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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Teddy Bridgewater	520.3	345.2	3850.2	20.03	11.45	42.1	160	2.11	239.89
Drew Lock	70.9	42.9	510.5	2.87	2.13	10.5	38.9	0.53	34.71

Teddy Bridgewater: The QB competition between Drew Lock and Bridgewater is over when it comes to determining the Week 1 starter (Bridgewater), but it's possible that both make starts in 2021. While his upside is low, Bridgewater will provide steadier quarterback play for a team that has a strong roster overall and will compete for the playoffs. He finished as fantasy's QB19 with Carolina in 2020.

Drew Lock: Lock will enter 2021 as the backup, but as noted above, could certainly make a start or two in 2021. Lock completed just 57.3% of 2020 pass attempts and tied Carson Wentz for a league-high 15 interceptions thrown.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Javonte Williams	201.2	885.3	6.84	35.5	272.5	1.6	184.17
Melvin Gordon	155.6	669.1	5.45	22.3	157	0.9	131.86
Mike Boone	35.1	158	1.33	8.7	61	0.2	35.43
Nate McCrary	7	29.4	0.18	2.1	15.3	0.1	7.2

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos trading up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

Melvin Gordon: Gordon closed last season (Weeks 11-17) with elite volume (120 touches, seventh-most), which allowed MG3 to rank seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring during that stretch. Regardless of how the workload allocation starts, it's likely that there will be a shift from the veteran to the rookie as the season progresses.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jerry Jeudy	83.4	1074.9	5.1	0	0	0	179.79
Courtland Sutton	73.2	965.9	5	2.3	9.2	0.05	164.41
K.J. Hamler	34.9	425.2	2.3	14	61.6	0.35	82.03
Tim Patrick	31.4	383.7	2.2	0	0	0	67.27
Diontae Spencer	8.9	89.4	0.3	0	0	0	15.19

Jerry Jeudy: Considering Courtland Sutton (ACL) missing nearly all of 2020, Jeudy underwhelmed as a rookie. A 46.0% catch rate prevented him from capitalizing on a 31.46% share of his team's air yards. Inconsistent quarterback play contributed to the lack of production and all signs point to the potential for a breakout in year two, especially with the Broncos naming Teddy Bridgewater as their starting QB.

Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a breakout season in 2019 -- 72 catches for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns -- but missed nearly all of 2020 with a torn ACL. The choice of Bridgewater over Drew Lock more than likely benefits Jeudy more than Sutton.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

Tim Patrick: Patrick was productive last season with a career-best 51/742/6 line. While he may once again outproduce expectations, it's also possible that he ranks fourth in WR snaps behind Sutton, Jeudy and Hamler.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Noah Fant	62.1	660.6	3.5	118.11
Albert Okwuegbunam	20.4	205	1.2	37.9
Eric Saubert	3.9	39.2	0.2	7.07
Andrew Beck	1.2	10.9	0	1.69

Noah Fant: Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673). Fant has been dealing with a "leg issue" that isn't believed to be serious or keep him out Week 1.

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2021 Fantasy Football Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 9th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 9th Pick

1.09 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams miss two games in 2020, but he has missed multiple games in three of his past four seasons. Even so, the seven-year veteran led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (18) and yards per game (98.1) and also set a career high in receptions (115). With double-digit touchdowns in four of five seasons, Adams has a total of 58 scores in 71 games over that span. With Aaron Rodgers still playing at an MVP level, Adams moves back into the WR1 spot with the Rodgers drama behind us.

2.04 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Missing a significant chunk of time due to injury and playing at less than 100 percent when returning to the field, Ekeler averaged 5.5 yards per touch and scored only three touchdowns, both of which were career lows. With Joe Lombardi coming over from New Orleans to run the offense, Ekeler's immense receiving upside makes him a top-10 back across all formats and an upside second-round pick here.

3.09 - Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team

While the team's quarterback play hasn't done him many favors, McLaurin managed to set career highs with 87 catches and 1,118 yards in his second season. While his Y/R dipped from 15.8 to 12.9, he set career highs in YPG (74.5) and catch rate (64.9%). Even though WFT didn't draft a QB in April, signing Ryan Fitzpatrick in free agency boosts McLaurin's outlook and he's a top-eight option in my rankings.

More: Washington Football Team 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

4.04 - Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams

It was a relatively disappointing season for Woods and the Rams offense in general. Woods tied a career high in receptions (90), but his receiving yardage (936) and yards from scrimmage (1,091) were three-year lows. Replacing Jared Goff with Matthew Stafford generates some optimism for all of the skill-position players.

