Saturday, January 3, 2026

Early 2026 Fantasy Football Mock Draft

The 2025 NFL season isn't over yet, but for most, the fantasy football season has ended in Week 17.

Hopefully you finished with a title (or two or more), but either way, it's (arguably) never too early to look ahead to how fantasy drafts may play out for next season.

Disclaimer: This one-man, three-round fantasy football mock draft is based on half-PPR scoring. All statistical references are also based on half-PPR scoring, unless otherwise noted.

If you're looking for my 2026 fantasy football rankings, those will be posted Monday.

Without further ado, here are how the first three rounds of a 2026 fantasy football draft would play out if I were making all of the picks.

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2026 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Round 1


1.01. Bijan Robinson, RB1, Atlanta Falcons

Robinson leads the NFL in yards from scrimmage (2,255) this year and since entering the NFL three seasons ago (5,605). Over the past three seasons, he also leads all running backs in targets (258), receptions (195), and receiving yards (1,728). The talent, versatility, and durability make him an easy choice for me at 1.01. The sky's the limit either way but especially if the Falcons don't re-sign Tyler Allgeier, who has a team-high eight rushing touchdowns and will be an unrestricted free agent in March.

1.02. Jahmyr Gibbs, RB2, Detroit Lions

The third-year back has racked up 3,655 yards from scrimmage and 37 touchdowns in 33 games over the past two seasons. Fantasy managers may have felt let down in the playoffs with RB32, RB13, and RB38 performances in Weeks 15-17, respectively, but Gibbs has as much upside as any back. He was the only running back with three games of 170-plus scrimmage yards and multiple scores in 2025.

1.03. Christian McCaffrey, RB3, San Francisco 49ers

Should CMC be the RB1 and 1.01 in 2026 drafts? After all, he finished 2025 (Week 17) as fantasy's RB1? Going into the final game of the season, McCaffrey is four receptions shy of the century mark with 2025 being his third career season of 2,000-plus YFS and 17 touchdowns. Even if McCaffrey averages the most fantasy points per game in 2026, he turns 30 in June (vs. Robinson/Gibbs entering age-24 seasons) and has played single-digit games in three of the past six seasons. All three backs are elite, but Robinson and Gibbs feel safer.

1.04. Ja'Marr Chase, WR1, Cincinnati Bengals

One year removed from a triple-crown receiving season (127/1708/17), Chase's year-over-year numbers were down in part due to Joe Burrow's injury (Weeks 3-12). There are other wide receivers worth considering as the WR1, such as Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Puka Nacua, etc., but Chase remains my WR1 as he enters his age-26 season.

1.05. Puka Nacua, WR2, Los Angeles Rams

Nacua leads the NFL in receptions (119) and YPG (109.3), and he has set career highs across the board in 2025. With Davante Adams (hamstring) also out a couple of games, Nacua has been especially dominant in four December games — 33/620/5 on 48 targets. While predicting injuries is a fool's errand, Nacua's physical and fearless play style perhaps makes him more vulnerable to missing a game (or more) due to injury.

1.06. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR3, Seattle Seahawks

Through three NFL seasons, Smith-Njigba has essentially broken out twice as the former Ohio State receiver has averaged 36.9, 66.5, and 106.8 yards per game, respectively. JSN is certainly in the same tier as Chase and Nacua, but the difference comes down to quarterbacks (Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford vs. Sam Darnold) and philosophy. Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards despite Seattle ranking bottom five in pass attempts through Week 17. (By contrast, the Bengals and Rams both rank top five.)

1.07. Jonathan Taylor, RB4, Indianapolis Colts

It's a shame (for many reasons) that Daniel Jones tore his Achilles when he did. Provided he's back with the Colts and ready for the 2026 reason, it bodes well for Taylor's 2026 outlook. Over the past four games including when Jones sustained the injury early in Week 14, Taylor has averaged only 3.3 YPC and 6.8 Y/R (compared to 5.7 YPC and 8.7 Y/R before then). He led RBs in fantasy points (23.3/G) through Week 13 and has averaged nearly 10 fewer since then (13.6).

1.08. De'Von Achane, RB5, Miami Dolphins

Achane, who currently leads the NFL in YPC (5.7), has either set or tied career highs in touches (305), YFS (1,838), and touchdowns (12) in 2025. In addition, he has a total of 145 receptions over the past two seasons. Miami will enter the offseason with some question marks that could impact Achane including coach (Mike McDaniel likely to return?), quarterback (Tua Tagovailoa less likely to return?), etc.

1.09. James Cook III, RB6, Buffalo Bills

It was an eventful offseason for Cook, who signed a contract extension in August, but he delivered for the Bills and his fantasy managers. The fourth-year back currently leads the NFL in rushing (1,606 yards, 100.4 YPG). While he is shy of last year's 18 touchdowns, he now has 32 over the past two seasons and he has 101 more touches than he had last season. If this volume continues in 2026, he belongs in mid-Round 1 conversation.

1.10. Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR4, Detroit Lions

St. Brown has at least 106 receptions and 1,161 yards in each of the past four seasons and double-digit scores in three consecutive seasons. In addition, he has finished as a top-three fantasy receiver in three consecutive seasons. Barring injury, he's nearly a lock for another top-five season.

1.11. CeeDee Lamb, WR5, Dallas Cowboys

Even though George Pickens had a monster season, Lamb's 82.5 YPG were the second best of his career. Excluding a seven-snap goose egg against the Chicago Bears in Week 3, Lamb had at least seven targets and either five catches and/or 50 yards in every other game he played this season.

