The Daily Blitz: Kerryon Johnson

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Sunday, August 8, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Philadelphia Eagles

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jalen Hurts	517	314.1	3696.6	22.49	13.44	119.7	628.4	5.09	304.32
Joe Flacco	48	30	319.2	1.85	1.15	4.8	11	0.11	19.63

Jalen Hurts: With three (most likely) first-round picks next year, the Eagles have positioned themselves to potentially draft a quarterback early in the 2022 NFL Draft. In addition, ESPN's Adam Schefter had said to "watch Philadelphia" when it comes to a potential Deshaun Watson trade.

That said, Hurts should easily hold off Joe Flacco in 2021, which puts him squarely in the top-10 mix in fantasy football (barring a Watson trade). After the Eagles benched Carson Wentz, Hurts scored more than 17 fantasy points in all four of his starts and averaged 23.74 per game over that stretch. While he threw for 300-plus yards in two of his four starts, his rushing stats (46/272/3) over that span put him on a Lamar Jackson-esque full-season pace of 184/1,088/12 rushing.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Miles Sanders	229.9	1023.1	6.9	37.3	301.2	1.7	202.68
Kerryon Johnson	67.1	281.8	1.61	14.6	112.4	0.6	59.98
Boston Scott	33.5	144.1	0.84	19.8	166.7	0.9	51.42
Kenneth Gainwell	18	76.5	0.38	13.4	106.4	0.5	30.27

Miles Sanders: Falling short of preseason expectations, Sanders missed four games and averaged just 3.1 yards per target after his catch rate dropped from 79.4% as a rookie to 53.8% in 2020. Although he averaged an impressive 5.3 yards per carry for the season, Sanders failed to exceed 3.8 YPC in four of his final five games. While roster cuts will make the running back room less crowded, comments by running backs coach Jamel Singleton suggest that Sanders may not be featured as heavily as he was last year even though he's the clear RB1.

Boston Scott: Likely reading too much into running back practice reps/touches, WIP's Eliot Shorr-Parks tweeted recently that "I think Sanders and Scott could end up basically splitting touches this season." If so, he's vastly undervalued, but it does, however, add another concern about Sanders' workload.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
DeVonta Smith	58.5	843.3	5	3.6	19.4	0.07	145.94
Jalen Reagor	46.5	676.7	4.1	2.4	0	0	115.52
Greg Ward Jr.	24.9	291.1	2.2	0	0	0	54.76
Travis Fulgham	14.6	210.8	1.3	0	0	0	36.18
Quez Watkins	6	80.3	0.6	0	0	0	14.63
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	3.4	48.2	0.4	0	0	0	8.92

DeVonta Smith: One year after selecting Jalen Reagor in the first round, the Eagles traded up for the Heisman Trophy winner. The only thing to dislike about Smith is his slight frame, but he was uber-productive as he set Alabama school receiving records -- receptions (235), yards (3,965) and touchdowns (46). Smith is dealing with an MCL injury, but he should be ready for Week 1.

Jalen Reagor: Selected one pick before Justin Jefferson (88/1,400/7) in the 2020 NFL Draft, Reagor's disappointing 2020 campaign (31/391/1) becomes even more pronounced. Durability (five missed games) and sub-par quarterback play didn't help, but Reagor's breakout potential makes him a high-upside late-round pick.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dallas Goedert	53.3	612.4	3.7	110.09
Zach Ertz	40.4	441.7	2.6	79.97
Richard Rodgers	11.2	124.5	0.7	22.25

Dallas Goedert: Goedert missed five games including Week 17 last season, but he was a consistent producer following the team's Week 9 bye through Week 16. Over that stretch, Goedert scored the sixth-most fantasy points among tight ends and ranked top five in both receptions (32) and yards (371). Earlier this offseason, expectations were that the Eagles would part ways with Zach Ertz, but that no longer appears to be the case although it can't be ruled out.

Zach Ertz: Missing five games last season, Ertz didn't score a touchdown after Week 1 and averaged a career-low 9.3 yards per reception. Meanwhile, his 30.5 YPG were his lowest since his rookie season (2013, 29.3). If the Eagles are unable to find a willing trade partner before the start of the season, Ertz will enter 2021 as the team's TE2 behind Dallas Goedert.

