Showing posts with label Myles Gaskin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Myles Gaskin. Show all posts

Thursday, August 31, 2023

Minnesota Vikings 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kirk Cousins594.3392.84427.529.1213.0736113.41.26286.34
Nick Mullens37.924.7274.81.521.174.29.50.0916.22

Kirk Cousins: Reunited with his former Washington offensive coordinator, Cousins finished as fantasy's QB7 with Kevin O'Connell in his first year as his head coach. That said, Cousins was 11th on a points-per-game basis (among QBs that played at least half the year) as the veteran quarterback set multi-year lows in completion percentage (65.9%), TD% (4.5), yards per attempt (7.1) and passer rating (92.5) in 2022. With the Vikings using a first-round pick on Jordan Addison to complement Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson, Cousins remains a steady back-end QB1 type heading into 2023.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Alexander Mattison200.8843.46.1240.3291.52182.36
Ty Chandler94390.12.417.3124.60.879.32
Myles Gaskin55225.51.3210.275.20.546.09
Kene Nwangwu17.672.20.448.156.40.421.95
C.J. Ham4.214.70.121075.20.618.31

Alexander Mattison: Mattison is poised for a breakout season (or at least a significant bump in workload) with Dalvin Cook released earlier this offseason. The gap between RB1 (Mattison) and RB2 (Ty Chandler, or even Myles Gaskin) is wide enough that there is no real threat to his lead-back role. The fifth-year back has 90-plus rushing yards in five of the six games in which he has played more than 40 offensive snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Justin Jefferson116.51619.98.44.218.90.21273.79
Jordan Addison59.1733.65.13.2160.16136.07
K.J. Osborn49.1587.84.32.511.30.1110.86
Jalen Nailor11.3131.7100024.82
Brandon Powell9.8101.10.71.56.80.0620.25

Justin Jefferson: What more can Jefferson do? Not only has he improved his production in each successive season, but he broke Randy Moss's record for receiving yards through a player's first three seasons. During those three seasons, he's racked up a total of 324 receptions for 4,825 yards and 25 touchdowns.

Jordan Addison: With Justin Jefferson commanding so much defensive attention, Addison's landing spot is ideal for his ability to make an early impact. While he ran a slower-than-expected 40-yard dash (4.49) at the NFL Combine, the former Biletnikoff Award winner is a polished route-runner with some inside/outside versatility and the ability to win at all three levels.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
T.J. Hockenson68.1726.55.2000137.9
Josh Oliver10103.50.900020.75
Johnny Mundt6.561.10.600012.96
Nick Muse1.314.10.10002.66

T.J. Hockenson: Hockenson was traded midseason within the division, and he averaged 8.6 targets and six receptions per game after the trade to the Vikings. Despite the midseason trade, he finished as fantasy's TE2, but part of that was aided by two monster games — 8/179/2 for the Lions in Week 4 and 13/109/2 for the Vikings in Week 16. Other than those two huge games, he had double-digit (half-PPR) fantasy points in only two other games. An ear infection and back stiffness has led to lots of missed time in August, but this type of treatment may be what was necessary to allow him to return to full health.

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Tuesday, September 6, 2022

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa535357.43798.523.2710.4354.5158.13.27259.59
Teddy Bridgewater46.531.5337.11.810.866.121.40.3123

Tua Tagovailoa: This is shaping up to be a make-or-break season for Tua. With the team trading for Tyreek Hill and signing Terron Armstead, a lack of significant improvement could put the team in the market for a first-round quarterback in 2023. Even if the Dolphins employ a more run-focused offense under Mike McDaniel, Tagovailoa, at a minimum, should post better year-over-year stats given the much improved supporting cast.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Chase Edmonds139.8650.13.8445.9339.12.1157.51
Raheem Mostert161.9777.15.6716.5132.30.9138.61
Myles Gaskin55.9226.41.126.849.60.238.92
Salvon Ahmed31.4128.70.632.518.60.120.36
Alec Ingold1.22.60.014.3310.26.77