1.12. Omarion Hampton, RB7, Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers lost both starting tackles (Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt) to season-ending injuries, and injuries to Hampton himself derailed much of his rookie season. Hampton has the size and versatile skill set to be a true workhorse. This may be (much) higher than you expected to see Hampton, but the former first-round pick could be poised for a breakout season in Greg Roman's run-heavy offense.

Continue reading our way-too-early 2026 fantasy football mock draft

Wednesday, December 24, 2025

Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em: Wide Receivers

If you're reading this, congratulations!

With most fantasy football leagues concluding after Week 17, there is no reason for you to be reading this if you weren't playing in your league's Championship Week.

Below you will find some players that could be starts or sits in your league, but my fantasy football rankings will better help you determine if I would start Player X over Player Y.

Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em


Jauan Jennings, WR, San Francisco 49ers (vs. CHI)

Jennings has performed as a top-24 fantasy receiver and scored in four consecutive games and in six of his past seven. The Bears have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season and the 49ers have a top-five implied total this week. Jennings is a high-end WR2 this week.

Michael Wilson, WR, Arizona Cardinals (at CIN)

Yes, Marvin Harrison Jr. has returned and Wilson had only three targets in Week 16, but he still managed to finish with 52 yards and a score. Double-digit targets shouldn't be expected any more for Wilson, who has averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game since Week 11, but I'd still trust Wilson over his much more ballyhooed teammate in Week 17.

Adonai Mitchell, WR, New York Jets (vs. NE)

I admit it would be difficult to trust any Jets player this week, and Mitchell certainly isn't a must-start. That said, he's a widely available waiver wire option (18% rostered in Yahoo!) as a viable WR3 based on his top-36 spot inside my fantasy wide receiver rankings this week. Mitchell has a minimum of six targets (and average of 7.7 per game) over his past six games and he has scored 14-plus fantasy points in two of his past four contests.

Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Commanders (vs. DAL)

Since returning in Week 13, McLaurin has 16 catches for 259 yards and two touchdowns over four games. Three of those matchups were against teams that rank among the eight stingiest defenses to opposing wide receivers. This week, McLaurin gets the most generous fantasy defense to the position on Christmas Day. Even if the Commanders are down to their third-string quarterback (Josh Johnson), McLaurin remains a strong play.

Week 17 Fantasy Football Sit'em


Emeka Egbuka, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at MIA)

Five weeks into the season, Egbuka seemed like the runaway favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and a sure-fire WR1. Only Puka Nacua (588), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (534), and Justin Jefferson (449) had more receiving yards in their first five games this season than Egbuka (445, five TDs), who also trailed only Amon-Ra St. Brown (six) in receiving touchdowns during that span. Over his past six games, however, the rookie has a 44.2% catch rate, 42 or fewer yards in five of those games, and no touchdowns. With the team's receiving corps back at full strength, he set career lows in targets (two) and catches (one) in Week 16.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. DEN)

Without Patrick Mahomes or (likely) Gardner Minshew under center, it's nearly impossible to trust any Chiefs pass catcher in Week 17. Chris Oladokun will likely start assuming Minshew is unable to play this week, and Worthy finished with only two catches for 41 yards last week. Given the difficult matchup against an elite Denver Broncos defense, it's better to keep Worthy on your bench.

Continue reading our full Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em

Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em: Running Backs

If you're reading this, congratulations!

With most fantasy football leagues concluding after Week 17, there is no reason for you to be reading this if you weren't playing in your league's Championship Week.

Below you will find some players that could be starts or sits in your league, but my fantasy football rankings will better help you determine if I would start Player X over Player Y.

Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em


Travis Etienne, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (at IND)

Etienne has scored 14-plus fantasy points in all but one game since Week 9. During that eight-game stretch, he has averaged the seventh-most fantasy points per game and has scored 10 total touchdowns (five rushing and five receiving). In fact, he's tied with Christian McCaffrey and Jahmyr Gibbs for the most touchdowns since that point. Nearly touchdown favorites over the Indianapolis Colts, the Jaguars have a top-six implied total this week.

Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, New England Patriots (at NYJ)

Currently in the league's concussion protocol, TreVeyon Henderson is very likely going to sit in Week 17. That opens the door for Stevenson, who had eight carries for 51 yards and a touchdown and two catches for 27 yards last week against the Baltimore Ravens. As 12.5-point favorites over the New York Jets, it's likely that the Patriots have many more than the 13 running back carries they had last week.

Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (at CLE)

Jaylen Warren vs. Kaleb Johnson? (Many fantasy managers made the wrong decision based on ADP — Johnson was RB27, Warren was RB29.) While the Steelers have had two productive backs this season, it's been Warren and Gainwell (not Johnson).

Gainwell has already been heavily involved as a receiver, and DK Metcalf has been suspended for the final two regular-season games. In fact, the running back leads the team in receptions (62) and trails only Metcalf (99) in targets (72). Over his past six games, Gainwell has averaged 8.3 carries, 6.3 targets, 5.5 receptions and 94.6 YFS per game.

Week 17 Fantasy Football Sit'em


Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets (vs. NE)

Hall has a career-high 229 carries, but he has also set or tied career lows in YPC (4.2), yards per touch (4.9), and receptions per game (2.3). It's possible that you may still need to start Hall, and the good news is he should get enough touches to give you something. That said, the outlook is bad enough for the Jets that Hall is outside my top-24 fantasy running backs for the week and certainly not a must-start. He had 64 scoreless yards in the first matchup against the Patriots this season.

