The Daily Blitz: Chase Edmonds

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Thursday, August 31, 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	544.1	338.7	3808.7	23.4	15.23	47.9	167.7	1.92	243.78
Kyle Trask	47.3	28.6	326.4	1.84	1.66	8.7	20.9	0.26	20.75

Baker Mayfield: After Tom Brady's (second) retirement, the Bucs find themselves in the unenviable position of having to start Mayfield, who beat out Kyle Trask but is on his fourth team in the past 18 months. The former No. 1 overall draft pick completed only 60% of his pass attempts in 2022 for 2,163 yards (6.5 Y/A), 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions over 12 games. While he's clearly undraftable in standard (one-QB) leagues, he downgrades the outlook for all of the team's pass catchers.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Rachaad White	202.3	839.5	5.16	45	330.8	1.9	181.89
Chase Edmonds	60.9	268	1.58	18.4	128.2	0.7	62.5
Ke'Shawn Vaughn	56.6	240.6	1.47	8.6	72.4	0.4	46.82
Sean Tucker	53.5	230.1	1.42	4.6	35.1	0.2	38.54

Rachaad White: Once the Buccaneers released Leonard Fournette, who is still a free agent, White immediately moved atop the team's 2023 depth chart. As a 2022 rookie, he had 129 carries for 481 yards (only 3.7 YPC) and a touchdown in addition to 50 receptions for 290 yards and two touchdowns. His best game as a runner (22/105) was coincidentally against the Seattle Seahawks and his new offensive coordinator Dave Canales, who was Seattle's quarterbacks coach last year.

Chase Edmonds: Playing for both the Dolphins and Broncos in 2022, it was a highly disappointing campaign for Edmonds. While he had only 16 catches last season, Edmonds will have a chance to bounce back in that category as he had a combined 96 catches in the previous two seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Chris Godwin	80.8	971.7	5.7	3.7	16.7	0.19	174.58
Mike Evans	70	1002.8	6.5	0	0	0	174.28
Trey Palmer	28.3	339.1	2	0	0	0	60.06
Deven Thompkins	24.8	287.4	1.8	1.5	10.5	0.06	53.35
Rakim Jarrett	18	210.9	1.3	0	0	0	37.89

Chris Godwin: Godwin has missed multiple games in each of the past four seasons. While he set a career high in targets (142) and receptions (104) in 2022 and has reached the 1,000-yard mark in three of his past four seasons, he set a career low in Y/R (9.8) and his three touchdowns were a non-rookie career low. The downgrade at quarterback from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield will impact Godwin, Mike Evans and the team's passing offense overall.

Mike Evans: Evans extended his 1,000-yard streak to his first nine NFL seasons, which beat his own record in 2022. While the targets (127), receptions (77), yards (1,124) and Y/R (14.6) all look good, he had only six touchdowns, a five-year low, and he wasn't consistent throughout the season. A monster Week 17 game (20/207/3) against Carolina ended an 11-game scoring drought (Weeks 5-16). Evans exceeded 59 yards only once from Weeks 9-16. Even if he extends his 1,000-yard streak, there could be plenty of ups and downs throughout the course of the season given the quarterback downgrade.

Trey Palmer: Russell Gage is out for the season, and Palmer is in the mix to be the team's WR3. Especially in a less-potent 2023 Buccaneers offense, the third receiver likely won't be fantasy-relevant outside of deep leagues, but Palmer (or Deven Thompkins or Rakim Jarrett) will at least be a name to monitor.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Cade Otton	43	479.7	3	87.47
Ko Kieft	18.4	194.3	1.3	36.43
Payne Durham	5.9	64.1	0.4	11.76
David Wells	1.7	18.6	0.1	3.31

Cade Otton: Otton had 42 catches for 391 yards and two touchdowns on 65 targets as a rookie in 2022 and he had four catches for 58 yards on seven targets in their playoff loss to the Cowboys. Even if his numbers are better in his second season, he's not much more than a fantasy TE2 in 2023.

