL seasons. While Dobbins will handle the bulk of touches, Edwards should approach double-digit touches per game and has stand-alone flex value, especially in standard-scoring formats.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Marquise Brown55.6729.96.72.911.60.03142.33
Rashod Bateman51.8650.45.5000123.94
Sammy Watkins50.4626.95.5000120.89
Miles Boykin7.9106.61.100021.21
Devin Duvernay6.363.20.55.947.20.1518.09
Tylan Wallace3.243.40.50008.94
James Proche0.55.400000.79

Marquise Brown: Brown's catch rate (58.0%) and yards per target (7.7) dropped in 2020 from his rookie season of 64.8% and 8.2 Y/T, respectively. Since he played a full 16-game season, however, his overall numbers (58/769/8) improved last season. In a run-first offense with added competition from Rashod Bateman and Sammy Watkins, Brown has a little more appeal in best ball than in season-long formats.

Rashod Bateman: Cornerback Marlon Humphrey says that the Ravens "got a pretty good one" with Bateman, their first of two first-round picks in 2021. It wouldn't surprise me if he outperformed fellow former first-rounder Marquise Brown when both are on the field, but Bateman's status (core muscle surgery) for Week 1 is uncertain.

Sammy Watkins: Entering his eighth NFL season playing for his fourth NFL franchise, Watkins is reunited with offensive coordinator Greg Roman, with whom he had 60/1,047/9 in his age-22 season (2015). Missing six games last season, Watkins set career lows in receiving yards (421) and touchdowns (two) in 2020. Watkins has generated some positive reviews this summer, but he's once again dealing with an ("not a serious," per Harbaugh) injury at the moment.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mark Andrews69.1803.97.5000159.94
Nick Boyle13119.2100024.42
Josh Oliver2.527.10.20005.16
Eric Tomlinson190.10002

Mark Andrews: Andrews missed a couple of games and Marquise Brown (58/769/8) outproduced Andrews (58/701/7) over the full season, but the third-year tight end led the team in YPG (50.1). The main concern with Andrews' outlook is that even if he gets the biggest slice of the pie, the team's passing offense averaged a league-low 171.2 yards per game in 2020.

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2021 Fantasy Football Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 6th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 6th Pick

1.06 - Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers

One year after leading the NFL in touchdowns (19, 2019), Jones averaged a career-high 5.89 yards per touch for the league's top-scoring offense. Through four NFL seasons, Jones has averaged at least 5.5 yards per carry in three of them. Even though he missed two games and scored eight fewer touchdowns in 2020, he has finished as a top-five fantasy running back in consecutive seasons.

2.07 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce extended his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons and broke the single-season receiving yardage record (1,416) for tight ends in the process. In fact, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign. Kelce ended the regular season with eight consecutive games with at least seven catches. Based on non-ppr scoring (like in this mock), only two wide receivers (Davante Adams and teammate Tyreek Hill) scored more fantasy points than Kelce in 2020.

3.06 - Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team

While the team's quarterback play hasn't done him many favors, McLaurin managed to set career highs with 87 catches and 1,118 yards in his second season. While his Y/R dipped to 12.9 from 15.8, he set career highs in YPG (74.5) and catch rate (64.9%). Even though WFT didn't draft a QB in April, signing Ryan Fitzpatrick in free agency boosts McLaurin's outlook and puts him squarely in the WR1 (top 12) mix.

4.07 - Julio Jones, WR, Tennessee Titans

Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

5.06 - Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

It's not a surprise that Jackson's year-over-year numbers dipped following his elite 2019 MVP season. Jackson threw 10 fewer touchdowns in 2020 and threw for 208 yards or less in 12 of 15 games. Even so, his real fantasy success comes from his rushing ability and he has now rushed for 1,000-plus yards in back-to-back seasons.

Over the final five weeks of the season, Jackson averaged only 161.8 passing yards per game, but he threw 11 touchdowns and rushed for 430 yards and four more scores. During that span, he averaged a massive 27.67 fantasy points per game.