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Saturday, July 24, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Philadelphia Eagles

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jalen Hurts	514.2	309.8	3676.5	22.37	13.37	119.7	628.4	5.09	303.18
Joe Flacco	50.9	31.8	333.4	1.96	1.22	4.8	11	0.11	20.5

Jalen Hurts: With three (most likely) first-round picks next year, the Eagles have positioned themselves to potentially draft a quarterback early in the 2022 NFL Draft. In addition, ESPN's Adam Schefter recently said to "watch Philadelphia" when it comes to a potential Deshaun Watson trade.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Miles Sanders	239.5	1065.8	6.23	43	370.9	2.1	215.15
Kerryon Johnson	67.1	281.8	1.61	14.5	120.3	0.6	60.72
Boston Scott	23.9	102.8	0.6	12.8	100.2	0.4	32.7
Kenneth Gainwell	18	76.5	0.38	13.3	110.3	0.5	30.61

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
DeVonta Smith	58.1	842.1	5	3.6	19.4	0.07	145.62
Jalen Reagor	46.1	675.7	4.1	2.4	0	0	115.22
Greg Ward Jr.	24.8	290.7	2.2	0	0	0	54.67
Travis Fulgham	12.8	170.4	1	0	0	0	29.44
Quez Watkins	6	80.2	0.6	0	0	0	14.62
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	3.4	48.1	0.4	0	0	0	8.91
John Hightower	1.7	28.1	0.2	0	0	0	4.86

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dallas Goedert	52.9	611.5	3.6	109.2
Zach Ertz	41	441.1	2.7	80.81
Richard Rodgers	11.1	120.3	0.7	21.78

Zach Ertz: Missing five games last season, Ertz didn't score a touchdown after Week 1 and averaged a career-low 9.3 yards per reception. Meanwhile, his 30.5 YPG were his lowest since his rookie season (2013, 29.3). With the Eagles unlikely to find a trade partner, Ertz is likely to be on the Week 1 roster, but he enters 2021 as the team's TE2 behind Dallas Goedert.

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Monday, September 7, 2020

Detroit Lions 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matthew Stafford	539.2	345.1	4124.9	27.77	9.71	32.9	105.3	0.33	269.17
A back injury cut his season in half, but Stafford was on pace for nearly 5,000 passing yards, 40 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (4,998/38/10) and the QB6 through Week 9. Healthy now, Stafford is poised for a big season if he can stay healthy as the Lions return all of their top receiving options and added one of the best pass-catching backs (D'Andre Swift) in the draft.
Chase Daniel	34.4	22.4	228.8	1.1	0.79	4.1	4.1	0.02	12.5

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
D'Andre Swift	129.5	556.9	3.24	41.3	346.9	2.17	122.84
The top-ranked running back prospect by many entering the draft, Swift's landing spot is less-than-ideal in terms of fantasy outlook. While he has three-down ability and especially thrives as a receiver out of the backfield, Swift will form a committee with Kerryon Johnson (and now also Adrian Peterson). At this point, Swift is the favorite to be the 1A to Johnson's 1B (and Peterson's 1C), but a leg injury has limited his ability to practice and it's unclear how that will impact his early-season role.
Kerryon Johnson	136.7	601.5	3.08	28.9	235.5	1.45	110.88
Given his lack of durability (only 18 of 32 games played), Johnson essentially enticed the Lions to invest a high pick for his competition (D'Andre Swift). While Johnson was less efficient as a runner in 2019 (3.6 YPC) than 2018 (5.4), but there's a chance that he at least opens the season with the largest Week 1 role given the leg injury that Swift has battled in camp.
Adrian Peterson	84.3	358.3	2.53	6.3	53.6	0.17	57.39
Recently released by Washington, Peterson reunites with his former OC Darrell Bevel in Detroit on a one-year deal. In his age-34 season, Peterson rushed for 898 yards and five touchdowns on 211 carries and added 17 catches for 142 yards in 2019. Fifth on the NFL's all-time rushing list, Peterson (14,216) is just over 1,000 yards behind Lions legend Barry Sanders (15,269) for fourth.
Bo Scarbrough	13.4	56.3	0.37	0.7	4.5	0.01	8.36
Ty Johnson	10.3	44.3	0.26	2.2	17.3	0.04	7.96