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Sunday, July 23, 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Baker Mayfield	471.2	292.1	3322	20.26	13.19	41.6	145.6	1.66	212.06
Kyle Trask	117.8	69.5	812.8	4.59	4.12	15.3	38.3	0.61	50.12

Baker Mayfield: After Tom Brady's (second) retirement, the Bucs find themselves in the unenviable position of having to choose between Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask. Even though Tampa hasn't officially named the starter, it's likely going to be Mayfield, who is on his fourth team in the past 18 months. Mayfield completed 60% of his pass attempts in 2022 for 2,163 yards (6.5 Y/A), 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions over 12 games.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Rachaad White	212.3	881	5.41	45.2	341.1	1.9	188.67
Chase Edmonds	87.5	385	2.28	23.7	177.8	1	87.81
Ke'Shawn Vaughn	52.5	223.1	1.37	6.9	53.8	0.2	40.56
Sean Tucker	23.2	97.4	0.6	4	31	0.2	19.64

Rachaad White: With the Buccaneers releasing Leonard Fournette, who is still a free agent, White enters 2023 atop the team's depth chart. As a 2022 rookie, he had 129 carries for 481 yards (only 3.7 YPC) and a touchdown in addition to 50 receptions for 290 yards and two touchdowns. His best game as a runner (22/105) was against the Seattle Seahawks and his new offensive coordinator Dave Canales, who was Seattle's quarterbacks coach last year.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Chris Godwin	79.6	971.7	5.6	3.7	16.7	0.19	173.38
Mike Evans	68.9	1002.7	6.4	0	0	0	173.12
Russell Gage	51.5	605.7	3.7	0	0	0	108.52
Deven Thompkins	9.9	122	0.7	1.5	10.5	0.06	22.76
David Moore	7.2	97.2	0.6	0	0	0	16.92
Trey Palmer	5.8	76.5	0.5	0	0	0	13.55

Chris Godwin: Godwin has missed multiple games in each of the past four seasons. While he set a career high in targets (142) and receptions (104) in 2022 and has reached the 1,000-yard mark in three of his past four seasons, he set a career low in Y/R (9.8) and his three touchdowns were a non-rookie career low. The downgrade at quarterback from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield (or Kyle Trask) will impact Godwin, Mike Evans and the team's passing offense overall.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Cade Otton	42.3	479.6	2.9	86.51
Ko Kieft	14.5	153	1	28.55
Payne Durham	2.2	22.7	0.1	3.97

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Tuesday, September 6, 2022

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	535	357.4	3798.5	23.27	10.43	54.5	158.1	3.27	259.59
Teddy Bridgewater	46.5	31.5	337.1	1.81	0.86	6.1	21.4	0.31	23

Tua Tagovailoa: This is shaping up to be a make-or-break season for Tua. With the team trading for Tyreek Hill and signing Terron Armstead, a lack of significant improvement could put the team in the market for a first-round quarterback in 2023. Even if the Dolphins employ a more run-focused offense under Mike McDaniel, Tagovailoa, at a minimum, should post better year-over-year stats given the much improved supporting cast.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Chase Edmonds	139.8	650.1	3.84	45.9	339.1	2.1	157.51
Raheem Mostert	161.9	777.1	5.67	16.5	132.3	0.9	138.61
Myles Gaskin	55.9	226.4	1.12	6.8	49.6	0.2	38.92
Salvon Ahmed	31.4	128.7	0.63	2.5	18.6	0.1	20.36
Alec Ingold	1.2	2.6	0.01	4.3	31	0.2	6.77

Chase Edmonds: The Dolphins have a new-look backfield with the additions of Edmonds and Raheem Mostert atop the depth chart. The former Cardinal has averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in each of the past three seasons with a total of 96 catches for 713 yards over the past two seasons.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert follows McDaniel from San Francisco and has made the most of his opportunities, when healthy. The problem, of course, is that durability has eluded him. Mostert missed almost all of 2021 with a knee injury and played just eight games in 2020. If he's able to stay healthy for (close to) a full season, he should outperform his ADP.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyreek Hill	88.7	1108.3	7.3	8.9	66.8	0.45	208.36
Jaylen Waddle	87.5	951.2	5.7	5.1	23	0.26	176.93
Cedrick Wilson	43.8	488	2.8	1.2	4.8	0.03	88.16
Trent Sherfield	13	155.1	0.9	0	0	0	27.41
Erik Ezukanma	8.2	99.3	0.7	0	0	0	18.23
Tanner Conner	1	10.3	0.1	0	0	0	2.13