Chase Edmonds: The Dolphins have a new-look backfield with the additions of Edmonds and Raheem Mostert atop the depth chart. The former Cardinal has averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in each of the past three seasons with a total of 96 catches for 713 yards over the past two seasons.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert follows McDaniel from San Francisco and has made the most of his opportunities, when healthy. The problem, of course, is that durability has eluded him. Mostert missed almost all of 2021 with a knee injury and played just eight games in 2020. If he's able to stay healthy for (close to) a full season, he should outperform his ADP.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill88.71108.37.38.966.80.45208.36
Jaylen Waddle87.5951.25.75.1230.26176.93
Cedrick Wilson43.84882.81.24.80.0388.16
Trent Sherfield13155.10.900027.41
Erik Ezukanma8.299.30.700018.23
Tanner Conner110.30.10002.13

Tyreek Hill: Tua Tagovailoa is a winner following Hill's trade to Miami, but that's not the case for Hill given the quarterback downgrade from Patrick Mahomes. Hill set a career high in receptions (111) last year with a non-rookie low in Y/R (11.2). Instead of being in the mix to be the first receiver off the board in fantasy drafts, Hill becomes a solid mid-tier WR1 option for fantasy managers.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle (somewhat quietly) had a very impressive 2021 season with a rookie-record 104 receptions, as he went over the 1,000-yard mark and scored a total of seven touchdowns. It's unlikely that his 2022 numbers will be much better than they were in his rookie season with Hill in town (and there's a decent chance his numbers decline a bit), but he'll be a solid WR2 in both fantasy and real life.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Gesicki51.3566.63.3000102.11
Durham Smythe14.2132.30.700024.53
Hunter Long3.335.20.20006.37
Cethan Carter1.918.60.10003.41

Mike Gesicki: One of my favorite fantasy tight ends going into last season, Gesicki's 2022 outlook isn't as rosy with the team trading for Tyreek Hill and a new coaching staff that has a run-centric focus. (In fact, the team has reportedly brought up his name to other teams.) The athletic tight end projects to be third in line, at best, for targets behind Hill and second-year receiver Jaylen Waddle. Fantasy managers should expect plenty of week-to-week volatility from Gesicki, even if his final numbers are close to last year's production.

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Sunday, July 24, 2022

Miami Dolphins Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa535357.43798.523.2710.4354.5158.13.27259.59
Teddy Bridgewater46.531.5337.11.810.866.121.40.3123

Tua Tagovailoa: This is shaping up to be a make-or-break season for Tua. With the team trading for Tyreek Hill and signing Terron Armstead, a lack of significant improvement could put the team in the market for a first-round quarterback in 2023. Even if the Dolphins employ a more run-focused offense under Mike McDaniel, Tagovailoa, at a minimum, should post better year-over-year stats given the much improved supporting cast.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Chase Edmonds116.5541.73.244.7330.82140.8
Raheem Mostert130.4625.94.8917.1138.50.9119.73
Sony Michel127527.14.1310.780.60.694.5
Myles Gaskin16.3660.337.455.80.219.06
Alec Ingold1.22.60.014.735.20.27.39

Chase Edmonds: The Dolphins have a new-look backfield with the additions of Edmonds, Raheem Mostert and Sony Michel, but the team gave Edmonds the largest contract and he's likely to be Miami's most productive fantasy back in 2022. The former Cardinal has averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in each of the past three seasons and has a total of 96 catches for 713 yards over the past two seasons.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert follows McDaniel from San Francisco and has made the most of his opportunities, when healthy. The problem, of course, is that durability has eluded him. Mostert missed almost all of 2021 with a knee injury and played just eight games in 2020. If he's able to stay healthy for (close to) a full season, he should outperform his ADP.

Sony Michel: Michel toted the rock a league-high 129 times in the final six regular-season games (Weeks 13-18) for the Rams last season as he rushed for 540 yards and three touchdowns. While Michel enters the season behind Edmonds and Mostert on the depth chart, there could be an opportunity for him to become an early-down workhorse if/when Mostert misses time.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill89.41116.67.49.369.80.47210.56
Jaylen Waddle86.5949.15.53.515.80.18173.82
Cedrick Wilson35.2405.32.41.24.80.0373.19
Trent Sherfield13159.20.900027.82
Erik Ezukanma7.893.10.600016.81
Preston Williams2.935.20.20006.17

