The Daily Blitz: Kareem Hunt

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Sunday, September 4, 2022

Cleveland Browns Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Cleveland Browns.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jacoby Brissett	328.5	205.3	2118.8	11.83	4.93	49.9	174.7	1.25	147.18
Deshaun Watson	173.4	116.4	1343.9	8.84	4.16	23.7	116.1	0.71	96.67
Joshua Dobbs	23.6	14.6	155.8	0.9	0.64	2.5	10.6	0.05	9.91

Jacoby Brissett: Deshaun Watson's 11-game suspension makes Brissett the starter for the majority of the 2022 season. In his two seasons as a full-time starter (2017 and 2019), he finished as fantasy's QB20 and QB23, respectively. He's a low-upside option when he starts and he'll lose his starting gig during the fantasy playoffs, which makes him only a consideration in 2-QB formats.

Deshaun Watson: Suspended for the first 11 games of the season, Watson is eligible to return in Week 13 against his former team (Houston Texans). Especially for those in 2-QB formats, Watson would provide a significant boost for the fantasy playoffs. While he also did not play a snap in 2021, Watson has finished as fantasy's QB4, QB4 and QB5 in his three NFL seasons as a full-time starter. In other words, he will be a top-10 option (or better) in fantasy from Week 13 on.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Nick Chubb	233.3	1119.8	8.4	29.4	231.6	1.3	208.04
Kareem Hunt	119.8	533.1	3.59	44.2	345.6	1.9	142.91
D'Ernest Johnson	42.2	196.2	1.18	9.8	76	0.5	42.2
Demetric Felton	4	16.4	0.09	9.1	70.6	0.4	16.19
Jerome Ford	14.2	62.5	0.39	3.5	25.3	0.1	13.47

Nick Chubb: One of the league's best pure runners, Chubb has yet to finish with fewer than 996 rushing yards, eight rushing touchdowns or 5.0 yards per carry in a season. Even though he's missed a total of seven games over the past two seasons combined, Chubb has finished his four seasons as fantasy's RB16, RB7, RB9 and RB11, respectively, in half-PPR scoring.

Kareem Hunt: Entering the final year of his contract, Hunt had requested a trade but the Browns have rejected that request. No team has a more talented duo on their roster than Chubb and Hunt, who was the NFL's rushing champion in 2017 as a rookie with Kansas City. Given his versatile skill set, Hunt provides stand-alone flex value when Chubb is active and RB1 upside when/if Chubb misses time.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Amari Cooper	74	877.5	5.3	0	0	0	156.55
Donovan Peoples-Jones	33.6	445.1	2.6	0	0	0	76.91
David Bell	31.3	381.8	2.3	0	0	0	67.63
Anthony Schwartz	19.8	266	1.5	9.5	59.9	0.48	54.37
Michael Woods II	2.7	28.9	0.2	0	0	0	5.44

Amari Cooper: No longer in Dallas, Cooper won't face the same kind of target competition in Cleveland as he's clearly the team's No. 1 receiver in 2022. That said, there is plenty of risk to the passing offense in general with Deshaun Watson suspended for 11 games. Cooper has five 1,000-yard campaigns in seven seasons.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
David Njoku	47.4	546.4	3.4	0	0	0	98.74
Harrison Bryant	31.4	323.9	2.2	0	0	0	61.29

David Njoku: Njoku finished 2021 with 36 catches for 475 yards and four touchdowns. The only Browns with more receptions last season -- Jarvis Landry (52) and Austin Hooper (38) -- are no longer on the roster, although the team traded for Amari Cooper. I expect Njoku to finish second on the team in receiving across the board, behind only Cooper.

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Saturday, October 16, 2021

Week 6 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Zack Moss is listed below as a "start" for Week 6. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 6 with him as one of my starting running backs.

Then again, Moss may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you roster Najee Harris, Austin Ekeler and Moss and start only two running backs, you should start Harris and Ekeler and, in turn, bench Moss.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 6 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (vs. ARI)

While the Dallas Cowboys would make their case, the Browns have the league's best 1-2 punch with Nick Chubb and Hunt. Not only did Chubb (RB9) and Hunt (RB10) finish 2020 as top-10 fantasy running backs, but they have been even better so far this season. Through Week 5, Hunt is fantasy's RB5 in half-PPR scoring and Chubb is RB8.