Rico Dowdle, RB, Carolina Panthers (vs. SEA)

From Weeks 5 to 9, who was better than Dowdle? The free-agent addition had three top-two fantasy finishes in five weeks, and only Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey averaged more fantasy points per game over that stretch. Since then, Dowdle still has averaged 17.5 touches per game, but he has finished as the RB35 (or worse) in two of the past three games and faces the stingy Seahawks defense in Week 17.

David Montgomery, RB, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

At a minimum, he's clearly not happy with his role. He has eight or fewer carries for six weeks. During that stretch, he has averaged 6.0 carries and 1.2 receptions per game.

Continue reading our full Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em

Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em: Quarterbacks

If you're reading this, congratulations!

With most fantasy football leagues concluding after Week 17, there is no reason for you to be reading this if you weren't playing in your league's Championship Week.

Below you will find some players that could be starts or sits in your league, but my fantasy football rankings will better help you determine if I would start Player X over Player Y.

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Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em


Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams (at ATL)

Despite non-existent rushing stats (actually, worse than non-existent at minus two yards), Stafford leads all passers in yardage (4,179) and touchdowns (40, 7.7%), has a league-low 1.0 INT% and currently ranks as fantasy's QB3 on the year. Based on Week 17 NFL implied totals, only the Cincinnati Bengals have a higher projected total than Stafford and the Rams. Even if Davante Adams (hamstring) misses another week, Stafford remains a top-five option in Championship Week.

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars (at IND)

Lawrence has been on a tear. Over the past five weeks, he has finished as fantasy's QB7, QB5, QB13, QB1, and QB2, respectively. Lawrence has a career-high seven rushing touchdowns this season including scores in back-to-back games. In fact, he has scored a combined 10 (TEN!) touchdowns over the past two weeks.

See the table below, but Lawrence is the only quarterback to throw for three-plus scores and rush for another in back-to-back games since 2022. And if he extends the streak, he'll become the first quarterback in league history to do so in three consecutive games.

PlayerTeamStreakStreak StartedStreak EndedCmpAttYdsTDIntAttYdsTD
Trevor LawrenceJAX212/14/202512/21/202543686098011712
Joe BurrowCIN210/16/202210/23/20226279781607452
Lamar JacksonBAL29/18/20229/25/2022395853671202262
Kyler MurrayARI29/12/20219/19/202150686897310512
Kyler MurrayARI210/25/202011/8/2020557464361251732
Dak PrescottDAL210/8/201710/22/20174161485618632
Daunte CulpepperMIN212/10/200012/17/200044715566111792
Joe MontanaSF211/6/198911/12/19893850572609302

[Data from Stathead]

Tyler Shough, QB, New Orleans Saints (at TEN)

Have the Saints found their long-term answer at quarterback? Probably not (or at least it's too early to tell), but Shough has played reasonably well with four consecutive 17-point fantasy performances. Given the injuries at quarterback (Patrick Mahomes, Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson?, etc.), Shough could be a plug-and-play option off the waiver wire for managers battling the injury bug at quarterback and still alive.

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Week 17 Fantasy Football Sit'em


Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers (vs. HOU)

Herbert has overcome a lot (season-ending injuries to Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt, a broken non-throwing hand, etc.) to keep the train on the track. Herbert lit up the Cowboys defense (who hasn't, right?!) last week, but he scored under 15 fantasy points in each of his previous five outings. And the matchup this week gets much tougher. Only the Minnesota Vikings have allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. While the Chargers are small favorites in Week 17, they play in one of only four games with an over-under below 40 points.

C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans (at LAC)

Missing several games earlier this season, Stroud has since returned to start (and finish) each of Houston's past four games. During that span, he has accounted for multiple touchdowns only once. As noted above, the Chargers-Texans matchup has a low total, and the Texans have a bottom eight implied total for the week.

Continue reading our full Week 17 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em

Tuesday, September 2, 2025

The Daily Blitz: EDSFootball.com Updates for September 2, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football projections for multiple teams, posted consensus Week 1 NFL power rankings, and a 2025 NFL strength of schedule on EDSFootball.com.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers506.8321.83572.923.0610.1440.3151.11.61239.65
Mason Rudolph35.222.5237.61.441.024.714.10.0915.17
QB Totals542344.33810.524.511.1645165.21.7254.82

Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers was QB19 on a per-game basis in 2024 with Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams (for 11 games). Yes, the Steelers traded for Jonnu Smith, but the receiving corps is a downgrade from what he had last year and it will be interesting to see how he and DK Metcalf mesh. While the four-time NFL Most Valuable Player will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, there's zero reason to draft Rodgers in standard (single-QB) leagues.

MORE: Continue reading our Pittsburgh Steelers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Miami Dolphins 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Miami Dolphins.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa507.6350.23908.525.8911.1735.893.10.36249.03
Zach Wilson72.544.2471.31.811.7415.670.20.3931.97
QB Totals580.1394.44379.827.712.9151.4163.30.75281

Tua Tagovailoa: Appearing in more than 13 games only once during his five NFL seasons, the obvious concern with Tagovailoa (in real life and fantasy) is his troubling history of concussions. Over the past three seasons, however, Tagovailoa has led the NFL in at least one different passing category — completion percentage (72.9%) in 2024, passing yards (4.624) in 2023, and TD% (6.3) and Y/A (8.9) in 2022. There's a chance he performs as a back-end QB1 if — a big if — his health cooperates, but his lack of rushing (75/193/0 since 2022) limits the upside even if he plays a full season. For example, the same year (2023) he played 17 games and led the NFL in passing yards, he finished as the QB9 in overall points (QB17 on a PPG basis).