Tyreek Hill: Tua Tagovailoa is a winner following Hill's trade to Miami, but that's not the case for Hill given the quarterback downgrade from Patrick Mahomes. Hill set a career high in receptions (111) last year with a non-rookie low in Y/R (11.2). Instead of being in the mix to be the first receiver off the board in fantasy drafts, Hill becomes a solid mid-tier WR1 option for fantasy managers.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle (somewhat quietly) had a very impressive 2021 season with a rookie-record 104 receptions, as he went over the 1,000-yard mark and scored a total of seven touchdowns. It's unlikely that his 2022 numbers will be much better than they were in his rookie season with Hill in town (and there's a decent chance his numbers decline a bit), but he'll be a solid WR2 in both fantasy and real life.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	51.3	566.6	3.3	102.11
Durham Smythe	14.2	132.3	0.7	24.53
Hunter Long	3.3	35.2	0.2	6.37
Cethan Carter	1.9	18.6	0.1	3.41

Mike Gesicki: One of my favorite fantasy tight ends going into last season, Gesicki's 2022 outlook isn't as rosy with the team trading for Tyreek Hill and a new coaching staff that has a run-centric focus. (In fact, the team has reportedly brought up his name to other teams.) The athletic tight end projects to be third in line, at best, for targets behind Hill and second-year receiver Jaylen Waddle. Fantasy managers should expect plenty of week-to-week volatility from Gesicki, even if his final numbers are close to last year's production.

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Sunday, August 14, 2022

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	535	357.4	3798.5	23.27	10.43	54.5	158.1	3.27	259.59
Teddy Bridgewater	46.5	31.5	337.1	1.81	0.86	6.1	21.4	0.31	23

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Chase Edmonds	116.5	541.7	3.2	45.9	339.1	2.1	142.83
Raheem Mostert	125.8	603.8	4.72	16.5	132.3	0.9	115.58
Sony Michel	131.6	546.1	4.28	10.1	74.4	0.5	95.78
Myles Gaskin	16.3	66	0.33	6.8	49.6	0.2	18.14
Alec Ingold	1.2	2.6	0.01	4.3	31	0.2	6.77

Chase Edmonds: The Dolphins have a new-look backfield with the additions of Edmonds, Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel, but the team gave Edmonds the largest contract and he's likely to be Miami's most productive fantasy back in 2022 even if he ranks third in carries. The former Cardinal has averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in each of the past three seasons and has a total of 96 catches for 713 yards over the past two seasons.

Sony Michel: Michel toted the rock a league-high 129 times in the final six regular-season games (Weeks 13-18) for the Rams last season as he rushed for 540 yards and three touchdowns. While Michel enters the season behind Edmonds and Mostert on the depth chart, there could be an opportunity for him to become an early-down workhorse if/when Mostert misses time.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyreek Hill	88.7	1108.3	7.3	8.9	66.8	0.45	208.36
Jaylen Waddle	88.1	965.7	5.6	4	18	0.2	177.22
Cedrick Wilson	36	413.6	2.5	1.2	4.8	0.03	75.02
Trent Sherfield	13	159.2	0.9	0	0	0	27.82
Erik Ezukanma	7.8	93.1	0.6	0	0	0	16.81
Preston Williams	2.9	35.2	0.2	0	0	0	6.17

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle (somewhat quietly) had a very impressive 2021 season with a rookie-record 104 receptions, as he went over the 1,000-yard mark and scored a total of seven touchdowns. It's unlikely that his 2022 numbers will be much better than they were in his rookie season with Hill in town, but he'll be a solid WR2 in both fantasy and real life.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	51.3	566.6	3.2	101.51
Durham Smythe	14.2	132.3	0.7	24.53
Hunter Long	3.3	35.2	0.2	6.37

Mike Gesicki: One of my favorite fantasy tight ends going into last season, Gesicki's 2022 outlook isn't as rosy with the team trading for Tyreek Hill and a new coaching staff that has a run-centric focus. The athletic tight end projects to be third in line for targets behind Hill and second-year receiver Jaylen Waddle. Fantasy managers should expect plenty of week-to-week volatility from Gesicki, even if the final numbers are close to last year's production.