Tyreek Hill: Tua Tagovailoa is a winner following Hill's trade to Miami, but that's not the case for Hill given the quarterback downgrade from Patrick Mahomes. Hill set a career high in receptions (111) last year and a non-rookie low in Y/R (11.2). Instead of being in the mix to be the first receiver off the board in fantasy drafts, Hill becomes a solid mid-tier WR1 option for fantasy managers.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle (somewhat quietly) had a very impressive 2021 season with a rookie-record 104 receptions, as he went over the 1,000-yard mark and scored a total of seven touchdowns. It's unlikely that his 2022 numbers are much better than they were in his rookie season with Hill in town, but he'll be a solid WR2 in both fantasy and real life.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Gesicki48.6537.63.100096.66
Durham Smythe13.6126.10.600023.01
Adam Shaheen4.543.40.30008.39
Hunter Long2.728.90.20005.44

Mike Gesicki: One of my favorite fantasy tight ends going into last season, Gesicki's 2022 outlook isn't as rosy with the team trading for Tyreek Hill and a new coaching staff that has a run-centric focus. The athletic tight end projects to be third in line for targets behind Hill and second-year receiver Jaylen Waddle. Fantasy managers should expect plenty of week-to-week volatility from Gesicki, even if the final numbers are close to last year's production.

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa549.3358.14009.923.3510.7156.8178.92.84267.31
Jacoby Brissett44.526.9311.51.740.611.442.20.6826.52

Tua Tagovailoa: Even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well, it wasn't a huge surprise to see the Dolphins install Tagovailoa as its starter given his top-five draft pedigree. It is much less common for a coaching stuff to bench a rookie starter multiple times, however.

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder (outside of ownership pushing for Deshaun Watson) and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Myles Gaskin188.5782.34.6247.53632.3179.8
Salvon Ahmed90.9386.32.524.4179.30.989.16
Malcolm Brown1004053.516.2125.30.786.33

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be productive and Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021. There is concern, however, that the team's other backs Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed could become a thorn in the side of those that roster Gaskin.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games last season. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Both Ahmed and Brown are upside dart throws late in drafts that could pay huge dividends later.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jaylen Waddle67.2853.54.63.6220.07149.17
Will Fuller61.68474.8000144.3
DeVante Parker62.9790.84.5000137.53
Preston Williams15.6200.91.400036.29
Albert Wilson7.579.90.51.16.3015.37
Jakeem Grant3.334.60.22.38.30.067.5
Mack Hollins1.721.60.10003.61

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Waddle, Will Fuller and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the prior season. All signs point to significant improvement from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but increased competition for targets from Fuller and Waddle puts a cap on Parker's upside.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Gesicki53.3602.83.6000108.53
Hunter Long12.5125.30.800023.58
Durham Smythe7.764.80.500013.33
Cethan Carter3.532.40.20006.19

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook, but he's still a fringe TE1.

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Saturday, August 7, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa549.3358.73982.423.3510.7156.8178.92.84266.21
Jacoby Brissett44.526.9307.11.740.611.442.20.6826.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well, it wasn't a huge surprise to see the Dolphins install Tagovailoa as its starter given his top-five draft pedigree. It is much less common for a coaching stuff to bench a rookie starter multiple times, however.

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Myles Gaskin209.1867.85.1248.2375.32.4193.53
Salvon Ahmed90.9386.32.524.1175.90.988.67
Malcolm Brown65.9266.92.3112.587.90.558.59
Gerrid Doaks5.522.80.140003.12

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be highly productive and the Dolphins were unable to draft one of the top three backs in the 2021 NFL Draft. While I currently project a first-round running back to the Dolphins in my early 2022 NFL Mock Draft, Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021 and he has the potential to vastly exceed his current ADP with good health.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Ahmed is a late-round target with the potential to pay huge dividends.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Will Fuller62.7851.54.8000145.3
Jaylen Waddle65.4825.74.53.6220.07144.89
DeVante Parker61.7772.14.4000134.46
Preston Williams15.6199.51.400036.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.10.6102.90.56.825.80.1422.01
Jakeem Grant3.334.30.22.38.30.067.47
Albert Wilson2.727.90.21.16.305.97
Malcolm Perry1.717.20.11.14.10.013.64

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace. Signing with the Dolphins lowers Fuller's upside with the corresponding downgrade at quarterback from Deshaun Watson to Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle (as does Fuller) provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Fuller, Waddle and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the prior season. All signs point to significant improvement from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but increased competition for targets from Fuller and Waddle puts a cap on Parker's upside.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Gesicki53.4598.43.6000108.14
Hunter Long12.5124.40.800023.49
Durham Smythe7.764.30.500013.28
Cethan Carter3.532.20.20006.17

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook, but he's still a back-end TE1.