MORE: Continue reading our Miami Dolphins 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


New York Giants 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the New York Giants.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Russell Wilson275.8175.81985.812.695.2434.8147.91.31142.36
Jaxson Dart287.1183.72038.411.776.3235.9161.61.44140.78
QB Totals562.9359.54024.224.4611.5670.7309.52.75283.14

Russell Wilson: Playing for his fourth team in five seasons, Wilson is the favorite to enter the season as the starter but unlikely to maintain that role all year. Wilson took over for Justin Fields as Pittsburgh's starter in Week 7, and he performed as fantasy's QB18 on a per-game basis among QBs with at least six appearances during that stretch. Given the Giants used a first-round pick on Dart and the team's low expectations, it would make sense to give Dart an opportunity to gain valuable game experience sooner than later.

Jaxson Dart: Even if Wilson starts more games than Dart, it's likely that the first-rounder gets some starts, especially during the most crucial time of the fantasy season. Both Wilson and Dart are off the fantasy radar in standard single-QB drafts, but the rookie has the ability to make plays with his legs and provide some fantasy upside once he gets his shot.

MORE: Continue reading our New York Giants 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


2025 NFL Power Rankings: Week 1 Rankings

Updated: September 2, 2025

Throughout the 2025 NFL season, we will update our consensus NFL Power Rankings from a variety of national sites.

Below you will find a table of our NFL Power Rankings heading into Week 1 sorted by their average ranking. The table also lists their respective rankings at various sites (links at bottom of table).

Change is difference from last ranking: + number = improvement, - number = decline.

Previous iteration: Post-Draft 2025 NFL Power Rankings

MORE: Consensus NBA Power Rankings

MORE: Consensus MLB Power Rankings

RankTeamAvg.Chg.ESPNNFLATHCBSUSATFOXYAHPFT
1Philadelphia Eagles1.13021111111
2Baltimore Ravens2.51.212252224
3Kansas City Chiefs3.38-0.634533342
4Buffalo Bills4-0.553425553
5Green Bay Packers4.883.366344466

MORE: Full 2025 NFL Power Rankings: Week 1 Rankings


2025 NFL Strength of Schedule: Which teams have the easiest or most difficult schedules?

Updated: September 2, 2025

We are now only a couple of days away from Thursday Night Football and the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys kicking off the 2025 season.

How things appear in November or December may look much different than they do in September, but which team has the most difficult 2025 NFL schedule? Or the easiest schedule?

Using each NFL team's 2025 opponents, our NFL strength of schedule (SOS) tallies the win-loss records of each team's opponents (from last year) and then uses that cumulative win-loss record to rank the difficulty or ease of each team's schedule.

Based on 2024 records, no team has a more challenging schedule than the Giants. Their opponents have collectively won 57.4% of their games in 2024. Meanwhile, San Francisco's opponents have won a combined 41.5% of their 2024 games, which gives them the easiest schedule on paper.

2025 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

The table below ranks teams based on their opponents over the full season.

RankTeamOpp. RecordOpp. Win Pct.Playoff
Opponents
1New York Giants166-123-00.57410
2Detroit Lions165-124-00.57111
2Chicago Bears165-124-00.57110
4Philadelphia Eagles162-127-00.56111

MORE: See where all 32 teams rank based on their 2025 NFL Strength of Schedule

Sunday, August 31, 2025

The Daily Blitz: EDSFootball.com Updates for August 31, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football projections for multiple teams on EDSFootball.com.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

Philadelphia Eagles 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Philadelphia Eagles.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jalen Hurts459.4304.43537.420.98.96140.2588.811.92337.58
Tanner McKee42.728.4303.21.710.858.48.40.0818.59
QB Totals502.1332.83840.622.619.81148.6597.212356.17

Jalen Hurts: In the same year that Saquon Barkley rushed for over 2,000 yards, Hurts set a career low as a full-time starter in pass attempts per game (24.1). In fact, that was a drop of 7.5 per game from his 2023 average (31.6). He finished 2024 throwing for only 2,903 yards, 18 touchdowns and five interceptions.

Even with Barkley's rushing greatness last season, Hurts extended streaks of 150-plus carries (to three seasons), 600-plus rushing yards (four) and double-digit rushing scores (four). Over the past four years, Hurts has compiled 611/2,779/52 rushing in 62 games, equivalent to 9.51 fantasy points per game from rushing stats alone. In addition, only two players (both running backs) — Derrick Henry (51) and Josh Jacobs (42) — come within 10 rushing touchdowns of Hurts (52) during that span, per Stathead. (Josh Allen is tied for fourth (40) with Joe Mixon and Jonathan Taylor.)