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Sunday, July 24, 2022

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	535	357.4	3798.5	23.27	10.43	54.5	158.1	3.27	259.59
Teddy Bridgewater	46.5	31.5	337.1	1.81	0.86	6.1	21.4	0.31	23

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Chase Edmonds	116.5	541.7	3.2	44.7	330.8	2	140.8
Raheem Mostert	130.4	625.9	4.89	17.1	138.5	0.9	119.73
Sony Michel	127	527.1	4.13	10.7	80.6	0.6	94.5
Myles Gaskin	16.3	66	0.33	7.4	55.8	0.2	19.06
Alec Ingold	1.2	2.6	0.01	4.7	35.2	0.2	7.39

Chase Edmonds: The Dolphins have a new-look backfield with the additions of Edmonds, Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel, but the team gave Edmonds the largest contract and he's likely to be Miami's most productive fantasy back in 2022. The former Cardinal has averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in each of the past three seasons and has a total of 96 catches for 713 yards over the past two seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyreek Hill	89.4	1116.6	7.4	9.3	69.8	0.47	210.56
Jaylen Waddle	86.5	949.1	5.5	3.5	15.8	0.18	173.82
Cedrick Wilson	35.2	405.3	2.4	1.2	4.8	0.03	73.19
Trent Sherfield	13	159.2	0.9	0	0	0	27.82
Erik Ezukanma	7.8	93.1	0.6	0	0	0	16.81
Preston Williams	2.9	35.2	0.2	0	0	0	6.17

Tyreek Hill: Tua Tagovailoa is a winner following Hill's trade to Miami, but that's not the case for Hill given the quarterback downgrade from Patrick Mahomes. Hill set a career high in receptions (111) last year and a non-rookie low in Y/R (11.2). Instead of being in the mix to be the first receiver off the board in fantasy drafts, Hill becomes a solid mid-tier WR1 option for fantasy managers.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle (somewhat quietly) had a very impressive 2021 season with a rookie-record 104 receptions, as he went over the 1,000-yard mark and scored a total of seven touchdowns. It's unlikely that his 2022 numbers are much better than they were in his rookie season with Hill in town, but he'll be a solid WR2 in both fantasy and real life.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	48.6	537.6	3.1	96.66
Durham Smythe	13.6	126.1	0.6	23.01
Adam Shaheen	4.5	43.4	0.3	8.39
Hunter Long	2.7	28.9	0.2	5.44

Mike Gesicki: One of my favorite fantasy tight ends going into last season, Gesicki's 2022 outlook isn't as rosy with the team trading for Tyreek Hill and a new coaching staff that has a run-centric focus. The athletic tight end projects to be third in line for targets behind Hill and second-year receiver Jaylen Waddle. Fantasy managers should expect plenty of week-to-week volatility from Gesicki, even if the final numbers are close to last year's production.

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Friday, October 15, 2021

Arizona Cardinals Week 6 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

Throughout the 2021 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Here is where the Arizona Cardinals rank in terms of average, best and worst:

Average ranking: 1.4 (1st)
Best ranking: 1st (Multiple)
Worst ranking: 2nd (Multiple)

Below you will find a Week 6 roundup for the Cardinals in our consensus 2021 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 2

Most improved player: RB Chase Edmonds

How they've improved: The third-year running back was given a larger role this season, and he is not just embracing the opportunity, he is flourishing. Edmonds is the Cardinals' leading rusher and is on pace to smash his previous career high for yards in a season. With a big game or two, he could have a 1,000-yard season for the first time in his career. But Edmonds' game isn't limited to just carrying the ball. He spent the offseason working on his receiving skills, and it's paid off. He's tied for the team lead with 23 catches and has become a favorite target of quarterback Kyler Murray. -- Josh Weinfuss

NFL.com -- Rank: 2

Kyler Murray, Kliff Kingsbury and the offense get much of the headlines coming out of Arizona, but it was the Cardinals' defense that took the NFC West leaders to 5-0. The Cards held Trey Lance to 10 points in his NFL starting debut and stopped the 49ers on four of their five fourth-down attempts in a 17-10 win. The most dramatic of those stuffs came in the second quarter, when Lance scrambled toward the right pylon before slamming into a wall comprised of brick (Tanner Vallejo) and mortar (Isaiah Simmons). After the game, DeAndre Hopkins called it "championship football." Lance would probably describe it a different way.