Among running backs, Hunt is tied for 18th in touches (72), but he ranks 11th in targets (20), ninth in receptions (17), 14th in YFS/G (89) and fourth in TDs (five). Sharing the workload with Chubb, who actually has 23 more touches season-to-date, Hunt has had a minimum of 14 touches in each of the past four weeks.

Given that Chubb (calf) has been ruled out for Week 6, Hunt is one of the top plays at the position overall. Hunt has scored more than 15 fantasy points in four of five games and at least 23 fantasy points in two of his past three games.

James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. MIA)

Robinson is coming off a season-best performance against the Tennessee Titans. In Week 5, he had 18 carries for 149 yards and a touchdown. Robinson has three consecutive games with a minimum of 19 touches and 20-plus fantasy points. In all three of those games, he has finished as a top-10 fantasy running back.

The Miami Dolphins have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. The Dolphins have allowed three 100-yard rushers this season -- Damien Harris (Week 1), Peyton Barber (Week 3) and Jonathan Taylor (Week 4).

The Jaguars are only three-point underdogs in London this weekend. In other words, the possibility of a negative game script isn't as high as it would normally be for a team looking to end its 20-game losing streak.

Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills (at TEN)

While the Bills are a pass-first team, Moss continues to emerge as the team's RB1 over Devin Singletary. Moss was a Week 1 scratch and the duo has a nearly identical workload split since then (54 touches for Moss, 49 for Singletary). That said, Moss has been much more productive over that stretch.

With four touchdowns over that span, Moss (13.45/G) has averaged nearly twice as many half-PPR fantasy points than Singletary (7.78/G). In those four games, Moss has finished as the weekly RB16, RB14, RB24 and RB28, respectively. As usual, the Bills have one of the week's highest implied totals.

Khalil Herbert, Chicago Bears (vs. GB)

Herbert had 18 carries for 75 yards against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5. With Damien Williams expected to miss Week 6, Herbert should see another large workload when the Bears host the Green Bay Packers.

"You saw some really good times where he hit that zone and he stuck that right or left foot in the ground, planted it, and he went north and south and got 7, 8 yards every time," Matt Nagy said. "I like his vision. I like his patience. I also like his toughness, and you guys see it when he's returning kickoffs. He's smooth, and people bounce off him, so he's got good contact balance."

Week 6 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

James Conner, Arizona Cardinals (at CLE)

Through five weeks, Conner has season highs of 53 rushing yards and 66 scrimmage yards. While those are season highs, his per-game averages are 40.2 rushing yards and 47.0 YFS.

Conner needs a touchdown -- or more precisely, two of them -- to be a top-24 fantasy running back. Fortunately, he's scored five touchdowns in the past three weeks. In the games that he has scored twice this season, he has finished as the RB12 and RB8, respectively.

In the games that he has scored only one touchdown or none at all, Conner has finished as the weekly RB44, RB58 and RB31, respectively. The Browns have one of the league's best defenses and they have allowed only 3.21 YPC on the 90 running back carries they have faced.

Alex Collins, Seattle Seahawks (at PIT)

With Chris Carson placed on IR, Collins should handle the bulk of the backfield's workload this week and the next couple of weeks. Given that Russell Wilson has also been placed on IR and the Seahawks have a difficult matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Collins is more of a volume-based flex than RB2 this week.

The Steelers have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. As five-point road underdogs in Pittsburgh, the Seahawks have the second-lowest implied total in Week 6, ahead of only the Houston Texans.

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (at TEN)

Singletary had at least 12 touches in his first four games of the season, but the third-year back had only seven touches last week. Given that Josh Allen is always a threat to vulture a rushing touchdown and Moss is more likely than Singletary to get goal-line opportunities, Singletary is a low-floor flex.

Latavius Murray, Baltimore Ravens (vs. LAC)

Despite getting 19 fewer carries on the season, Ty'Son Williams (170, 5.48 YPC) has more rushing yards than Murray (168, 3.36 YPC). Even though he has the largest running back workload, Murray has been extremely inefficient (3.36 YPC) and was not targeted in any of the team's first four games. While he was targeted three times last week, Murray has single-digit touches in three of his past four games.