More: Jalen Hurts 2025 Fantasy Football Outlook

MORE: Continue reading our Philadelphia Eagles 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


San Francisco 49ers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the San Francisco 49ers.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Brock Purdy499.1335.44042.727.712.4861.6246.43.85295.29
Mac Jones37.624.82671.471.059.530.40.1918.64
QB Totals536.7360.24309.729.1713.5371.1276.84.04313.93

Brock Purdy: Purdy had a down year in 2024 but still finished as the QB10 on a points-per-game basis (18.6). Compared to career rates (in parenthesis), Purdy's 65.9% completion rate (67.5%), 4.4 TD% (6.0%), and 8.5 Y/A (8.9) were all lower in 2024. Yes, Deebo Samuel now plays for the Washington Commanders and Brandon Aiyuk, Jauan Jennings and nearly every other top receiver not named Ricky Pearsall seem to have injury designations (or a suspension), but Purdy is a value when comparing my projections/rankings to his current ADP.

MORE: Continue reading our San Francisco 49ers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Minnesota Vikings 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Minnesota Vikings.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
J.J. McCarthy540.1351.13834.724.312.15602552.4266.19
Carson Wentz37.524262.51.730.93.313.20.0917.48
QB Totals577.6375.14097.226.0313.0563.3268.22.49283.67

J.J. McCarthy: With one of the league's best offensive instructures in place, McCarthy should hit the ground running (maybe literally, too) in his debut season after missing 2024 with a torn meniscus. Kevin O'Connell had Sam Darnold playing at an MVP-caliber level for much of the year, and the team has a good offensive line with a talented group of weapons (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Adam Thielen, T.J. Hockenson, etc.). Given his plus athleticism and environment, there is plenty of upside for a season similar to Bo Nix's rookie campaign (ADP of QB20+ with a top-10 finish).

MORE: Continue reading our Minnesota Vikings 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Buffalo Bills 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Buffalo Bills.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Josh Allen519.2330.7386829.0811.94101530.37.83347.17
Mitchell Trubisky33.121.3225.11.320.8314.848.10.5920.97
QB Totals552.33524093.130.412.77115.8578.48.42368.14

Josh Allen: Putting aside the debate over who should have won the NFL MVP award last season, it's clear that both Allen and Lamar Jackson had MVP-caliber seasons, especially as voters split their votes for MVP and the 2024 AP NFL All-Pro first team. Going into fantasy drafts this summer, Allen vs. Jackson will be the difficult (or easy) choice facing fantasy managers — and to be clear, the "easy" part is that you can't go wrong with either.

Allen posted five-year lows in several passing categories — attempts (483), yards (3,731) and touchdowns (28) — but his dual-threat skill set is what makes him so dangerous. Allen now has (at least) 12 rushing touchdowns in back-to-back seasons and 500-plus rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. He has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback for five consecutive seasons.

MORE: Continue reading our Buffalo Bills 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Carolina Panthers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Carolina Panthers.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Bryce Young537.3333.73626.821.7611.2845.7262.82.86252.99
Andy Dalton37.424.1261.81.651.014.313.30.1817.46
QB Totals574.7357.83888.623.4112.2950276.13.04270.45

Bryce Young: Young was benched after a terrible start through the first two weeks last season (only 225 passing yards, 4.01 Y/A, no touchdowns and three interceptions). He didn't start again until Week 8, but he played much better, especially over the final three games (64.8%, 7.0 Y/A, seven touchdowns and no interceptions). After Carolina's Week 11 bye, Young was the QB8 in fantasy PPG (21.2) through the end of the season.

More: Bryce Young 2025 Fantasy Football Outlook

MORE: Continue reading our Carolina Panthers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Chicago Bears 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Chicago Bears.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Caleb Williams530.8342.43768.722.569.5582.7413.52.07275.66
Case Keenum33.921.4230.51.220.784.914.70.215.21
QB Totals564.7363.83999.223.7810.3387.6428.22.27290.87

Caleb Williams: Williams benefits from the trifecta of improvements in offensive coaching, protection and weapons. After completely revamping their interior offensive line in free agency, the Bears also used their first three draft picks on the offense — tight end Colston Loveland, wide receiver Luther Burden III, and offensive tackle Ozzy Trapilo. Williams is one of my favorite QB2 targets with upside when I don't draft a top-four option.

MORE: Continue reading our Chicago Bears 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Baltimore Ravens 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Baltimore Ravens.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Lamar Jackson451.5300.23521.729.357.22133.1811.94.33351
Cooper Rush36.622.3234.21.350.665.45.40.0514.29
QB Totals488.1322.53755.930.77.88138.5817.34.38365.29

Lamar Jackson: What a year it was Jackson, who posted career highs in passing yards (4,172) and touchdowns (41) while leading the NFL in TD% (8.6%), yards per attempt (8.8) and passer rating (119.6)! It was the second time in his career that he has finished as fantasy's QB1. He posted a 9% TD% in his other overall QB1 season (2019), and then followed that up with a 6.9% rate in 2020. His career average is 6.4%. Long story short, he was absolutely phenomenal in 2024, but last year's ratios would be unsustainable for any quarterback including Jackson (even though he could repeat as fantasy's QB1). Although he has a max of five rushing touchdowns over the past four seasons, Jackson is the NFL's all-time leader in quarterback rushing yards, averaging a whopping 1,019 yards per 17 games over his career.