5.09 - Mike Davis, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. Limited competition for running back touches makes Davis a back-end RB2/flex option in 2021 with Arthur Smith taking over as Atlanta's head coach.

6.04 - Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks

It was a tale of two seasons for Wilson. In his first eight games, Wilson averaged 29.52 fantasy points per game and scored no fewer than 21.9. In his final eight games, he averaged only 17.08 and scored more than 21.9 only once during that span.

Despite Pete Carroll's prioritization to establish the run, Wilson has never finished worse than the QB11 (2016) and has finished as a top-six fantasy quarterback in five of the past seven seasons.

7.09 - Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos

Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos moving up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

8.04 - James Conner, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Joining the Cardinals on a one-year deal, Conner will steal some early-down carries from Chase Edmonds and could potentially be in a fairly even split. If he can stay healthy and earn a larger role, there is plenty of upside for Conner as well (as Edmonds).

More: Chase Edmonds 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

9.09 - Jamaal Williams, RB, Detroit Lions

In his four NFL seasons, Williams has averaged 736.5 scrimmage yards, 155.5 touches and 30.5 receptions per season with the Packers. While he remains his team's RB2 (to D'Andre Swift instead of Aaron Jones), Williams should get 8-10 touches per game even with both Swift and Williams healthy.

More: Fantasy Football Sleepers

10.04 - Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Even though he played fewer than 50% of the team's offensive snaps in all but one game (Week 15, 90%), Pollard had at least eight touches in 10 of the team's final 12 games. Assuming good health for Dak Prescott and the offensive line, 8-10 weekly touches in this offense could lead to stand-alone flex value for Pollard on a weekly basis.

11.09 - Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens

Brown's catch rate (58.0%) and yards per target (7.7) dropped in 2020 from his rookie season of 64.8% and 8.2 Y/T, respectively. Since he played a full 16-game season, however, his overall numbers (58/769/8) improved last season. Landing three of my top-13 receivers as starters, Brown is a high-upside option as a bye-week fill-in during those three weeks.

More: NFL Predictions 2021: AFC North

12.04 - Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams

The fifth-year tight end saw a year-over-year dip in targets (60), receptions (44) and yards (521), but he did set a career high in touchdowns (five). With Gerald Everett signing with Seattle and the team trading for Matthew Stafford, there is optimism for improved numbers from Higbee.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

13.09 - Darrel Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Williams is a high-upside handcuff for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If CEH were to miss any time, Williams would immediately become an RB2 in Kansas City's high-powered offense.

14.04 - 49ers DST, San Francisco 49ers

15.09 - Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs

16.04 - Cole Kmet, TE, Chicago Bears

Down the stretch, Kmet leapfrogged Jimmy Graham on the depth chart based on snaps played. In addition, the rookie out of Notre Dame averaged 6.0 targets per game over his five final regular-season games. There is some potential for Kmet to have a breakout sophomore campaign.

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Miami Dolphins

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tua Tagovailoa	549.3	358.1	4009.9	23.35	10.71	56.8	178.9	2.84	267.31
Jacoby Brissett	44.5	26.9	311.5	1.74	0.6	11.4	42.2	0.68	26.52

Tua Tagovailoa: Even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well, it wasn't a huge surprise to see the Dolphins install Tagovailoa as its starter given his top-five draft pedigree. It is much less common for a coaching stuff to bench a rookie starter multiple times, however.

With Fitzpatrick now in Washington, Tua won't have to look over his shoulder (outside of ownership pushing for Deshaun Watson) and the team reunited the second-year quarterback with Jaylen Waddle while also signing Will Fuller in free agency. By all accounts, Tua looks like a different quarterback heading into his sophomore campaign.

Tua Tagovailoa just exhibited off-balance, late-developing play arm whip on a laser to Hunter Long. Different dude out there right now than what we saw as a rookie.
— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) August 4, 2021

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Myles Gaskin	188.5	782.3	4.62	47.5	363	2.3	179.8
Salvon Ahmed	90.9	386.3	2.5	24.4	179.3	0.9	89.16
Malcolm Brown	100	405	3.5	16.2	125.3	0.7	86.33

Myles Gaskin: Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played.

The former seventh-round pick out of Washington has shown the ability to be productive and Gaskin is a viable RB2 for fantasy managers in 2021. There is concern, however, that the team's other backs Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed could become a thorn in the side of those that roster Gaskin.