The Ravens have one of the week's highest implied totals, which makes Murray a TD-dependent flex option.

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Cleveland Browns

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Cleveland Browns.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	519.8	329.6	3768.6	27.29	9.62	54.4	185	1.77	269.78
Case Keenum	33.2	20.9	230.7	1.25	0.66	1.3	4.2	0.02	13.45

Baker Mayfield: Making major improvements over his 2019 campaign, Mayfield set a career high in passer rating (95.9) and a career low in INT% (1.6%). Outside of a four-game stretch near the end of the season (Weeks 12-15), however, Mayfield's efficiency didn't translate into a usable level of fantasy production.

Mayfield performed as a QB1 (top 12) in all four of those weeks (Weeks 12-15), but he had only one other top-12 weekly finish throughout the rest of the season (Week 7). Over the full season, he finished as fantasy's QB17. Leading a run-first playoff-caliber team likely means another season of modest passing volume that translates into mid-tier QB2-level fantasy production.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Nick Chubb	268.1	1340.5	10.99	24.9	200	1.6	242.04
Kareem Hunt	138.4	602	4.64	40.3	343.9	2.7	158.78
Demetric Felton	16.4	70.5	0.41	7	50	0.4	20.41
D'Ernest Johnson	20.2	88.9	0.51	4	30	0.2	18.15
Andy Janovich	0.8	1.8	0	1.8	14	0.1	3.08

Nick Chubb: Despite missing four games, Chubb still finished as fantasy's RB9 in 2020. Chubb has finished second and third in rushing yards per game in 2019 and 2020, respectively. Through his first three seasons, Chubb has never averaged fewer than five yards per carry in a season.

Even with the league's best No. 2 back (Kareem Hunt) on the roster, Chubb has averaged 18.05 touches per game since Hunt returned from his 2019 suspension. Only four teams in the league had a higher rushing play percentage than the Browns in Kevin Stefanski's first year as head coach.

Kareem Hunt: While Chubb (RB9) was a top-10 fantasy running back in 2020, so was Hunt (RB10). Outside of Week 16, Hunt had double-digit touches in all of his other 15 games. Playing in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses, there is enough to go around for both Chubb and Hunt to be top-30 backs.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Odell Beckham	69	971.8	6.2	2.5	15	0.08	170.86
Jarvis Landry	71.9	819.9	5.4	3.8	20.9	0.15	153.33
Donovan Peoples-Jones	22.1	311.9	2.2	0	0	0	55.44
Rashard Higgins	21.4	309.9	2.1	0	0	0	54.29
Anthony Schwartz	4	62	0.5	0	0	0	11.2

Odell Beckham: OBJ has now missed at least four games in three of the past four seasons. Since becoming a Brown, Beckham has averaged 4.6 and 3.3 receptions per game in 2019 and 2020, respectively, both of which are the lowest per-game averages of his career. In addition, Beckham's per-game averages of 4.2/58.9/0.3 as a Brown are significantly lower compared to his per-game averages as a Giant (6.6/92.8/0.75).

Jarvis Landry: While he has typically exceeded his preseason expectations, Landry finished 2020 as fantasy's WR36, identical to his final 2020 half-PPR ADP (via Fantasy Football Calculator). Landry set career lows in targets (101) and receptions (72) last season and his yards from scrimmage (850) and total touchdowns (four) were either the lowest or second-lowest of his career. Given that those numbers were mostly without Odell Beckham Jr. (torn ACL), it's unlikely that Landry outperforms last year's modest numbers (by much) in Cleveland's run-first offense.

Donovan Peoples-Jones: People-Jones' has generated plenty of buzz over the past month. The Athletic's Zac Jackson writes that even if DPG is "not ready for an instant breakout in 2021, he's absolutely lighting up training camp." Peoples-Jones may be the team's third-best receiver, but it's questionable whether their run-first approach can really support two fantasy-viable receivers.