MORE: Continue reading our Baltimore Ravens 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Arizona Cardinals 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Arizona Cardinals.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kyler Murray512.4348.4363820.510.7678.8472.84.73281.66
Jacoby Brissett41.525.7273.91.290.629.332.60.3720.36
QB Totals553.9374.13911.921.7911.3888.1505.45.1302.02

Kyler Murray: While fantasy managers were hoping for more from Murray in 2024, his final numbers were still solid albeit not spectacular. Murray threw multiple touchdowns in only four games, but he had another four multi-score games when including rushing touchdowns. Even with more weekly inconsistency than you may like, Murray has upside as a back-end QB1, especially if Marvin Harrison Jr. and their connection take a step forward in year two.

MORE: Continue reading our Arizona Cardinals 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Seattle Seahawks 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Seattle Seahawks.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Sam Darnold507.4314.63551.821.3112.1848.5164.92.43234.02
Drew Lock38.623.2258.61.351.126.629.70.4319.05
Jalen Milroe5.53.439.10.20.178.850.60.6210.8
QB Totals551.5341.23849.522.8613.4763.9245.23.48263.87

Sam Darnold: How close will the 2025 version of Darnold be to his breakout season last year? That's the obvious question, especially considering last year's environment (coaching and supporting cast) was about as ideal for a quarterback as possible. On a positive note, the former top-three pick is still only 28 years old despite entering his eighth NFL season. Darnold threw for 4,319 passing yards, 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions last season and finished as fantasy's QB9. It's definitely possible that the fantasy community (myself included) is discounting him too much in 2025.

MORE: Continue reading our Seattle Seahawks 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Saturday, August 30, 2025

The Daily Blitz: EDSFootball.com Updates for August 30, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football projections for multiple teams and Week 1 NFL implied totals on EDSFootball.com.

2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Projected fantasy points are based on half-PPR scoring.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

Kansas City Chiefs 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Kansas City Chiefs.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes566.5381.34135.528.8911.3366.1343.72.15305.59
Gardner Minshew36.223.3253.41.450.724.412.10.1316.49
QB Totals602.7404.64388.930.3412.0570.5355.82.28322.08

Patrick Mahomes: Outside of his one-game rookie season, Mahomes set or tied career lows in passing yards (3,928) and touchdowns (26). Like Joe Burrow, Mahomes has enough mobility to make and extend plays, but he doesn't use it to rack up significant rushing production (307-389 rushing yards in five consecutive seasons). After finishing as a top-four fantasy quarterback in four of his first five seasons as a starter, Mahomes has finished as the QB8 and QB12, respectively, over the past two seasons. The talented trio of Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown (when healthy and active) provide hope for Mahomes to return to his previous levels of elite production.

MORE: Continue reading our Kansas City Chiefs 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


New York Jets 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the New York Jets.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Justin Fields477.8296.23368.519.8312.66121.4685.95.77291.95
Tyrod Taylor30.519.8213.51.190.529.954.50.4620.47
QB Totals508.3316358221.0213.18131.3740.46.23312.42

Justin Fields: The same year (2022) that Fields threw for 2,242 yards, 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, he finished as fantasy's QB6 in points per game and overall. Of course, it was the elite rushing production (160/1143/8) that outweighed his anemic passing stats that year. Even before the Steelers benched him in favor of Russell Wilson in 2024, Fields was the QB6 in fantasy points per game through his six starts.

MORE: Continue reading our New York Jets 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Houston Texans 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Houston Texans.

Projected fantasy points are based on half-PPR scoring.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
C.J. Stroud539.7343.83993.823.488.6440.91801.35262.49
Davis Mills34.421.5230.51.270.894.413.60.1614.84
QB Totals574.1365.34224.324.759.5345.3193.61.51277.33

C.J. Stroud: What a difference a year made, as Stroud finished his 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign as fantasy's QB8 in points per game and as the QB26 in 2024. The coaching staff did him no favors and Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell ended the year on IR with Nico Collins also missing five games in 2024. With the additions of Christian Kirk in free agency and Iowa State rookies Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel in the draft and a new offensive coaching staff in place, there is some optimism for Stroud to rebound in 2025 although the offensive line remains an issue.

MORE: Continue reading our Houston Texans 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Cincinnati Bengals 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Cincinnati Bengals.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Joe Burrow575.6395.7431731.6610.3644.5160.22.34308.66
Jake Browning36.725262.41.520.92417.20.3218.38
QB Totals612.3420.74579.433.1811.2848.5177.42.66327.04

Joe Burrow: Burrow, now a two-time NFL Comeback Player of the Year, had an MVP-caliber season in 2024. (Of course, so did Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.) In any event, Burrow led the NFL in both passing yards (4,918) and touchdowns (43). With Cincinnati doling out massive contracts to both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins this offseason, it's all systems go for Burrow and the Bengals offense, who will often find themselves needing to keep up with their leaky defense.

MORE: Continue reading our Cincinnati Bengals 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Fantasy Football: Week 1 NFL Implied Totals

While nobody is right 100% of the time, the Vegas sportsbooks are right more often than they are wrong.

A helpful tool to determine which players to roster or start (or at least to break a tie), especially in daily fantasy football leagues, is NFL implied totals (projected point totals for each team based on NFL odds).

Looking at the over-under alone is not enough. Although it's an obvious statement, the more points a team scores (or is expected to score), the more likely that fantasy points will follow.

NFL implied totals listed in the table below are calculated using NFL odds from FanDuel Sportsbook for Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season and sorted from most to least projected points.

MORE: 2025 NFL Strength of Schedule

MORE: Full Week 1 NFL Implied Totals

Friday, August 29, 2025

The Daily Blitz: EDSFootball.com Updates for August 29, 2025

Earlier today, we updated fantasy football rankings, projections for multiple teams and posted a new fantasy football mock draft on EDSFootball.com.

