The Daily Blitz: Jonnu Smith

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Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Desmond Ridder	447.7	286.5	3089.1	16.34	10.74	48.3	193.2	1.45	195.46
Taylor Heinicke	61.1	38.8	430.8	2.57	1.71	12.4	46.5	0.31	30.6

Desmond Ridder: Ridder, who started four games as a rookie, enters 2023 atop the depth chart. In his four starts in 2022, he completed 73-of-115 pass attempts (63.5%) for 708 yards (6.2 Y/A) with only two touchdowns (1.7 TD%) and no interceptions. While the Falcons will continue to rely heavily on their ground game, the team's talented young pass catchers (Drake London, Kyle Pitts and rookie running back Bijan Robinson) will help him develop in his second season.

Taylor Heinicke: If Ridder struggles in 2023, it's possible that Heinicke could make some starts. Neither Ridder nor Heinicke are draftable in single-quarterback leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Bijan Robinson	246.3	1108.4	7.51	50.4	388.9	2	231.99
Tyler Allgeier	149.7	658.7	4.04	13.2	96.8	0.5	109.39
Cordarrelle Patterson	36.9	162.4	1.01	22.8	211.2	1.1	61.42
Keith Smith	1.5	5.3	0.03	1.5	10.6	0.1	3.12

Bijan Robinson: Robinson is the most talented back to enter the league in several draft cycles, and he landed in a spot where he has a chance to perform as a top-five fantasy back. Robinson profiles as a three-down back with outstanding size, speed, vision and contact balance and his 183 missed tackles forced over the past two seasons were 56 more than the next closest back, per PFF. Only the Bears (56.19%) ran the ball on a higher percentage of plays than the Falcons (55.29%) in 2022, but Robinson is also outstanding as a receiver as well.

Tyler Allgeier: Allgeier was a player I liked as a sleeper last year, and the fifth-rounder out of BYU eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark as a rookie. He finished 2022 with 210 carries for 1,035 yards (4.9 YPC) and three touchdowns and added 16 receptions for 139 yards and a score. With the Falcons drafting Robinson at No. 8 overall, it obviously delivers a huge blow to Allgeier's fantasy stock. That said, he should still get around 10 touches per game in Atlanta's run-first offense.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Drake London	83.6	1006.7	5.6	176.07
Mack Hollins	37.4	469.9	2.6	81.29
KhaDarel Hodge	17.9	195.4	1	34.49
Scotty Miller	8.8	105.6	0.6	18.56
Josh Ali	3.7	42.2	0.2	7.27

Drake London: Atlanta was/is a low-volume passing attack, but London led the Falcons in targets (117, 29.25%), receptions (72), yards (866) and touchdowns (four) as a rookie. Among wide receivers with 35-plus targets in 2022, London ranked 14th in yards per route run (2.07), per PFF. When Kyle Pitts (knee) was sidelined down the stretch, London was at his best. He finished with 31/428 on 48 targets over the final five games of the year.

Mack Hollins: Hollins set career highs in targets (94), receptions (57) and yards (690) last season with the Raiders. Now with the Falcons as he enters his age-30 season, Hollins will be no better than fourth in the offensive pecking order behind Drake London, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	59.4	711	3.7	123
Jonnu Smith	21.1	225.3	1.3	40.88
MyCole Pruitt	4.2	44	0.2	7.7
John FitzPatrick	1.3	12.3	0.1	2.48

Kyle Pitts: A knee injury prematurely cut his second season short, but Pitts eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark as a rookie (68/1,026/1) in 2021. If it weren't for the lack of touchdowns (one), his rookie season would have been viewed as a smashing success. Before his injury last year, his production dropped significantly (12.7 Y/R, 35.6 YPG, 47.5% catch rate and 1.69 Y/RR) compared to 2021 (15.1 Y/R, 60.4 YPG, 61.8% and 2.01 Y/RR). That said, the upside remains high going into his age-23 season.

