The Daily Blitz: DeVante Parker

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Wednesday, September 6, 2023

New England Patriots 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	522.1	343.3	3680.8	18.8	13.05	48.5	116.4	0.61	211.63
Matt Corral	36.3	22.5	250.5	1.2	0.98	15.4	55.4	0.35	20.5

Mac Jones: Jones missed some time in 2022, so his counting stats were down, but so were his efficiency numbers — 65.2% completion rate (67.6% in 2021), 3.2 TD% (4.2%), 6.8 Y/A (7.3) and 84.8 passer rating (92.5). Things should be better (than last year) with Bill O'Brien taking over the offense, but Jones' upside is relatively limited. Jones isn't draftable outside of two-QB or super flex leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Rhamondre Stevenson	203.8	927.3	5.5	46.6	334.2	1.5	191.45
Ezekiel Elliott	163.1	660.6	5.38	23.4	192.6	0.8	134.1

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson is coming off a breakout season (1,040 rushing yards, 69 receptions for 421 yards and six total touchdowns). Damien Harris (106 carries in 11 games) is now in Buffalo, but the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott to fill his void (and potentially more). Stevenson had multiple receptions in all but one game in 2022, and only three running backs — Austin Ekeler (107), Christian McCaffrey (85) and Leonard Fournette (73) — had more receptions than Stevenson last year. The biggest concern with the Elliott signing, however, is the potential to lose goal-line carries to the former Cowboy.

Ezekiel Elliott: By signing with the Patriots, Elliott boosted the fantasy stock (or at least diminished a potential concern) for Tony Pollard. Elliott set career lows in his age-27 season (2022) with 231 carries and 876 rushing yards, and he should set new career lows in 2023. That said, the Patriots have only two running backs on their active 53-man roster heading into 2023, which means that Elliott is likely to outperform his ADP.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
JuJu Smith-Schuster	74.1	815.7	4.2	0	0	0	143.82
DeVante Parker	51.8	640.8	3	0	0	0	107.98
Kendrick Bourne	32.4	353.8	1.8	6.6	42.9	0.23	68.05
Demario Douglas	21	228	1.2	0	0	0	40.5
Tyquan Thornton	17.4	255.5	1.3	3.3	18.2	0.17	44.89
Kayshon Boutte	6	68.8	0.4	0	0	0	12.28

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Smith-Schuster had 78 catches for 933 yards and three touchdowns in his lone season with the Chiefs. It's fair to say the transition from Patrick Mahomes to Mac Jones is a significant downgrade. After all, the Chiefs averaged nearly 90 more passing yards per game (89.8) and more than doubled up the Patriots in passing touchdowns (41 to 19). That said, he's atop New England's target pecking order and could come close to repeating last year's numbers, despite the relatively low weekly upside.

DeVante Parker: Parker averaged 11.5 yards per target and finished with a 66% catch rate, both of which were career highs, but his final numbers (31/539/3) amounted to another year of fantasy mediocrity. The Patriots gave Parker a new "pay-as-he-produces" (incentive-laden) three-year contract, but his fantasy outlook remains about as boring as the team's general offensive outlook.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Hunter Henry	43	477.7	2.8	86.07
Mike Gesicki	41.9	481.6	2.7	85.31
Pharaoh Brown	8.2	82.6	0.4	14.76

Hunter Henry: Henry finished last season with 41 catches for 509 yards and two touchdowns, the lowest numbers of his career when you exclude 2016 (his rookie campaign) and 2018 (missed entire season). The Patriots are expected to significantly increase their usage of 12 personnel (one running back and two tight ends) in 2023 after ranking only 25th in that grouping in 2022.

Mike Gesicki: Like Henry, Gesicki is coming off non-rookie lows in receptions (32), targets (52) and yards (362). The uber-athletic tight end will get an opportunity to reset in an offense that should be more likely to fully utilize his skill set.

