Showing posts with label Geoff Swaim. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Geoff Swaim. Show all posts

Monday, September 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.6325.43904.729.799.2644.8217.32.24292
Logan Woodside26.316.2181.51.040.537.911.90.0211.67

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5624.8185.91.8289.81
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8147.11.578.08
Jeremy McNichols32.2138.50.815.544.90.327.75
Mekhi Sargent31.1132.20.7542.90.326.01
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.40.25.03

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: Unfortunately, Evans (knee) will begin 2021 on IR. Once he returns, however, he offers the offense a change-of-pace option to Henry

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.81160.59000211.45
Julio Jones79.41093.17.6000194.61
Josh Reynolds32.5400.42.900073.69
Cameron Batson10.6116.50.82.610.80.0523.13
Chester Rogers7.277.60.600014.96
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine4.353.10.40009.86
Racey McMath1.520.40.20003.99

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a solid WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser44.4498.53.600093.65
Geoff Swaim18.81881.400036.6
Tommy Hudson3.638.80.30007.48

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.9325.6388230.559.2745.3219.72.27294.53
DeShone Kizer20.912.9141.10.780.528440.414.52

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry351.41721.915.8123.7191.11.9309.41
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8144.81.574.5
Brian Hill39.9179.60.87.656.30.535.19
Jeremy McNichols1668.80.45.944.30.318.46
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.10.25.15

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.21130.59.2000208.85
Julio Jones78.71062.17.7000191.76
Josh Reynolds32.2396.32.900073.13
Dez Fitzpatrick11.8148.91.200027.99
Cameron Batson7.684.50.52.711.20.0516.67
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.444.30.30007.93

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds will become a waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser42.3472.73.400088.82
Geoff Swaim18.61811.400035.8
Jared Pinkney5.146.30.40009.58

Anthony Firkser: Moving to top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Monday, October 8, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 6

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

Embed from Getty Images

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 6 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. C.J. Uzomah, Cincinnati Bengals (26 percent)

Not only is Tyler Eifert out for the season, but Tyler Kroft left Sunday's game with a foot injury. For as long as Kroft is out, it would open up the door for Uzomah to become nearly an every-down player. The upcoming schedule can't get any better as the Bengals face the Steelers, Chiefs and Bucs in their next three games. Those three opponents rank as the three most generous opposing defenses to fantasy tight ends this season.

2. Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (29 percent)

Catchless in his first two games, Brate now has three catches and a touchdown in back-to-back games. With O.J. Howard (MCL) still sidelined coming out of the team's bye, Brate should continue to benefit. The Harvard alum will be a TD-dependent option, like most tight ends, but his outlook is improved for as long as Howard remains out.

3. Geoff Swaim, Dallas Cowboys (8 percent)

You won't feel good about starting Swaim, but the starting tight end now has at least three catches in four of five games including each of the past three. In his three most recent games, Swaim has a combined line of 11/141/1 on 15 targets. Currently the TE14 in PPR formats through Sunday's games, Swaim has been a top-15 PPR option for three consecutive games (although he may fail to hang onto that distinction after Monday night's game).

1-3. Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (33 percent)

It's a weird ranking for Doyle, but if you don't need a tight end to start this week, Doyle is the best long-term option on this list. If you need someone to start this week, it's unclear how much more time Doyle will miss. Once he returns to the lineup, however, I'd expect him to be the team's primary tight end with Eric Ebron being more of a complementary option to Doyle -- albeit one that should still be a back-end TE starter in fantasy leagues.

5. Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins (4 percent)

At some point, Gesicki could become a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses due to his freakish athleticism. Up until now, he's been a fantasy-irrelevant option through five weeks.

On a positive note, Gesicki had a season-high five targets in Week 5 and finished with three catches for 26 yards, the second-best game of his career. For those in deeper leagues, there is at least some reason to hold out hope that things will improve as the season progresses for the former Nittany Lion.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 6

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Friday, August 31, 2018

Dallas Cowboys 2018 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Dak Prescott481.6302.4332321.210.659.6321.85.43.5254.1
Through his first two NFL seasons, Prescott has finished as fantasy's QB6 and QB9, respectively. Even though Prescott and Dez Bryant never seemed to get on the same page, the Dez-less Cowboys seriously lack talent amongst their group of pass-catchers. Rushing for 12 touchdowns in two seasons, Prescott's dual-threat abilities help to raise his floor, but it's likely he finishes outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks for the first time in his young career.
Cooper Rush2.41.214000.52000.76