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Sunday, August 27, 2023

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Desmond Ridder	447.7	286.5	3089.1	16.34	10.74	48.3	193.2	1.45	195.46
Taylor Heinicke	61.1	38.8	430.8	2.57	1.71	12.4	46.5	0.31	30.6

Taylor Heinicke: If Ridder struggles in 2023, it's possible that Heinicke could make some starts. Neither Ridder nor Heinicke are draftable in single-quarterback leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Bijan Robinson	250	1125	7.63	50.4	388.9	2	234.37
Tyler Allgeier	137.9	606.8	3.72	13.2	96.8	0.5	102.28
Cordarrelle Patterson	36.4	160.2	1	22.8	211.2	1.1	61.14
Godwin Igwebuike	8.7	37.4	0.22	3.1	22.9	0.1	9.5
Keith Smith	1.5	5.3	0.03	1.5	10.6	0.1	3.12

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Drake London	82.8	1001.4	5.5	174.54
Mack Hollins	37.4	469.9	2.6	81.29
KhaDarel Hodge	15.9	181.3	1	32.08
Scotty Miller	8.8	105.6	0.6	18.56
Josh Ali	3.7	42.2	0.2	7.27

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	59.4	711	3.7	123
Jonnu Smith	19.5	207.7	1.2	37.72
MyCole Pruitt	4.2	44	0.2	7.7
Parker Hesse	2.6	26.4	0.2	5.14

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Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Desmond Ridder	454.1	290.6	3133.3	16.57	10.9	47.5	190	1.43	197.39
Taylor Heinicke	61.9	39.3	436.4	2.6	1.73	12.2	45.8	0.31	30.84

Desmond Ridder: Ridder started four games as a rookie, and he enters 2023 atop the depth chart. In his four starts in 2022, he completed 73-of-115 pass attempts (63.5%) for 708 yards (6.2 Y/A) with only two touchdowns (1.7 TD%) and no interceptions. While the Falcons will continue to rely heavily on their ground game, the team's talented young pass catchers (Drake London, Kyle Pitts and rookie running back Bijan Robinson) will help him develop in his second season.

Taylor Heinicke: If Ridder struggles in 2023, however, it's possible that Heinicke could make some starts. While neither Ridder nor Heinicke are draftable in single-quarterback leagues, Heinicke is rosterable at a late-round pick in super flex or two-QB leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Bijan Robinson	254.6	1145.7	7.77	50.1	389.1	2	237.15
Tyler Allgeier	119.4	525.4	3.22	12	91	0.5	89.96
Cordarrelle Patterson	44.3	194.9	1.22	25.1	228.5	1.2	69.41
Caleb Huntley	7.8	33.5	0.18	2	14.3	0.1	7.46
Keith Smith	1.5	5.3	0.03	1.5	10.7	0.1	3.13

Bijan Robinson: Robinson is the most talented back to enter the league in several drafts, and he landed in a spot where he has a chance to perform as a top-five fantasy back. Robinson profiles as a three-down back with outstanding size, speed, vision and contact balance and his 183 missed tackles forced over the past two seasons were 56 more than the next closest back, per PFF. While Robinson is an outstanding receiver as well, only the Bears (56.19%) ran the ball on a higher percentage of plays than the Falcons (55.29%) in 2022.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Drake London	76.7	921	5.1	161.05
Mack Hollins	39.6	490.8	2.7	85.08
Penny Hart	12.9	141	0.8	25.35
KhaDarel Hodge	11.4	139.2	0.7	23.82
Frank Darby	8.2	98.2	0.5	16.92
Scotty Miller	8.1	96.4	0.5	16.69

Drake London: London led the Falcons in targets (117, 29.25%), receptions (72), yards (866) and touchdowns (four). When Kyle Pitts (knee) was sidelined down the stretch, London was at his best. He finished with 31/428 on 48 targets over the final five games of the year.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Kyle Pitts	59.2	710.4	3.7	122.84
Jonnu Smith	17.3	183.8	1.1	33.63
Parker Hesse	4.5	42.8	0.2	7.73
John FitzPatrick	1.3	12.5	0.1	2.5

Kyle Pitts: A knee injury prematurely cut his second season short, but Pitts has eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark as a rookie (68/1,026/1). If it weren't for the lack of touchdowns (one), his rookie season would have been viewed as a smashing success. Before his injury last year, his production dropped significantly (12.7 Y/R, 35.6 YPG, 47.5% catch rate and 1.69 Y/RR) compared to 2021 (15.1 Y/R, 60.4 YPG, 61.8% and 2.01 Y/RR). That said, the upside remains high going into his age-23 season.