CBS Sports -- Rank: 1

Winning ugly the way they did against the 49ers says a lot about this team. The offense wasn't as crisp, but the defense bailed them out. They have a tough one at Cleveland this week.

USA Today -- Rank: 1

The last time they were 5-0 was 1974, which is also the last time the Cards were the league's lone unbeaten team. Also noteworthy of this century-old franchise? It's broken from the gate 5-0 on four previous occasions, but those hot starts have never been followed by a postseason victory. Could that happen again? Arizona is currently clean, but this team hardly feels head and shoulders above the competition and has to prove it won't spiral into yet another second-half fade under coach Kliff Kingsbury.

The Athletic -- Rank: 1

Breakout player: Fantasy football production aside, this has been quite the start to the season for Chase Edmonds, whom the Cardinals believed could be their every-down running back. He's averaging 5.5 yards per carry (nearly a yard per carry above his career average) and has become an important part of the Cardinals' short passing game, with 26 targets in five games. Now we just need to see Edmonds get in the end zone (James Conner has five of the team's eight rushing touchdowns; quarterback Kyler Murray has the other three).

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Saturday, September 25, 2021

Week 3 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Ty'Son Williams is listed below as a "start" for Week 3. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 3 with him as my starting quarterback.

Then again, Williams may be a "sit" for your team.

As an example, if you own Derrick Henry, Chris Carson and Williams and start two running backs, you should start Henry and Carson and, in turn, bench Williams.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 3 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Ty'Son Williams, Baltimore Ravens (at DET)

More than a TD favorite on the road, the Ravens have the third-highest implied total this week. While Latavius Murray and Devonta Freeman will rotate as a part of a committee, Williams should lead the rotation as he's done through the first two weeks. In two games, Williams has 22 carries for 142 yards (6.5 YPC) and a touchdown in addition to to five receptions for 45 yards.

No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs this season than the Detroit Lions. Not only did Aaron Jones score four touchdowns against them last week, but Elijah Mitchell ran for 104 yards against them in Week 1.

Damien Harris, New England Patriots (vs. NO)

The matchup may not great on paper as the New Orleans Saints rank third in the NFL in rushing defense (66.0 YPG allowed) and ranked fourth (93.9) last season as well. That said, Harris has a total of 42 touches through two games and should get enough work to deliver mid-RB2 returns for his fantasy managers. In fact, only four running backs -- Derrick Henry (61), Christian McCaffrey (59), Joe Mixon (54) and Dalvin Cook (50) -- have more touches through Week 2 than Harris.

Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals (at JAX)

Edmonds enters Week 3 with two mid-RB2 weekly performances -- in fact, he was the RB18 both weeks (half-PPR scoring). Edmonds has yet to score a touchdown, but he has a total of 29 touches -- 20 rush attempts and nine receptions. Higher than some on Edmonds entering the season (Chase Edmonds preseason profile), my thought was his role as a receiver provided him a floor at his then ADP with upside for more. That's how I feel about him this week -- RB2 floor due to his receiving role with RB1 upside if he's able to find the end zone in a plus matchup with the second-highest implied total of the week.

Week 3 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (vs. WAS)

Singletary has been a pleasant surprise through the first two weeks of the season. Averaging 6.42 yards per carry, Singletary has scored the 16th-most running back fantasy points this season. Even with Zack Moss active in Week 2, Singletary had more touches in Week 2 (15) than he had in Week 1 (14).

That said, potential workload concerns for such a pass-happy team with a dual-threat quarterback that has led the team in rushing touchdowns over the past three-plus seasons still exist. In addition, the matchup is a tough one as WFT has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

Darrell Henderson/Sony Michel, Los Angeles Rams (vs. TB)

If Henderson is active, Michel would be a "sit." At this point, the Rams have "hope and optimism" that Henderson (ribs) will be able to play in Week 3.