Rashard Higgins: Higgins' 2020 averages of 46.1 yards per game, 11.5 yards per target and 16.2 yards per reception all set career highs. That said, Cleveland's run-heavy offense can barely support two fantasy-relevant wide receivers, let alone three (or four), so Higgins will be off the fantasy radar in standard-sized leagues without an injury to OBJ and/or Landry.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Austin Hooper	49.2	493.9	3.9	97.39
Harrison Bryant	20.2	220	1.9	43.5
David Njoku	14.7	172	1.4	32.95

Austin Hooper: The team's overall passing volume is modest, but Cleveland's offense is TE-friendly with 27.74% of 2020 targets going to the position. Hooper, who has now missed three games in back-to-back seasons, underwhelmed in his first season in Cleveland as he averaged a career-low 6.2 Y/TGT and 33.5 YPG, a three-year low. With Odell Beckham sidelined (torn ACL), Hooper was more productive down the stretch -- 25/211/3 on 40 targets over his final five games including the playoffs. While OBJ will be back, coach Kevin Stefanski has talked about how Cleveland is "going to grow his role" in the offense in 2021.

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Sunday, August 8, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Cleveland Browns

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Cleveland Browns.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	516.6	327.5	3745.4	27.12	9.56	54.6	185.6	1.77	268.36
Case Keenum	33	20.8	229.4	1.24	0.66	1.3	4.2	0.02	13.36

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Nick Chubb	269.2	1346	11.04	24.7	198.7	1.6	242.66
Kareem Hunt	138.9	604.2	4.65	39.2	331.9	2.7	157.31
Demetric Felton	16.5	71	0.41	7	49.7	0.4	20.43
D'Ernest Johnson	20.3	89.3	0.51	4	29.8	0.2	18.17
Andy Janovich	0.8	1.8	0	1.7	13.9	0.1	3.02

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Odell Beckham	68.8	963.9	6.1	2.5	15	0.08	169.37
Jarvis Landry	71.4	814.8	5.5	3.8	20.9	0.15	153.17
Rashard Higgins	21.8	318	2.1	0	0	0	55.3
Donovan Peoples-Jones	19	274.3	1.9	0	0	0	48.33
Anthony Schwartz	4	63.6	0.5	0	0	0	11.36
KhaDarel Hodge	0.5	6	0	0	0	0	0.85

Rashard Higgins: Higgins' 2020 averages of 46.1 yards per game, 11.5 yards per target and 16.2 yards per reception all set career highs. That said, Cleveland's run-heavy offense can barely support two fantasy-relevant wide receivers, let alone three, so Higgins will be off the fantasy radar in standard-sized leagues without an injury to OBJ and/or Landry.

Donovan Peoples-Jones: People-Jones' has generated plenty of buzz during camp. The Athletic's Zac Jackson writes that even if DPG is "not ready for an instant breakout in 2021, he's absolutely lighting up training camp."

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Austin Hooper	49.8	498.8	3.9	98.18
Harrison Bryant	20.9	228.6	1.9	44.71
David Njoku	14.6	172.9	1.4	32.99
Stephen Carlson	0.9	9.9	0.1	2.04

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Saturday, July 31, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Cleveland Browns

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Cleveland Browns.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	530.3	334.9	3887.1	27.84	9.81	54.6	185.6	1.77	276.4
Case Keenum	19.2	12.1	135.4	0.72	0.38	1.3	4.2	0.02	8.08

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Nick Chubb	269.2	1346	11.04	24.6	201.1	1.6	242.85
Kareem Hunt	134.6	572.1	4.44	39	335.9	2.7	153.14
Demetric Felton	17.8	76.5	0.45	6.9	50.3	0.4	21.23
D'Ernest Johnson	22.9	100.8	0.57	4	30.2	0.2	19.72
Andy Janovich	1.3	2.9	0.01	1.7	14.1	0.1	3.21

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Odell Beckham	67.7	955.3	6.1	2.5	12.5	0.08	167.71
Jarvis Landry	72	834.7	5.6	3.8	18.1	0.15	155.78
Rashard Higgins	26.9	382.1	2.6	0	0	0	67.26
Donovan Peoples-Jones	9.5	156.9	1.1	0	0	0	27.04
Anthony Schwartz	6.1	110.6	0.6	0	0	0	17.71
KhaDarel Hodge	0.9	10.1	0.1	0	0	0	2.06