Salvon Ahmed: Gaskin's six missed games opened up opportunities for Ahmed to have a few high-volume games last season. The UDFA exceeded 20 carries twice and had three separate games with at least 17 touches. On a relatively thin depth chart, he or Malcolm Brown will become hot waiver-wire commodities if Gaskin struggles with durability again. Both Ahmed and Brown are upside dart throws late in drafts that could pay huge dividends later.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jaylen Waddle	67.2	853.5	4.6	3.6	22	0.07	149.17
Will Fuller	61.6	847	4.8	0	0	0	144.3
DeVante Parker	62.9	790.8	4.5	0	0	0	137.53
Preston Williams	15.6	200.9	1.4	0	0	0	36.29
Albert Wilson	7.5	79.9	0.5	1.1	6.3	0	15.37
Jakeem Grant	3.3	34.6	0.2	2.3	8.3	0.06	7.5
Mack Hollins	1.7	21.6	0.1	0	0	0	3.61

Jaylen Waddle: Reunited with his former college quarterback, Waddle provides Tagovailoa with more speed on the outside. While the upgrade at receiver helps the quarterback, all three of the team's top receivers -- Waddle, Will Fuller and DeVante Parker -- could negate each other's upside to a certain degree.

Will Fuller: Once again, Fuller missed five games, but this time it was due to suspension. In fact, he will finish serving his six-game suspension in Week 1 of the 2021 season.

Fuller set career highs in receptions (53), yards (879), YPG (79.9), Y/R (16.6) and touchdowns (eight) in 2020. Before the suspension, he was on a 77/1,279/12 pace.

DeVante Parker: Following up his breakout 2019 campaign, Parker disappointed fantasy managers with nearly 20 fewer yards per game and less than half as many touchdowns compared to the prior season. All signs point to significant improvement from second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but increased competition for targets from Fuller and Waddle puts a cap on Parker's upside.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mike Gesicki	53.3	602.8	3.6	108.53
Hunter Long	12.5	125.3	0.8	23.58
Durham Smythe	7.7	64.8	0.5	13.33
Cethan Carter	3.5	32.4	0.2	6.19

Mike Gesicki: There was a stretch (Weeks 3 to 8) last season where Gesicki had only zero or one catch in all but one game, but he was highly productive outside of that five-game span. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns. The additions of Will Fuller, Jaylen Waddle and Hunter Long put a damper on Gesicki's 2021 outlook, but he's still a fringe TE1.

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Saturday, September 4, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Houston Texans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Tyrod Taylor	395.4	242.6	2787.6	15.42	5.54	51.4	277.6	2.18	202.94
Davis Mills	169.5	102.5	1169.6	6.36	4.83	18.2	74.6	0.55	73.32

Tyrod Taylor: At +30,000 (via Bovada.lv), no team is a bigger long shot to win Super Bowl 56. Assuming the season goes off the tracks sooner than later, it wouldn't be a surprise to see the team give third-round rookie Davis Mills some starts. For as long as Taylor starts, however, he will be have plenty of streaming appeal given his rushing upside and plenty of favorable game scripts (from a fantasy perspective).

Davis Mills: As noted above, the team's likely poor record could lead to some starts for the third-rounder out of Stanford, which makes him a name to know in 2-QB leagues.

Deshaun Watson: Watson's unresolved legal issues as well as his trade request (under contract through 2025) this offseason adds a layer (or multiple layers) of uncertainty for Watson heading into the 2021 season. It's possible that he doesn't play a snap in 2021 even though he's currently on the Texans' 53-man roster.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
David Johnson	108.9	462.8	3.16	30.1	252.6	1.5	114.55
Phillip Lindsay	119	517.7	3.27	22.4	183.5	0.9	106.34
Mark Ingram	62.5	265.6	1.63	7.7	59.2	0.3	47.91
Rex Burkhead	38.9	159.5	1.13	11.2	84.9	0.4	39.22
Scottie Phillips	4	17.2	0.08	0.5	3.9	0	2.84

David Johnson: Johnson's three best games of the season occurred over the final three games of the season -- 18.8 half-PPR fantasy points (RB13), 27.4 (RB4) and 19.5 (RB11), respectively. The Texans should be one of the worst teams in the NFL in 2021 and the additions of Phillip Lindsay, Rex Burkhead and Mark Ingram further muddy DJ's 2021 outlook.