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Ezekiel Elliott308.11340.29.641.8422.22.51246.84
The 2016 rushing champion, Elliott served a six-game suspension in 2017 but led the league in rushing yards per game (98.3) with a larger workload (24.2 carries per game). With limited weapons in the passing game, Zeke and the Cowboys will face many eight-men fronts, but the former Buckeye should get north of 300 carries with a chance for another rushing title.
Rod Smith42.7179.31.312.31230.6041.63
Bo Scarbrough30.3130.31.53.827.40.10.224.97
Jamize Olawale11.945.20.57.866.30.40.116.35
Darius Jackson1.56.500.43000.95
Trey Williams0.52.100.86.8000.89

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Allen Hurns52.7695.65.30000.1101.16
Two years removed from a 1,031/10 season, Hurns has missed five-plus games in each of the past two seasons with a total of 961 yards and five touchdowns combined over that stretch. While a return to 2015 numbers is unlikely, Hurns should be able to set three-year highs if he's able to stay healthy and could be the most productive of the Cowboys wide receivers.
Michael Gallup47.2604.24.70000.388.02
Even though the Cowboys waited until the third round to select Gallup, it's possible that the PFF favorite leads all rookie wide receivers in production given the team's lack of playmakers.
Cole Beasley52.4513.54.20000.375.95
With future HOFer Jason Witten hanging up his cleats, there should be more targets heading the slot receiver's way. In Dak Prescott's rookie season, Beasley had a 75/833/5 line. At a minimum, I'd expect him to post better numbers than last season's 36/314/4.
Terrance Williams36.5551.23.10000.373.12
Dak Prescott should spread the ball around enough that none of the team's receivers will finish as a top-36 fantasy option. While Williams could lead the team in receiving, I expect a bunch of the team's receivers to finish in the range of 400 to 600 yards as mostly uninspiring fantasy options for 2018.
Tavon Austin221871.541.7271.12.12.563.61
For the most part, Austin has underperformed compared to his lofty draft status (eighth-overall pick in 2013). Back in 2015, Austin had 907 yards from scrimmage (473 receiving and 434 rushing), 52 receptions and 10 total touchdowns including one return score. A return to that level of production is highly unlikely, but perhaps he approaches his second-best season (2016, 668 YFS on 86 touches).
Deonte Thompson2.939.20.20000.14.92
Noah Brown0.66.10.10000.11.01

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Blake Jarwin30.8335.73.10000.151.97
With Jason Witten retired and moving into the Monday Night Football booth, Jarwin could be the biggest beneficiary among the team's tight ends. Jori Epstein of the Dallas Morning News wrote: "[I]t was Jarwin, not [Geoff] Swaim, making a splash in offseason activities. Dak Prescott regularly targeted Jarwin up the middle, particularly in red-zone situations."
Geoff Swaim11.6121.80.9000017.58
Rico Gathers4.145.90.40000.16.79
Dalton Schultz4.747.90.30000.16.39

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Saturday, August 11, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Dak Prescott485.6305335121.410.759.4320.85.33.5255.12
Through his first two NFL seasons, Prescott has finished as fantasy's QB6 and QB9, respectively. Even though Prescott and Dez Bryant never seemed to get on the same page, the Dez-less Cowboys seriously lack talent amongst their group of pass-catchers. Rushing for 12 touchdowns in two seasons, Prescott's dual-threat abilities help to raise his floor, but it's likely he finishes outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks for the first time in his young career.
Cooper Rush2.41.214000.52000.76

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Ezekiel Elliott306.91350.49.842.1425.22.51249.36
The 2016 rushing champion, Elliott served a six-game suspension in 2017 but led the league in rushing yards per game (98.3) with a larger workload (24.2 carries per game). With limited weapons in the passing game, Elliott and the Cowboys will face many eight-men fronts, but the former Buckeye should get north of 300 carries with a chance for another rushing title.
Rod Smith37.1155.81.112.41240.6038.18
Bo Scarbrough33.7144.91.73.827.40.10.227.63
Jamize Olawale11.443.30.57.967.20.40.116.25
Trey Williams28.501.815.30.102.98
Darius Jackson2.510.80.100001.68