More: NFL Predictions 2021: AFC North

6.07 - Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos

Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos moving up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

7.06 - Robby Anderson, WR, Carolina Panthers

Year 1 in Carolina was generally a success for Anderson, who set career highs in targets (136), receptions (95) and yards (1,096). On the other hand, he set a career low in Y/R (11.5) and his three touchdowns were a career low outside of his rookie season. Getting off to a great start, Anderson had 74-plus yards in six of his first seven games with all three of his 100-yard games during that span. Beyond that point, however, he reached 74 yards in only two of nine games and averaged nearly 40 YPG less over the final nine-game span (91.4 YPG in first 7G vs. 50.7 in final 9G). The free-agency departure of Curtis Samuel could help Anderson improve upon his 2020 numbers.

8.07 - James Conner, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Joining the Cardinals on a one-year deal, Conner will steal some early-down carries from Chase Edmonds and could potentially be in a fairly even split. If he can stay healthy and earn a larger role, there is plenty of upside for Conner as well (as Edmonds).

More: Chase Edmonds 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

9.06 - Jamaal Williams, RB, Detroit Lions

In his four NFL seasons, Williams has averaged 736.5 scrimmage yards, 155.5 touches and 30.5 receptions per season with the Packers. While he remains his team's RB2 (to D'Andre Swift instead of Aaron Jones), Williams should get 8-10 touches per game even with both Swift and Williams healthy. And there is some concern about Swift's Week 1 availability based on comments from Dan Campbell.

10.07 - Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens

Since he played a full 16-game season, his overall numbers (58/769/8) improved last season. Brown's catch rate (58.0%) and yards per target (7.7) dropped in 2020 from his rookie season of 64.8% and 8.2 Y/T, respectively. With Baltimore bolstering its receiving corps with Sammy Watkins and Rashod Bateman, that adds another threat to his consistency, but I'll still have him ranked as the team's WR1.

11.06 - Elijah Moore, WR, New York Jets

Mostly aligning in the slot at Mississippi, Moore, the 34th-overall pick this year, broke A.J. Brown's single-season reception record last season. It would make sense for the Jets to part ways with Jamison Crowder, but Moore has the potential to excel both inside and out.

12.07 - Marquez Callaway, WR, New Orleans Saints

Callaway has generated some training camp buzz and has the potential to be the team's most productive receiver for as long as Michael Thomas (ankle) is out. Either way, he's an upside sleeper pick in the double-digit rounds.

13.06 - Darrel Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

14.07 - Damien Williams, RB, Chicago Bears

It's possible that it's Williams, not Tarik Cohen, that's the biggest threat to David Montgomery's workload and he's worth a late-round dart throw.

15.06 - Colts DST, Indianapolis Colts

16.07 - Jason Sanders, K, Miami Dolphins

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Wednesday, August 25, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Las Vegas Raiders

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Las Vegas Raiders.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Derek Carr540.1368.64158.823.229.4540.5121.52.63268.26
Marcus Mariota34.521.5267.41.40.9510.158.10.4823.09

Derek Carr: Carr has averaged 253.1, 253.4 and 256.4 passing yards per game over the past three seasons, respectively. Finishing as fantasy's QB13 in 2020, Carr posted a career-high 7.94 Y/A and his 5.2 TD% was the second best of his career. Lacking the upside of many other QB2 types, Carr will likely outperform his current ADP and ranking -- he's never finished outside the top 20 fantasy QBs in seven seasons. That consistency makes him an under-appreciated late option for those in 2-QB or Super Flex formats.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Josh Jacobs252.31034.49.0829.6234.61.2203.38
Kenyan Drake118.6515.93.8545.3376.22.4149.36
Jalen Richard34.2153.90.614.8110.70.641.06
Alec Ingold460.044.9420.49.89

Josh Jacobs: Improvements in durability, volume and red-zone efficiency helped to boost Jacobs' overall fantasy production (RB8 across scoring formats) despite an overall drop in efficiency from his 2019 rookie season. Despite a slight uptick in the passing game (2.2 receptions per contest) last season, Jacobs averaged only 4.26 yards per touch, a drop from 5.02 as a rookie.