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Monday, August 7, 2023

New England Patriots 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	522.1	343.3	3680.8	18.8	13.05	46.3	111.1	0.58	210.92
Bailey Zappe	36.3	24.1	259.5	1.38	0.96	4.4	13.2	0.04	15.54

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Rhamondre Stevenson	218.2	992.8	6	49.6	354.6	1.6	205.14
Kevin Harris	81.5	346.4	1.83	9.2	69	0.3	58.92
Pierre Strong	38.6	167.9	0.77	17.1	130	0.6	46.56
Ty Montgomery	40.8	175.4	1.02	15.4	118.2	0.5	46.18

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson is coming off a breakout season (1,040 rushing yards, 69 receptions for 421 yards and six total touchdowns) and could be set for an even larger role with Damien Harris (106 carries in 11 games) now in Buffalo. (The Patriots have had several high-profile free-agent veteran running backs in for visits lately, so that's something to continue to monitor.) Stevenson had multiple receptions in all but one game in 2022 and while he had single-digit carries in six of 17 games, the now-departed Harris had more carries than Stevenson in four of those six games.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
JuJu Smith-Schuster	73.5	817.6	4.3	0	0	0	144.31
Tyquan Thornton	44.1	581.2	2.9	4.4	24.2	0.22	101.31
DeVante Parker	40.4	531.9	2.5	0	0	0	88.39
Kendrick Bourne	20.6	236.4	1.2	6.6	42.9	0.23	46.81
Demario Douglas	7.3	82.7	0.4	0	0	0	14.32
Kayshon Boutte	2.4	29.6	0.2	0	0	0	5.36

Tyquan Thornton: Thornton has elite speed (4.28 40-yard dash), and the second-round speedster could take a step forward as he enters his second season. Despite a whopping 14.9 ADOT (per PFF), Thornton averaged only 5.5 yards per target due to a 48.9% catch rate and 12% drop rate as a rookie.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Hunter Henry	43.2	478.7	2.8	86.27
Mike Gesicki	42.1	482.7	2.8	86.12
Matt Sokol	2.6	27.6	0.2	5.26

Hunter Henry: Henry finished last season with 41 catches for 509 yards and two touchdowns, the lowest numbers of his career when you exclude 2016 (his rookie campaign) and 2018 (missed entire season). After ranking only 25th in 12-personnel usage (one RB/two TEs) in 2022, it's expected that the Patriots will increase their usage of 12 personnel significantly in 2023.

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Monday, September 5, 2022

New England Patriots Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	492	327.2	3517.8	21.65	11.07	44.3	132.9	0.66	222.42
Brian Hoyer	37	24.1	259	1.11	0.74	4.9	4.9	0.05	14.11

Mac Jones: Despite being the last selected of five first-round quarterbacks in 2021, Jones played the best out of that group even if he was "way too protected" by the Patriots offense as a rookie. The "Pro Bowler" ended his rookie campaign with 3,801 passing yards (7.3 Y/A), 22 touchdowns (4.2%) and 13 interceptions (2.5%). The offensive line and offensive coaching create some concerns that could inhibit Jones' growth in his second season.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	202	909	7.07	16.7	120.9	0.7	157.96
Rhamondre Stevenson	167.5	737	5.78	30	219.1	1.2	152.49
Ty Montgomery	30.8	135.5	0.77	12.8	103.9	0.6	38.56
Pierre Strong	27.1	117.9	0.68	7.9	54.8	0.4	27.7

Damien Harris: Harris set career highs in rush attempts (202), rushing yards (929) and rushing touchdowns (15) in 2021. Finishing last season as fantasy's RB8 in non-PPR scoring, he still ended the year inside the top 14 across all scoring formats. Although he was the subject of some trade speculation, the contract-year running back remains on the roster although the gap between him and Rhamondre Stevenson may be minimal.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson carried the ball 133 times for 606 yards (4.56 YPC) and five touchdowns as a rookie, and added 14 catches for 123 yards. He had 19-plus carries in three games last season and finished with 100-plus rushing yards and a pair of scores in two of them. Bill Belichick has talked up Stevenson's development in the pass game and said "it might even become a strength." Even if Harris enters the season as the 1A to Stevenson's 1B, it wouldn't be a shock if the former Sooner emerges as the team's most productive back.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	67.6	745.9	3.8	0	0	0	131.19
DeVante Parker	52.9	676	4	0	0	0	118.05
Kendrick Bourne	35	413.6	2.5	7.4	48.1	0.15	79.57
Nelson Agholor	29	360.7	2.1	2.5	11.3	0.05	64.6
Tyquan Thornton	14.1	192.6	1	0	0	0	32.31
Matthew Slater	0.5	5.7	0	0	0	0	0.82

Jakobi Meyers: The good news is that Meyers finally scored a touchdown, actually two of them, to go along with 126 targets, 83 catches and 866 yards in 2021. Even with the Patriots trading for DeVante Parker, there's a decent chance that Meyers will lead the team in target share, receptions and yards, but the lack of red zone production gives him little upside.