Rashard Higgins: Higgins' 2020 averages of 46.1 yards per game, 11.5 yards per target and 16.2 yards per reception all set career highs. That said, Cleveland's run-heavy offense can barely support two fantasy-relevant wide receivers, let alone three, so Higgins will be off the fantasy radar in standard-sized leagues without an injury to OBJ and/or Landry.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Austin Hooper	51.4	524.9	4.1	102.79
Harrison Bryant	21.7	241.4	2	46.99
David Njoku	13.7	164.9	1.4	31.74
Stephen Carlson	0.9	10.1	0.1	2.06

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Friday, June 4, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Cleveland Browns

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Cleveland Browns.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	530.3	334.6	3897.7	27.84	9.81	54.6	185.6	1.77	276.83
Case Keenum	19.2	12.1	135.4	0.72	0.38	1.3	4.2	0.02	8.08

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Nick Chubb	279.3	1396.5	11.45	24.3	242	1.6	254.3
Kareem Hunt	127	539.8	4.19	36.4	373.1	2.5	149.63
Demetric Felton	17.8	76.5	0.45	8.7	80.7	0.6	26.37
D'Ernest Johnson	20.3	89.3	0.51	4.3	40.3	0.2	19.37
Andy Janovich	1.3	2.9	0.01	1.7	20.2	0.1	3.82

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jarvis Landry	71.9	816.7	5.6	3.8	18.1	0.15	153.93
Odell Beckham	65	826.8	5.9	2.5	12.5	0.08	152.31
Rashard Higgins	26.9	363	2.6	0	0	0	65.35
Donovan Peoples-Jones	13	201.7	1.4	0	0	0	35.07
Anthony Schwartz	6.1	121	0.6	0	0	0	18.75
KhaDarel Hodge	0.9	10.1	0.1	0	0	0	2.06

Odell Beckham: While Beckham should be ready for the start of the 2021 season, he tore his ACL in Week 7 last year and has now missed at least four games in three of the past four seasons. Since becoming a Brown, Beckham has averaged 4.6 and 3.3 receptions per game in 2019 and 2020, respectively, both of which are the lowest per-game averages of his career. In addition, Beckham's per-game averages of 4.2/58.9/0.3 as a Brown are significantly lower compared to his per-game averages as a Giant (6.6/92.8/0.75).

Rashard Higgins: Higgins' 2020 averages of 46.1 yards per game, 11.5 yards per target and 16.2 yards per reception all set career highs. That said, Cleveland's run-heavy offense can barely support two fantasy-relevant wide receivers, let alone three, so Higgins will be off the fantasy radar in standard-sized leagues without an injury to OBJ and/or Landry.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Austin Hooper	52	524.3	4.1	103.03
Harrison Bryant	21.7	242	2	47.05
David Njoku	13	161.3	1.4	31.03
Stephen Carlson	0.9	10.1	0.1	2.06

Austin Hooper: While the team's overall passing volume is modest, Cleveland's passing offense is TE-friendly with 27.74% of 2020 targets going to the position.

Hooper, who has now missed three games in back-to-back seasons, underwhelmed in his first season in Cleveland. Hooper's 33.5 YPG and 9.5 Y/R were the second-lowest outside of his rookie season. Although Odell Beckham was sidelined with a torn ACL, Hooper was more productive down the stretch -- 25/211/3 on 40 targets over his final five games including the playoffs.

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Saturday, December 5, 2020

Week 13 Fantasy Football Half-PPR RB Rankings

Most leagues begin their postseason in Week 14, so it's time for fantasy managers to make their final push to make the playoffs or to improve their seeding. If you drafted Jacksonville Jaguars running back James Robinson, there's a good chance that you're making the playoffs.

The UDFA out of Illinois State has been one of the biggest surprises in the 2020 NFL season. Entering the season as a sleeper, Robinson was the RB62 in terms of Yahoo! ADP and currently ranks fourth in fantasy points scored (across scoring formats).

There are so many interesting aspects to his remarkable rookie performance, but since pulling off an upset in their season opener, the Jags have lost 10 straight. While a few of those losses have been closer lately, the versatile running back has been unaffected by negative game scripts.

Robinson has a minimum of 25 touches in four of his past five games and the exception was a 19-touch outing in a 24-point loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11.