Phillip Lindsay: Beginning his career by rushing for 1,000-plus yards and hauling in 35 receptions in back-to-back seasons, Lindsay missed five games but was also on the wrong side of Denver's timeshare with Melvin Gordon in 2020. The former UDFA joins a crowded backfield in Houston that will be hampered often by negative game scripts.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brandin Cooks	76.6	1030.1	5.2	0	0	0	172.51
Nico Collins	45.6	594	3.1	0	0	0	100.8
Anthony Miller	37.9	444	2.4	0.4	1.7	0.01	77.98
Chris Conley	32.7	416.4	2.4	0	0	0	72.39
Andre Roberts	6.9	78.9	0.4	0	0	0	13.74

Brandin Cooks: Averaging a career-high 76.7 YPG, Cooks finished his first season in Houston with 81 catches for 1,150 yards and six touchdowns. From Week 5 on, Cooks had at least 59 yards in 10 of 11 games. During that 11-game span, he averaged 6.5 catches and 92 yards per game.

Even though Deshaun Watson is still (currently) on the roster, it's reasonable to project lower year-over-year numbers for Cooks with Tyrod Taylor to start. At the same time, he should be the recipient of as many targets as he can handle.

Nico Collins: Based on his combination of size (6-4, 215) and speed (4.45 forty), Collins enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal for a team that should be trailing (and therefore throwing) often.

Anthony Miller: No longer in Matt Nagy's doghouse, Miller will start fresh in Houston, but things may not necessarily be any better in terms of his fantasy production. In addition, Miller (shoulder) is expected to miss the start of the season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Jordan Akins	42.2	471.6	2.7	84.46
Brevin Jordan	16.7	175.6	1.2	33.11
Pharaoh Brown	13.8	151.9	1	28.09

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Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New York Giants

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New York Giants.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Daniel Jones	543.4	344	3831	23.91	12.77	67.8	393.2	1.86	273.82
Mike Glennon	37.8	23.4	257	1.66	0.98	7	15.4	0.04	16.74

Daniel Jones: The offseason was kind to Jones. With the Giants signing Kenny Golladay to a four-year contract as the team's WR1 and drafting Kadarius Toney in the first round, the rest of the team's solid group of pass-catchers -- Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, etc. -- will have easier opportunities. The upgrades to the receiving corps combined with his sneaky rushing upside gives Jones the potential to outperform his draft-day cost.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Saquon Barkley	262.1	1179.5	9.17	54	437.4	2.5	258.71
Devontae Booker	62.8	273.2	1.48	19.3	153.3	0.7	65.38
Gary Brightwell	17.4	74.8	0.35	1.8	16.4	0.1	12.72
Elijhaa Penny	6.6	14.9	0.1	5.7	40.9	0.1	9.63

Saquon Barkley: As a rookie, Barkley was about as good as it gets. Technically, Todd Gurley was better (fantasy's RB1), but Barkley was the RB2 in his rookie season and led the NFL in scrimmage yards (2,028), scored 15 touchdowns and hauled in 91 catches. Injuries have kept him out of 17 of the team's past 19 games and he may be eased in slowly as he returns from last year's torn ACL. If his health cooperates in 2021, however, Barkley has the skill set to finish as a top-three back.

Devontae Booker: It appears that Barkley (ACL) will be ready for Week 1, but Booker enters 2021 as his handcuff and could get a larger-than-usual share of the workload early if the team eases Barkley in.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Kenny Golladay	70.7	1007.7	5.9	0	0	0	171.52
Sterling Shepard	58	594.8	3.6	2.9	23.5	0.15	113.33
Kadarius Toney	36.7	439.5	2.9	8.8	59.4	0.31	87.5
Darius Slayton	31.2	441.5	3	1.8	8.1	0.04	78.8
Collin Johnson	13.8	181.9	1.4	0	0	0	33.49
C.J. Board	3.1	40.9	0.3	0	0	0	7.44

Kenny Golladay: Golladay exceeded the 1,000-yard milestone in back-to-back seasons (2018 and 2019) with the Lions and led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (11) in 2019. Although 2020 was a lost season due to a hip injury, Golladay had either 100-plus yards or 50-plus yards and a score in the four games he played before sustaining the injury. Signing a four-year deal with the Giants, the QB downgrade from Matthew Stafford to Daniel Jones and a more crowded receiver room limits his ceiling.