Jacobs played 15 of 16 games, scored 12 touchdowns (compared to seven in 2019) and only Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook had more touches than Jacobs (306). The addition of Kenyan Drake to the backfield should lead to fewer touches and especially fewer targets in 2021.

Kenyan Drake: Lead backs for their respective teams in 2020, the duo of Josh Jacobs and Drake combined for a massive 570 touches last season, but that number will obviously drop significantly now that they share a backfield. Often going in Round 9 or later in fantasy football mock drafts, however, Drake is worth the risk as an RB4+ compared to the other backs currently going in that range.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Henry Ruggs III52.7759.13.811.867.90.24133.29
Bryan Edwards41520.12.800089.31
John Brown35.1458.12.500078.36
Hunter Renfrow35.1387.31.800067.08
Willie Snead8.897.40.500017.14
Zay Jones3.946.50.30008.4

Henry Ruggs III: While Ruggs was the first receiver off the board in the 2020 NFL Draft, he was often used more as a decoy than a featured part of the passing offense. As a rookie, Ruggs finished with a 26/452/2 line (17.4 Y/R). Better things are in store for Ruggs in 2021, but until Derek Carr starts taking more shots down the field, there will be a lot of boom-or-bust to the second-year receiver's game log.

Bryan Edwards: The hype train has led to comparisons to Terrell Owens (by the head coach), Randy Moss (by a reporter) and Davante Adams (by the quarterback). Edwards is a name that you'll likely find on many breakout lists, but will the training camp buzz carry over into the regular season?

John Brown: Brown is two seasons removed from a 1,000-yard campaign, but consistent weekly production is likely to elude the entire position group with Darren Waller dominating targets.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Darren Waller95.61117.66.4000197.96
Foster Moreau21.5254.51.700046.4
Derek Carrier222.10.10003.81

Darren Waller: Waller set career highs across the board -- 107 receptions on 146 targets for 1,196 yards and nine touchdowns -- and was dominant down the stretch. Not only did Waller have a 13/200/2 game in Week 13, but he exceeded the 100-yard mark in four of his final five games of the season. No team makes their tight end the focal point of the offense than the Raiders do with Waller.

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2021 Fantasy Football Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 2nd Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 2nd Pick

1.02 - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Once again, Cook has missed multiple games, but he set career highs in touches (356), yards from scrimmage (1,918) and touchdowns (17) and scored the third-most fantasy points (half-PPR) among running backs. The clear lead back in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses, Cook averaged a career-high 5.0 YPC in 2020 and has a minimum of 40 catches in each of the past three seasons.

2.11 - Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Jefferson exceeded all expectations with 88 catches for a rookie-record 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns. Not only did the former LSU Tiger have seven 100-yard games, but he had double-digit targets in five of his final six games after doing so in only two of his first 10 games. Going forward, Jefferson should be the 1(a) to Adam Thielen's 1(b) in Minnesota's passing offense.

3.02 - Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders

Waller set career highs across the board -- 107 receptions on 146 targets for 1,196 yards and nine touchdowns -- and was dominant down the stretch. Not only did Waller have a 13/200/2 game in Week 13, but he exceeded the 100-yard mark in four of his final five games of the season.

4.11 - Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams

With Cam Akers (Achilles) injured and Malcolm Brown now longer in L.A., the Rams will turn to Henderson, by default, for large workloads. It's possible that they add a veteran free agent before the start of the season as Henderson is dealing with a sprained thumb, but he's expected to be ready for Week 1. That said, he has massive upside in what should be a much-improved offense with Matthew Stafford under center.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

5.02 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen averaged only 61.7 YPG, but he scored 14 touchdowns in 2020. Only three receivers were targeted more often in the red zone than Thielen (19). While Justin Jefferson has moved ahead of him in the wide receiver pecking order, Thielen remains a strong WR2 in both real life and fantasy.