That said, the Bucs have one of the league's best run defenses. They currently rank second in rushing YPG (57.5) allowed and third in YPC (3.0) allowed. They led the NFL in both categories (80.6 YPG, 3.6 YPC) in 2020. So far this season, they have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Regardless of who's active, all Rams running backs are outside of my top 24 in Week 3.

Kenyan Drake, Las Vegas Raiders (vs. MIA)

Going into the season, it seemed as though it would take an injury to Josh Jacobs for Drake to move into the RB2 range. With Jacobs out last week, it was Peyton Barber that handled much of the early-down work. With Jacobs sidelined in Week 2, Drake had only one more touch in Week 2 (12) than he had in Week 1 (11). That said, Barber had 13 touches in Week 2. Even with Jacobs doubtful for Week 3, Drake remains nothing more than a flex option against his former team.

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Saturday, August 21, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Arizona Cardinals

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Arizona Cardinals.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kyler Murray	575.3	384.9	4113.4	26.46	12.66	116	696	7.48	359.54
Colt McCoy	36.7	22.2	244.1	1.28	0.92	4.6	16.1	0.07	15.07

Kyler Murray: While Murray played all 16 games, shoulder and leg injuries slowed him a bit down the stretch. Even so, he finished his sophomore campaign as fantasy's QB2 (and was QB1 after Week 16). When healthy, Murray scored more than 20 fantasy points and finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 10 consecutive games to start the season. Heading into 2021, Murray will be a top-four option once again even if he hopes to run a little bit less.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Chase Edmonds	148.4	660.4	4.16	56	457.5	2.8	181.55
James Conner	153.1	650.7	4.59	23.8	191.7	1.2	130.88
Eno Benjamin	23.2	97.4	0.41	6.1	41.4	0.2	20.59
Jonathan Ward	4.6	19.1	0.07	1.6	13.1	0.1	5.04

Chase Edmonds: The former fourth-round pick out of Fordham has averaged 4.4 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per reception over his first three NFL seasons. With Kenyan Drake out and James Conner in, Edmonds' workload will almost certainly exceed the 150 touches he had in 2020. Given Edmonds' RB3/flex ADP, his draft-day cost seems priced fairly close to his floor, but there is plenty of upside as well.

MORE: Chase Edmonds 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

James Conner: Joining the Cardinals on a one-year deal, Conner will steal some early-down carries from Edmonds and could potentially be in a fairly even split. If he can stay healthy and earn a larger role, there is plenty of upside for Conner as well (as Edmonds).

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
DeAndre Hopkins	107.1	1261.5	7.4	0	0	0	224.1
Rondale Moore	55.4	570.8	3.7	12.8	78.1	0.38	117.07
Christian Kirk	51.9	612.2	3.9	1.2	7.5	0.02	111.44
A.J. Green	47.8	605.7	4	0	0	0	108.47
Keesean Johnson	5.7	65.4	0.6	0	0	0	12.99
Andy Isabella	2.8	39.2	0.4	0	0	0	7.72

DeAndre Hopkins: In his first season in Arizona, Hopkins tied a career high in receptions (115) and his 1,407 receiving yards were the third most of his career. Meanwhile, Stefon Diggs (166) was the only receiver with more targets than Hopkins (160). While his six touchdowns were a four-year low, Hopkins still finished as a top-five fantasy receiver in half-PPR/PPR formats. (Hopkins was WR9 in non-PPR.)

Rondale Moore: The Cards will look to manufacture touches for their dynamic rookie. Playing only seven games over the past two collegiate seasons, Moore was uber-productive as a true freshman in 2018 (114/1258/12 receiving and 21/213/2 rushing). It's certainly possible that Moore performs as Arizona's second-best receiver, but I have the trio of Moore, Christian Kirk and A.J. Green all bunched together in my projections.

Christian Kirk: With DeAndre Hopkins dominating targets, Kirk's targets dropped from 108 (8.31/G) in 2019 to 79 (5.64/G) in 2020. The vast majority of his fantasy production including all of his touchdowns occurred during a five-game stretch from Weeks 4-9 (20/343/6, 17.15 Y/R, WR7). While Larry Fitzgerald has not (officially) yet retired and says that he doesn't have the "urge to play right now", the team has signed A.J. Green and drafted Rondale Moore, which means that Kirk's 2021 numbers are unlikely to improve much from last season and may even decline. Kirk has missed multiple games in all three of his NFL seasons.