DeVante Parker: As the saying goes, "the best ability is availability" and Parker has struggled with durability. With his 2019 season being the exception, Parker has missed multiple games in four of the past five seasons and has averaged only 12.8 games over that span. His 17-game pace during that stretch is 68/927/5 and it wouldn't surprise me if he was New England's most productive receiver if he stays healthy in 2022.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Hunter Henry	53.2	553.3	4.3	0	0	0	107.73
Jonnu Smith	31.6	330.5	2.2	6.2	34.1	0.16	66.42

Hunter Henry: Henry's 2021 per-game numbers in receptions (2.9) and yards (35.5) were the lowest of his career outside of his rookie season. That said, he set a career high in touchdowns (nine).

Jonnu Smith: Smith had five-plus targets in each of his first four games as a Patriot, but then he was a recipient of five targets in only one of his other 12 games in 2021. With only one touchdown last season, Smith never finished better than TE15 (half-PPR scoring) in any game last season. Belichick has said that Smith has "had a really good offseason" and that "he's put himself in position to, I think, go out and play well."

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Tuesday, November 2, 2021

Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Rankings Heading into Week 9

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be rostered in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 9 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

Rank	Player	Team	Roster %
1	DeVante Parker	Miami Dolphins	34%
2	Darnell Mooney	Chicago Bears	42%
3	Rashod Bateman	Baltimore Ravens	30%
4	Elijah Moore	New York Jets	16%
5	Hunter Renfrow	Las Vegas Raiders	42%
6	Jamison Crowder	New York Jets	19%
7	Jamal Agnew	Jacksonville Jaguars	2%
8	Amon-Ra St. Brown	Detroit Lions	11%
9	Nico Collins	Houston Texans	1%

1. DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (34%)

Returning from a three-game absence, Parker finished Sunday with eight receptions for 85 yards on 11 targets, all of which are season highs. The Dolphins receiver now has a minimum of four catches and seven targets in all five games in which he has appeared this season. Parker has a target share of at least 21% in four of five games as well.

With a matchup against the Houston Texans on tap, Parker (and teammate Jaylen Waddle) are both viable top-36 options in Week 9.

2. Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears (42%)

Mooney had six catches for 64 yards on nine targets (33.33%) in Sunday's loss to the San Francisco 49ers. As much as Justin Fields has struggled early in his career, the stronger rapport with Mooney (over Allen Robinson) is clear.

The second-year receiver out of Tulane has a minimum of 25% target share in four of his past five games. In addition, he has a minimum of a 20% target share in six of his past seven. Mooney's 34 targets over the past five weeks are 11 more than Robinson has.

3. Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens (30%)

Bateman has begun his NFL career with a pair of six-target games. In those two games, he has combined for seven receptions for 109 yards.

Based on talent, the 2021 first-round pick should continue to carve out a larger role within the offense. The only concern is that Baltimore has a run-first offense and both Marquise Brown and tight end Mark Andrews are highly productive pass-catchers. Can this offense support three viable pass-catchers?

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Monday, October 4, 2021

Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 5

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 5 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

Rank	Player	Team	Roster %
1	Darnell Mooney	Chicago Bears	38%
2	DeVante Parker	Miami Dolphins	38%
3	Curtis Samuel	Washington Football Team	41%
4	Josh Gordon	Kansas City Chiefs	32%
5	Tim Patrick	Denver Broncos	44%
6	Elijah Moore	New York Jets	21%
7	A.J. Green	Arizona Cardinals	23%
8	Bryan Edwards	Las Vegas Raiders	18%
9	Jamison Crowder	New York Jets	19%
10	Hunter Renfrow	Las Vegas Raiders	25%
11	Quintez Cephus	Detroit Lions	16%
12	Kadarius Toney	New York Giants	3%
13	Kalif Raymond	Detroit Lions	1%

1. Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears (38%)

If you take a glass-half-empty view, you'll note that Justin Fields has completed only 17 of 37 pass attempts through two starts. Any rookie will have ups and downs, but it will be challenging to generate reliable fantasy production on 20 (or fewer) pass attempts per game.