Sterling Shepard: Shepard missed four games in 2020 and he has now missed four-plus games in three of the past four seasons. Adding Golladay to the receiving corps pushes Shepard down a spot on the depth chart, but we project him for the second-most snaps among the team's receivers.

Kadarius Toney: Toney missed a bunch of time during camp and is likely to be eased in slowly. In fact, that is what The Athletic's Dan Duggan expected before he missed a lot of time during training camp. As the season progresses, however, the first-rounder should become increasingly more involved in the game plan.

Darius Slayton: Excluding the year-over-year drop in touchdowns (eight to three), Slayton's 2020 numbers (50/751) were nearly identical to his rookie numbers (48/740) in 2019. Even if Kadarius Toney is eased in slowly, the first-rounder's presence (along with Golladay's) means that any of the team's receivers outside of Golladay will be difficult to trust.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Evan Engram	47.2	490.6	3.1	3.3	19	0.13	93.94
Kyle Rudolph	21.9	208.5	1.6	0	0	0	41.4
Kaden Smith	3.9	34.7	0.4	0	0	0	7.82

Evan Engram: After two injury-plagued seasons, Engram was able to play a full 16-game slate and finished with 63 catches for 654 yards and only one touchdown. Not only was the single touchdown disappointing for fantasy managers, but Engram's YPG (40.9) and Y/R (10.4) were both career lows. While Engram led NYG in targets (109) last season, the addition of Kenny Golladay as the team's top pass-catching option and selection of Kadarius Toney in the first round could lead to less week-to-week consistency in targets for Engram.

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Friday, September 3, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jameis Winston	518.2	335.5	3860.6	23.84	16.58	45.5	186.6	1.82	246.2
Taysom Hill	57.6	37.4	423.4	2.36	1.27	59.1	319.1	4.28	96.19

Jameis Winston: Perhaps both Winston and Taysom Hill will make starts during the season. Naming Winston as the starter, however, not only puts the better passer under center, but it allows the coaching staff to maximize Hill's versatility, especially given the state of their receiving corps. Two seasons ago in Tampa, Winston led the NFL in both passing yards (5,109) and interceptions thrown (30) so ball security will be critical to keeping the starting gig.

Taysom Hill: Whenever/if he gets the opportunity to start, Hill will flirt with top-12 production. During his four starts last season, he performed as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week. At a minumum, Hill should be owned in all two-QB and Super Flex leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	186.5	857.9	7.74	79.8	724	4.2	269.73
Latavius Murray	92.1	409.8	2.86	23.9	179.9	0.9	93.48
Tony Jones Jr.	47.8	205.5	1.2	10.3	77.1	0.4	43.01
Ty Montgomery	6.8	29.9	0.17	10.6	128.5	0.6	25.76
Dwayne Washington	10.2	39.8	0.2	0.9	6.4	0	6.27

Alvin Kamara: No running back scored more fantasy points in half-PPR formats than Kamara in 2020. The versatile back had exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons and then set a career high (83) in 2020. That said, he was on pace for an even better career-best number before Drew Brees (ribs) missed four weeks. The only three games that Kamara failed to reach three catches came with Taysom Hill under center. That said, Jameis Winston winning the starting job benefits Kamara.

Latavius Murray: Murray may flirt with stand-alone flex value -- especially during bye weeks -- Murray will become an elite play in any game that Kamara misses. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Michael Thomas	65.4	835.4	4.8	0	0	0	145.04
Marquez Callaway	54.4	706.9	4.5	0	0	0	124.89
Tre'quan Smith	37.8	565.5	3.7	0	0	0	97.65
Deonte Harris	16.2	192.8	1.1	6.8	56.1	0.14	40.43
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	0.9	12.9	0.1	0	0	0	2.34

Michael Thomas: It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. Thomas decided to postpone ankle surgery until June and he begins the season on the PUP list, which means that he'll miss at the least the first six weeks of the season. Drew Brees' retirement and his injury significantly diminishes his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.

Marquez Callaway: Callaway has generated loads of training camp buzz and then upped the ante in preseason games. He has the potential to be the team's most productive receiver for as long as Michael Thomas (ankle) is out. Either way, he's an upside sleeper pick.