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kenny Golladay	68.4	1121.8	7.87	0	0	0	159.4
Golladay had 65 catches for a career-high 1,190 yards (18.3 Y/R) and a league-leading 11 touchdowns on 116 targets in 2019. Those numbers would have likely been better had Matthew Stafford not missed the second half of the season. Golladay posted a 35/640/7 line and had four of his five 100-yard games through the first eight weeks with Stafford.
Marvin Jones	64	908.8	6.72	0	0	0	131.2
Once again, Jones had his season cut short by injury as he missed three games in 2019 and seven games in 2018. Based on his per-game production when both Jones and Matthew Stafford were healthy, Jones was on pace for an 84/1,070/12 stat line in 2019.
Danny Amendola	59.6	628.8	2.77	0	0	0	79.5
Targeted nearly 100 times (97), Amendola hauled in 62 receptions for 678 yards and a touchdown in his first season with the Lions. While he had four games with at least seven catches and 95 yards, it's likely that we'll see a year-over-year dip for Amendola, especially if T.J. Hockenson makes a second-year leap.
Quintez Cephus	14	156.8	0.88	0	0	0	20.96
Marvin Hall	3.3	46.9	0.33	0	0	0	6.67
Jamal Agnew	3.4	36.9	0.26	0	0	0	5.25

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
T.J. Hockenson	52.9	605.7	4.89	0	0	0	89.91
Hockenson began his NFL career with a bang (6/131/1 against Arizona), but the rest of his rookie season was lackluster -- 26/236/1 over his final 11 games. Rookie tight ends typically struggle, but how much of a second-year jump will we see from Hockenson? One concern for last year's No. 8 pick is his less-than-100% ankle this offseason.
Jesse James	10.1	98.5	0.66	0	0	0	13.81
Hunter Bryant	7.4	89.9	0.56	0	0	0	12.35

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Sunday, August 23, 2020

Detroit Lions Fantasy Football Projections 2020

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matthew Stafford	539.2	345.1	4124.9	27.77	9.71	32.9	105.3	0.33	269.17
A back injury cut his season in half, but Stafford was on pace for nearly 5,000 passing yards, 40 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (4,998/38/10) and the QB6 through Week 9. Healthy now, Stafford is poised for a big season if he can stay healthy as the Lions return all of their top receiving options and added one of the best pass-catching backs (D'Andre Swift) in the draft.
Chase Daniel	34.4	22.4	228.8	1.1	0.79	4.1	4.1	0.02	12.5

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
D'Andre Swift	160.4	689.7	4.01	41.9	352	2.2	141.43
The top-ranked running back prospect by many entering the draft, Swift's landing spot is less-than-ideal in terms of fantasy outlook. While he has three-down ability and especially thrives as a receiver out of the backfield, Swift will form a committee with Kerryon Johnson. At this point, Swift is the favorite to be the 1A to Johnson's 1B.
Kerryon Johnson	161.4	710.2	3.63	29.4	239.6	1.47	125.58
Given his lack of durability (only 18 of 32 games played), Johnson essentially enticed the Lions to invest a high pick for his competition (D'Andre Swift). While Johnson was less efficient as a runner in 2019 (3.6 YPC) than 2018 (5.4), a near 50-50 split in workload could materialize between Johnson and Swift with Johnson potentially getting a few more carries and Swift getting a few more targets.
Bo Scarbrough	38	159.6	1.05	0.7	4.5	0.01	22.77
Jason Huntley	14.4	62.6	0.22	12.9	106.4	0.45	20.92
Nick Bawden	0	0	0	2.8	13.3	0.06	1.69