That said, Mooney turned a team-high seven targets into five receptions for a career-high 125 yards, his first-ever 100-yard game. Mooney was productive as a rookie (61/631/4). Given his skill set and the chemistry he has shown with Fields, he should be rostered in more than 38% of Yahoo! leagues.

2. DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (38%)

Through four games, Parker leads Miami's receivers in targets (32), receiving yards (242) and half-PPR fantasy scoring. (Jaylen Waddle leads the team in receptions and PPR scoring.) That said, Parker has been targeted a minimum of seven times in all four games this season.

Jacoby Brissett may start another game, but it's been reported that Tua Tagovailoa will return by October 17th. The Dolphins have a couple of favorable matchups coming up as they travel across the state to face the Buccaneers and Jaguars in Weeks 5 and 6, respectively.

3. Curtis Samuel, Washington Football Team (41%)

Returning from IR and making his WFT debut, Samuel had a quiet outing with four catches for 19 yards. That performance may not be much reason for excitement, but as his role within the offense expands, he will become a weekly WR3/WR4 option. Samuel finished 2020 as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver across all scoring formats.

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.1	4009.9	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	267.31
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	311.5	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	26.52

Tua Tagovailoa: Even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well, it wasn't a huge surprise to see the Dolphins install Tagovailoa as its starter given his top-five draft pedigree. It is much less common for a coaching stuff to bench a rookie starter multiple times, however.

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder (outside of ownership pushing for Deshaun Watson) and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

Tua Tagovailoa just exhibited off-balance, late-developing play arm whip on a laser to Hunter Long. Different dude out there right now than what we saw as a rookie.
— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) August 4, 2021

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	188.5	782.3	4.62	47.5	363	2.3	179.8
Salvon Ahmed	90.9	386.3	2.5	24.4	179.3	0.9	89.16
Malcolm Brown	100	405	3.5	16.2	125.3	0.7	86.33

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be productive and Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021. There is concern, however, that the team's other backs Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed could become a thorn in the side of those that roster Gaskin.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games last season. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Both Ahmed and Brown are upside dart throws late in drafts that could pay huge dividends later.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jaylen Waddle	67.2	853.5	4.6	3.6	22	0.07	149.17
Will Fuller	61.6	847	4.8	0	0	0	144.3
DeVante Parker	62.9	790.8	4.5	0	0	0	137.53
Preston Williams	15.6	200.9	1.4	0	0	0	36.29
Albert Wilson	7.5	79.9	0.5	1.1	6.3	0	15.37
Jakeem Grant	3.3	34.6	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.5
Mack Hollins	1.7	21.6	0.1	0	0	0	3.61

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Waddle, Will Fuller and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the prior season. All signs point to significant improvement from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but increased competition for targets from Fuller and Waddle puts a cap on Parker's upside.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.3	602.8	3.6	108.53
Hunter Long	12.5	125.3	0.8	23.58
Durham Smythe	7.7	64.8	0.5	13.33
Cethan Carter	3.5	32.4	0.2	6.19

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook, but he's still a fringe TE1.

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Saturday, August 7, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.7	3982.4	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	266.21
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	307.1	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	26.34

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

Tua Tagovailoa just exhibited off-balance, late-developing play arm whip on a laser to Hunter Long. Different dude out there right now than what we saw as a rookie.
— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) August 4, 2021

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	209.1	867.8	5.12	48.2	375.3	2.4	193.53
Salvon Ahmed	90.9	386.3	2.5	24.1	175.9	0.9	88.67
Malcolm Brown	65.9	266.9	2.31	12.5	87.9	0.5	58.59
Gerrid Doaks	5.5	22.8	0.14	0	0	0	3.12

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be highly productive and the Dolphins were unable to draft one of the top three backs in the 2021 NFL Draft. While I currently project a first-round running back to the Dolphins in my early 2022 NFL Mock Draft, Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021 and he has the potential to vastly exceed his current ADP with good health.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Ahmed is a late-round target with the potential to pay huge dividends.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	62.7	851.5	4.8	0	0	0	145.3
Jaylen Waddle	65.4	825.7	4.5	3.6	22	0.07	144.89
DeVante Parker	61.7	772.1	4.4	0	0	0	134.46
Preston Williams	15.6	199.5	1.4	0	0	0	36.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.	10.6	102.9	0.5	6.8	25.8	0.14	22.01
Jakeem Grant	3.3	34.3	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.47
Albert Wilson	2.7	27.9	0.2	1.1	6.3	0	5.97
Malcolm Perry	1.7	17.2	0.1	1.1	4.1	0.01	3.64