A.J. Green: After playing a total of nine games in 2018-19, Green played a full 16-game slate in 2020, but he set career lows in yards (523), Y/R (11.1), Y/TGT (5.0) and catch rate (45.2%). In addition, he had five goose-egg games and another with only a three-yard reception. Perhaps a change of scenery and a more potent offense will help his peripheral stats, but targets could be inconsistent given Hopkins target-hog status.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Maxx Williams	32.6	331.2	2.3	63.22
Darrell Daniels	13.2	135.1	1	26.11
Ross Travis	3.1	32.7	0.3	6.62

Maxx Williams: Despite being elevated to Arizona's TE1, Williams is off the fantasy radar outside of deep TE-premium leagues as the team's tight ends have a 10.9% target share in Kliff Kingsbury's two seasons as head coach.

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Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Chase Edmonds 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

The Arizona Cardinals gave nearly all of their 418 running back touches in 2020 to two backs -- Kenyan Drake (264, 63.16%) and Chase Edmonds (150, 35.89%) -- and one of them (Drake) is no longer on the roster.

A couple of weeks prior to the 2021 NFL Draft, the Cardinals gave James Conner a one-year deal for less than $2 million to fill part of the void created by Drake's departure.

Heading into the draft, a few analysts had linked the Cardinals to a first-round running back, but that would not have made much sense from a roster-construction standpoint, especially given that the franchise had only three picks in the first five rounds.

So, the net effect of losing Drake and adding Conner ultimately bodes well for Edmonds' 2021 fantasy outlook.

Prior to NFL free agency, Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury said the following of Edmonds (via PFT):

"As far as Chase goes, you've seen when he's had his opportunity, he's played at a starting running back level. We all understand that he's unfortunately been nicked up a couple times, which we want to keep him on the field. But we have all the confidence in the world in Chase and him being able to be the bell cow if that's how this plays out."

Fantasy managers shouldn't expect Edmonds to become a "bell cow," but he will most likely become the 1(a) to Conner's 1(b) given the relatively modest one-year deal that the Cardinals gave to Conner.

Conner has been efficient as a receiver (7.8 Y/R, 81.0% catch rate), but it's more likely that the Cardinals utilize him as an early-down complement to Edmonds similar to the way the Los Angeles Chargers will use an early-down complement for Austin Ekeler. In other words, I don't expect Edmonds to reach the 200-carry mark as the RB1(a) and it wouldn't be a surprise if Conner has more carries than Edmonds.

Even so, only six backs had more receptions than the Edmonds in 2020. At a minimum, he should hold serve on his role as a receiver while adding more rush attempts compared to last year's volume.

The workload gap between Edmonds and Conner won't be as large as it was between Drake and Edmonds last year, but I still project a healthy split in Edmonds' favor (57.9% to 42.1%).

When Edmonds has been on the field, he has been extremely efficient. Over the past two seasons in the current offense, Edmonds has averaged 4.78 YPC and 7.8 Y/R with 10 all-purpose touchdowns on 222 touches.

Arizona's offensive line ranks 11th in PFF's preseason offensive line rankings in general although they have generally performed better in pass protection than run blocking. That said, PFF notes that the Cardinals generated the third-highest EPA per play on runs last season (0.07).

Edmonds finished 2020 as fantasy's RB25 in PPR, RB28 in half-PPR and RB30 in non-PPR. Despite Drake's departure and the expected volume boost, Edmonds' ADPs remain in that same range.

Chase Edmonds Fantasy Football ADP

Based on scoring format, here are the current Fantasy Football ADPs for Chase Edmonds:

Scoring Format	Current ADP
Non-PPR Fantasy ADP	5.12 (RB28)
Half-PPR Fantasy Football ADP	5.08 (RB26)
PPR Fantasy Football ADP	5.10 (RB27)

Below is a chart of Chase Edmonds' half-PPR ADP over the past month:

Chase Edmonds Average Draft Position

[Source: ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.]