MORE: Detroit Lions 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kenny Golladay	67.6	1108.6	7.77	0	0	0	157.48
Golladay had 65 catches for a career-high 1,190 yards (18.3 Y/R) and a league-leading 11 touchdowns on 116 targets in 2019. Those numbers would have likely been better had Matthew Stafford not missed the second half of the season. Golladay posted a 35/640/7 line and had four of his five 100-yard games through the first eight weeks with Stafford.
Marvin Jones	64.9	921.6	6.81	0	0	0	133.02
Once again, Jones had his season cut short by injury as he missed three games in 2019 and seven games in 2018. Based on his per-game production when both Jones and Matthew Stafford were healthy, Jones was on pace for an 84/1,070/12 stat line in 2019.
Danny Amendola	56.9	600.3	2.65	0	0	0	75.93
Targeted nearly 100 times (97), Amendola hauled in 62 receptions for 678 yards and a touchdown in his first season with the Lions. While he had four games with at least seven catches and 95 yards, it's likely that we'll see a year-over-year dip for Amendola, especially if T.J. Hockenson makes a second-year leap.
Quintez Cephus	12.3	137.8	0.77	0	0	0	18.4
Jamal Agnew	4.3	46.7	0.32	0	0	0	6.59
Marvin Hall	2.5	35.5	0.25	0	0	0	5.05

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
T.J. Hockenson	52.9	605.7	4.89	0	0	0	89.91
Hockenson began his NFL career with a bang (6/131/1 against Arizona), but the rest of his rookie season was lackluster -- 26/236/1 over his final 11 games. Rookie tight ends typically struggle, but how much of a second-year jump will we see from Hockenson? One concern for last year's No. 8 pick is his less-than-100% ankle this offseason.
Jesse James	8.4	81.9	0.55	0	0	0	11.49
Hunter Bryant	5.8	70.5	0.44	0	0	0	9.69

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Wednesday, July 17, 2019

PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 3rd Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2019 NFL season, Kevin Hanson will use the 2019 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

- MORE: Check out Kevin Hanson's way-too-early 2020 NFL Mock Draft.

2019 PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 3rd Pick

Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team 2019 fantasy football mock draft using point-per-reception (PPR) scoring:

1.03 - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

Breaking Matt Forte's single-season record for receptions (107) by a running back, McCaffrey totalled 1,965 yards from scrimmage and 13 total touchdowns in his sophomore campagain. Even though I have Saquon Barkley ranked ahead of him, McCaffrey (or any of the top four backs, for that matter) have a case to be the first player off the board in fantasy drafts.

2.10 - Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

One of three NFL players to begin his career with five consecutive 1,000-yard seasons, Evans set career highs in yards (1,524), yards per reception (17.7) and yards per target (11.0) last season. Technically, I have Leonard Fournette (17th) ranked higher than Evans (19th) in my Top-200 PPR Cheat Sheet, the pick predictor feature (see screen shot below) means that I have a better chance to get both Fournette and Evans if I draft Evans first.

3.03 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Durability (11 missed games in two seasons) and inefficiency (career 3.7 YPC) are worrisome, but there are several reasons for optimism. A true workhorse, Fournette has averaged nearly 20 carries per game (19.09) when he's been active and the team should sustain more drives with improved quarterback play. Season-ending injuries sidelined Jacksonville's LT/LG/C for major chunks of last season, but running lanes should be wider with their return to health and the addition of road-grading RT Jawaan Taylor in this year's draft. Plus, Fournette could be more involved in the passing game as well. He's a high-upside RB2.

4.10 - Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Despite a consistent level of targets -- 66 to 71 -- in all four of his seasons, Lockett posted career highs in receptions (57), yards (965) and touchdowns (10) as he shattered previous career highs in catch rate (81.4%), yards per reception (16.9) and yards per game (60.3). While those ratios may regress closer to the mean, Lockett's target volume is all but assured to increase with Doug Baldwin's retirement.

5.03 - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions

Playing just 10 games as a rookie, Johnson had exactly 150 touches -- 118 carries and 32 receptions. Averaging 5.4 yards per carry, Johnson was PPR's RB14 through Week 11 before missing the remainder of the season. Provided he stays healthy in 2019, the second-year back could see north of last year's 15 touches per game and once again perform as a top-15 back when he's on the field.

6.10 - Robby Anderson, WR, New York Jets

Anderson's numbers were down year-over-year, but he finished strong when Sam Darnold returned from a foot injury. Over the final four games of the season, Anderson had 23 catches for 336 yards and three touchdowns. During that span, Anderson was the WR6 in PPR. Anderson is one of my favorite targets as a third receiver.