More Miami Dolphins pages:

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Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) like us on Facebook and/or (3) subscribe to our newsletter.

Saturday, July 24, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tua Tagovailoa549.3358.73927.523.3510.7156.8178.92.84264.01
Jacoby Brissett44.526.9293.71.740.611.442.20.6825.81

Tua Tagovailoa: It was somewhat of an unusual rookie season for Tagovailoa. It wasn't necessarily a surprise that they switched to their top-five pick after the bye with Ryan Fitzpatrick playing well, but it's less common to pull a rookie starter multiple times. With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle and signed Will Fuller V to a one-year deal.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Myles Gaskin216896.45.2948.2398.92.4199.77
Salvon Ahmed86.4367.22.3824.1158.30.984.28
Malcolm Brown63.72582.2312.5950.557.93
Gerrid Doaks4.518.70.110002.53

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be highly productive and the Dolphins were unable to draft one of the top three backs in the 2021 NFL Draft. While I currently project a first-round running back to the Dolphins in my early 2022 NFL Mock Draft, Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021 and he has the potential to vastly exceed his current ADP with good health.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Will Fuller62.7833.74.8000143.52
Jaylen Waddle65.6793.64.54.527.50.09142.45
DeVante Parker61.7759.84.4000133.23
Preston Williams15.4200.51.400036.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.10.6105.50.56.825.80.1422.27
Jakeem Grant3.335.90.22.38.30.067.63
Albert Wilson2.729.50.21.16.306.13
Malcolm Perry1.7190.11.14.10.013.82

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace. Signing with the Dolphins lowers Fuller's upside with the corresponding downgrade at quarterback from Deshaun Watson to Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle (as does Fuller) provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Fuller, Waddle and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the previous season. While Tua Tagovailoa should improve in his second season, the addition of Fuller and Waddle to a defensive-minded team means Parker's 2020 numbers (63/793/4) should be considered more of his baseline than his 2019 numbers (72/1,202/9).

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Gesicki53.45913.6000107.4
Hunter Long12.5118.20.800022.87
Durham Smythe7.754.90.500012.34
Cethan Carter3.527.40.20005.69

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook.

More Miami Dolphins pages:

More of our content:

Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) like us on Facebook and/or (3) subscribe to our newsletter.

Saturday, May 29, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football 12-Team Half-PPR Mock Draft

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 5th Pick

1.05 - Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

No running back scored more fantasy points in half-PPR formats than Kamara in 2020. The versatile back had exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons and then set a career high (83) in 2020. That said, he was on pace for a much higher career-best number before Drew Brees (ribs) missed four weeks. The only three games that Kamara failed to reach three catches came with Brees sidelined.

2.08 - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Mixon appeared in only six games in 2020 and he has now missed multiple games in three of his four NFL seasons. That said, Mixon had a minimum of 19 touches in the six games in which he appeared in 2020. Through Week 6, Mixon had more carries (119) than all running backs not named Derrick Henry (123) and was top 10 among running backs in targets (26).

3.05 - Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team

While the team's quarterback play hasn't done him many favors, McLaurin managed to set career highs with 87 catches and 1,118 yards in his second season. While his Y/R dipped to 12.9 from 15.8, he set career highs in YPG (74.5) and catch rate (64.9%). Even though WFT didn't draft a QB in April, signing Ryan Fitzpatrick in free agency boosts McLaurin's outlook and puts him squarely in the WR1 (top 12) mix.

4.08 - Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Thielen averaged only 61.7 YPG, but he scored 14 touchdowns in 2020. Only three receivers were targeted more often in the red zone than Thielen (19).