Fun watching Marquez Callaway really take ownership of being the top dog at receiver right now. Playing with so much confidence.
— Luke Johnson (@ByLukeJohnson) August 6, 2021

Tre'quan Smith: Smith posted career numbers in receptions (34) and yards (448) in 2020. Even with Brees retiring, Smith should set new career highs, but it's possible/likely that Callaway outperforms him.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Adam Trautman	38.2	428.4	2.8	78.74
Juwan Johnson	20.7	265.6	1.7	47.11
Nick Vannett	5.2	53.6	0.4	10.36

Adam Trautman: Set for an expanded role with Jared Cook now in L.A., Trautman is a breakout candidate. Not only does he move to the top of the TE depth chart, but plenty of targets are up for grabs with Michael Thomas starting the season on the PUP list and Emmanuel Sanders now in Buffalo.

Juwan Johnson: Converting from wide receiver to tight end, Johnson has earned glowing reviews this offseason and is poised for an expanded role, giving him some sleeper appeal. In fact, it wouldn't be that big of a surprise if it were Johnson (not Trautman) that turns in better receiving production in 2021.

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Thursday, September 2, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Washington Football Team

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Washington Football Team.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Ryan Fitzpatrick	592.3	383.8	4412.6	26.36	17.47	49.7	218.7	1.81	279.73
Taylor Heinicke	48	30	333.6	2.06	1.54	7	32.9	0.21	23.05

Ryan Fitzpatrick: While I project WFT to draft a QB in the first round of my 2022 NFL Mock Draft, the fact that they didn't add any competition in this year's draft for Fitzpatrick makes him one of my favorite late-round streamers at the position. Meanwhile, Washington upgraded their receiving corps by signing Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries and drafting Dyami Brown in the third round.

Taylor Heinicke: Fitzpatrick's propensity to turn the ball over could eventually lead to a starting stint for Heinicke at some point during the season.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Antonio Gibson	231.8	1054.7	9.85	42.6	374.9	2.1	235.96
J.D. McKissic	63.5	273.1	1.11	50.1	405.8	2.6	115.2
Jaret Patterson	44.2	192.3	1.33	3.3	28.5	0.2	32.91

Antonio Gibson: Before suffering a turf toe injury early in his Week 13 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Gibson had a five-game stretch where he performed as fantasy's RB5, RB11, RB8, RB7 and RB2, respectively. Even without adjusting for Washington's Week 8 bye, only Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry scored more fantasy points during that stretch.

Gibson has tremendous upside in his second season as WFT is "trying to push" Gibson into a "similar role" as Christian McCaffrey, per backup quarterback Kyle Allen.

J.D. McKissic: McKissic ranked top three on the team in receptions (80), targets (110) and receiving yards (589) in 2020 and only Alvin Kamara (83) had more receptions among running backs. With a quarterback less likely to check down and Gibson's ability as a receiver (and potentially increased target share), there will likely be much fewer opportunities for McKissic in 2021.

Jaret Patterson: Generating positive buzz in camp and stringing together two strong preseason performances, Patterson pushed Peyton Barber out for a roster spot and would be Gibson's primary handcuff if he were to miss time.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Terry McLaurin	91	1245.9	7.2	2.1	15.8	0.11	215.53
Curtis Samuel	63.3	730.9	4.3	21.2	139.9	1.7	154.73
Dyami Brown	35	515	3.1	0	0	0	87.6
Adam Humphries	44.5	484.1	2.7	0	0	0	86.86
Cam Sims	8.3	123.4	0.8	0.6	3	0.01	21.65
DeAndre Carter	1.4	19	0.1	0	0	0	3.2
Dax Milne	1.2	14.2	0.1	0	0	0	2.62

Terry McLaurin: While the team's quarterback play hasn't done him many favors, McLaurin managed to set career highs with 87 catches and 1,118 yards in his second season. While his Y/R dipped from 15.8 to 12.9, he set career highs in YPG (74.5) and catch rate (64.9%). Even though WFT didn't draft a QB in April, signing Ryan Fitzpatrick in free agency boosts McLaurin's outlook and puts him squarely in the WR1 (top 12) mix.

Curtis Samuel: Across scoring formats, Samuel was a top-25 receiver in 2020 despite playing with D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson, both of whom outscored Samuel in half-PPR formats. Samuel set career highs in receptions (77), receiving yards (851) and rushing yards (200) in 2020. Sliding in as WFT's WR2 behind Terry McLaurin, Samuel is once again a viable WR3/flex in fantasy, when healthy. That said, it's unclear whether Samuel, who is expected to return to practice on Monday, will be ready for Week 1.

Dyami Brown: WFT drafted Brown in the third round, but he may start the season fourth on the WR depth chart behind McLaurin, Samuel and (possibly) Adam Humphries. He's a better option in dynasty leagues than re-draft.