7.03 - James White, RB, New England Patriots

Coming off a career-best season, White shattered his previous marks with 181 touches including 87 receptions, 1,176 scrimmage yards and 12 touchdowns during the regular season. White may see fewer carries, but there's the potential that he's even more involved as a receiver with the retirement of Rob Gronkowski. While he performed as an RB1 (top-12 back) in any format last season, it feels like stealing to get him as an RB4 in PPR formats.

8.10 - Tevin Coleman, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Reunited with his former coach, Coleman is the "clear favorite" (via NBC Sports' Matt Maiocco) for work among the team's running backs.

9.03 - Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

The obvious concern with Wentz is durability as the fourth-year quarterback has now missed at least three games in back-to-back seasons. If he can stay healthy, however, he has a ton of upside. Wentz showed how good he could be in 2017 when he was the QB2 through Week 14 before missing the final three weeks of the season. The addition of DeSean Jackson gives Wentz the best and most complete group of weapons that he has had in his young career.

10.10 - David Njoku, TE, Cleveland Browns

In his age-22 season, Njoku finished 2018 with 56 catches, 639 yards and four touchdowns to end the year as fantasy's TE9 in PPR. While the offense will continue to blossom as Baker Mayfield enters his sophomore campaign, Njoku (and all of the team's other pass-catchers) move down a spot in the target pecking order with Odell Beckham now at the top.

11.03 - Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets

Missing roughly half the season, Crowder also set a career low in receptions per game (3.2) and his 43.1 YPG were the lowest since his rookie season. A return to his 2016/2017 numbers -- 60-plus catches and 750-plus yards -- (or better) seems possible, however, if he can stay healthy.

12.10 - Mohamed Sanu, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Sanu set a career high in receiving yards (838) in 2018 and just missed by one in receptions (66, career high: 67). Even with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley as the team's top-two receivers, Sanu could once again finish as a top-36 wide receiver in 2019.

13.03 - Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

Outperforming his ADP in each of his first two seasons in Sean McVay's offense, Goff currently sits as fantasy's QB13 in terms of fantasy football ADP. Last year, he entered the season with an ADP of QB16 and finished as fantasy's QB7. The year before that, Goff was outside the top-24 fantasy QBs in ADP yet finished as a top-12 quarterback. With such a talented trio of wide receivers, it wouldn't be a surprise if Goff finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback and outperformed his ADP once again.

14.10 - Los Angeles Chargers D/ST

15.03 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

With 36 of his touches coming in the two games that Joe Mixon missed, Bernard had just 55 in his other 10 games played. Even so, The Athletic's Paul Dehner suggests he could see double-digits touches per week.

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Saturday, June 22, 2019

Fantasy Football Mock Draft 2019: 12 Teams, 7th Pick

- MORE: Check out Kevin Hanson's way-too-early 2020 NFL Mock Draft.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

>> Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team 2019 fantasy football mock draft using standard scoring:

1.07 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Only Todd Gurley averaged more fantasy points per game than Gordon last season (standard scoring) so there is plenty of upside if he's able to stay healthy for a full season. Unfortunately, MG3 has now missed multiple games in three of his four NFL seasons.

That said, MG3's YPC average spiked to 5.1 in 2018 and he set a career high in touchdowns (14). After a scoreless rookie campaign, Gordon has finished with 12-plus touchdowns in three consecutive seasons.

2.06 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

Three years into his young career, Thomas continues to improve each season -- 92/1,137/9 in 2017, 104/1,245/5 in 2018 and 125/1,405/9 in 2019. Since Thomas has been in the league, there have been 19 100-catch seasons and, of those, only Christian McCaffrey (86.3%, 2018) had a better catch rate than Thomas (85.0%, 2018) over the past three years.

3.07 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen reached the 100-yard mark in the first eight games (and only once in the final eight games) as he posted career highs across the board -- receptions (113), yards (1,373) and touchdowns (nine). Finishing as a WR1 (top-12) in each of the past two seasons. I'd be comfortable with him as my WR1, but I really like him as my WR2.