5.05 - Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins

Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be highly productive and the Dolphins were unable to draft one of the top three backs in the 2021 NFL Draft. While I currently project a first-round running back to the Dolphins in my early 2022 NFL Mock Draft, Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021.

6.08 - D.J. Chark, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Chark missed three games in 2020 and averaged 12.9 yards per game less than in 2019, but improved quarterback play with Trevor Lawrence makes Chark a bounce-back candidate for 2021.

7.05 - Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Foot and hamstring injuries (plus the COVID-19 list) limited Samuel to only seven games in 2020. Samuel played only one snap (his final snap of 2020) against WFT in Week 14, but he had 65-plus yards in each of the final four games in which he appeared before that. Due to his physical playing style, he's always a threat to miss time, but he's a viable WR3 (or better) in the weeks that he's on the field.

8.08 - Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Down the stretch in their Super Bowl run, the Buccaneers relied on Fournette as their lead back. In four playoff games, Fournette totalled 448 scrimmage yards and four total touchdowns on his 82 touches including 18 receptions. Going into 2021, Fournette should continue his role as the team's RB1.

9.05 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs and Drake combined for a total of 570 touches last season as lead backs of their respective teams and that combined number will (obviously!) drop significantly. The Raiders plan to use Drake in a variety of ways including at receiver, but Drake shouldn't be drafted as anything more than a flex option in 2021.

10.08 - Marvin Jones, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Jones averaged 61.1 YPG -- a three-year high -- last season and has averaged no less than 56.4 YPG over the past five seasons. In addition, he has scored nine touchdowns in three of his past four seasons. While I really like Chark as a WR3 for this team, Jones is a high-floor option in the double-digit rounds.

11.05 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams

Battling a laundry list of injuries, Stafford still managed to play a full 16-game slate. Without his No. 1 target (Kenny Golladay) for most of the season, Stafford's per-game numbers dropped considerably year over year from 312.4 yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game in 2019 to 255.3/1.6 in 2020. Traded to L.A. to play for a more creative offensive mind, Stafford is poised to bounce back with good health in 2021.

12.08 - Robert Tonyan, TE, Green Bay Packers

Entering 2020 with 14 career receptions, Tonyan scored nearly as many touchdowns (12 counting the playoffs) as he had career receptions prior to last season. While teammate Davante Adams led the NFL with 18 touchdown receptions, Tonyan's 11 regular-season scores tied a position high with Travis Kelce. The biggest threat to Tonyan's 2021 outlook is the offseason drama between the Packers and Aaron Rodgers.

13.05 - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

The top overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has the arm talent to make any throw and is a plus athlete with the ability to extend plays or be used on designed runs. With a top-10 fantasy strength of schedule and the likelihood to trail in most of their games, Lawrence is a QB2 with upside heading into his rookie campaign.

14.08 - San Francisco 49ers, DST, San Francisco 49ers

15.05 - Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs

16.08 - Jonnu Smith, TE, New England Patriots

Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

- Full Mock Draft Results

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Saturday, December 12, 2020

Week 14 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Jonathan Taylor is listed below as a "start" for Week 14. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 14 with him as one of my starting running backs.

Then again, Taylor may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own Derrick Henry, James Robinson and Taylor and can only start two backs, you should start Henry and Robinson and, in turn, bench Taylor.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 14 Fantasy Football RB Start'em

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (at LV)

Missing Week 12 after being placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list, Taylor returned to 13 carries for 91 yards and added three catches for 44 yards and a touchdown against the Houston Texans in Week 13. The second-round rookie now has consecutive games with more than 100 scrimmage yards and a touchdown.

Perhaps most encouraging over his past couple of games has been the workload split. In those two games, Taylor has 42 touches, more than Nyheim Hines (18) and Jordan Wilkins (12) combined.

While Taylor gets another matchup against the Texans in Week 15, he has a favorable matchup this week as well against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears (vs. HOU)

Speaking of favorable matchups against the Texans, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, it's Montgomery's turn. The second-year back goes into that matchup with some positive momentum.

Over the past two weeks, Montgomery has finished as fantasy's RB6 and RB1, respectively. The former Cyclone has 28 carries for 175 yards (6.25 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with nine receptions for 79 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets in those two games.