6.11 - Robby Anderson, WR, Carolina Panthers

Year 1 in Carolina was generally a success for Anderson, who set career highs in targets (136), receptions (95) and yards (1,096). The free-agency departure of Curtis Samuel could help Anderson improve upon his 2020 numbers.

7.02 - Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals

The former fourth-round pick out of Fordham has averaged 4.4 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per reception over his first three NFL seasons. With Kenyan Drake out and James Conner in, Edmonds' workload will almost certainly exceed the 150 touches he had in 2020. There is plenty of profit potential with getting him in the seventh round.

More: Chase Edmonds 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

8.11 - Zack Moss, RB, Buffalo Bills

While I prefer Moss over Devin Singletary, a concern for both is that Josh Allen has 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons. That said, if he's able to stay healthy, there is some breakout potential in his second season.

More: NFL Predictions 2021: AFC East

9.02 - Laviska Shenault, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Shenault Jr. played only 10 snaps in Week 9 and then missed the following two games. Outside of those three games, the rookie had a minimum of three receptions in every game. Over the final five games of the season, he had 25 catches (on 36 targets) for 246 yards and four touchdowns and added six carries for 31 yards and he was the WR16 (half-PPR) over that stretch.

More: Jacksonville Jaguars 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

10.11 - Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears

A fifth-round pick out of Tulane, Mooney had a highly productive rookie campaign (61/631/4). Earlier this offseason, coach Matt Nagy talked up Mooney by saying that he "has a rare element of speed, combined with route-running, hands and passion. And commitment."

11.02 - Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

Sustaining his season-ending knee injury in Week 11, the only quarterback to throw more pass attempts than Burrow (404, 40.4/G) through that point in the season was Tom Brady (433, 39.4/G). Burrow should rank near the top of the NFL in pass attempts in 2021. That volume makes last year's No. 1 overall pick a nice value from where he's currently available in drafts.

More: NFL Predictions 2021: AFC North

12.11 - Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook has never played a full season and has actually missed multiple games in all four seasons. Given Cook's durabilty history and the team's offensive philosophy, Mattison is a high-end handcuff.

13.02 - Jalen Reagor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Selected one pick before Justin Jefferson (88/1,400/7) in the 2020 NFL Draft, Reagor's disappointing 2020 campaign (31/391/1) became even more pronounced in comparison to Jefferson's success. Durability (five missed games) and sub-par quarterback play didn't help, but Reagor's breakout potential makes him a late-round pick to target.

14.11 - 49ers DST, San Francisco 49ers

15.02 - Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs

16.11 - Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers

If Lance isn't named the Week 1 starter, fantasy managers will look to the team's bye (Week 6) as the next logical point to potentially hand the reigns over to the rookie signal-caller. Not only is Lance making a big jump from the FCS level to the NFL, but North Dakota State played only one game in 2020. Once Lance takes over, however, the dual-threat talent has the potential to be a weekly top-10 fantasy quarterback.

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Monday, August 23, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tom Brady616.8402.5462636.711.7233.133.12.32325.63
Blaine Gabbert35.920.6244.11.510.910.418.20.0516.12

Tom Brady: In his first season in Tampa, Brady scored the eighth-most fantasy points and only three quarterbacks had more top-five weekly finishes than the future Hall-of-Famer. Brady's 40 touchdowns thrown were the second-most of his career and his 4,633 passing yards were a five-year high. Brady will have all of the team's starters and top pass-catchers back as he enters his age-44 season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Leonard Fournette161.5654.15.0926.2187.51.3135.6
Ronald Jones156.3687.75.6317.8124.21.1130.47
Giovani Bernard41.4161.50.8343.6340.93.296.22
Ke'Shawn Vaughn8.334.90.172.3170.17.96

Leonard Fournette: The Buccaneers leaned on Playoff Lenny in their Super Bowl run as Fournette tallied 448 scrimmage yards and four all-purpose touchdowns on 82 touches including 18 receptions over four playoff games. With the addition of Giovani Bernard to the backfield as a viable threat to steal valuable passing-down reps, Fournette enters the season no better than a flex option.