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Allen Hurns52.9698.35.30000.1101.43
Two years removed from a 1,031/10 season, Hurns has missed five-plus games in each of the past two seasons with a total of 961 yards and five touchdowns combined over that stretch. While a return to 2015 numbers is unlikely, Hurns should be able to set three-year highs if he's able to stay healthy and could be the most productive of the Cowboys wide receivers.
Michael Gallup42.8547.84.30000.379.98
Even though the Cowboys waited until the third round to select Gallup, it's possible that the PFF favorite leads all rookie wide receivers in production given the team's lack of playmakers.
Cole Beasley52.4513.54.20000.375.95
With future HOFer Jason Witten hanging up his cleats, there should be more targets heading the slot receiver's way. In Dak Prescott's rookie season, Beasley had a 75/833/5 line. At a minimum, I'd expect him to post better numbers than last season's 36/314/4.
Terrance Williams36.8555.73.10000.373.57
Dak Prescott should spread the ball around enough that none of the team's receivers will finish as a top-36 fantasy option. While Williams could lead the team in receiving, I expect a bunch of the team's receivers to finish in the range of 400 to 600 yards as uninspiring fantasy options for 2018.
Tavon Austin22.2188.71.641.6270.42.12.564.31
For the most part, Austin has underperformed compared to his lofty draft status (eighth-overall pick in 2013). Back in 2015, Austin had 907 yards from scrimmage (473 receiving and 434 rushing), 52 receptions and 10 total touchdowns including one return score. A return to that level of production is highly unlikely, but perhaps he approaches his second-best season (2016, 668 YFS on 86 touches).
Noah Brown2.727.30.30000.14.33
Deonte Thompson1.418.90.10000.12.29

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Blake Jarwin31.5343.43.20000.153.34
With Jason Witten retired and moving into the Monday Night Football booth, Jarwin could be the biggest beneficiary among the team's tight ends. Jori Epstein of the Dallas Morning News wrote: "[I]t was Jarwin, not [Geoff] Swaim, making a splash in offseason activities. Dak Prescott regularly targeted Jarwin up the middle, particularly in red-zone situations."
Geoff Swaim12.4130.21000019.02
Rico Gathers4.853.80.50000.18.18
Dalton Schultz5.455.10.40000.17.71

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Saturday, June 9, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Dak Prescott472.6302.5328522.29.958.8317.55.90267.55
Through his first two NFL seasons, Prescott has finished as fantasy's QB6 and QB9, respectively. Even though Prescott and Dez Bryant never seemed to get on the same page, the Dez-less Cowboys will have one of the league's least-talented group of pass-catchers in 2018. Rushing for 12 touchdowns in two seasons, Prescott's dual-threat abilities help to raise his floor despite a lack of talented pass-catchers, but it's possible he finishes outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks for the first time in his young career.
Cooper Rush2.41.214000.52000.76

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Ezekiel Elliott318.51385.510.242.2426.22.51255.37
The rushing champion as a rookie, Elliott served a six-game suspension in 2017 but led the league in rushing yards per game (98.3) with a larger workload (24.2 carries per game) in his sophomore campaign. With limited weapons in the passing game, Elliott and the Cowboys will face many eight-men fronts, but the former Buckeye should get well north of 300 carries with a chance for another rushing title.
Rod Smith31.9132.4112.21220.6035.04
Bo Scarbrough29.4123.51.53.726.60.10.224.21
Jamize Olawale8.331.50.37.765.50.40.113.7
Trey Williams28.501.815.30.102.98
Darius Jackson3.414.60.100002.06

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:


Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Terrance Williams40.26073.40000.380.5
With Dez Bryant no longer on the roster, Williams could be viewed as the favorite to lead the team in receiving. Even so, I expect Dak Prescott to spread the ball around enough that none of the team's receivers will finish as a top-36 fantasy option. I could see a bunch of the team's receivers finishing in the range of 400 to 600 yards in 2018.
Allen Hurns41.9553.14.20000.180.31
Two years removed from a 1,031/10 season, Hurns has missed five-plus games in each of the past two seasons with a total of 961 yards and five touchdowns combined over that stretch. While a return to 2015 numbers is unlikely, Hurns should be able to set three-year highs if he's able to stay healthy.
Tavon Austin30.9262.72.241.7271.12.12.575.38
For the most part, Austin has underperformed compared to his lofty draft status (eighth-overall pick in 2013). Back in 2015, Austin had 907 yards from scrimmage (473 receiving and 434 rushing), 52 receptions and 10 total touchdowns including one return score. While I doubt he posts those lofty numbers in Dallas (especially the double-digit touchdowns part), it's possible fantasy owners get the second-best numbers of his career.
Michael Gallup40.2514.640000.374.86
Even though the Cowboys waited until the third round to select Gallup, it's possible that the PFF favorite leads all rookie wide receivers in production given the team's lack of playmakers.
Cole Beasley48.5475.33.90000.370.33
With future HOFer Jason Witten hanging up his cleats, there should be more targets heading the slot receiver's way. In Dak Prescott's rookie season, Beasley had a 75/833/5 line. At a minimum, I'd expect him to post better numbers than last season's 36/314/4.
Noah Brown5.353.50.50000.18.15
Deonte Thompson4.358.10.30000.17.41
Cedrick Wilson3.134.40.200004.64

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Geoff Swaim12.9135.51000019.55
Blake Jarwin11118.80.90000.117.08
Rico Gathers1011210000.117
Dalton Schultz8.182.60.60000.111.66

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