4.06 - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions

Playing just 10 games as a rookie, Johnson had exactly 150 touches -- 118 carries and 32 receptions. Averaging 5.4 yards per carry, Johnson was fantasy's RB15 through Week 11 before missing the remainder of the season. Provided he stays healthy in 2019, the second-year back should see north of last year's 15 touches per game and could once again perform as a top-15 back when he's on the field.

5.07 - Mark Ingram, RB, Baltimore Ravens

Suspended the first four games of the season, Ingram had a down year as Alvin Kamara took over as lead back in New Orleans. In the two seasons before that, however, Ingram rushed for 2,167 yards, added 104 catches for 735 yards and scored a total of 22 touchdowns.

No team ran the ball as much as Baltimore in 2018 and that trend should continue in 2019 with Ingram as their lead back and my projection of 250 touches could prove too conservative. Normally, I'd jump at the chance to draft him in Round 4 so I really love his value in Round 5 of this mock.

6.06 - D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers

Including his rushing yards (172), Moore had 960 yards as a rookie but only two touchdowns. A low-end WR2 based on my current projections, Moore has plenty of upside as this team's WR3.

7.07 - Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears

In addition to a year-over-year bump in touches (140 to 170), Cohen was more efficient (10.2 Y/R, 4.5 YPC) and scored eight touchdowns. Cohen finished as a fantasy's RB17 in non-PPR formats (like this one) and as much as I love David Montgomery, The Human Joystick is a great value here.

8.06 - Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants

It's possible that newcomer Golden Tate outproduces Shepard in the Odell Beckham-less receiving corps, but I like Shepard as my WR4.

9.07 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Once again, Ekeler averaged more than five yards per carry and 10 yards per reception. But as he nearly doubled his workload (74 to 145 touches), MG3's complementary back finished as the RB27 last season. He has stand-alone value even if Gordon stays healthy and I don't normally handcuff on purpose, but I will do so more often with the MG3/Ekeler duo.

10.06 - DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

In spite of missing four games, Jackson finished 32nd in fantasy points (42nd in PPR) in 2018. Now back in Philadelphia, D-Jax gives the Eagles the deep threat they lacked. Jackson has led the NFL in Y/A in 2018 (18.9), 2016 (17.9) and 2014 (20.9). More than anything, he helps the next guy I drafted ...

11.07 - Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

The obvious concern with Wentz is durability as he has now missed at least three games in back-to-back seasons. If he can stay healthy, however, he has as much a ton of upside compared to his current ADP. Wentz showed how good he could be in 2017 when he was the QB2 through Week 14 before missing the final three weeks of the season. The addition of D-Jax gives Wentz the best and most complete group of weapons that he has had in his young career.

12.06 - Trey Burton, TE, Chicago Bears

Posting career highs across the board (54 catches for 569 yards and six touchdowns), Burton finished with the sixth-most fantasy points at the position last season. Hopefully Burton will be more consistent in 2018 as he exceeded 40 receiving yards in only three games, but he's typically going a couple of rounds earlier in drafts and provides a nice value here.

13.07 - C.J. Anderson, RB, Detroit Lions

Let go by the Rams, Anderson was extremely productive down the stretch as Gurley dealt with his knee issues. In fact, no running back scored more fantasy points over the final two weeks of the season. Including their first playoff game, CJA had a streak of three games with 120-plus rushing yards and (at least) one touchdown. More coincidence than intention, I have now handcuffed my top-two running backs.

14.06 - Baltimore Ravens D/ST

15.07 - Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens

Starting just seven (regular-season) games last season, Jackson led the team in rush attempts (147) and was second in rushing yards (695) to Gus Edwards (718). Even though he threw for more than 200 yards only once (204 in Week 16), Jackson scored the eighth-most fantasy points per contest during his seven-week stretch as starter.

The goal may be for Jackson to run less (for durability's sake) in 2019, but offensive coordinator Greg Roman has had plenty of success orchestrating offenses led by mobile quarterbacks. Here are the fantasy QB finishes in Roman's last four seasons as OC: QB8, QB14 (Tyrod Taylor in Buffalo) and QB16, QB11 (Colin Kaepernick in San Francisco).