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Monday, September 5, 2022

New England Patriots Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	492	327.2	3517.8	21.65	11.07	44.3	132.9	0.66	222.42
Brian Hoyer	37	24.1	259	1.11	0.74	4.9	4.9	0.05	14.11

Mac Jones: Despite being the last selected of five first-round quarterbacks in 2021, Jones played the best out of that group even if he was "way too protected" by the Patriots offense as a rookie. The "Pro Bowler" ended his rookie campaign with 3,801 passing yards (7.3 Y/A), 22 touchdowns (4.2%) and 13 interceptions (2.5%). The offensive line and offensive coaching create some concerns that could inhibit Jones' growth in his second season.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	202	909	7.07	16.7	120.9	0.7	157.96
Rhamondre Stevenson	167.5	737	5.78	30	219.1	1.2	152.49
Ty Montgomery	30.8	135.5	0.77	12.8	103.9	0.6	38.56
Pierre Strong	27.1	117.9	0.68	7.9	54.8	0.4	27.7

Damien Harris: Harris set career highs in rush attempts (202), rushing yards (929) and rushing touchdowns (15) in 2021. Finishing last season as fantasy's RB8 in non-PPR scoring, he still ended the year inside the top 14 across all scoring formats. Although he was the subject of some trade speculation, the contract-year running back remains on the roster although the gap between him and Rhamondre Stevenson may be minimal.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson carried the ball 133 times for 606 yards (4.56 YPC) and five touchdowns as a rookie, and added 14 catches for 123 yards. He had 19-plus carries in three games last season and finished with 100-plus rushing yards and a pair of scores in two of them. Bill Belichick has talked up Stevenson's development in the pass game and said "it might even become a strength." Even if Harris enters the season as the 1A to Stevenson's 1B, it wouldn't be a shock if the former Sooner emerges as the team's most productive back.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	67.6	745.9	3.8	0	0	0	131.19
DeVante Parker	52.9	676	4	0	0	0	118.05
Kendrick Bourne	35	413.6	2.5	7.4	48.1	0.15	79.57
Nelson Agholor	29	360.7	2.1	2.5	11.3	0.05	64.6
Tyquan Thornton	14.1	192.6	1	0	0	0	32.31
Matthew Slater	0.5	5.7	0	0	0	0	0.82

Jakobi Meyers: The good news is that Meyers finally scored a touchdown, actually two of them, to go along with 126 targets, 83 catches and 866 yards in 2021. Even with the Patriots trading for DeVante Parker, there's a decent chance that Meyers will lead the team in target share, receptions and yards, but the lack of red zone production gives him little upside.

DeVante Parker: As the saying goes, "the best ability is availability" and Parker has struggled with durability. With his 2019 season being the exception, Parker has missed multiple games in four of the past five seasons and has averaged only 12.8 games over that span. His 17-game pace during that stretch is 68/927/5 and it wouldn't surprise me if he was New England's most productive receiver if he stays healthy in 2022.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Hunter Henry	53.2	553.3	4.3	0	0	0	107.73
Jonnu Smith	31.6	330.5	2.2	6.2	34.1	0.16	66.42

Hunter Henry: Henry's 2021 per-game numbers in receptions (2.9) and yards (35.5) were the lowest of his career outside of his rookie season. That said, he set a career high in touchdowns (nine).

Jonnu Smith: Smith had five-plus targets in each of his first four games as a Patriot, but then he was a recipient of five targets in only one of his other 12 games in 2021. With only one touchdown last season, Smith never finished better than TE15 (half-PPR scoring) in any game last season. Belichick has said that Smith has "had a really good offseason" and that "he's put himself in position to, I think, go out and play well."