Ronald Jones: Despite missing a couple of games and the fact that Fournette emerged as the team's primary back, Jones had his best season as a pro with career highs as a runner -- 192 carries, 978 yards, 5.1 YPC and seven touchdowns. RoJo took a step back as a receiver, however, with a 66.7% catch rate (77.5% in 2019) and 5.9 Y/R (10.0 in 2019).

Giovani Bernard: Signed in part due to Tampa's woeful 14.4% drop rate for its running backs, Bernard is locked into the third-down running back role. While we've seen how productive a third-down back (James White) can be with Tom Brady under center, Bernard may deflate the outlook for the team's other backs more than any other fantasy impact.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Evans74.31039.88.4000191.53
Chris Godwin80.41025.27.8000189.52
Antonio Brown65.8720.85.52.18.90.02138.99
Scotty Miller9.9129.11.115.50.0225.13
Tyler Johnson8.5109.60.800020.01
Jaelon Darden4.243.80.30008.28

Mike Evans: Although he set a career low in yards per game (62.9), Evans exceeded the 1,000-yard mark -- now seven consecutive seasons to begin his career -- and set a career high with 13 scores. The Bucs have franchise tagged Chris Godwin and re-signed Antonio Brown, which could lead to more week-to-week inconsistency for all of the team's receivers.

Chris Godwin: Godwin finished a disappointing 2020 campaign with a receiving line of 65/840/7 as he averaged 25.2 fewer yards per game than in 2019. An assortment of injuries (four missed games) and the presence of Antonio Brown (7.75 targets per game) interfered with Godwin's consistency last season. In fact, Godwin ranked third on the team in targets (55) over the final eight games behind both Evans (63) and Brown (62).

Antonio Brown: Brown posted a respectable 45/483/4 half-season line on 61 targets in 2020. For Brown to emerge as a weekly start, however, it will likely take an injury to either Evans or Godwin.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Rob Gronkowski43.2552.84.3000102.68
O.J. Howard34.74483.400082.55
Cameron Brate12.3131.51.100025.9

Rob Gronkowski: Not there to just "block," Gronkowski didn't score his first touchdown until Week 6, but he finished 2020 as fantasy's TE8 and ended the year with 45 catches for 623 yards and seven touchdowns. Returning from a torn Achilles he suffered in Week 4, O.J. Howard limits Gronk's ceiling. In fact, Howard (11/146/2 on 19 targets) was more productive than Gronkowski (9/88/0 on 14 targets) when both were active.

O.J. Howard: Through four NFL seasons, Howard has averaged an impressive 15.3 Y/R and 10.1 Y/TGT. With so many talented options on the roster, however, there is unlikely to be enough volume for Howard to post consistently useful production.

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2021 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 5th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 5th Pick

1.08 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

The offense went off the tracks when Dak Prescott sustained his season-ending injury and the offensive line injuries further impacted Elliott's production. From Weeks 6 to 17, Zeke finished as a top-12 fantasy running only twice in 10 games after doing so three times in the team's first five games. Even if Tony Pollard earns a few more touches in 2021, Elliott should rank near the top of the league in workload. In fact, only three backs had more than six games last season with at least 20 touches -- Derrick Henry (14), Dalvin Cook (11) and Elliott (11).

More: Dallas Cowboys 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

2.03 - Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Ridley closed the season the same way he started it -- with 100-plus yards in four of five games. Along with Davante Adams (six) and Stefon Diggs (three), Ridley was one of three receivers to finish as a top-two weekly fantasy receiver at least three times in 2020. Ridley finished last season with 90 catches on 143 targets for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns and is a top-four fantasy wide receiver in 2021 with Julio Jones in Tennessee.