While most have drafted Montgomery as their team's RB2 and often felt unenthused about starting him, he is once again a solid RB1 in our Week 14 rankings.

Wayne Gallman, New York Giants (vs. ARI)

Even with Colt McCoy under center, Gallman was able to rush for a career-high 135 yards on 16 carries against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13. Not targeted in the passing game and failing to extend his scoring streak to six games, Gallman still finished the week as fantasy's RB15.

During that six-game stretch, here are Gallman's half-PPR weekly finishes: RB14, RB16, RB6, RB10, RB11 and RB15, respectively. That's six consecutive games as a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2 and that's where we have him ranked this week as well. Over that six-game stretch, they have relied more on Gallman in the most recent three games (62 touches) versus the first three games (43).

Myles Gaskin, Miami Dolphins (vs. KC)

In his first game back from injury, Gaskin handled 23 touches against the Cincinnati Bengals and turned that into a season-high 141 scrimmage yards. Although he has missed several games, Gaskin has handled 21-plus touches in four consecutive games played and five of his past six.

While the Dolphins should rely on Gaskin and their ground game as much as possible to try to limit possessions for Patrick Mahomes, Gaskin's role as a receiver keeps him game-script independent should they fall behind early.

Week 14 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em

Raheem Mostert, San Francisco 49ers (vs. WAS)

Like always, it's important to check our fantasy rankings as opposed to going based off of this list specifically as Mostert is ranked as a high-end flex and could be an option if you start three backs. That said, he is technically ranked outside of top-24 options and is certainly not a must-start.

Returning from more than a month-long absence, it was encouraging to see Mostert handle 18 touches against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 12. To follow that up with a 10-touch, 43-yard scoreless outing against the Buffalo Bills, it's discouraging for managers that trusted Mostert as a solid RB2 in Week 13.

Teammate Jeff Wilson had nearly as many touches (nine) and there's always the potential that the team's other backs -- Tevin Coleman and Jerick McKinnon -- will be more involved than expected. Combining the volume uncertainty with a difficult matchup, WFT allows the third-fewest fantasy points to the position, there is reason for managers to have trepidation with Mostert as the fantasy playoffs begin in most leagues.

Zack Moss (and Devin Singletary), Buffalo Bills (vs. PIT)

If forced to play a Bills running back this week, the choice would be Singletary over Moss, but both backs are ranked outside of our top 24 in Week 14. While Moss missed three games earlier in the season, the workload was fairly even from Weeks 6 (when he returned) to Week 12. During that stretch, Singletary had 60 touches and Moss had 59.

Last week, Singletary (21) dominated touches over Moss (four) as a punishment for (lack of) ball security. Even so, both backs finished outside the top-24 weekly running backs (although Singletary was RB25).

The duo gets another difficult matchup this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Only the New Orleans Saints have allowed fewer fantasy points to opposing running backs than the Steelers this season.

Le'Veon Bell, Kansas City Chiefs (at MIA)

With Clyde Edwards-Helaire on the sidelines, Bell handled the majority of running back touches for the Chiefs in Week 13. Bell failed to capitalize on the opportunity as he turned 13 touches into 55 scoreless yards against the Denver Broncos. With CEH active (and presumably playing) this week, Bell's return to single-digit touches and TD dependence is a near certainty.

While CEH ranks as a low-end RB2, he's been inconsistent with Bell in the mix too. Edwards-Helaire has averaged only 10.6 touches per game over his past five and scored less than 5.0 fantasy points in two of those outings. In other words, you could argue that the LSU rookie could be put on bust alert.

BUST ALERT: Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. NO)

Like Edwards-Helaire, Sanders is ranked inside my top-24 fantasy running backs (but just barely as the RB24). Over his past three games, Sanders has finished as the weekly RB34, RB40 and RB52, respectively. In addition, he has only eight and 10 touches in his past two games, respectively.

Perhaps the transition from Carson Wentz to Jalen Hurts provides a spark for Sanders, but the matchup is a difficult one for Sanders and for a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start. As noted above, no team has been stingier to fantasy running backs than the Saints.

Only the New York Jets have a lower implied total this week than the Eagles.

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