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Saturday, October 9, 2021

Fantasy Football TE Week 5 Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Dawson Knox is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 5 with him as my starting tight end.

Then again, Knox may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Travis Kelce and Knox, you should start Kelce and, in turn, bench Knox.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 5 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (at KC)

Knox had a big week against the Houston Texans as he finished with five catches for 37 yards and two touchdowns on eight targets (26.67%). While Knox has yet to reach the 50-yard mark this season, he has scored in three consecutive weeks. In addition, he has at least four catches in three of four games this season.

Winning their past three games by a combined 97 points, the Bills have the ability to score points in bunches. While their recent games haven't been close, this week's matchup against Patrick Mahomes and the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs offense should result in a shootout. No game has a higher total (57.0) and even though the Bills are three-point underdogs, they still have a top-seven implied total.

The third-year tight end will look to extend his scoring streak and weeks with a top-12 fantasy finish to four weeks. Over the past three weeks, he has finished as the TE11, TE8 and TE2 (half-PPR), respectively. Knox currently ranks top-six in all scoring formats.

Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (vs. NYG)

Over the past couple of weeks, Schultz has been as good as it gets. Following up his 6/80/2 performance against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3, Schultz had six catches for 58 yards and a touchdown in Week 4 against the Carolina Panthers. In those two games, he had a 28.0% and 36.36% target share, respectively. On the season, Schultz now has six receptions in three of four games and he has scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points.

Not only have the Giants allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, the Cowboys have a top-three implied total this week.

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons (vs. NYJ)

If you've drafted Pitts, you're likely frustrated with the production so far. As he takes his talents across the pond for a matchup against the New York Jets in London, Pitts could see even more targets than he's seen up to this point. With a minimum of six targets in three of four games, Pitts enters Week 5 tied for sixth amongst tight ends in targets (26). Given that both Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage are out this week, Olamide Zaccheus is the team's "WR1" in Week 5.

Week 5 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers (at CIN)

Even though he was only targeted 59 times in 2020, Tonyan was extremely efficient -- 88.1% catch rate, 11.3 Y/R and a TD scored per every 5.36 targets. While there have been some difficult matchups, Tonyan has done nearly nothing outside of a Week 2 matchup against the Detroit Lions (3/52/1). In his other three games this season, Tonyan has scoreless receiving lines of 2/8, 1/6 and 2/8, respectively. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the position this season.

Jonnu Smith, New England Patriots (at HOU)

Perhaps listing him here is the jinx that helps him breakout in a big way in an ideal matchup (if you need to start him). Smith is way more talented than his 2021 production has shown and this matchup provides an opportunity to smash.

On a positive note, Smith has a minimum of five targets in all four games this season, but he hasn't been able to do much with that volume. On the season, Smith has a total of 13 catches for 88 yards (6.77 Y/R) and a touchdown. Ranked as a TE2 (and behind teammate Hunter Henry in my rankings), Smith is a TD-dependent play instead of a must-start this weekend.

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns (at LAC)

Hooper is tied with Odell Beckham for the most targets in Cleveland's passing game (16, 14.81%) this season. Unfortunately, that volume trails 17 other tight ends through Week 4 and Hooper has only been able to parlay those modest amount of targets into an even more modest receiving line of 11/97/1. Not only is he fifth on the team in receiving yards, but he is averaging a career-low 8.8 Y/R. As Hooper seeks his first top-12 fantasy finish of the year, he remains more of a mid-tier TE2 that will likely need a score to become a TE1.