3.08 - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Allen missed a couple of games and was limited in others, but he finished with 100 catches for the third time in four seasons despite playing with a rookie quarterback. Although just shy of the 1,000-yard mark and averaging a career-low 9.92 Y/R, Allen tied his career high (set as a rookie in 2013) with eight touchdowns. Along with Davante Adams and Diontae Johnson, Allen was just one of three receivers to get double-digit targets in 10 games in 2020.

4.03 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen averaged only 61.7 YPG, but he scored 14 touchdowns in 2020. Only three receivers were targeted more often in the red zone than Thielen (19). While Justin Jefferson has moved ahead of him in the wide receiver pecking order, Thielen is a strong WR3 for this team.

5.08 - Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

It was a disappointing season for Sanders and his fantasy managers in 2020. That said,it's an easy decision to take him as my RB2 in Round 5 as I considered taking him a round earlier. I'm liking how this squad is shaping up with Elliott/Sanders at RB and the trio of Ridley/Allen/Thielen at WR.

6.03 - T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions

Hockenson basically doubled up his rookie production with 67 catches for 723 yards and six touchdowns. Given the turnover of the wide receiver corps, Hockenson could be forced into an even higher-volume role in 2021.

7.08 - Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

From Weeks 2 to 4 last season, Prescott threw for a minimum (yes, minimum) of 450 yards in three consecutive games with a total of 11 touchdowns (eight passing and three rushing). As noted in our Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile, Prescott (three) had more 450-yard passing games than the rest of the league combined (two) in 2020. During that three-game stretch before getting injured, Prescott performed as the weekly QB1, QB4 and QB1, respectively. With a talented trio of wide receivers, Prescott has tremendous upside if he can stay healthy.

8.03 - Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Missing half of the season, Mostert finished the year with 677 scrimmage yards (84.6/G) and only three touchdowns on 120 touches (15/G). While it's possible that Trey Sermon emerges as the team's top fantasy running back at some point this season, Mostert has been highly efficient with his opportunities by posting career averages of 5.6 YPC and 10.0 Y/R.

9.08 - Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets

Carter should be the 1(a) option in the backfield even if the offense deploys a committee approach this season. The rookie out of UNC averaged 8.0 YPC as a senior and finished his collegiate career with 82 receptions.

10.03 - Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills

Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Moss over Singletary, neither is much more than a flex option heading into 2021. On a positive note, however, coach Sean McDermott has praised Singletary for "really trying to master the small things that come up down in and down out. ... I've really been impressed with his attention to detail over the past few days."

More: NFL Predictions 2021: AFC East

11.08 - Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Even though he played fewer than 50% of the team's offensive snaps in all but one game (Week 15, 90%), Pollard had at least eight touches in 10 of the team's final 12 games. Assuming good health for Dak Prescott and the offensive line, 8-10 weekly touches in this offense could lead to stand-alone flex value for Pollard on a weekly basis. As my RB6, Pollard would become a weekly starter if Elliott were to miss any time.

12.03 - Jalen Reagor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Selected one pick before Justin Jefferson (88/1,400/7) in the 2020 NFL Draft, Reagor's disappointing 2020 campaign (31/391/1) became even more pronounced in comparison to Jefferson's success. Durability (five missed games) and sub-par quarterback play didn't help, but Reagor's breakout potential makes him a late-round pick to target.

13.08 - Tre'quan Smith, WR, New Orleans Saints

Smith posted career numbers in receptions (34) and yards (448) in 2020. Even with Drew Brees retiring, Smith should set new career highs with Emmanuel Sanders leaving for Buffalo and Michael Thomas likely to miss the start of the season.

14.03 - 49ers DST, San Francisco 49ers

15.08 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

16.03 - Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers

If Lance isn't named the Week 1 starter, fantasy managers will look to the team's bye (Week 6) as the next logical point to potentially hand the reigns over to the rookie signal-caller. Once Lance takes over, the dual-threat talent has the potential to become a weekly top-10 play and he provides some insurance for Prescott as he heads into 2021 coming off shoulder and ankle injuries.

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