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace. Signing with the Dolphins lowers Fuller's upside with the corresponding downgrade at quarterback from Deshaun Watson to Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle (as does Fuller) provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Fuller, Waddle and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.4	598.4	3.6	108.14
Hunter Long	12.5	124.4	0.8	23.49
Durham Smythe	7.7	64.3	0.5	13.28
Cethan Carter	3.5	32.2	0.2	6.17

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Saturday, July 24, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.7	3927.5	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	264.01
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	293.7	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	25.81

Tua Tagovailoa: It was somewhat of an unusual rookie season for Tagovailoa. It wasn't necessarily a surprise that they switched to their top-five pick after the bye with Ryan Fitzpatrick playing well, but it's less common to pull a rookie starter multiple times. With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle and signed Will Fuller V to a one-year deal.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	216	896.4	5.29	48.2	398.9	2.4	199.77
Salvon Ahmed	86.4	367.2	2.38	24.1	158.3	0.9	84.28
Malcolm Brown	63.7	258	2.23	12.5	95	0.5	57.93
Gerrid Doaks	4.5	18.7	0.11	0	0	0	2.53

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Will Fuller	62.7	833.7	4.8	0	0	0	143.52
Jaylen Waddle	65.6	793.6	4.5	4.5	27.5	0.09	142.45
DeVante Parker	61.7	759.8	4.4	0	0	0	133.23
Preston Williams	15.4	200.5	1.4	0	0	0	36.15
Lynn Bowden Jr.	10.6	105.5	0.5	6.8	25.8	0.14	22.27
Jakeem Grant	3.3	35.9	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.63
Albert Wilson	2.7	29.5	0.2	1.1	6.3	0	6.13
Malcolm Perry	1.7	19	0.1	1.1	4.1	0.01	3.82

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the previous season. While Tua Tagovailoa should improve in his second season, the addition of Fuller and Waddle to a defensive-minded team means Parker's 2020 numbers (63/793/4) should be considered more of his baseline than his 2019 numbers (72/1,202/9).

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.4	591	3.6	107.4
Hunter Long	12.5	118.2	0.8	22.87
Durham Smythe	7.7	54.9	0.5	12.34
Cethan Carter	3.5	27.4	0.2	5.69

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Friday, December 4, 2020

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Brandin Cooks is listed below as a "start" for Week 13. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 13 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

Then again, Cooks may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own Davante Adams, D.K. Metcalf and Cooks and only start two wide receivers, you should start Adams and Metcalf and, in turn, bench Cooks.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (vs. JAX)

With Adam Thielen out against the Carolina Panthers last week, Jefferson set a season-high in targets (13), which he turned into seven catches for 70 yards and two touchdowns. The first-round rookie from LSU has now exceeded 16 fantasy points (half-PPR scoring) and finished as a weekly top-15 performer in three consecutive games.

Although the Vikings operate a run-first offense, Jefferson has performed as a WR1 across the board -- WR6 in non-PPR, WR10 in half-PPR and WR12 in PPR -- through Week 12. Employing a run-first approach and being double-digit home favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars this week could limit Kirk Cousins' pass attempts, but there are a lot of reasons to be confident that Jefferson will continue to produce at a high level.

Only the high-powered Patrick Mahomes-led Kansas City Chiefs offense has a higher implied total than the Vikings this week. As much as Dalvin Cook may run wild, there should be enough fantasy production to go around. In addition, the Jaguars have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins (vs. CIN)

Technically, Parker has finished as fantasy's WR15 in back-to-back weeks with 15.1 and 15.9 half-PPR fantasy points, respectively. That said, he benefited from the return of Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. The recipient of double-digit targets for only the second time this season, Parker turned his season-high 14 targets into eight catches for a season-high 119 yards against the New York Jets.

Assuming that rookie Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) will miss another week, it bodes well for Parker's volume of targets and we all know that volume is king in fantasy football. One of the biggest favorites of the week, the Dolphins have one of the week's highest implied totals.

Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans (vs. IND)

Three-quarters into his first season as a Texan, Cooks has performed as a high-end WR3 as he is a top-28 fantasy wide receiver across all scoring formats. While his 85 receiving yards in back-to-back games rank among his top four outings of the season, Cooks has just five targets in back-to-back weeks, which represents 13.51% and 21.74% target shares, respectively.