Adam Humphries: Given their built-in chemistry from their time together in Tampa, Humphries was "easily ... [Fitzpatrick's] favorite target" early in training camp. Even so, he's likely to finish third (at best) or fourth among the team's receivers in fantasy points.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Logan Thomas	62.1	688.2	4.5	3.2	11.2	0.03	128.17
John Bates	4.3	45.1	0.3	0	0	0	8.46
Ricky Seals-Jones	3.7	40.3	0.3	0	0	0	7.68
Sammis Reyes	2.9	30.9	0.2	0	0	0	5.74

Logan Thomas: Thomas was the only tight end in the league to have a minimum of four targets in every game last season. While he was consistent throughout the season, he was especially productive down the stretch.

From Weeks 6 to 17, Thomas scored the third-most fantasy points with 58 receptions (third-most), 564 yards (third-most) and five touchdowns (tied fifth-most) amongst tight ends. Thomas enters 2021 as my favorite mid-tier TE1 even though the team bolstered its receiving corps via the draft and free agency.

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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New England Patriots

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New England Patriots.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Mac Jones	563.2	366.1	4083.2	24.22	12.67	41.4	128.3	1.04	253.94
Jarrett Stidham	17.4	10.4	118.3	0.73	0.68	4.6	3.5	0.05	6.94

Mac Jones: While it would be unfair to compare any quarterback to Tom Brady, Jones (like Brady) makes up for a lack of elite arm strength and mobility with quick processing ability and accuracy. Not only did Jones beat out Cam Newton for the starting job, but he won't have to look other his shoulder (if he struggles) with Newton no longer on the roster.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Damien Harris	230.1	1058.5	5.75	21.6	170.2	0.9	173.57
James White	57.5	221.4	1.29	55.5	464.3	2.8	120.86
Rhamondre Stevenson	98.9	430.2	2.47	8.5	65.1	0.2	69.8
J.J. Taylor	19.6	86.2	0.29	1.5	10.5	0	12.16
Jakob Johnson	0	0	0	5.6	31.5	0.2	7.15
Brandon Bolden	1.2	5.2	0.03	1.1	8.4	0	2.09

Damien Harris: In terms of usage, Harris has been a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that may not change much with James White returning to Foxboro given his well-defined third-down role within the Patriots offense. With New England handing the keys to the franchise to Mac Jones, the fantasy outlook for Harris should improve as he won't have to worry about Cam Newton vulturing rushing touchdowns.

James White: With Tom Brady in Tampa, White set five-year lows in targets (62), touches (84), yards from scrimmage (496) and touchdowns (three). White benefits from the team moving on from Cam Newton as it should translate into fewer QB rush attempts and more running back targets.

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson's strong play -- 30/216/5 rushing in three preseason games -- was one factor the Patriots were comfortable parting ways with Sony Michel. Even so, the fourth-round rookie out of Oklahoma will likely need an injury to either Harris and/or White to be a factor in fantasy this season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jakobi Meyers	64.9	794.1	3.9	1.2	5.4	0.02	135.92
Nelson Agholor	50.8	697.4	4	0	0	0	119.14
Kendrick Bourne	36.7	462.2	2.6	0	0	0	80.17
N'Keal Harry	27.9	329.8	2.3	0.9	5.4	0.02	61.39
Gunner Olszewski	2.8	33.6	0.2	1.4	6.4	0.03	6.78

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

Nelson Agholor: Agholor set a career high in receiving yards (896) and tied a career high in touchdowns (eight) in his lone season in Las Vegas. While I expect Meyers to continue to perform as the team's WR1, it wouldn't surprise me if Agholor came close to duplicating his 2020 numbers.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jonnu Smith	47.1	554.6	3.8	3.5	29.8	0.18	105.87
Hunter Henry	47.6	529.4	3.6	0	0	0	98.34
Devin Asiasi	4.7	50.4	0.4	0	0	0	9.79

Jonnu Smith: One year after investing a pair of Day 2 picks at the position, the Patriots double-dipped in the free-agent tight end market with Smith and Hunter Henry. Smith scored more touchdowns in 2020 (nine including a rushing score) than he did in his first three NFL seasons combined (eight). And while he set career highs in targets (65), receptions (41) and receiving yards (448), Smith likely frustrated his fantasy managers as he was held to 20 receiving yards or less in more than half of his games last season.