As the Jags enter the week as nearly a double-digit road underdog, there is little concern for the must-start back. In the team's double-digit losses (five games), Robinson has averaged 4.2/33.6/0.4 receiving on 5.0 targets per game. (The average drops to 2.5/18.7/0.0 on 3.7 targets per game in others.)

Back-to-back rushing titles for Derrick Henry?

One year after winning the rushing title, Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry has been even better in 2020.

Averaging a career-high 114.3 rushing yards per game and leading the NFL in rushing, Henry had 27 carries for 178 yards and three touchdowns in a "difficult" matchup against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 12.

Henry now has 100-plus rushing yards in each of his past three games and seven of 11 games this season. With 20-plus touches in all but one game this season, no running back has more 20-touch games than Henry (10).

Obviously, Henry is matchup-proof, but the Cleveland Browns have allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs and the 10th-fewest yards per carry (4.09) to the position. The Titans are one of just three teams with an implied total of at least 30 points this week.

Three elite RBs in TEN-CLE game

The Titans-Browns game doesn't feature just one elite running back. The Browns have one (or two?) as well.

Since returning from his knee injury, Nick Chubb has rushed for 100-plus yards in three consecutive games. While he has only played in five games this season, Chubb now has five 100-yard games.

Despite missing four games, no running back has more 20-yard runs than Chubb (10). In fact, Henry (eight) is the only other player with more than six.

Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt is a high-end RB2 in this matchup as well.

Typically more involved than Chubb as a receiver (although not last week), Hunt has double-digit carries in all 11 games this season. Both Chubb (719) and Hunt (706) rank among the top-10 leading rushers in the NFL.

In the three games since Chubb has returned, Hunt has 42/177/1 rushing and 4/38 receiving on seven targets.

Reversing roles in New Orleans?

The Drew Brees injury has had opposite impacts on New Orleans Saints running backs Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray.

With exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons, Kamara looked certain to smash that mark in 2020. Since Taysom Hill has taken over as the starter, however, Kamara has one catch for (minus) two yards on three targets in two games. In addition, he has only 24/99/1 rushing over those two games.

In games that Brees has started, Kamara was a top-13 fantasy running back every week. With Hill, he's been the RB22 and RB37, respectively.

On the other hand, Murray has seen a boost in his production. Exploding for 19/124/2 rushing, Murray was the RB3 in Week 12 after finishing as the RB26 in Week 11.

Part of the reason that Kamara had fewer touches in Week 12 was the fact that the Saints dominated the quarterback-less Denver Broncos in their 31-3 win.

Assuming the game is closer this week, Kamara should be more involved than Murray. But unfortunately for Kamara owners, target share (and his floor) will likely be low (lower than usual) again. Meanwhile, Murray is a viable back-end RB2/flex.

Bench Zeke in Week 13?

Over the past six weeks, you would have been served well by benching Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott.

During that stretch, here's the weekly finish for Zeke: RB28, RB40, RB30, RB30, RB4 and RB58, respectively.

Elliott has exceeded 51 rushing yards in only two of his past six games and he has no more than three targets (or two receptions) in five consecutive games.

In a difficult matchup against the Baltimore Ravens, the range of outcomes for one of the league's best backs is extremely wide. While he may not be straight "sit'em" in our Week 13 Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em, he's a "bust alert."

Antonio Gibson: Top 10 back this week and rest of way?

Washington Football Team rookie running back Antonio Gibson has become a must-start.

Over his past five games, the hybrid (WR/RB) from Memphis has finished as a top-12 fantasy running back every week. During that five-game stretch, Gibson has scored (at least once) every week and racked up a total of 402 rushing yards and eight touchdowns with 13 catches for 86 yards.

In Week 12, Gibson had a season-high seven targets. Although he has been involved as a receiver with three-plus catches in seven of nine games, the volume of targets that went to J.D. McKissic has been one source of frustration for those that roster Gibson.

(McKissic had 29 total targets in Weeks 9 and 10.)

If the explosive playmaker continues to see his passing-game role expand, Gibson can remain a weekly RB1 for fantasy owners down the stretch.

In fact, Gibson currently sits inside the top 10 of our rest-of-season running back rankings.

The table below lists our fantasy running back rankings for Week 13 using half-PPR scoring.

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Saturday, November 14, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Kareem Hunt is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting running backs.