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Monday, June 17, 2019

Detroit Lions 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Matthew Stafford	559.3	369.1	3915.1	22.65	11.19	32.1	102.7	0.64	238.93
Posting top-12 production in six of the previous seven seasons, Stafford finished 2018 as fantasy's QB20. Not only did his pass attempts drop to 555, only 10 less than 2017 but still an eight-year low, Stafford was less efficient with his opportunities as well. Stafford averaged just 6.81 Y/A, an eight-year low, and a TD% of 3.8, a four-year low. In Detroit's run-first offense, Stafford should be viewed as a low-upside QB2 and not much more.
Tom Savage	1.7	1	10.7	0.03	0.04	1.1	0.6	0	0.53

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RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kerryon Johnson	229.5	1021.3	6.89	43.7	314.6	1.31	182.79
Playing just 10 games as a rookie, Johnson had exactly 150 touches -- 118 carries and 32 receptions. Averaging 5.4 yards per carry, Johnson was fantasy's RB15 (RB14 in PPR) through Week 11 before missing the remainder of the season. Provided he stays healthy in 2019, the second-year back should see north of last year's 15 touches per game and could once again perform as a top-15 back when he's on the field.
C.J. Anderson	128.5	552.6	3.21	11.8	97.9	0.47	87.13
Let go by the Rams, Anderson was extremely productive down the stretch as Todd Gurley dealt with his knee issues. In fact, no running back scored more fantasy points over the final two weeks of the season. Including their first playoff game, CJA had a streak of three games with 120-plus rushing yards and (at least) one touchdown.
Theo Riddick	34.4	130.7	0.34	46.6	330.9	2.33	62.18
On the roster bubble (according to Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press), Riddick's salary counts most towards the team's salary cap. Averaging a career-low scoreless 6.3 Y/R, Riddick's 61 receptions were the second-most of his career. Provided he sticks on the roster, he offers running back depth with flex upside in PPR formats.
Zach Zenner	20.7	80.7	0.52	2	17	0.02	13.01
Ty Johnson	11.5	49.5	0.23	1.1	8.3	0.01	7.22

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WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kenny Golladay	67.6	1061.3	5.58	0	0	0	139.61
Golladay had a breakout second season with 70 catches for 1,063 yards and five touchdowns on 119 targets. Only six receivers had more 12-target games than Golladay (four), but he also had four or less targets in one-third (five) of his (15) games as well. Golladay has the physical tools to be more of a threat in the red zone and could take another step forward in his third year.
Marvin Jones	57.9	891.7	6.37	0	0	0	127.39
Jones missed roughly half of 2018, but he had 61/1,101/9 in 2017 as he led the NFL in Y/R (18.0). In his nine games last season, Jones had at least 50 yards and/or a touchdown in eight of them. While I expect Golladay to outperform Jones, he's a solid WR3 in any format with upside for much better.
Danny Amendola	56.6	554.7	2.83	0	0	0	72.45
Amendola has had 55 to 65 catches and 575 to 675 yards in three of his past four seasons and that's roughly what I expect for Detroit's new slot receiver -- 57 catches for 557 yards. He has finished outside the top 50 wide receivers (standard scoring) in eight consecutive seasons, but he has a little more value in deeper PPR leagues.
Jermaine Kearse	17.4	205.3	1.17	0	0	0	27.55
Andy Jones	8.4	92.4	0.76	0	0	0	13.8
Travis Fulgham	4.3	55	0.22	0	0	0	6.82
Brandon Powell	1.8	19.8	0.13	1.1	5.5	0	3.31

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TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
T.J. Hockenson	47.3	544	3.78	0	0	0	77.08
Only four tight ends have been drafted in the top 10 over the past 20 years including Hockenson this year with the No. 8 overall pick. If there's a concern with Hockenson, it's the difficult transition that the rookie tight ends have when making the jump from college to the pros.
Jesse James	15.8	161.2	1.03	0	0	0	22.3
Logan Thomas	3.1	23.9	0.16	0	0	0	3.35

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Saturday, August 25, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Detroit Lions