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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	563.2	366.1	4083.2	24.22	12.67	41.4	128.3	1.04	253.94
Jarrett Stidham	17.4	10.4	118.3	0.73	0.68	4.6	3.5	0.05	6.94

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. Not only did Jones beat out Cam Newton for the starting job, but he won't have to look other his shoulder (if he struggles) with Newton no longer on the roster.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	230.1	1058.5	5.75	21.6	170.2	0.9	173.57
James White	57.5	221.4	1.29	55.5	464.3	2.8	120.86
Rhamondre Stevenson	98.9	430.2	2.47	8.5	65.1	0.2	69.8
J.J. Taylor	19.6	86.2	0.29	1.5	10.5	0	12.16
Jakob Johnson	0	0	0	5.6	31.5	0.2	7.15
Brandon Bolden	1.2	5.2	0.03	1.1	8.4	0	2.09

Damien Harris: In terms of usage, Harris has been a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that may not change much with James White returning to Foxboro given his well-defined third-down role within the Patriots offense. With New England handing the keys to the franchise to Mac Jones, the fantasy outlook for Harris should improve as he won't have to worry about Cam Newton vulturing rushing touchdowns.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White benefits from the team moving on from Cam Newton as it should translate into fewer QB rush attempts and more running back targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson's strong play -- 30/216/5 rushing in three preseason games -- was one factor the Patriots were comfortable parting ways with Sony Michel. Even so, the fourth-round rookie out of Oklahoma will likely need an injury to either Harris and/or White to be a factor in fantasy this season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	64.9	794.1	3.9	1.2	5.4	0.02	135.92
Nelson Agholor	50.8	697.4	4	0	0	0	119.14
Kendrick Bourne	36.7	462.2	2.6	0	0	0	80.17
N'Keal Harry	27.9	329.8	2.3	0.9	5.4	0.02	61.39
Gunner Olszewski	2.8	33.6	0.2	1.4	6.4	0.03	6.78

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

Nelson Agholor: Agholor set a career high in receiving yards (896) and tied a career high in touchdowns (eight) in his lone season in Las Vegas. While I expect Meyers to continue to perform as the team's WR1, it wouldn't surprise me if Agholor came close to duplicating his 2020 numbers.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jonnu Smith	47.1	554.6	3.8	3.5	29.8	0.18	105.87
Hunter Henry	47.6	529.4	3.6	0	0	0	98.34
Devin Asiasi	4.7	50.4	0.4	0	0	0	9.79

Jonnu Smith: One year after investing a pair of Day 2 picks at the position, the Patriots double-dipped in the free-agent tight end market with Smith and Hunter Henry. Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

Hunter Henry: Missing multiple games in four consecutive seasons including all of 2018, Henry had 60 catches on 93 targets, both of which were career highs, for 613 yards and four touchdowns in 2020. Unfortunately for both Smith and Henry, however, their individual upside may cancel each other out.

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Friday, August 20, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Cam Newton	339.2	217.8	2442.2	13.74	8.14	82.1	353	5.34	203.71
Mac Jones	203.5	132.3	1475.4	8.75	4.58	19.9	61.7	0.5	94.03

Cam Newton: Newton struggled as a passer in 2020 and many reasons -- return from injury, new team with unusual offseason, lack of pass-catching talent, etc. -- attributed to his woeful passing numbers. Even though 33 quarterbacks threw more touchdowns than Newton (eight) and he threw more interceptions (10) than touchdowns, he also scored the 16th-most fantasy points as he rushed for 12 touchdowns.

Likely to run for fewer scores and throw for more, Newton has improved weapons in the passing game. At this point of the preseason, Newton appears to be in the driver's seat for the starting job even though Mac Jones, New England's first-round pick, has made it a real competition. If Newton struggles, however, it's possible that the Patriots make a (permanent) midseason switch to Jones.

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. It would be reasonable to assume that Jones makes some starts during the season even if he doesn't win the job outright to begin the season.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	216.5	995.9	5.41	15.9	127.3	0.6	156.33
James White	42.3	158.6	0.95	51.6	440.7	2.6	107.03
Sony Michel	69.7	299.7	1.74	6.7	45.1	0.1	48.87
Rhamondre Stevenson	56	243.6	1.4	5.4	43.1	0.2	40.97
J.J. Taylor	2.5	11	0.04	1.4	9.8	0	3.02
Brandon Bolden	1.2	5.2	0.03	1.1	5.9	0	1.84