Before that, Cooks had a five-game stretch with much more volume -- 9.4 targets per game and a target share range of 23.68% to 34.29%. While Will Fuller's PED suspension will lead to a larger target on his back from opposing defenses, his volume of targets are about to spike the rest of the season due to Fuller's absence.

The matchup against the Indianapolis Colts is a difficult one (seventh-fewest fantasy points allowed), but Deshaun Watson has been playing as well lately as he has ever played. The volume increase and Watson's elite play should help compensate for any potential decrease in Cooks' efficiency.

Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams (at ARI)

I, for one, expected big things from Woods in 2020, but I've overestimated how productive he would be. Over his past four games, Woods has become more productive with a pair of 24-point fantasy outings and top-three weekly finishes (Week 8 and Week 11).

More encouraging, Woods had 15 targets (30.61% target share) in Weeks 11 and 12 targets (38.71%) in Week 12. Those were both his best totals of the season in absolute and relative terms. Averaging 1.82 rush attempts per game this season, Woods has three rush attempts over the past two weeks, which brings his total opportunities -- targets plus rush attempts -- to 30 over that span.

Over his past four games, Woods has a total of 31 catches (minimum of five per game) for 328 yards (80-plus in three of four) and two touchdowns in addition to six carries for 16 yards. A potentially paced-up game with his recent boost in opportunities puts Woods in WR1 territory in our Week 13 rankings.

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Jalen Reagor, Philadelphia Eagles (at GB)

Since returning from injury in Week 8, Reagor has a minimum of five targets and an average of 6.25 per game over that four-game stretch. That said, he's averaging just 31.5 receiving yards per game over that span.

Even though Reagor is listed here as a "sit," this applies to all Eagles wide receivers.

In their three games since their Week 9 bye, no Eagles receiver has finished better than WR46 (Reagor, Week 10). Over those three weeks, the target share percentage to wide receivers has declined from 52.78% (Week 10) to 51.52% (Week 11) to 40.48% (Week 12). With Zach Ertz set to return in Week 13 and Carson Wentz playing as poorly as he's played, optimism of the fantasy outlook for the team's wide receiver corps is low.

Jamison Crowder, New York Jets (vs. LV)

In his first four games played this season, Crowder had double-digit targets every week and more than 100 yards in three of those four. Since then, however, he has appeared in three games -- 2/26/1 on two targets, 1/16 on three targets and 3/31 on five targets, respectively. Crowder had a 32%-plus target share in three of his first four games; under 19% target shares in his three games since then.

Crowder could return to being a sneaky start if his target share reaches the mid-to-upper 20% range. Until then, the slot receiver is a low-floor, low-upside option.

Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens (vs. DAL)

Drafted as an upside WR2 in the summer, the second-year wideout has disappointed his fantasy managers this season. A late 70-yard touchdown allowed Brown to turn in his best fantasy performance of the season as he finished with four catches for 85 yards and a score against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Wednesday afternoon. Before that, however, here is Brown's game log over his previous four games: 1/3/1 (on two targets), 3/38 (five), 2/14 (seven) and 0/0 (three).

Even though Brown gets a top-four matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, his week-to-week volatility makes him difficult to trust if a playoff berth is on the line. His big-play ability combined with the matchup could allow him to pay off as a DFS tournament dart throw, however, as the Cowboys have allowed a league-high 19 receiving touchdowns and the fourth-most Y/R (14.04) to opposing wide receivers in 2020.

Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals (at LAR)

There was a stretch -- Weeks 6 to 9 -- were Kirk performed as a top-12 fantasy wide receiver in all three games. During that three-game span, Kirk had 12 catches for 246 yards (20.5 Y/R) and five touchdowns.

Although he now has a streak of six-plus targets in five consecutive games, his three most-recent games have been less productive. From Weeks 10 to 12, Kirk has 11 catches for 96 scoreless yards (8.73 Y/R).

Meanwhile, the Rams have been the league's stingiest defense against opposing wide receivers. With Kyler Murray (shoulder) playing at less than 100 percent and a difficult matchup on tap, Kirk is a low-floor WR4 than a high-upside WR3.

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Tuesday, November 2, 2021

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Friday, December 4, 2020

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Week 13 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

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