As we head into Labor Day weekend and the busiest part of fantasy football draft season, I have updated my positional rankings and overall top 200 fantasy football cheat sheet.

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More rankings: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | Top 150

2025 Fantasy Football QB Rankings

1. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Putting aside the debate over who should have won the NFL MVP award last season, it's clear that both Allen and Lamar Jackson had MVP-caliber seasons, especially as voters split their votes for MVP and the 2024 AP NFL All-Pro first team. Going into fantasy drafts this summer, Allen vs. Jackson will be the difficult (or easy) choice facing fantasy managers — and to be clear, the "easy" part is that you can't go wrong with either.

Allen posted five-year lows in several passing categories — attempts (483), yards (3,731) and touchdowns (28) — but his dual-threat skill set is what makes him so dangerous. Allen now has (at least) 12 rushing touchdowns in back-to-back seasons and 500-plus rushing yards in four consecutive seasons. He has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback for five consecutive seasons.

2. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

What a year it was Jackson, who posted career highs in passing yards (4,172) and touchdowns (41) while leading the NFL in TD% (8.6%), yards per attempt (8.8) and passer rating (119.6)! It was the second time in his career that he has finished as fantasy's QB1. He posted a 9% TD% in his other overall QB1 season (2019), and then followed that up with a 6.9% rate in 2020. His career average is 6.4%. Long story short, he was absolutely phenomenal in 2024, but last year's ratios would be unsustainable for any quarterback including Jackson (even though he could repeat as fantasy's QB1). Although he has a max of five rushing touchdowns over the past four seasons, Jackson is the NFL's all-time leader in quarterback rushing yards, averaging a whopping 1,019 yards per 17 games over his career.

> Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football QB Rankings


2025 Fantasy Football RB Rankings

1. Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons

Robinson (not Saquon Barkley) should be the RB1 in 2025 fantasy football drafts, especially considering Barkley's historic 2024 volume (most combined regular-season and playoff touches in a decade). The 23-year-old running back racked up 1,887 scrimmage yards and scored 15 total touchdowns on 365 touches including 61 receptions. From Week 6 on, Robinson averaged more fantasy points per game (21.1) than all other running backs. During that 12-game span, he averaged 19.8/97.6 rushing, 3.6/23.3 receiving and scored 14 total touchdowns.

2. Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions

Gibbs set or tied career highs across the board in rushing (250/1,412/16, 5.6 YPC) and receiving (52/517/4, 9.9 Y/R) in his second season. Gibbs was also top five among running backs with a minimum of 17 targets in yards per route run (1.67) and YAC per reception (11.5), per PFF. Gibbs was especially good when David Montgomery missed the final three regular-season games (RB1 overall), but he was also the RB3 (RB4 on a PPG basis) from Weeks 1 to 15 when Montgomery was also active.

> Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football RB Rankings


2025 Fantasy Football WR Rankings

1. Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals

Posting career highs in his age-24 season, Chase led the NFL in receptions (127), yards (1,708) and touchdowns (17) in 2024 to become the fifth triple crown winner since the league merger. Chase had at least five catches and/or 50 yards in all but one game in 2024, but he also had several monster games. There were nine 35-point wide receiver performances league-wide in 2024, and Chase had three (one-third) of them. From Week 5 on, Chase had a 31.46% target share with a weekly minimum of 24.32%. He's the easy choice to select first overall in fantasy drafts this summer.

2. CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys

Lamb played several weeks dealing with a shoulder injury before shutting it down with a couple of games to go. While his (and Dak Prescott's) injuries factor in, his numbers were down considerably from 2023. Lamb set career lows in yards per reception (11.8) and target (7.9) and his per game averages dropped from 7.9/102.9/0.7 (2023) to 6.7/79.6/0.4 (2024). When everything's clicking, however, Lamb is as productive as any receiver in the league.

> Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football WR Rankings


2025 Fantasy Football TE Rankings

1. Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders

Bowers led all tight ends in receptions (112), targets (153) and receiving yards (1,194) despite being a rookie with sub-par quarterback play. Only George Kittle scored more fantasy points on a per-game basis, and Bowers led the position in overall points. While it may be difficult to outproduce his rookie numbers, few, if any, tight ends are the focal point of their passing offense the way Bowers is. Even though the Raiders will run the ball more often in 2025, Ashton Jeanty's presence will benefit the pass catchers indirectly by helping to sustain longer drives and Geno Smith will make the passing attack more efficient.

2. Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals

The good news is that McBride smashed previous career highs in targets (147), receptions (111) and receiving yards (1,146). Among all players (wide receivers included), he finished eighth, fourth, and 11th, respectively, in those categories. The bad news is that he had only two touchdowns and has a total of six through three NFL seasons. If there's a glimmer of hope, McBride finished top three in TE targets from inside the 20 (21, T-2nd), 15 (16, T-2nd), 10 (12, 1st) and 5 (seven, T-1st).

Yes, Brock Bowers deserves to be TE1 in fantasy drafts, but it's a 1A/1B (or 1A/1A) situation with Bowers and McBride. Even though I have Bowers ranked ahead of McBride, the former Colorado State tight end may offer a little more value nearly a round later.

> Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football TE Rankings


Top 200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

> Continue reading our Top 200 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet


Cleveland Browns 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Cleveland Browns.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Joe Flacco266.4164.51891.411.326.3924.756.81.01119.9
Dillon Gabriel177.6112.81198.86.224.4422.595.60.6877.59
Shedeur Sanders14894.71006.45.334.0720.275.80.7165.28
QB Totals5923724096.622.8714.967.4228.22.4262.77

Joe Flacco: While Flacco will open the season as the starter, it's also very likely that the rookies will both make starts in 2025. In his first stint with the Browns (2023), Flacco won the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award. In five starts (four wins), Flacco threw for 1,616 yards (323.2 per game), 13 touchdowns (6.4%) and eight interceptions (3.9%). The more games Flacco starts, the more ideal it will be for the team's top pass catchers as well.

Dillon Gabriel: The current quarterback depth chart is 1) Flacco, 2) Gabriel, and 3) Shedeur Sanders. While Gabriel may be the first rookie to draw starts, it's likely that Sanders will get a chance as well.

Shedeur Sanders: With two first-round picks (and low expectations for 2025), Cleveland will likely be in prime position to draft one near the top of the 2026 NFL Draft and it would make sense for them to get as many evaluation data points for both Gabriel and Sanders as possible before then.

MORE: Continue reading our Cleveland Browns 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Baker Mayfield538.3364.73956.528.5313.1961.3239.11.96281.67
Teddy Bridgewater34.422.8249.41.340.794.6170.1416.3
QB Totals572.7387.54205.929.8713.9865.9256.12.1297.97

Baker Mayfield: Mayfield set career highs in passing yards (4,500) and touchdowns (41), although he also led the NFL in interceptions (16). That said, he finished as fantasy's QB4 in 2024 after finishing as the QB10 in his first season with the Bucs. Only Lamar Jackson (16) had more QB1 finishes last season than Mayfield (13). While he'll have his third offensive coordinator in as many seasons, new OC Josh Grizzard was the passing game coordinator for Liam Coen, who's now Jacksonville's head coach. First-round pick Emeka Egbuka should make a significant and immediate impact, but regression and injuries/rehabs for left tackle Tristan Wirfs and wide receivers Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan to start the season could lead to a disappointing season compared to his fantasy ADP.

MORE: Continue reading our Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


Indianapolis Colts 2025 Fantasy Football Projections

Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Indianapolis Colts.

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QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Daniel Jones439.12812985.914.4910.169.6365.42.61209.4
Anthony Richardson109.856757.63.733.8434.8198.43.1376.16
QB Totals548.93373743.518.2213.94104.4563.85.74285.56

Daniel Jones: Jones has been named "the starting quarterback for the season." While there may not be a "short leash," it's certainly possible that both Jones and Anthony Richardson make starts in 2025. Jones is an underrated rusher and he shouldn't tank the passing attack the way Richardson may have.

Anthony Richardson: While he's been terrible as a passer — 50.6% completion rate through 15 starts with more interceptions (13) thrown than touchdowns (11), Richardson will have enormous rushing upside if/when he starts. In fact, he has scored nearly as many rushing touchdowns (10) as he's thrown. As much as Jones has been named the starter "for the season," it's definitely possible that Richardson draws starts this season.

MORE: Continue reading our Indianapolis Colts 2025 Fantasy Football Projections


2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR Mock (7th Pick)

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2025 NFL season, we will use the fantasy football mock draft simulator to complete fantasy football mock drafts. And we will do so using a variety of scoring formats — point per reception (PPR), half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues — and league sizes. The goal is to provide you with a good representation of the team that you may be able to draft given your league settings while also providing the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

> Our 2025 mocks will be centralized here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 7th Pick

Starting positions: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1 K, 1 DST; Bench spots: 6

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1.07 - Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants

Maybe Jaxson Dart will develop into a franchise quarterback, but New York's 2025 quarterback situation (Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston and Dart) is an upgrade over what they had last year no matter who is starting. Despite missing a couple of games and the state of the team's quarterback play, Nabers finished his rookie campaign as fantasy's WR7. With a league-high 10 games with double-digit targets and more targets than all receivers not named Ja'Marr Chase, Nabers never finished with fewer than four catches, seven targets or 41 yards in any game in 2024.

2.06 - Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts

Like with Derrick Henry, a concern with Taylor is the lack of receiving volume. That said, he should get more targets (and fewer rushing touchdowns vultured) from Daniel Jones than Anthony Richardson. Taylor, who missed Weeks 5-7, had only 12/59/1 receiving on 21 targets over the final 10 games of the season. But his rushing numbers over that span were elite — 231 carries for 1,082 yards, both of which were second to only Saquon Barkley, and seven touchdowns.

3.07 - Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

While he would be a WR1 elsewhere, Higgins will continue to benefit from being the 1B to Ja'Marr Chase. While he has missed exactly five games in back-to-back seasons, Higgins finished second (behind Chase) among all wide receivers in fantasy points per game in 2024.

4.06 - Davante Adams, WR, Los Angeles Rams

Adams, who was traded midseason from the Raiders to the Jets, still managed to extend his streak of 1,000-yard, eight-TD seasons to five. Even though he turns 33 on Christmas Eve and won't dominate targets the way he had at previous stops, he should have (or come close to having) another 1,000/8 season with good health from Matthew Stafford (back).

MORE: 2025 Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Football Projections

MORE: Continue reading our 2025 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12-Team Half-PPR Mock (7th Pick)