Damien Harris: In terms of usage, Harris is a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that likely won't change much with James White returning to Foxboro given his well-defined third-down role within the Patriots offense. The other major obstacle to Harris being a top-24 option is the presence of Cam Newton, who rushed for six times as many touchdowns as Harris (12 to two) in 2020. As long as Newton holds off Mac Jones as the starter, there is the chance/likelihood that he vultures goal-line opportunities from Harris. While the skill set is there for a breakout, he's more correctly drafted as a flex option, which matches his ADP.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White would likely benefit from a quarterback shift from Newton to Jones as it would likely translate into fewer QB rush attempts and more running back targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson's strong play -- 25/193/4 rushing in two preseason games -- could lead to the Patriots parting ways with Sony Michel. Even so, the fourth-round rookie out of Oklahoma is unlikely to carry much fantasy value in 2021 as both Harris and White will be featured more prominently even if Michel is cut/dealt.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	60.4	722.8	3.5	1.2	5.4	0.02	124.14
Nelson Agholor	47.3	638.6	3.5	0	0	0	108.51
Kendrick Bourne	34.1	430.9	2.3	0	0	0	73.94
N'Keal Harry	32.9	385.9	2.5	1	6	0.02	70.76
Gunner Olszewski	2.6	29.4	0.2	1.5	6.9	0.03	6.31

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jonnu Smith	42	505.4	3.3	3.7	31.5	0.19	95.63
Hunter Henry	44.3	485.8	3.2	0	0	0	89.93
Devin Asiasi	4.4	47	0.3	0	0	0	8.7

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Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Cam Newton	325.7	209.1	2345	13.19	7.82	79.6	342.3	5.17	196.17
Mac Jones	217.1	141.1	1574	9.34	4.88	22.4	69.4	0.56	100.86

Cam Newton: Newton struggled as a passer and many reasons -- return from injury, new team with unusual offseason, lack of pass-catching talent, etc. -- attributed to his woeful passing numbers. Even though 33 quarterbacks threw more touchdowns than Newton (eight) and he threw more interceptions (10) than touchdowns, he also scored the 16th-most fantasy points as he rushed for 12 touchdowns.

Likely to run for fewer scores and throw for more, Newton has improved weapons in the passing game. If he struggles, however, it's possible that the Patriots make a (permanent) midseason switch to first-round pick Mac Jones.

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. It would be reasonable to assume that Jones makes some starts during the season even if he doesn't win the job outright to begin the season.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	214	984.4	5.35	14	107.8	0.5	151.32
James White	42.3	158.6	0.95	51.7	440.9	2.6	107.1
Sony Michel	87.1	374.5	2.18	7	49	0.2	60.13
Rhamondre Stevenson	41.1	178.8	0.82	5.3	41.1	0.2	30.76
J.J. Taylor	2.5	11	0.04	1.4	9.8	0	3.02
Brandon Bolden	1.2	5.2	0.04	1.2	7.8	0	2.14

Damien Harris: Harris is a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that likely won't change much with James White returning to Foxboro. The other major obstacle to Harris being a top-24 option is the presence of Cam Newton, who rushed for six times as many touchdowns as Harris (12 to two) in 2020. As long as Newton holds off Mac Jones as the starter, there is the chance/likelihood that he vultures goal-line opportunities from Harris.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White would likely benefit from a quarterback shift from Newton to Jones as it would likely translate into more running back targets and fewer QB rush attempts.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	58.7	703.5	3.4	1.2	5.4	0.02	120.76
Nelson Agholor	47.3	634.9	3.5	0	0	0	108.14
Kendrick Bourne	35.9	448.7	2.5	0	0	0	77.82
N'Keal Harry	33.6	393.9	2.6	1	6	0.02	72.51
Gunner Olszewski	2.6	29.4	0.2	1.5	6.9	0.03	6.31

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jonnu Smith	41.3	495.8	3.2	3.7	31.5	0.19	93.72
Hunter Henry	43.2	482	3.1	0	0	0	88.4
Devin Asiasi	4.4	47	0.4	0	0	0	9.3
Dalton Keene	2.6	27.4	0.2	0	0	0	5.24