Then again, Hunt may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Alvin Kamara, James Robinson and Hunt and can only start two running backs, you should start Kamara and Robinson and, in turn, bench Hunt.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at GB)

In Jacksonville's post-Leonard Fournette era, it would be easy to make the case for Robinson as fantasy football's MVP this season. The undrafted rookie out of Illinois State, Robinson currently ranks fourth among running backs in fantasy points scored (all scoring formats).

Even better, he has been a consistent performer. Robinson has finished as an RB1 (top-12 fantasy running back) in five of eight games. Not only does he have a minimum of 16 touches in every game this season, but he has a massive 51 combined touches in the past two games. That volume has helped him turn in two of his three top-three weekly finishes in his two most recent games.

Surprisingly enough, Robinson was held catchless on two targets in Week 9, but he had a minimum of four receptions in each of his previous five games. In a game against the Green Bay Packers where the Jags are two-TD underdogs, Robinson's role as a pass-catcher allows him to maintain a solid floor even if game script works against potential rushing volume.

On another positive note, the Packers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. No team has allowed a higher rushing TD% to opposing running backs than the Packers (5.71%) and only the Patriots have allowed a higher catch rate to running backs (88.57%).

Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals (vs. BUF)

The efficiency wasn't what fantasy owners wanted, but the volume was. With Kenyan Drake sidelined, the Cardinals force-fed Edmonds a total of 28 touches -- 25 carries and three receptions -- in their narrow loss to the Dolphins. Despite averaging only 2.8 yards per carry and 6.0 yards per catch, Edmonds still finished the week as fantasy's RB21 (half-PPR scoring).

Because of his high level of efficiency before Week 9, Edmonds had finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in four of his first seven games despite averaging only 7.86 touches during that stretch. As of this writing, Drake is considered to be a "game-time decision" for Sunday's game against the Bills.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers (vs. TB)

The matchup isn't great, as the Bucs have allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, but the injury to Christian McCaffrey once again gives Davis the potential for a massive workload. Davis averaged 18.83 touches over six games when CMC was sidelined. Even including games where McCaffrey was active, Davis has six games with at least five catches including an 8/74 receiving line in relief of McCaffrey in Tampa back in Week 2.

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (vs. HOU)

At this point, it appears that Nick Chubb (knee) will return from IR on Sunday. Either way, Hunt's fantasy outlook remains high. In four games to start the season where the duo was active, Hunt finished as the weekly RB26, RB5, RB20 and RB11, respectively.

Houston has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season. Over their past five games, they have allowed four running backs to finish as a weekly top-four producer -- Dalvin Cook (RB2, Week 4), Derrick Henry (RB1, Week 6), Jamaal Williams (RB4, Week 7) and James Robinson (RB3, Week 9) -- and a total of six top-10 fantasy running backs this season.

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (at ARI)

Singletary has scored single-digit fantasy points in five consecutive games and is coming off a season-low five touches in Week 9. The second-year back has finished as the weekly RB34 or worse in four of the past five games.

Now that Zack Moss is again healthy, the rookie has double-digit touches in three consecutive games and Moss (35) has more touches than Singletary (30) over that span. Not only is he losing the usage battle to Moss, but Singletary is averaging an inefficient 4.06 YPC this season. Low volume plus inefficiency equals a seat at the end of my fantasy bench.

Rex Burkhead and Damien Harris, New England Patriots (vs. BAL)

The duo of Burkhead and Harris combined for 29 touches on Monday Night Football, but you can safely bench all Patriots running backs this week. In a difficult matchup against Baltimore, there's a good chance that the 3-5 Patriots won't benefit from positive game script on Sunday night.

The Ravens have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Not only is Cam Newton (eight rushing touchdowns) a potential touchdown vulture, there may not be many opportunities either way as the Patriots are currently tied for the week's lowest implied total.

Wayne Gallman, New York Giants (vs. PHI)

Perhaps I'm under-selling Gallman's fantasy usefulness, as the former Clemson Tiger has scored in three consecutive games and has finished as the RB14, RB16 and RB6 over the past three weeks, respectively. And the first of that list (RB14) was against the this week's opponent. In that game, however, Gallman averaged just 3.4 YPC (10 carries for 34 yards). Technically, that is a little better than what the Eagles have allowed on running back carries (3.39 YPC allowed) this season.