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

Quarterbacks

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Matthew Stafford	551.2	363.2	4162	27	11	29	121.8	0.7	2.4	264.06
Interestingly enough, Stafford's lone Pro Bowl season (2014) was the last time that he finished outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks. Not counting that QB15 finish in 2014, Stafford has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the other six of the past seven seasons. Part of that consistent production is aided by his durability (no missed games over past seven seasons) and the team's reliance on the passing game, but he actually set a seven-year low in pass attempts (565) in 2017. Even so, Stafford threw for 4,446 yards, a four-year high, and 29 touchdowns, tied for the third-most in his career.
Jake Rudock	2.8	1.7	17	0.1	0.2	0	0	0	0	0.68

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Running Backs

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Kerryon Johnson	160.6	706.6	4.3	28.7	200.9	1.7	1.5	123.75
Without a 100-yard rusher since Reggie Bush (2013, three times) and ranking last in rushing offense last year, the Lions traded up in the second round for Johnson. The SEC Offensive Player of the Year and conference rushing champion, Johnson rushed for 1,391 yards and scored 20 total touchdowns for Auburn last season. Ultimately, I expect Johnson to lead the backfield in production, but LeGarrette Blount will steal early-down work and goal-line opportunities while Theo Riddick will get plenty of work as the team's third-down back.
LeGarrette Blount	131.6	552.7	6.6	4.7	28.7	0.4	0.4	99.34
Set to play for his third team in as many seasons, Blount is two years removed from leading the NFL in rushing touchdowns (18). Even though the Eagles ranked third in scoring offense last year, Blount had just two rushing touchdowns last season. That said, Blount's 18 touchdowns in 2016 occurred with the Patriots, where new Lions head coach Matt Patricia was defensive coordinator.
Theo Riddick	21.3	80.9	0.4	50.3	417.5	3.3	0.6	70.84
With 50-plus catches in each of the past three seasons, Riddick has a total of 186 receptions during that span. Obviously, he has much more value in PPR formats.
Ameer Abdullah	36.8	150.9	0.9	7.8	55.4	0.4	0.7	27.03
Abdullah led Detroit's backfield last season with 190 touches (165 carries and 25 receptions). While his 53-man roster status was once in doubt (and perhaps still is), Abdullah's roster spot appears safe(r) but he could be fourth in terms of volume in 2018.
Zach Zenner	5	15	0.1	0	0	0	0	2.1

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Wide Receivers

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Marvin Jones	60	1008	5.7	0	0	0	0	135
Posting an NFL-high 18.0 Y/R in 2017, Jones had 61 receptions for a career-high 1,101 yards and nine touchdowns, one shy of his career best, despite a slow start (8/130/2 in first four games). Jones finished as fantasy's WR5 (WR11 in PPR) and he was WR4 (WR7 in PPR) from Week 5 on.
Golden Tate	86.2	956.8	5.2	3.9	19.5	0	0.8	127.23
The eight-year veteran has spent half of his career in Detroit and he has 90-plus catches in each of those four seasons. In addition, he has 1,000-plus yards in three of four including back-to-back seasons. His lack of touchdown production -- 19 over four years in Detroit -- is a drawback, but he's a consistent receiver that gets a boost in PPR formats.
Kenny Golladay	48.8	800.3	5.6	0	0	0	0.1	113.43
Golladay's best games as a rookie were his first (4/69/2) and his last (2/80/1), but he also missed five games in the middle of the season due to a hamstring injury. Even if a true breakout does not occur in 2018, Golladay has seen some reps in two-WR sets and Tate has said the following of the second-year receiver: "… I'm telling you, this guy can be dominant. He's a WR1 kind of guy."
T.J. Jones	20.7	287.7	1	0	0	0	1.2	32.37
Bradley Marquez	3.1	24.8	0.2	0	0	0	0.2	3.28

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Tight Ends

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	FL	Points
Luke Willson	24.5	240.1	2	0.1	35.81
Michael Roberts	17.9	188	1.4	0.1	27
Levine Toilolo	4.6	41.4	0.5	0.2	6.74
Hakeem Valles	1.8	18.4	0.1	0.1	2.24

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Sunday, August 8, 2021

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Saturday, July 24, 2021

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Monday, September 7, 2020

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Sunday, August 23, 2020

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

2019 PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 3rd Pick

Saturday, June 22, 2019

Monday, June 17, 2019

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Saturday, August 25, 2018

Quarterbacks

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

Tight Ends

Fantasy Resources

NFL Draft Resources

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