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)

Based on the cumulative fantasy points allowed in 2020 by their opponents this season, here are the ranks for Chase Edmonds and the Cardinals running backs rank in 2021 strength of schedule:

Scoring Format	Week 1-17 Rank	Week 15-17 Rank
Non-PPR Fantasy RB SOS	12th	3rd
Half-PPR Fantasy RB SOS	13th	T-3rd
PPR Fantasy RB SOS	13th	6th

+ MORE: Game-by-game Fantasy Football SOS for the Arizona Cardinals

Chase Edmonds Full-Season Projections

Here are our full-season projections for Edmonds:

Rush	RuYD	RuTD	Rec.	ReYD	ReTD	Fantasy Points
160	712	4.48	58	487.2	3.2	195

- Arizona Cardinals 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

- More Fantasy Football Projections

Bottom line

Relative value: Undervalued

As noted above, Edmonds 2021 ADP falls in line with his actual 2020 production. Increased volume may (or may not) lead to a reduction in efficiency, but an expanded workload should compensate for any potential decrease in efficiency. In other words, I feel that Edmonds is currently priced much closer to his floor than his ceiling. There is always the threat that Kyler Murray steals rushing opportunities from Edmonds (and/or Conner), but there's a good chance that you'll churn a profit if you can draft him as your RB3/flex.

More 2021 Fantasy Football Profiles

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Friday, July 23, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Arizona Cardinals

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Arizona Cardinals.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kyler Murray	572.2	382.8	4034	26.04	12.59	116	696	7.25	353.44
Colt McCoy	39.8	24.1	258.7	1.39	1	4.6	16.1	0.07	15.94

Kyler Murray: While Murray played all 16 games, shoulder and leg injuries slowed him a bit down the stretch. Even so, he finished his sophomore campaign as fantasy's QB2 (and was QB1 after Week 16). When healthy, Murray scored more than 20 fantasy points and finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 10 consecutive games to start the season. Heading into 2021, Murray will be a top-three option once again even if he hopes to run a little bit less.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Chase Edmonds	160	712	4.48	58	487.2	3.2	195
James Conner	139.1	591.2	4.17	19.3	154.5	1	115.24
Eno Benjamin	23.2	97.4	0.41	8.1	58	0.3	23.85
Jonathan Ward	7	29.1	0.11	2	17.2	0.1	6.89

Chase Edmonds: The former fourth-round pick has averaged 4.4 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per reception over his first three NFL seasons. With Kenyan Drake out and James Conner in, Edmonds should be Arizona's RB1 and has an opportunity to perform as a fantasy RB2 in 2021.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
DeAndre Hopkins	106.8	1214.8	7.3	0	0	0	218.68
Christian Kirk	54.9	622.4	4	1.2	7.5	0.02	114.56
A.J. Green	49.8	622.4	4.1	0	0	0	111.74
Rondale Moore	46.8	476.5	2.9	12.8	78.1	0.38	98.54
Keesean Johnson	6.3	79.4	0.6	0	0	0	14.69
Andy Isabella	5.9	75.1	0.7	0	0	0	14.66

Christian Kirk: With DeAndre Hopkins dominating targets, Kirk's targets dropped from 108 (8.31/G) in 2019 to 79 (5.64/G) in 2020. The vast majority of his fantasy production including all of his touchdowns occurred during a five-game stretch from Weeks 4-9 (20/343/6, 17.15 Y/R, WR7). While Larry Fitzgerald has not yet retired, the team has signed A.J. Green and drafted Rondale Moore, which means that Kirk's 2021 numbers are unlikely to improve much from last season and may even decline. Kirk has missed multiple games in all three of his NFL seasons.

Rondale Moore: The Cards will look to manufacture touches for their dynamic rookie. Playing only seven games over the past two years, Moore was uber-productive as a true freshman in 2018 (114/1258/12 receiving and 21/213/2 rushing).

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Maxx Williams	32.6	322	2	60.5
Darrell Daniels	13.2	128.8	0.9	24.88
Ross Travis	3.1	34.3	0.3	6.78

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Friday, October 15, 2021

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Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Chase Edmonds Fantasy Football ADP

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule (SOS)

Chase Edmonds Full-Season Projections

Bottom line

Friday, July 23, 2021

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