Hunter Henry: Missing multiple games in four consecutive seasons including all of 2018, Henry had 60 catches on 93 targets, both of which were career highs, for 613 yards and four touchdowns in 2020. Unfortunately for both Smith and Henry, however, their individual upside may cancel each other out.

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Fantasy Football Projections 2021: San Francisco 49ers

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Trey Lance	366.6	232.8	2657.9	16.5	9.17	75.9	417.5	3.04	213.97
Jimmy Garoppolo	176.5	118.7	1367.9	9.09	5.21	17.7	30.1	0.44	86.31

Trey Lance: If Lance isn't named the Week 1 starter, fantasy managers will look to the team's bye (Week 6) as the next logical point to potentially hand the reigns over to the rookie signal-caller. Not only is Lance making a big jump from the FCS level to the NFL, but North Dakota State played only one game in 2020. Once Lance takes over, however, the dual-threat talent has the potential to make a similar fantasy impact as Josh Allen and RG3 did as rookie quarterbacks.

Jimmy Garoppolo: Jimmy G. may begin the season as the starter, but it's only a matter of time before the (starting) gig is up. Even when Garoppolo played a full 16-game season in 2019 and finished as fantasy's QB14, he only ranked 22nd in fantasy points scored per game.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Raheem Mostert	151.8	705.9	5.69	34.8	287.8	2	162.91
Trey Sermon	159.4	709.3	5.58	28.6	239.5	1.7	152.86
Kyle Juszczyk	19	71.3	0.38	20.7	177.1	1.2	44.67
Elijah Mitchell	25.3	106.3	0.51	3.5	28.2	0.2	19.46
Jeff Wilson	15.2	67.6	0.42	3.5	28.2	0.2	15.05
Jamycal Hasty	6.3	26.5	0.16	1.8	14.1	0.1	6.52

Raheem Mostert: Missing half of the season, Mostert finished the year with 677 scrimmage yards (84.6/G) and only three touchdowns on 120 touches (15/G). Mostert has career averages of 5.6 YPC and 10.0 Y/R, but it's possible that Trey Sermon emerges as the team's top fantasy running back at some point this season.

Trey Sermon: Not only does Sermon have the highest draft pedigree (third round) among the team's running backs, but the Niners traded up to draft him. Given his frame, balance and vision, the team could look to make him their featured back sooner than later (as much as Kyle Shanahan will feature an individual back, that is).

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brandon Aiyuk	67.5	865.5	5.6	11.4	99.8	0.91	169.34
Deebo Samuel	67.3	827.3	5.1	15.2	124.6	1.14	166.28
Jalen Hurd	16	227.5	1.4	2.5	13.8	0.1	41.13
Mohamed Sanu	14.9	179.1	1.2	0	0	0	32.56
Trent Sherfield	5.3	66.4	0.4	0	0	0	11.69
Jauan Jennings	0.9	10.1	0.1	0	0	0	2.06

Brandon Aiyuk: Selected by the 49ers in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft, Aiyuk missed four games as a rookie, but he finished with 60 receptions for 748 yards and five touchdowns while adding 77 rushing yards. Excluding missed games, Aiyuk was especially good during the six games in which he appeared from Weeks 7 to 15. During that span (Weeks 7-15), he had a minimum of 73 yards per game, averaged 94.7 YPG and scored the third-most fantasy PPG (17.1, half-PPR).

Deebo Samuel: Foot and hamstring injuries (plus the COVID-19 list) limited Samuel to only seven games in 2020. Samuel played only one snap (his final snap of 2020) against WFT in Week 14, but he had 65-plus yards in each of the final four games in which he appeared before that. Due to his physical playing style, he's always a threat to miss time, but he's a viable WR3 in the weeks that he's on the field.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	74.9	940	5.6	6.3	39.4	0.16	169.95
Ross Dwelley	6.9	78.5	0.5	0	0	0	14.3
Charlie Woerner	4.9	56.4	0.4	0	0	0	10.49

George Kittle: Missing exactly half of the 2020 season, Kittle had 48/634/2 in eight games, comparable to a 96/1,268/4 (16-game) pace. In the previous two seasons, Kittle had 85/1,053/5 in 2019 and 88/1,377/5 in 2018. As long as his health cooperates, Kittle should approach another 1,000-yard campaign even if the team transitions to rookie Trey Lance early in the season.

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

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Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 9th Pick

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Saturday, September 4, 2021

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Friday, September 3, 2021

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Thursday, September 2, 2021

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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

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