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Saturday, October 24, 2020

Fantasy Football Start'Em, Sit'Em: Week 7 RBs

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Giovani Bernard is listed below as a "start" for Week 7. And we'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 7 with him as one of our starting running backs.

Then again, Bernard may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Derrick Henry, James Conner and Bernard, you should start Henry and Conner and, in turn, bench Bernard.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check it our Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (at CIN)

Hunt has finished as a top-five fantasy running back once this season (Week 2 against the Bengals). In that game, backfield mate Nick Chubb finished as the week's RB3 with 22/124/2 rushing. Hunt also scored a pair of touchdowns -- one rushing and one receiving -- as he totaled 101 scrimmage yards on 12 touches. With Chubb out this week, Hunt is set up for a monster week and currently sits inside our top four fantasy running backs for the week.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers (at NO)

Christian McCaffrey who? Of course, CMC is one of the most talented backs in the NFL, but the Panthers have not missed a beat with Davis filling in for the team's stud running back.

Davis has a minimum of 20 touches and a touchdown in each of the past four weeks as the starter. In addition, Davis has a minimum of eight receptions in three of his past five games with a total of 32 catches during that span. In fact, the other top back (Alvin Kamara, 38) in this game is the only running back to haul in more receptions than Davis this season.

Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at LV)

Even though Leonard Fournette has practiced in full this week, Tampa's backfield clearly belongs to Jones. The third-year back now has a three-game 100-yard streak and currently ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing (472). While he has been a workhorse with 20-plus touches in three consecutive games as well, RoJo has been efficient with an average of 4.87 yards per carry this season.

To help Jones' cause, he gets a favorable matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season. Counting rush attempts by only running backs, the Raiders have allowed 5.21 YPC (third-most) and a rushing touchdown percentage of 7.29% (most) to the position.

Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. CLE)

Whether or not you owned Joe Mixon, who has been ruled out this week, Bernard is a viable plug-and-play option at RB2 off the waiver wire. The Browns have surrendered only 3.81 YPC to running backs, but they have allowed seven rushing touchdowns on 116 carries (6.03%, third-most) to the position.

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Le'Veon Bell, Kansas City Chiefs (at DEN)

It's certainly possible that Bell becomes the 1(a) to Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 1(b) at some point this season. That said, it's more likely that the roles to begin Bell's Kansas City tenure see him as the No. 2 -- not even the 1(b) -- to CEH initially. The first-round rookie currently ranks second in the NFL in rushing (505) and is a talented receiver out of the backfield. Taking a wait-and-see approach with Bell figures to be the most prudent approach. In additionn, the Broncos have been the league's stingiest defense to opposing running backs this season.

Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams (vs. CHI)

Henderson is off to a great start. Through six weeks, the second-year back has three RB1 (top-12) weekly performances and another RB2 (top-24) performance. With 14 or more touches in four of the past five weeks, Henderson has averaged 87.6 yards from scrimmage per game with a total of four touchdowns during that span.

While Cam Akers (surprisingly) played only one snap last week, there is (the potential for) a three-headed backfield with Henderson, Malcolm Brown and Akers. Given that the Bears have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, Henderson is more of a flex option than a must-start RB2 this week.

Adrian Peterson, Detroit Lions (at ATL)

Peterson has scored in back-to-back games, but he rushed for 40 or less yards in each of those games. With a limited role as a receiver (seven targets in five games), Peterson was out-touched and outperformed by rookie D'Andre Swift last week. Swift rushed 14 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns and added three catches for seven yards.

While the matchup against the Falcons is favorable, it's Swift, not Peterson, that ranks insde our top 20 fantasy running backs for the week. Averaging only 4.13 YPC this season, Peterson is likely to continue to cede more rushing work to Swift, who has four-plus targets in four of five games this season.

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Week 6 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

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Friday, June 4, 2021

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Saturday, December 5, 2020

Back-to-back rushing titles for Derrick Henry?

Three elite RBs in TEN-CLE game

Reversing roles in New Orleans?

Bench Zeke in Week 13?

Antonio Gibson: Top 10 back this week and rest of way?

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Week 10 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Saturday, October 24, 2020

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Week 7 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

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