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Friday, August 14, 2020

Tennessee Titans 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Ryan Tannehill	419.3	276.7	3249.6	20.34	10.06	62.1	270.1	2.48	233.11
The NFL's Comeback Player of the Year, Tannehill led the NFL in Y/A (9.6) and passer rating (117.5) and scored the third-most fantasy points from Weeks 7-17 (his stretch as the team's starter). While he parlayed that into a new four-year contract to remain in Tennessee, fantasy owners should expect regression from his career-high TD% (7.7). Considering he threw it 22 times (or less) in six of his final 10 games counting the playoffs, low volume and lower efficiency levels should concern fantasy owners.
Logan Woodside	24.4	15.1	178.1	0.95	0.67	7	21	0.14	12.52

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Derrick Henry	290.4	1321.3	12.05	22.9	198.1	1.15	231.14
While not much of a factor in the passing game, Henry gets force-fed the ball in Tennessee's run-first (and run-second) offense. Counting three playoff games, Henry rushed for 1,986 yards and 18 touchdowns over 18 games in 2019. From Week 10 on, the 250-pound bruising back eclipsed the 100-yard mark in seven of nine games. Perhaps a bit of a reach at the end of Round 1, the Titans drafted a 350-pound, road-grading right tackle (Isaiah Wilson) to fill the void of Jack Conklin's free-agent departure.
Darrynton Evans	80.8	351.5	2.22	28.1	227.6	0.84	76.27
Evans provides a "lightning" complement to Henry's "thunder." The Appalachian State product was a back-to-back 1,000-yard rusher, posted a 4.41 forty at the NFL Scouting Combine and was named the Sun Belt Conference Offensive Player of the Year in 2019.
Dalyn Dawkins	16.4	55.8	0.33	1.5	11.3	0.03	8.87
Khari Blasingame	2.3	9.2	0.03	3.3	27.2	0.07	4.24

MORE: Tennessee Titans 53-man roster projection

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
A.J. Brown	66.4	946.2	6.64	4.7	35.3	0.19	139.13
The most productive rookie receiver in 2019, Brown hauled in 52 catches for 1,051 yards (20.2 Y/R) and eight touchdowns and added 3/60/1 rushing as well. While the disappearing act in the playoffs (five catches on 10 targets over three games) was frustrating, Brown was at his best at the end of the regular season -- 111.1 YFS and a touchdown per game as the WR1 over the final six regular-season games. The only concern with Brown is that Tennessee is a run-first team with Derrick Henry and only the Ravens threw it less than the Titans in 2019.
Corey Davis	41.5	541.6	1.97	1.2	7.8	0.01	66.82
The Titans did not pick up the fifth-year option for the former No. 5 overall pick and Davis enters the final year of his contract with career averages of 3.4 receptions and 44.5 yards per game. Outside of deep leagues, Tennessee's low-volume pass offense can only support one fantasy-relevant receiver and Brown is clearly the guy.
Adam Humphries	44	446.6	2.2	2.3	9.2	0.02	58.9
While Humphries missed four games in his first season with the Titans, his targets (47) were cut by more than half compared to his final season with the Bucs (105, 2018). As noted with Davis, there simply isn't enough volume to go around to make Humphries relevant outside of the deepest PPR leagues.
Kalif Raymond	12.4	156.9	0.99	1.2	3	0.01	21.99
Rashard Davis	2.3	28.6	0.17	0	0	0	3.88
Cameron Batson	1.4	17.3	0.08	0	0	0	2.21

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jonnu Smith	43	518.2	4.41	0	0	0	78.28
The season-ending injury to Delanie Walker in Week 7 opened the door for Smith to post career numbers -- 35 receptions and 517 scrimmage yards (439 receiving and 78 rushing). Atop the depth chart, Smith has top-12 upside (or better) at a relatively weak position.
Anthony Firkser	21.6	249.5	1.51	0	0	0	34.01
MyCole Pruitt	10.4	119.1	1.04	0	0	0	18.15

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